MASH Report (2/21/13)

Russell Carleton wrote a good article on what traits are common for injured pitchers. The leading cause to no surprise was past injuries.

Recent injury data

• Dustin Ackley had off season surgery to remove some bone spurs which were bothering him. The injury could have been part of the cause of his struggles last season. Marcels projected him to produce .276/.349/.427 in 2012 while he only hit .226/.294/.328. If the bone spurs were really bothering him, he looks to be a player to out perform his 2013 projections.

 • Lorenzo Cain strained his right hand, but looks to be back soon. Cain spent two stints on the DL last season for a strained groin and hamstring. Keep an eye on this injury because his replacement would be stolen base accumulator Jarrod Dyson.

 • Matt Thornton reported elbow inflammation. While he has closed in Chicago in the past, I would not count on him getting the chance this year.

First, his fastball took a 1-2 MPH dive last season.

Also, the 36-year-old lefty has recently struggled getting out right-handed hitters and is basically a LOOGY.

2012 Stats
vs. LHH: 5.0 K/BB, 0.3 HR/9,
vs. RHH: 1.8 K/BB, 0.9 HR/9

 • Albert Pujols will not play until mid-March, but plans on being ready for opening day. This news does not move him out of the top 10 or so picks. If I was torn between Pujols and another player, I would go with the other player as Pujols may miss some time and still be hampered by the injury.

 • Matt Garza is expected to miss only a week with a oblique/lat strain. With last season’s injury and this one, I would be leery of paying too much for him on draft/auction day.

 • Phil Hughes is dealing with a bulging disk, but plans to be back pitching within a couple of weeks. Back injuries give me caution with both pitchers and hitters.

 • Daniel Murphy was sent to New York after pain in his ribs. He got a cortisone shot and should be ready to go in a day or two.

 • Brian Cashman stated Alex Rodriguez will be back by the All-Star break yesterday on Clubhouse Confidential (4:00 mark). I will take the over right now.

 • Rafael Furcal will miss some time because his elbow hasn’t yet healed. He had the problem before the end of last season and did nothing about it. The news makes he pretty much un-roster-able. Instead of a being a declining useless vet, he is now an injured declining useless vet.

 • Shelby Miller was shutdown with shoulder tightness. Keep track to see how the shoulder reacts the next time he takes the mound.

 • Matt Capps should be pitching in games within a week or two. All is good for now.

 • Wilson Ramos plans on being ready for opening day after tearing his ACL last May. He is Kurt Suzuki‘s back up, so he doesn’t have much of fantasy value.

 • Tsuyoshi Wada is throwing off the mound and expects to be back in May or June (h/t to Joelskil)

 • Daniel Hudson (TJS) and Ryan Kalish (shoulder surgery) were both officially placed on the 60-day DL.

Player Return Timetables

Name Injury Injury/Surgery Date Early Return Date Later Return date Status Source(s)
Scott Baker TJS 4/17/12 Late March May Throwing off mound (1)
Grant Balfour Knee 2/14/13 Late March Middle April Rest (1)
Brandon Beachy TJS 6/21/12 Mid June Mid June Playing Catch (1)
Lance Berkman Knee 10/1/12 Late April Mid March Working out (1)
Jeremy Bonderman TJS 04/24/12 Late March Late March Healthy (1)
Tim Byrdak Shoulder Surgery 07/01/12 Early July Early July Bullpen Sessions (1)
Edwar Cabrera Shoulder 08/01/12 Mid March Unknown Unknown (1)
Chris Carpenter Nerve 02/05/13 September Retire Rest (1)
 Andrew Cashner Thumb laceration 1/25/13 Late March May Rest (1)
Carl Crawford TJS 8/23/12 Early March Late April Throwing (1)
Scott Diamond Elbow Surgery 10/1/12 Early April Early May Unknown (1)
Kyle Drabek TJS 6/19/12 Mid Season Mid Season Unknown (1)
Danny Duffy TJS 6/13/12 Late May/Early June All Star Game Playing Catch (1)
Neftali Feliz TJS 8/1/12 July August Playing Catch (1)
Frank Francisco Elbow 2/14/13 April Unknown Rest (1)
Mat Gamel Knee 2/18/13 2014 2014 Rest (1)
Corey Hart Right knee surgery 1/26/13 Late April Late May Rest (1)
Daniel Hudson TJS 7/9/12 July July Playing Catch (1)
Drew Hutchison TJS 08/08/12 August October Rehabilitation (1)
Derek Jeter Fractured Left Ankle 10/1/12 Late March Late March Fielding (1)
Ryan Kalish Shoulder Surgery 1/25/13 Early April Unknown Rest (1)
Matt Kemp Shoulder 8/1/12 Late March Late March Light Training (1)
Colby Lewis Elbow Surgery 7/1/12 Late May July Throwing (1)
Francisco Liriano Broken humerus 12/1/12 Early April Late May Rest (1)
Cory Luebke TJS 5/23/12 July July Unknown (1)
Ryan Madson TJS 04/11/12 April May Rest (1)
Nick Masset Shoulder Surgery 09/07/12 Unknown Unknown Throwing (1)
Brian McCann Torn labrum 7/4/12 Mid April May Running and throwing (1)
Logan Morrison Knee 9/1/12 Late March Late April Light Training (1)
Charlie Morton TJS 06/21/12 June Unknown Throwing (1)
Juan Oviedo TJS 09/06/12 September 2014 Rest (1)
Felipe Paulino TJS 7/3/12 Early July Early July Unknown (1)
Carl Pavano Ruptured spleen 1/25/13 Late March Mid April Rest (1)
Mike Pelfrey TJS 05/01/12 Late March Late March Throwing (1)
Michael Pineda Shoulder Surgery 5/1/12 June Early July Rest (1)
Wilson Ramos ACL 5/1/12 Late March Late March Catching (1)
Alex Rodriguez Hip surgery 1/16/13 Early July 2014 season Rest (1)(2)
CC Sabathia Bone Spur 10/1/12 Late March Late March Throwing (1)
Johan Santana Back Late April Middle March Throwing off mound (1)
George Sherrill TJS 5/1/11 Late April May Bullpen Sessions (1)
Joakim Soria TJS 4/2/12 Late May Early June Playing Catch (1)
Eric Surkamp TJS 07/24/12 Late July September Unknown (1)
Tsuyoshi Wada TJS 05/11/12 May Jun Throwing off mound (1)
Josh Tomlin TJS 08/22/12 August 2014 Rest (1)
Joe Wieland TJS 07/27/12 Early August 2014 Catch (1)
Brian Wilson TJS 4/19/12 Unknown Unknown Not ready to pitch (1)
Randy Wolf TJS 10/30/12 2014 2014 Rest (1)
Delmon Young Right ankle 10/1/12 Mid April Early May Rest (1)

Players Returning From Injury

Name Injury Source
Hanley Ramirez Shoulder (1)

Players Playing Through Injuries

Here is the list of players who should exceed their power projections for 2013:

Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki. New additions: Dustin Ackley, Matt LaPorta and Howie Kendrick

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Jeff writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first season in Tout Wars, he won the H2H league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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Carl Crawford’s early return date is “Late April” and his late return date is “Early March.” Unless you mean March of 2014, I do believe this might be an error.