Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 7-10-2018

Today’s chat transcript which features some Hosmer shade and lots of premature keeper questions.

4:01
Brad Johnson: An announcement: for fans of the old version of The Daily Grind (streaming picks), I’ve brought back that format. It’ll be attached to the end of The Daily Grind and will be called Streaming Wars. https://www.patreon.com/posts/19980968

4:01
Brad Johnson: Now, onto your business.

4:02
Kershnaw?: What kind of haul would you be looking to get back for Kershaw in a 12 team keep forever dynasty? Machado, Bryant, Harper types or 2/3 solid pieces

4:02
Brad Johnson: I would be using Kershaw and whatever I needed to include to target elite players.

4:03
Brad Johnson: Can’t directly acquire a Harper, but Kershaw+a Votto could maybe get a young stud.

4:03
Buff: Are you a believer in Zac Eflin?

4:04
Brad Johnson: More or less

4:04
Brad Johnson: The velocity is up and nothing looks out of place in his results.

4:04
Asking for a friend: RIP Ken Ravizza. He changed the way baseball was played. If you have ever wondered why players look at the label on their bat when they take a breath, it was because of him. Everyone should read “Heads Up Baseball” – it applies to life as much as it does baseball. The greatest thing about Ken is that he didn’t care if you were in t-ball or a MLB All-Star, he gave you the time of day and wanted to help you become a better ball player and person. He will be missed

4:05
Brad: Bryant, Correa, Acuna, and Buxton for Trout and Ray in a keep 10 forever h2h 7×7 with OPS and TB. Who wins?

4:05
Brad Johnson: That’s…

4:05
Brad Johnson: too much to process

4:06
Brad Johnson: It’s hard to lose when getting Trout, but this might test that rule of thumb

4:06
Michael G. Scott: 10 team, keep 3 forever, points league. My Judge, M. Brantley, and G. Richards for his T. Turner, J. Gallo, J. Soto, and J. DeGrom/A. Nola? I’m currently in 4th place.

4:07
Brad Johnson: I like it for you, I assume you need SB and an ace

4:07
Rick C: How much time should owners give Daniel Murphy?

4:07
Brad Johnson: A lot

4:07
Brad Johnson: Like the rest of the season. Although don’t be shy about pushing him to the bench or exploring swaps

4:08
Benny: Worried about Lindor falling off? 10tm roto can keep 5 forever. In 2nd and need runs & avg. Trade Correa and JFlaherty for Lindor? Worried about Correa streaking and Lindor falling back.

4:08
Brad Johnson: You should maybe get some kind of flier SP back for that swap to add up

4:08
Brad Johnson: They project pretty similarly ROS, but it helpsthat Lindor doesn’t have a back injury

4:09
Willie Hears Ya,Willie Dont Care: Hi Brad! Thanks for the chats you do! I have Jose Peraza and Solarte as my 2B/SS combo. Should I shop around for an upgrade(s) or are they legit to keep for the ROS? 12 tm H2H OBP league

4:09
Brad Johnson: Always hunt for upgrades. Peraza is best used as a bench piece

4:09
Brad Johnson: I like Solarte fine, but there are better players out there

4:09
Brad: What do I do with Joey Gallo in a keep forever OPS and TB league>

4:09
Brad Johnson: Keep ‘im

4:09
Brad Johnson: Can’t sell low

4:09
Brad Johnson: He’s known for making adjustments

4:10
Wily Mo Pena: 5×5 Keeper league, (QS and OBP instead of AVG and Wins) 5 year limit on keepers, keeper price increases by $6/year. Trying to win now. Would you trade Conforto and Devers for Upton and Justin Turner?

4:10
Brad Johnson: Probably not. I need a sharper upgrade to ditch keeper years. Assuming Devers has 3 more years and Conforto 2?

4:10
Matt: Brad, your colleague Justin Mason has continued to express concern about Corbin’s velocity in his chat earlier, but since Corbin’s velo dropped in early May, he’s got a 3.50 ERA with a 10.63 K/9 and a 2.84 FIP. Is this really something we should still be worried about?

