Prorated 2018 Pitcher Roto Values

A while back, I ranked hitters if all their 2018 stats were prorated to 600 plate appearances. It’s now time for the pitchers. In all fairness, the rankings are a huge disappointment with no surprises coming through.

I adjusted the rankings for 180 innings for starters and 60 innings for relievers and no one seemed out of place. With the hitters, Raul Mondesi at the top was an attention-getter. Looking over both sets of top-25 pitchers, the biggest surprise was Joshua James and he’s not really a surprise since he dominated at the season’s end. Time to get bored.

First, the starters. I included any pitcher who threw five innings and started at least half the games they appeared in. For the formula, I used the SGP points formula from last season’s The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. Here are the top-25.

Top-25 2018 Prorated Starters
Rank NAME IP Unadjusted SGP 180 IP SGP
1 Chris Sale 158.0 28.3 32.2
2 Blake Snell 180.2 31.2 31.1
3 Max Scherzer 220.2 35.9 29.3
4 Justin Verlander 214.0 34.3 28.8
5 Jacob deGrom 217.0 32.4 26.9
6 Gerrit Cole 200.1 29.7 26.7
7 Trevor Bauer 175.1 25.0 25.7
8 Hyun-Jin Ryu 82.1 11.5 25.3
9 Aaron Nola 212.1 29.5 25.0
10 Corey Kluber 215.0 29.1 24.4
11 Charlie Morton 167.0 21.7 23.4
12 Carlos Carrasco 192.0 24.8 23.3
13 Luis Severino 191.1 24.6 23.2
14 Walker Buehler 137.1 17.7 23.2
15 Patrick Corbin 200.0 24.9 22.4
16 Mike Foltynewicz 183.0 22.8 22.4
17 James Paxton 160.1 19.6 22.1
18 J.A. Happ 177.2 21.3 21.6
19 Clay Buchholz 98.1 11.4 20.9
20 Rich Hill 132.2 15.3 20.8
21 Jack Flaherty 151.0 17.2 20.5
22 Joshua James 23.0 2.6 20.4
23 David Price 176.0 19.8 20.3
24 Clayton Kershaw 161.1 18.0 20.1
25 Stephen Strasburg 130.0 14.4 20.0

Not one unexpected name really pops up. Clay Buchholz would have pre-season but his Wins helped push him up.

For reference, here are the top-5 starters who threw under 50 innings.

Top-5 2018 Prorated Starters (<50 IP)
Rank NAME IP Unadjusted SGP 180 IP SGP
42 Framber Valdez 37.0 3.7 18.0
102 Chris Bassitt 47.2 2.9 11.1
116 Thomas Pannone 43.0 2.4 9.8
118 Adalberto Mejia 22.1 1.2 9.7
123 Touki Toussaint 29.0 1.5 9.1

Besides Valdez, an owner isn’t going to be excited about any of them. In all fairness, I expected some more popup names but once a starter has about 50 innings, his talent level is well known.

For the closers, the lack of surprises is even more obvious because Saves are a category.

Top-25 2018 Prorated Relievers
1 NAME IP Unadjusted SGP 60 IP SGP SV
2 Edwin Diaz 73.1 23.4 19.2 57
3 Craig Kimbrel 62.1 18.3 17.7 42
4 Blake Treinen 80.1 23.3 17.5 38
5 Sean Doolittle 45.0 13.0 17.4 25
6 Aroldis Chapman 51.1 14.7 17.3 32
7 Wade Davis 65.1 14.8 13.7 43
8 Brandon Morrow 30.2 6.8 13.4 22
9 Josh Hader 81.1 17.9 13.2 12
10 Felipe Vazquez 70.0 15.3 13.1 37
11 Brad Hand 72.0 15.3 12.7 32
12 Kenley Jansen 71.2 14.7 12.4 38
13 Jeremy Jeffress 76.2 15.6 12.3 15
14 Roberto Osuna 38.0 7.7 12.2 21
15 Keone Kela 52.0 10.5 12.1 24
16 Kirby Yates 63.0 12.7 12.1 12
17 Jose Leclerc 57.2 11.5 12.0 12
18 Corey Knebel 55.1 10.7 11.6 16
19 Brad Boxberger 53.1 10.3 11.6 32
20 Raisel Iglesias 72.0 13.7 11.4 30
21 Bud Norris 57.2 10.5 11.0 28
22 Arodys Vizcaino 38.1 6.8 10.7 16
23 Will Smith 53.0 9.4 10.6 14
24 Pedro Strop 59.2 10.4 10.5 13
25 Seranthony Dominguez 58.0 10.1 10.4 16

No surprises at all to me with Saves being counted. So, I went and pulled the top-15 pitchers with five or fewer Saves.

Top-15 2018 Prorated Relievers (<=5 SV)
Rank NAME IP Unadjusted SGP 60 IP SGP SV
27 Adam Ottavino 77.2 13.3 10.3 6
28 Dellin Betances 66.2 11.2 10.2 4
29 Trevor May 25.1 4.2 10.0 3
30 David Robertson 69.2 11.2 9.7 5
31 Collin McHugh 72.1 11.5 9.6 0
33 Corbin Burnes 38.0 5.8 9.2 1
39 Chad Green 75.2 11.2 9.0 0
41 Scott Oberg 58.2 8.5 8.8 0
42 Seung Hwan Oh 68.1 9.8 8.6 3
44 Caleb Ferguson 49.0 7.0 8.5 2
46 Oliver Perez 32.1 4.5 8.4 0
47 Lou Trivino 74.0 10.3 8.3 4
48 Craig Stammen 79.0 10.8 8.2 0
49 Steve Cishek 70.1 9.4 8.0 4
50 Justin Miller 52.1 6.9 8.0 2
  • Damn Yankees with three of the top seven.
  • I see some nice high inning guys in this group who could be great middle reliever options like Chad Green and Craig Stammen.

After running both lists, I not sure I got much out of them that I didn’t get by just ranking the pitchers by K%-BB%. I’m not sure it’s an exercise I’ll perform in the future but at least you and I know the lack of information gained from it.



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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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Top reliever chart is missing a reliever.