“It is true that batting order has little overall effect on how many runs a team scores, but it does tell us immediately whether the team’s manager has any clue as to what drives run scoring.”

If it has little overall effect, then what are you talking about? I’ve seen the math, just like everyone else, and since lineup optimization would, according to the models, buy a maximum of a couple of wins in a season, who are you to say that your math is so right that a manager of a professional baseball team must be an idiot to disagree with your admittedly insignificant gripe?

How many extra wins do you get from having a “deep” lineup — i.e., a lineup where a pitcher can’t catch a break in any inning? If Ellis is the one guy in the bottom of the order who makes the pitcher work, maybe that turns an easy inning into a hard one, which, even if it doesn’t lead to run production, might get the pitcher out of the game earlier.

tl;dr version: if the math were perfect, lineup optimization would get you a nearly negligible difference. If the math is anything less than perfect, then you’re being a dick to Mattingly for no reason.

]]>-Then why are they winning so many games?

]]>LaHair

Reddick

Ross

Wow, so good timing on this question since Ross was just diagnosed with a broken bone in his foot and will be placed on the DL.

]]>Could you rank these players for 12 team h2h? Thanks!

Bryan Lahair, Josh Reddick, and Cody Ross.

]]>I have Hamilton in a deep keeper, anyone in particular you like as a target?

Thanks

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