4:11
Brad Johnson: It’s worth bearing in mind

4:11
Brad Johnson: That said, it’s clear he can succeed without the heat – I’d just feel a lot better if he was more than a slider only SP

4:11
Brad Johnson: We saw with Godley what can happen when a one breaking ball SP loses his mojo

4:11
Brad Johnson: Spotify Discover Weekly really flopped this week

4:12
Brad Johnson: In non-baseball news…

4:12
Desperate, Confused Marlins Fan: my last 3 trades:

4:12
Brad Johnson: I understand your desperation and confusion

4:12
lance mannion: Hi Brad  Starting Cueto vs the Cubs?   Thanks

4:12
Brad Johnson: I really can’t get behind that…

4:12
Brad Johnson: He was so bad last week and has a tougher opponent tonight

4:13
Brad Johnson: Situationally, it can make sense.

4:13
lance mannion: Hi Brad

4:13
Brad Johnson: Hi Lance

4:13
Josh: Muncy or Aguilar ROS?

4:13
Brad Johnson: Muncy for me. Aguilar has 10 grade speed on the 20-80 scale

4:13
Brad Johnson: and while that’s not especially important, I just don’t like guys who can’t move at all

4:14
Desperate, Confused Marlins Fan: nooo i clicked enter by accident! find my name again lol

4:14
Brad Johnson: lel

4:14
Brad Johnson: fine fine

4:14
Desperate, Confused Marlins Fan: my last 3 trades: Matt Carpenter for Carlos Carrasco, Jack Flaherty and Rafael Devers for Nelson Cruz, and Max Muncy for Yasiel Puig (obviously that looks bad now). 10 team h2h, OBP. Did I do good?

4:15
Brad Johnson: Yes, yes, no

4:15
Gest : Do you think maeda is underrated?

4:15
Brad Johnson: No

4:16
Brad Johnson: He’s a good pitcher who makes short starts, misses plenty of starts, and in the words of one industry contact “has the worst medicals I’ve ever seen.”

4:16
Brad Johnson: The same contact has said the same about Masahiro Tanaka and a few other pitchers

4:16
Brad Johnson: I think he just hates pitchers

4:16
Jimbo: Almost got busted by my boss for laughing at your Aguilar speed comment.  Thanks a lot Brad!

4:17
Brad Johnson: I do my best

4:17
Margo : Joey Gallo is known for making adjustments?

4:17
Brad Johnson: It’s counterintuitive because he whiffs nearly everything, but if he hadn’t adjusted in literally every season of his career, he would have a 90% strikeout rate.

4:18
Brad Johnson: Everyone who works with him gushes over his baseball acumen

4:18
Matt D: Get Pivetta or Gibson over C. Anderson or Wheeler? Or both?

4:19
Brad Johnson: I’d do either over Anderson. I’m fuzzy on Wheeler. I can’t tell if he’s good now or lucky

4:19
Tremp : What do you make of CarMart? He’s had bumps recently but do you think he’s good to go for ROS?

4:19
Brad Johnson: Some risk, lots of reward

4:19
Brad Johnson: Be careful short term. Bench him if you can afford to (I can’t)

4:19
Rocco: Thoughts on Y. Guriel ROS?   Can he be my everday 1B or should I just ride him while hot?

4:19
Brad Johnson: So he was showing some signs of a breakout late last year on the power front

4:20
Brad Johnson: then he had the injury this spring

4:20
Brad Johnson: I forget if it was a thumb or hamate

4:20
Brad Johnson: either way, he returned SUPER early

4:20
Brad Johnson: So it’s not surprising his power is finally starting to show up

4:20
Brad Johnson: I think he can work as an everyday 1B in 12 team or deeper

4:20
Matt D: I have to drop Pivetta or Cahill soon when the latter comes off the DL.  Is this a ceiling/floor thing or do you like 1 better ROS?

4:20
Brad Johnson: Cahill has had like 4 different injuries in the last calendar year

4:21
Brad Johnson: And after at least one of them, he returned considerably worse

4:21
Brad Johnson: I think Pivetta may be a hair safer. It’s basically a coin flip though

4:21
Rosario De La Vega: MY last 3 trades:

4:21
Brad Johnson: New meta

4:21
Rosario De La Vega: My last 3 trades:  Manaea for Matt carpenter, Alex Reyes for Xander Bogaerts, Hunter Strickland for Choo.  14 Team h2H points, no keepers. Did I do good?

