Daily Fantasy Strategy — All-Star Break Notes — For Draftstreet

Today, we’ll gather around the TV and watch the All-Star game. Well, most of us will; some don’t care about the event very much. Either way, we’re without baseball for a few days after tonight’s ultimately meaningless home field deciding contest. So let’s take a look back at the Draftstreet All-Stars of the first half. I use wOBA more than anything else when choosing my daily lineup, mostly due to seeing people much better at daily than myself using it. Blake has long used it as a proxy for good daily production. In theory, it should work well. And as you’ll below, it works well in practice, too.

Num Name Team PA Total Points Points per PA wOBA Rank
1 Mike Trout Angels 408 407.50 1.00 2
2 Andrew McCutchen Pirates 419 405.00 0.97 3
3 Michael Brantley Indians 390 394.00 1.01 13
4 Edwin Encarnacion Blue Jays 375 383.25 1.02 5
5 Paul Goldschmidt Diamondbacks 419 377.00 0.90 7
6 Troy Tulowitzki Rockies 368 376.25 1.02 1
7 Nelson Cruz Orioles 397 373.00 0.94 14
8 Albert Pujols Angels 409 370.75 0.91 49
9 Giancarlo Stanton Marlins 413 368.75 0.89 9
10 Miguel Cabrera Tigers 387 366.50 0.95 19
11 Jose Altuve Astros 418 360.50 0.86 39
12 Jose Abreu White Sox 351 352.75 1.00 6
13 Ian Kinsler Tigers 405 352.50 0.87 43
14 Victor Martinez Tigers 340 351.00 1.03 4
15 Anthony Rendon Nationals 397 348.25 0.88 34
16 Jose Bautista Blue Jays 390 342.75 0.88 10
17 Charlie Blackmon Rockies 383 341.75 0.89 35
18 Brian Dozier Twins 424 338.50 0.80 56
19 Todd Frazier Reds 400 336.00 0.84 23
20 Freddie Freeman Braves 422 335.00 0.79 17
21 Robinson Cano Mariners 392 334.00 0.85 25
22 Anthony Rizzo Cubs 407 333.50 0.82 20
23 Josh Donaldson Athletics 410 333.50 0.81 67
24 Carlos Gomez Brewers 388 331.25 0.85 16
25 Yasiel Puig Dodgers 394 323.25 0.82 8

Using Draftstreet’s scoring system (if I used excel correctly), Nineteen of the top scoring hitters, that are qualified, currently rank inside the top 25. The hitters that fall outside of the top 25 in wOBA each have some extenuating circumstances: Brian Dozier and Jose Altuve each add value by stealing bases at an efficient rate; Albert Pujols and Josh Donaldson are each in the top 16 in both runs scored and RBI, on top of hitting lots of dingers; And Ian Kinsler and Charlie Blackmon just fill their stat lines in whatever way possible. So, wOBA works. That’s not exactly surprising. Victor Martinez averaging more points per plate appearance than anyone in the majors is, though.

Num Name Team IP Total Points Points per Inning
1 Felix Hernandez Mariners 144.1 250.85 1.74
2 Johnny Cueto Reds 143.2 235.95 1.65
3 David Price Rays 147.2 232.20 1.58
4 Masahiro Tanaka Yankees 129.1 220.85 1.71
5 Adam Wainwright Cardinals 138.0 217.75 1.58
6 Clayton Kershaw Dodgers 96.1 209.10 2.18
7 Max Scherzer Tigers 126.1 208.10 1.65
8 Corey Kluber Indians 131.2 201.95 1.54
9 Garrett Richards Angels 123.1 200.60 1.63
10 Jon Lester Red Sox 129.0 198.50 1.54
11 Yu Darvish Rangers 115.1 196.35 1.71
12 Stephen Strasburg Nationals 125.0 194.00 1.55
13 Julio Teheran Braves 136.1 190.85 1.40
14 Zack Greinke Dodgers 118.2 190.45 1.61
15 Scott Kazmir Athletics 117.1 185.35 1.58
16 Tyson Ross Padres 129.2 180.95 1.40
17 Madison Bumgarner Giants 127.0 179.75 1.42
18 Ian Kennedy Padres 124.1 176.10 1.42
19 Sonny Gray Athletics 125.2 174.45 1.39
20 Chris Sale White Sox 95.0 172.75 1.82
21 Jeff Samardzija Athletics 123.0 160.50 1.30
22 Jason Hammel Athletics 113.2 160.45 1.42
23 John Lackey Red Sox 123.1 157.35 1.28
24 James Shields Royals 130.2 156.70 1.20
25 Kyle Lohse Brewers 127.0 156.25 1.23

