Daily Fantasy Strategy — July 20 — For Draftstreet

Well, it’s been a week since I last threw down here and, wait what, DraftStreet acquired by DraftKings? You got it, bub. And you can easily transfer your account here. It does change some things for us in these pages, but not really by all that much.

The budgets are different, and so the player pricing is different (you’re not going to be spending $20,000 on a pitcher any longer). It will take some getting used to but identifying value will come to you pretty quickly going from one format to the other.

Here’s Landon Jones on the key differences beyond pricing:

As far as I can tell, there are four main things to address: lineups, pricing, mobile app and scoring. With Draftstreet, you had the option to start three starters, if you wanted, or you could only buy two and purchase a reliever. Draft Kings isn’t set up that way. You get two pitchers; relievers no longer matter. Lineups will now be consisted of: P (2), C (1), 1B (1), 2B (1), 3B (1), SS (1), OF (3); utility spots are a thing of the past.

The biggest change, however, is that strikeouts don’t hurt you any longer. The table below shows the biggest and smallest gainers with the new scoring system (everyone gains because points are easier to tally, but some obviously gain far more than others):

Name Team G HR SB SO DS Points/Gm DK Points/Gm Gain
Chris Johnson Braves 93 6 3 95 1.80 5.91 327.87%
Everth Cabrera Padres 80 3 13 81 1.69 5.43 321.48%
Jason Castro Astros 77 8 92 1.94 6.17 318.26%
B.J. Upton Braves 90 7 15 117 2.12 6.70 316.54%
Mike Zunino Mariners 77 13 98 1.95 5.99 307.33%
Xander Bogaerts Red Sox 89 7 2 89 1.96 6.00 306.90%
Mike Napoli Red Sox 76 10 2 87 2.42 7.36 303.39%
Jackie Bradley Jr Red Sox 86 1 6 83 1.76 5.31 302.65%
Chase Headley Padres 75 7 4 70 1.96 5.91 301.87%
Chris Carter Astros 82 19 103 2.16 6.49 300.56%
Mark Reynolds Brewers 81 14 5 91 2.07 6.20 299.25%
Nick Swisher Indians 77 8 88 2.05 6.05 295.40%
Adam Dunn White Sox 79 14 1 100 2.42 7.15 295.04%
Matt Kemp Dodgers 87 8 5 88 2.24 6.61 294.49%
Starling Marte Pirates 84 5 21 94 2.61 7.61 291.45%
Torii Hunter Tigers 79 12 4 44 3.19 7.54 236.51%
Anthony Rendon Nationals 90 13 8 64 3.85 9.06 235.04%
Adrian Beltre Rangers 82 14 1 44 3.75 8.79 234.66%
Coco Crisp Athletics 74 7 16 36 3.65 8.50 233.18%
Charlie Blackmon Rockies 93 14 18 49 3.71 8.62 232.63%
Edwin Encarnacion Blue Jays 88 26 2 58 4.24 9.83 232.06%
Omar Infante Royals 73 5 4 35 3.15 7.29 231.56%
Troy Tulowitzki Rockies 90 21 1 56 4.17 9.64 231.16%
Erick Aybar Angels 93 6 11 35 3.24 7.43 229.19%
Miguel Cabrera Tigers 91 14 1 59 3.99 9.13 228.93%
Justin Morneau Rockies 89 13 38 3.38 7.72 228.62%
Ian Kinsler Tigers 91 11 10 41 3.86 8.81 228.49%
Victor Martinez Tigers 81 21 2 25 4.17 9.43 226.04%
Albert Pujols Angels 93 20 4 40 3.88 8.74 225.52%
Michael Brantley Indians 91 15 11 32 4.38 9.78 223.20%

And this table simply shows the top-30 hitters under the DraftKings scoring format:

Name Team G HR SB SO DS Points/Gm DK Points/Gm Gain
Mike Trout Angels 91 22 10 96 4.56 11.04 242.31%
Andrew McCutchen Pirates 94 17 15 75 4.24 10.43 245.61%
Jose Abreu White Sox 83 29 1 83 4.17 10.12 242.95%
Edwin Encarnacion Blue Jays 88 26 2 58 4.24 9.83 232.06%
Michael Brantley Indians 91 15 11 32 4.38 9.78 223.20%
Giancarlo Stanton Marlins 95 22 8 106 3.78 9.77 258.32%
Paul Goldschmidt Diamondbacks 96 17 8 94 3.89 9.74 250.33%
Troy Tulowitzki Rockies 90 21 1 56 4.17 9.64 231.16%
Carlos Gomez Brewers 88 14 17 87 3.70 9.60 259.80%
Victor Martinez Tigers 81 21 2 25 4.17 9.43 226.04%
Ryan Braun Brewers 74 11 8 61 3.86 9.41 243.78%
Nelson Cruz Orioles 94 28 3 82 3.83 9.35 244.00%
Jose Altuve Astros 94 2 41 32 3.77 9.34 248.02%
Miguel Cabrera Tigers 91 14 1 59 3.99 9.13 228.93%
Anthony Rendon Nationals 90 13 8 64 3.85 9.06 235.04%
Brian Dozier Twins 93 18 16 81 3.67 9.01 245.21%
Yasiel Puig Dodgers 91 12 7 78 3.54 8.93 252.48%
Anthony Rizzo Cubs 94 22 2 75 3.62 8.89 245.88%
Dee Gordon Dodgers 92 2 43 61 3.41 8.84 259.12%
Jose Bautista Blue Jays 91 17 4 61 3.66 8.84 241.08%
Todd Frazier Reds 95 19 14 83 3.49 8.83 253.09%
Ian Kinsler Tigers 91 11 10 41 3.86 8.81 228.49%
Adrian Beltre Rangers 82 14 1 44 3.75 8.79 234.66%
Albert Pujols Angels 93 20 4 40 3.88 8.74 225.52%
Josh Donaldson Athletics 93 21 3 80 3.60 8.69 241.01%
Charlie Blackmon Rockies 93 14 18 49 3.71 8.62 232.63%
Freddie Freeman Braves 96 13 81 3.40 8.58 252.18%
George Springer Astros 77 19 5 114 3.01 8.57 284.48%
Christian Yelich Marlins 77 8 11 75 3.21 8.52 265.05%
Coco Crisp Athletics 74 7 16 36 3.65 8.50 233.18%

The Daily Five
Drew Smyly – $6,200
The Cleveland Indians offense has been hitting pretty well of late, but they’re generally not strong against left-handed pitching. With just a .301 wOBA against southpaws on the season, they’re actually a bottom-five offense in that regard. While Smyly has struggled some over his last three outings, he’s also coming off of nine days of rest, a potentially important consideration as he approaches a career-high in innings. It’s not a slam dunk, but the slate is thin on affordable pitching, and going with a bottom-third option in price should allow you to pair Smyly with a top arm.

Zack Wheeler – $7,700
Of course, I won’t recommend said top arm, because telling you to start Clayton Kershaw really doesn’t help you much, does it? Instead, we’ll continue to pick on the San Diego Padres and their .275 wOBA against right-handed pitching, with the league’s second-highest strikeout rate as a bonus. Wheeler has cruised over his past three starts and gets the typical Petco Park bump, leading to an over/under of just 6.5 with the Mets favored.

Toronto Blue Jays stack – Yes, I know, homer pick combined with “have you seen this lineup without Edwin Encarnacion” make this seem a stretch, but it’s also Nick Tepsech on the bump at Rogers Centre. Tepsech is alright, but not missing bats and not keeping the ball on the ground is a bad formula against the Jays, who have the league’s best wOBA against righties (.339), with all due injury caveats. This match-up is the day’s highest over/under at 9, and the Jays are strong favorites.
Dan Johnson – $2,000 (107 wRC+ despite a .167 average; appreciate the walks)
Jose Bautista – $5,000 (well, you need an anchor)
Colby Rasmus – $3,700 (remember, strikeouts no longer hurt)

This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of DraftKings. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.



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Blake Murphy is a freelance sportswriter based out of Toronto. Formerly of the Score, he's the managing editor at Raptors Republic and frequently pops up at Sportsnet, Vice, and around here. Follow him on Twitter @BlakeMurphyODC.


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