4:22
Brad Johnson: Very goo

4:22
Brad Johnson: very goo

4:22
Desperate, Confused Marlins Fan: Ummm is this 2013 or something? Anibal Sanchez and Jordan Zimmerman forgot they are supposed to be unrosterable

4:22
Brad Johnson: Still off Anibal personally. Zimm is streamable but the numbers aren’t so good that you have to roster him

4:22
Brad Johnson: or concern yourself with somebody else doing so

4:23
Big Tuna: Nick Williams has been sneaky good since May 1st. Are you buying in most leagues?

4:23
Brad Johnson: Ish. Some concern he’ll lose playing time at the deadline to a trade acquisition

4:23
Brad Johnson: Quite possibly indirectly

4:24
Brad Johnson: If they get a 3B, then maybe we see Kingery take more OF reps

4:24
Rocco: Any waiver wire type Catchers you like?

4:24
Brad Johnson: Astudillo if your leagues are as deep as mine

4:24
Frosty the Sandman: What are your thoughts on Jake Bauers in a dynasty format?  Top 100 overall players too aggressive?

4:24
Brad Johnson: Extremely too aggressive

4:24
Brad Johnson: Might be a 110 wRC+ hitter as presently constructed

4:25
Brad Johnson: might be a 90 wRC+ hitter

4:25
Brad Johnson: Not very exciting

4:25
Buff: Thoughts on Enyel De Los Santos? Good stash in deep NL only, or trade to someone who likes shiny new toys?

4:25
Brad Johnson: Ooh! Hold on!

4:25
Brad Johnson: Dia De Los Santos: https://www.patreon.com/posts/19958215

4:26
Need to Believe: So . . . long term keep forever dynasty . . . what do you do with Aden Rosario?  How long do you hold onto a hyped prospect before you move on?

4:26
Brad Johnson: A very long time… depending on league depth

4:26
Joe: Eovaldi or Porcello?

4:26
Brad Johnson: I like Porcello’s consistency

4:26
Brad Johnson: I worry Eovaldi’s going to become a Yankee and drown at his new/old home park

4:27
Diego castillo: Is castillo the future closer in TB?

4:27
Brad Johnson: Seems like the best candidate on the roster

4:27
Brad Johnson: Remember, the Rays find every excuse to use crappy veterans instead

4:27
Brad Johnson: Colome got the job by mistake

4:27
Brad Johnson: Box wasn’t young

4:27
Joe: True or false: Eddie Rosario will hit above .300 with 40 homers

4:27
Brad Johnson: Well, false

4:27
Brad Johnson: but it’s not implausible

4:28
Brad Johnson: proud to have picked Rosario for 40 HR in late April

4:28
6 Chatters Ahead Of Us Jimmy: O. Herrera, B. Nimmo, or I. Desmond ROS?

4:28
Brad Johnson: Nimmo can you hear me

4:28
Carl: Is Hosmer even a top 12 1B now?

4:28
Brad Johnson: Nah

4:29
Brad Johnson: I do think he’s a good buy low target in certain formats

4:29
Brad Johnson: If you need AVG

4:29
Vegan Man!: 12 team roto – Choo and Dietrich or Carpenter and Pillar? Thanks!

4:29
Brad Johnson: I think I’d go with Carp

4:30
Middle infield help: Odor showing signs of life. Do you like him more than Jorge polanco ros? Obp league

4:30
Brad Johnson: OBP DOOOOOOM

4:30
Brad Johnson: That said, probably a coin flip. Odor’s other categories can flat out crush Polanco

4:30
Brad Johnson: When Odor isn’t ice cold at least

4:31
Al: Can Nick Goodrum be a top 10 player next season with a .250 avg and 20/20?

4:31
Brad Johnson: You mean at a position, right

4:31
Brad Johnson: I don’t think so

4:31
Brad Johnson: That seems like a 90th percentile projection to me

4:31
EG: Do you have any thoughts on Harper’s mediocre season? Is his second half better than his first?

4:32
Brad Johnson: Well, I’ll observe that he has a long history of incredible hot streaks followed by long stints of mediocrity

4:32
Rosario De La Vega: pick up herrera with doolittle on the DL

4:32
Brad Johnson: Sure, temporarily

4:32
Brad Johnson: Doolittle will be back soon and we have the ASG coming up too

4:33
Killebrews : What would you estimate M. Confortos dynasty value to be?