When we look at starting pitchers, we see mostly familiar names. Masahiro Tanaka (RIP, perhaps), Corey Kluber, Garrett Richards, Scott Kazmir, Tyson Ross, Ian Kennedy, Jason Hammel, and, perhaps, Kyle Lohse probably wouldn’t have been predicted to be in the top 25, but they are. Other than that, it’s the normal pitchers we associate with being great. On a per inning basis, no one has been better than Clayton Kershaw (surprise!). Chris Sale also jumps up the list into second place. And both Jake Odorizzi and Hisashi Iwakuma slide into the back of the top 25. Quietly, they’re both putting together nice seasons.

Num Name Team IP Total Points Points per Inning
1 Craig Kimbrel Braves 37.2 164.45 4.42
2 Francisco Rodriguez Brewers 45.1 154.35 3.42
3 Kenley Jansen Dodgers 38.2 151.45 3.96
4 Trevor Rosenthal Cardinals 43.2 150.70 3.49
5 Greg Holland Royals 34.2 145.20 4.25
6 Koji Uehara Red Sox 43.2 143.45 3.32
7 Fernando Rodney Mariners 36.1 137.35 3.80
8 David Robertson Yankees 32.2 137.20 4.26
9 Glen Perkins Twins 39.1 135.10 3.46
10 Aroldis Chapman Reds 29.2 134.95 4.62
11 Huston Street Padres 33.0 129.25 3.92
12 Dellin Betances Yankees 55.1 128.85 2.34
13 Rafael Soriano Nationals 37.0 127.00 3.43
14 Jonathan Papelbon Phillies 37.1 123.60 3.33
15 Sean Doolittle Athletics 43.2 122.45 2.83
16 Zach Britton Orioles 48.1 115.60 2.40
17 Steve Cishek Marlins 38.1 115.10 3.02
18 Joe Smith Angels 42.2 114.20 2.71
19 Cody Allen Indians 41.2 113.70 2.76
20 Addison Reed Diamondbacks 37.2 108.45 2.92
21 Sergio Romo Giants 37.0 108.25 2.93
22 Joakim Soria Rangers 30.1 102.60 3.41
23 Mark Melancon Pirates 41.2 102.20 2.48
24 Jake McGee Rays 41.1 100.60 2.45
25 Wade Davis Royals 39.2 93.95 2.40

Finally, the relievers. The “value” of the save is still alive and well. Sergio Romo, despite his awfulness is still top 20. Addison Reed, too; although he hasn’t been quite as bad as Romo. They’re undoubtedly on the list due to their saves. Closers dominate the list, and they should, given the scoring setup, but being a full time closer isn’t exactly required to be valuable. Dellin Betances is in the top 25. So is Jake McGee.  Tyler Clippard, Pat Neshek, and Antonio Bastardo don’t miss by much. So let’s have some fun. Outside of the usual names (Trout, Cabrera, Kershaw, etc.), who are your dark horses to perform the best in the second half? I’ll go with: Jayson Werth, Zack Greinke, and Huston Street (after a trade to LAA, anyone?). In case you’re curious about other names, here is a link to each spreadsheet. Enjoy the game/break, and I’ll see you on Friday. This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of Draftstreet. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.



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Landon is a senior writer at The Fantasy Fix. You can follow and interact with him on Twitter (@joneslandon).



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Mike
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Mike

Can you redo the pitching tables using points per appearance rather than per inning? That seems a lot more relevant, since some starters tend to pitch deeper into games than others. Less relevant for closers but it could still matter.

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