Stream, Stream, Stream: 2x SP 6.17-6.23

Starting this week, we’ll put the results at the bottom of the post rather than the top. Also, if you have any other ideas, please submit them below for consideration.

Here are this week’s recommendations, with ownership figures help from @jakeallen47:

Ubaldo Jimenez – 12.6% ESPN/19% Yahoo! – v. KC (.299 team wOBA), v. MIN (.304)

It’s been very clear that there’s been two different Jimenez’ this season. The road Jimenez has been solid, with a 2.77 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and .673 OPS allowed. The home Jimenez has been an absolute disaster, with a 7.53 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, and .826 OPS allowed.

So why the recommendation for him making two home starts this week? It’s pretty simple, really. The Twins and Royals don’t do a whole lot offensively, for one. But second of all, most of the damage done to Ubaldo at home was done in two starts back in April. Since May 22 — a span of five starts — Jimenez has had a 4.00 ERA, fanned 23 in 27 innings, and while a wak total of 15 is a bit alarming, he’s still been better in that stretch than his numbers on the whole would indicate.

The two starts in April that totally wrecked his home numbers were in back to back starts on April 8 and 16, when the Yankees and Red Sox each hung a 7 on him, totaling 14 earned runs in six innings pitched for a ghastly 21.00 ERA. Outside of that stretch, Jimenez’ home ERA is a much more reasonable 3.97. Start him confidently this week.

Dillon Gee – 3.6% ESPN/10% Yahoo! – @ATL (.320), @PHI (.306)

Gee’s numbers on the whole range from impressive (8.0 K/9, 3.2 K/BB, 3.85 xFIP) to a bit terrifying (1.53 WHIP, 10 HR allowed). But he’s been on-point over the past three starts, winning all three and allowing just a single earned run in each. In that time frame, he’s fanned 26 batters (11.1 K/9), walked only 3 (8.7 K/BB), and allowed an opposing batter’s line of just .232/.259/.378.

If that wasn’t impressive enough, one of the offenses that Gee stymied was the Cardinals, a top-10 offense by wOBA. Gee is rolling right now, so get him out there.

Dan Straily – 9.8% ESPN/20% Yahoo! – @TEX (.328), @SEA (.301)

Straily took to the mound on May 21 to face the Rangers carrying a 7.27 ERA. Monday, he’ll again face the Rangers, but this time with a 4.45 mark. In that time frame, Straily has cruised to a 2.20 ERA, .417 OPS allowed, and smooth 20-4 K/BB ratio in 30.2 innings pitched. It’d be nice to see more strikeouts there — and that’s something that Straily has a penchant for, like in his season-opening 11 strikeout game — but all-told, Straily is starting to look like he belongs.

The Rangers matchup has some potential to be rocky — he faced the Rangers in back-to-back starts in May and dominated the second time out — but the Mariners matchup should be quite nice.

Previous Results:

Week 1: 1-3, 30 IP, 3.00 ERA, 5.4 K/9, 2.3 K/BB, 1.13 WHIP (Kevin SloweyUbaldo JimenezJoe Saunders)
Week 2: 2-3, 25.1 IP, 5.69 ERA, 6.8 K/9, 2.4 K/BB, 1.74 WHIP (Joe BlantonJames McDonaldEric Stults)
Week 3: 1-2, 32 IP, 3.66 ERA, 7.9 K/9, 3.1 K/BB, 1.22 WHIP (Wade DavisCarlos VillanuevaPatrick Corbin)
Week 4: 2-1, 22 IP, 6.14 ERA, 7.8 K/9, 2.1 K/BB, 1.95 WHIP (Julio TeheranJason HammelGarrett Richards)
Week 5: 2-2, 30 IP, 3.60 ERA, 5.4 K/9, 1.6 K/BB, 1.23 WHIP (Scott DiamondNick TepeschAndrew Cashner)
Week 6: 2-3, 32.2 IP, 4.96 ERA, 5.5 K/9, 2.0 K/BB, 1.44 WHIP (Justin GrimmJuan NicasioHector Santiago)
Week 7: 1-0, 29 IP, 3.41 ERA, 6.8 K/9, 1.8 K/BB, 1.34 WHIP (Julio TeheranPhil HughesScott Kazmir)
Week 8: 1-0, 34.2 IP, 4.93 ERA, 7.0 K/9, 4.5 K/BB, 1.27 WHIP (Jhoulys ChacinKevin SloweyDan Straily)
Week 9: 3-1, 34 IP, 2.65 ERA, 7.4 K/9, 4.0 K/BB, 0.94 WHIP (John DanksAndrew CashnerChris Tillman)
Week 10*: 2-0, 20.2 IP, 3.05 ERA, 4.4 K/9, 1.2 K/BB, 1.21 WHIP (Tony Cingrani, Corey Kluber, John Lackey)

Total: 17-15 (.531), 290.1 IP, 4.06 ERA, 6.5 K/9, 2.5 K/BB, 1.32 WHIP
League Averages: .496 win percentage, 4.07 ERA, 7.2 K/9, 2.6 K/BB, 1.30 WHIP

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In addition to Rotographs, Warne writes about the Minnesota Twins for The Athletic and is a sportswriter for Sportradar U.S. in downtown Minneapolis. Follow him on Twitter @Brandon_Warne, or feel free to email him to do podcasts or for any old reason at brandon.r.warne@gmail-dot-com

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Ruki Motomiya
Ruki Motomiya

Ownership figures are sub-20% only, right?

Using just Yahoo! ownership numbers, because I am too lazy to check the other sites…

I like Eric Stults this week: He should be @ the Giants on the 19th and @ the Phillies on the 24th. The Giants have batted slightly above average, but being in the cozy confines of AT&T will help, while the Phillies have a below average offense and will be playing in the also cozy confines of Petco. He won’t help the K/9, but he’ll bring down your WHIP, should post a solid ERA and has a decent chance to pick up a W vs. the Phils. He is owned in exactly 20% of Yahoo! leagues.

Tyler Lyons has shown a decent strikeout record in his admittedly brief time in the Minors, which should easy show when he faces the Marlins horrible offense tomorrow…the Rangers start is a bit iffy, but playing at home should help, as the Cardinals’ ballpark has traditionally supressed rightie HRs according to FanGraphs’ park factors (Why does that only go up to 2011?). He is owned in 17% of Yahoo! leagues.

Finally, John Danks is another 2-stream candidate this week, as he gets the Astros today and the Twins on the 20th, both bad offenses, while Danks has traditionally been a good-not-great guy who can just add in a slightly below average K/9 (Although, given he is facing the Astros and Twins, he could see a strikeout uptick in those games), a decently helpful ERA/WHIP and a good chance to earn at least one Win. He is only owned in 12% of leagues.

Those are my thoughts on three 2-start stream candidates for this week not in the article. Thanks for posting it! I am interested to see how Gee in particular does, as I don’t have much faith in him continuing to be great vs. the Braves and Straily @ the Rangers worries me.


Weekly leagues run Monday thru Sunday

Ruki Motomiya
Ruki Motomiya

I don’t know how I forgot that.

I’m really dumb.

*Goes to headdesk*