4:33
Brad Johnson: Very high, according to everybody I’ve tried to buy low from

4:33
Brad Johnson: And honestly I don’t really disagree

4:33
Hosmer : Hosmer has been unsuseable. Do you think he rebounds in H2? Or do you like cron more? Obp league

4:33
Brad Johnson: I’ll take Hosmer over Cron

4:33
Corbin: Are you starting Corbin at Coors tonight? Roto league. Everyone talks about sell high, but his fip is lower than his era

4:34
Brad Johnson: I think I’m playing most of my shares tonight, but I’m avoiding in DFS

4:34
Wes : Who are you cutting for Tanaka? Castillo, Gibson, Rich Hill, Lester, Mikolas…

4:34
Brad Johnson: Castillo or Gibson

4:34
Rebuilding…again: Would you trade Muncy and S. Newcomb for Soto in an Ottoneu points league? Hard to know how much to ask for Muncy…

4:34
Brad Johnson: Depends on the price tags

4:34
Brad Johnson: I assume they’re all $3 and under

4:35
Brad Johnson: in which case I may just stand pat

4:35
Brad Johnson: Muncy has all those eligibilities

4:35
Brad Johnson: tasty tasty eligibilities

4:35
Mark : Team A: Muncy/Mazara Team B: Mikolas/Story…Which side do you like in a keeper league?

4:35
Brad Johnson: Team A, but I can see a use case for preferring Team B right now

4:36
Johnny5Alive: Is Giles worth holding?

4:36
Brad Johnson: I have been

4:36
Brad Johnson: He’s lost his job a few times with the Astros. Always gets it back

4:36
Brad Johnson: This time kinda feels different

4:36
Brad Johnson: Like he has some kind of injury that rest won’t help

4:36
Griffin: Would you sell Max Muncy in a dynasty league? If so, who would you target?

4:37
Brad Johnson: I’d aim pretty high. Now is a great time to sell though if somebody is overeager

4:37
SS Wasteland: On the rotissere SS in a OBP league…who do I want our of Profar, Solarte, K Marte, D Robertson, Semien, Addy, etc? Kinda feel like the Profar breakout may be legit…

4:37
Brad Johnson: Those are all pretty good SS

4:37
Brad Johnson: Profar isn’t near the top of my list though

4:37
Brad Johnson: I like Addy, Semien, and Marte most in some order

4:38
Brad Johnson: I’m a sucker for Marte

4:38
all aboard the Choo Choo train: is Choo for real or a sell high candidate?

4:38
Brad Johnson: Both!

4:38
Brad Johnson: Old and injury prone means sell high

4:38
Brad Johnson: If somebody will pay “high”

4:38
Markus: My cheap Aguilar, Conforto, Luis Robert, and Pivetta for Cole and Edwin in a keeper a solid offer?

4:39
Brad Johnson: Encarnacion, Diaz, Jackson?

4:39
Brad Johnson: I’ll assume EE

4:39
Brad Johnson: I think I like that for you

4:39
Brad Johnson: keeper to me means 12 team or less, 10 keepers or less per team

4:40
Brad Johnson: Some deeper formats with fewer keeps

4:40
Brad Johnson: Assuming those conditions are roughly true, I like the win-now package

4:40
Brad Johnson: As you edge closer to dynasty, that price gets to be rough for an aging DH and a pitcher

4:41
Joe: Do we yell at the Dodgers for Austin Barnes not being a breakout player, or at Austin Barnes himself?

4:41
Brad Johnson: Very good question

4:41
Noel: Trying to pry Vlad Jr. away from a fringe contender. 15-team AL only and I’m out of it. My big keepers are Bregman, Springer, Ohtani, Archer, M Chapman. Lesser are Buxton -shudders-, F Mejia, Honeywell, T McKenzie. Rest of the roster is basically the whole Astros bullpen and trash. Is there anyone you wouldn’t move in a Vlad Jr. deal? I’m thinking hold Bregman/Ohtani and be open to moving pretty much any combo of the others.

4:41
Brad Johnson: Yea, Bregman’s the only one I’m marking untouchable

4:42
Brad Johnson: Obviously, it would be best to hang onto Ohtani and Springer

4:42
Jeremy: What’s your favorite league format to play in?

4:42
Brad Johnson: I think ottoneu FGpts

4:42
Minter is Coming: Would you cut Chris Taylor for Kyle Tucker?

4:42
Brad Johnson: I would not

4:43
Brad Johnson: The conditions necessary for that to be a yes would also ensure Tucker was owned at least 2 years ago

4:43
OddBall Herrera: Better shameful stash w/ 2018 in mind, Cano or Sano?

4:43
Brad Johnson: Cano, seemingly

4:45
Brad Johnson: Sano’s difficult to read at the moment

4:46
Killebrews : How good can Jesse Winker be?

4:46
Brad Johnson: Ooh!

4:46
Brad Johnson: I’ve just switched this to public access: https://www.patreon.com/posts/19864474

4:47
Joe: Battle of the ottoneu utility men, Camargo or Gyorko?

4:47
Brad Johnson: Camargo?

4:47
Jeffe: Jose Abreu is in a deep slump, can he turn it around or is age getting to him?

4:47
Brad Johnson: No reason both can’t be true

4:48
Brad Johnson: He slumped early last year if memory serves

4:48
Brad Johnson: then went nuts

4:48
Aguilar: He has been unreal and apparently has made some serious changes, but is he a perfect sell high right now in a keeper league?

4:48
Brad Johnson: Yes, sell

4:48
Brad Johnson: Obviously for a good return

4:48
Rocky V: Tyler Anderson a good start tonight?

4:48
Brad Johnson: Good? No

4:48
Brad Johnson: Super scary usable? Yes

4:49
Chicken Nuggs: What do you think of Victor Robles ROS?

4:49
Brad Johnson: I think he’s super blocked in the majors

4:49
Brad Johnson: and only just started playing again

4:49
Nick: Which side in dynasty keep forever: Alford and A.Russell or Daniel Murphy?

4:49
Brad Johnson: Think I have to pick the youths

4:50
Klint : Do you think the HRs will come down for Garrett Richards? He’s easily running a career high HR/9 this year

4:50
Brad Johnson: Yea, probably

4:51
54: Catcher is a barren wasteland. Any hope for Wieters? I’ve gone through Zunino, Hedges, and Cisco already. Stashing Mejia and Jansen but not real optimistic they’ll matter this year.

4:51
Brad Johnson: That’s rough

4:51
Brad Johnson: I’ve had good luck with catchers this year

4:51
Brad Johnson: Invested heavily in Grandal, Suzuki, and Chirinos

4:51
Brad Johnson: And by “heavily” I mean I bought damned low

4:52
Minter is Coming: Minter is Coming
4:42 Would you cut Chris Taylor for Kyle Tucker?
Brad Johnson
4:42 I would not
4:43 The conditions necessary for that to be a yes would also ensure Tucker was owned at least 2 years ago
What does this mean? Playing in a keeper league where I won the bid but only way I can afford is by dropping Taylor. Thinking Tucker would be a better trade piece because Taylor rides pine for me now

4:52
Brad Johnson: Tucker is only the better player in super deep dynasty formats

4:52
Jeffe: Will Lucchesi or Bieber ever be top 25 pitchers?

4:52
Brad Johnson: Maybe Bieber. Probably not though.

4:53
Brad Johnson: Lucchesi looks way too much like a Tyler Anderson clone

4:53
Brad Johnson: Which is swell but not toppy

4:53
Nate: Musgrove comes off the DL today. I have to drop a pitcher. Do I drop Eovaldi, or just drop Musgrove?

4:54
Brad Johnson: Ooh, good question. Looks like a coin flip to me. I like the NL Central and PNC Park more than Eovaldi’s opponents/road parks

4:54
Brad Johnson: But Eovaldi might be a little more talented

4:54
FLANSTER: Should I feel safe holding on to Teheran, Quintana, and Keuchel?

4:54
Brad Johnson: Safe is not the word I’d use

4:54
Brad Johnson: Aside from maybe cutting Teheran, I don’t know what else you can do with them

4:55
Matt D: Are there any players you refuse to own just because you don’t like them (whether they hit women like Aroldis or just have a jerky face like Utley)?

4:55
Brad Johnson: Chase Utley is my favorite player :)

4:55
Brad Johnson: You are a… Mets fan?

4:55
Brad Johnson: Not for reasons like that

4:56
Brad Johnson: There are definitely players I discount so much that I’ll never win them for reasons that might not be purely defensible

4:56
Brad Johnson: peak Jose Reyes was an example

4:56
Howie: Should I drop Ohtani (pitcher only), didn’t matter much when I could stash him on the DL, but now he’s taking up a roster spot.

4:56
Brad Johnson: Oh that’s confusing

4:56
Brad Johnson: yea I guess you have to, huh?

4:57
Brad Johnson: Unless Yahoo changes his status

4:57
Mike: I offered up a trade in a 14team league for his injured Cespedes, I would give up Nimmo, Wood & Jimenez, is it worth it for me?

4:57
Brad Johnson: That’s a lot for Cespedes

4:57
Brad Johnson: I think I said 2 months ago that Nimmo was the best Mets hitter, including Cespedes

4:58
Brad Johnson: Pretty sure I still stand by that

4:58
Jr’s, Jr. : Package 2 of Bradley Zimmer/Ian Happ/E-Rod/Jon Gray enough for Tatis, Jr. – 12tm Keep forever

4:58
Brad Johnson: Should be more than enough

4:58
Matt: Blow my faab on a recently dropped Jon gray? 12 Team dynasty keep forever

4:58
Brad Johnson: Coors Field is always going to be a problem

4:58
Brad Johnson: I might put in a price enforcing bid and let somebody else go wild

4:59
Bob: How are you feeling about B Dozier in the 2nd half? Would you trade C Hernandez plus a Clevinger or Flaherty?

4:59
Brad Johnson: I like the buy low on Dozier play

4:59
Brad Johnson: I’ve used it two years in a row to excellent effect

4:59
Brad Johnson: Unless you don’t need any SB, I think I prefer Hernandez RoS

4:59
Brad Johnson: And maybe Clevinger too

5:00
Sandy Ravge : Do you think I should acquire Godley in a H2H points? My pitching needs help

5:00
Brad Johnson: Godley is not the first place I’d look for “help”

5:00
Brad Johnson: I like the buy low play if he basically costs nothing

5:00
Nick: Degrom for Goldschmidt, how close is that?

5:00
Brad Johnson: Spot on to my eyes

5:00
joe: in a dynasty NL only league, how much value does an $11 seager have?

5:00
Brad Johnson: Massive

5:01
Vegan Man!: Robbie Ray’s xFIP the last 3 years, 3.45, 3.49, 3.52, while his ERA has been 4.90, 2.89, and 5.23… Will his ERA match his xFIP ROS, or is he just so volatile because of his walks / general inefficiency? Thanks!

5:01
Brad Johnson: I wish I had an answer for you

5:01
Brad Johnson: Ray is… frustrating

5:01
Brad Johnson: I would bet on improvement ROS

5:01
54: Playing Roto for the 1st time in a million years, (QS instead of Wins) and figured I would max out my 200 GS pace ASAP and then trade/dump all my starters for ratio relievers and saves. WITHOUT ANY CONTEXT, RECKON THIS COULD WORK?

5:02
Brad Johnson: So, this is a strategy I think about using all the time

5:02
Brad Johnson: Then the draft happens and I find myself holding 4 SP and 5 relievers

5:02
Brad Johnson: I find when the format pushes you in this direction, everybody overpays for pitchers early

5:02
Brad Johnson: So, I haven’t really tested it often

5:03
Brad Johnson: The other thing I’ve discovered over the years is that it’s very hard to sell good, non-elite SP for any kind of return

5:03
Dodger Donnie: Thoughts on Stripling? Like him or Luis Castillo in roto dynasty leagues?

5:03
Brad Johnson: Gimme Strip over Castillo

5:04
Brad Johnson: He’s regressed somewhat in recent weeks, and I think that’s a good representation of what to expect going forward

5:04
Brad Johnson: For Castillo, you’re waiting for a breakout

5:04
Brad Johnson: which is always uncertain

5:04
KRO: Would you trade for Ray as a buy low?

5:04
Brad Johnson: Yes

5:04
KRO: How do you feel about Paxton ROS? Getting close to his innings from last yr.

5:04
Brad Johnson: No more concerned about him than any other SP

5:04
RMR: Why do people play AL or NL only fantasy?  Seems odd.  Is it because they only follow their fav team closely and therefore largely only see/follow players in their fav team’s league?

5:05
Brad Johnson: I think it’s a legacy thing. I tried a few years ago, and it’s not for me

5:05
Brad Johnson: They tend to be weekly lineups too, and I think that’s the height of bullshit

5:06
Brad Johnson: Speaking of, that’s a natural segue to my article on how to fix weekly leagues – https://www.patreon.com/posts/19840762

5:06
Ceej: Hold or sell Moncada in a 10 team OBP keeper if I’m competing?

5:06
Brad Johnson: Sell

5:06
Brad Johnson: Format is stupid shallow. You can find a non-name brand replacement in the future

5:06
Killebrews : You indicate in the Winker article “minimal soft contact “. What’s the % youd consider ideal?

5:06
Brad Johnson: 0%?

5:07
Brad Johnson: I like to see low-teens

5:07
Brad Johnson: When a player starts pushing 20% then it’s a sign there could be some problems in the profile

5:07
Brad Johnson: Stuff that maybe isn’t showing up in other common peripherals

5:08
Brad Johnson: Not an automatic issue, some guys can make that work – especially speedsters

5:08
Brad Johnson: Just something I pay attention to

5:08
Brad Johnson: Would rather a hitter smash everything. Obviously

5:08
Acuna Matata: Donaldson & Kemp for Thor fair trade?

5:08
Brad Johnson: That’s a tricky one to parse

5:08
Brad Johnson: I need a lot more context

5:09
Brad Johnson: League size, keeper or not, team needs/strengths?

5:09
B M Double Ewe: Pivetta + Vlad Jr (reasonable keeper price) for Strasburg + Morton in a 12-team keeper league. Need pitching. Thoughts?

5:09
Brad Johnson: eh, I’m having trouble seeing that win you the league

5:09
Brad Johnson: Trade Vlad for the league title

5:09
Brad Johnson: Or keep him

5:10
Vegan Man!: Worth taking a shot on Donaldson in a 14 team dynasty points league (points favor power/obp guys)? Would you trade Nimmo, Conforto, Archer, or Robles for him? Thanks!

5:10
Brad Johnson: I might trade Archer for him

5:10
Brad Johnson: That smells reasonable

5:10
Brad Johnson: The others, I’d keep

5:10
brood550: Love the write up on weekly leagues.  Part of the reason I tune out 90% of the NFL leagues I join.  Weekly is just boring.

5:10
Brad Johnson: grazi

5:12
Acuna Matata: Re: the donaldson trade – 10 team h2h obp redraft, pitching mediocre. Strong on offense

5:12
Brad Johnson: It’s a can-do gamble in that case

5:12
Brad Johnson: Don’t be shocked if it backfire. Sounds like you need to take a chance, and you might not find a better SP using those assets

5:13
Brad Johnson: Time to wrap it up, thanks for playing.

5:13
Brad Johnson: A few more before the shop closes for the day

5:13
Jacob: Should I sell Blake Snell while he has his highest value? What should I look to get in exchange?

5:13
Brad Johnson: Don’t force it. Let be known that somebody made you a competitive offer for Snell and you want to see if anybody else is interested

5:14
Brad Johnson: That’s usually the best way to shop a “sell high” candidate as long as you don’t overuse it

5:14
steve: Dynasty 15 team keeper league: Moncada+Segura+ how many closers to get a chance at Ozzie Albies?

5:14
Brad Johnson: For a chance? 1?

5:14
Brad Johnson: Not sure that’s a good use of resources

5:14
Brad Johnson: Why not target a better player?

5:15
Brad Johnson: Albies has so much value tied up in his name brand

5:15
Brad Johnson: Alex Bregman, for example, is 25% better and probably costs the same-ish as Albies

5:16
Brad Johnson: And yea, he’s older, but he has a lot of prime years left in the tank

5:16
brood550: Am I crazy for Rostering a ton of young players?  I just realized average age on my team is probably in the 24-26 range.

5:16
Brad Johnson: Nah, MLB teams are doing it too

5:16
Brad Johnson: All that matters are the stats. As long as you’re not overpaying for age, it’s fine

5:16
Vegan Man!: Which of these 4 guys will I end up keeping in a 12 team standard H2H, keep 4 forever: Freeman, Harper, Albies, Soto, Correa, Kershaw, Nola, deGrom, Paxton, Snell, Bauer? Thank you!

5:17
Brad Johnson: Freeman, Correa, Harper… uh… Soto?

5:17
Brad Johnson: That’s rough though

5:17
Brad Johnson: Good game folks!



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