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2024 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds
These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.
Season:
2024
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ALWCSTigers-Astros
ALWCSRoyals-Orioles
NLWCSMets-Brewers
NLWCSBraves-Padres
ALDSRoyals-Yankees
ALDSTigers-Guardians
NLDSPadres-Dodgers
NLDSMets-Phillies
ALCSGuardians-Yankees
NLCSMets-Dodgers
WS
Guardians
46.4%
46.4%
Yankees
53.6%
53.6%
Game By Game Match Up Projections
| Game | Away Team | Home Team | Guardians Starter | Yankees Starter | Guardians Win Prob | Yankees Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guardians | Yankees | Alex Cobb | Carlos Rodón | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| 2 | Guardians | Yankees | Tanner Bibee | Gerrit Cole | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| 3 | Yankees | Guardians | Matthew Boyd | Clarke Schmidt | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| 4 | Yankees | Guardians | Gavin Williams | Luis Gil | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| 5 | Yankees | Guardians | Alex Cobb | Carlos Rodón | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 6 | Guardians | Yankees | Tanner Bibee | Gerrit Cole | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| 7 | Guardians | Yankees | Matthew Boyd | Clarke Schmidt | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Game | Away Team | Home Team | Guardians Starter | Yankees Starter | Guardians Win Prob | Yankees Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guardians | Yankees | Alex Cobb | Carlos Rodón | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| 2 | Guardians | Yankees | Tanner Bibee | Gerrit Cole | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| 3 | Yankees | Guardians | Matthew Boyd | Clarke Schmidt | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| 4 | Yankees | Guardians | Gavin Williams | Luis Gil | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| 5 | Yankees | Guardians | Alex Cobb | Carlos Rodón | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 6 | Guardians | Yankees | Tanner Bibee | Gerrit Cole | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| 7 | Guardians | Yankees | Matthew Boyd | Clarke Schmidt | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Series Outcome Projection
| Outcome | Prob |
|---|---|
| Yankees win in 4 Games | 6.5% |
| Yankees win in 5 Games | 13.2% |
| Yankees win in 6 Games | 17.5% |
| Yankees win in 7 Games | 16.4% |
| Yankees Total | 53.6% |
| Guardians win in 4 Games | 5.9% |
| Guardians win in 5 Games | 11.8% |
| Guardians win in 6 Games | 13.9% |
| Guardians win in 7 Games | 14.8% |
| Guardians Total | 46.4% |
| Outcome | Prob |
|---|---|
| Yankees win in 4 Games | 6.5% |
| Yankees win in 5 Games | 13.2% |
| Yankees win in 6 Games | 17.5% |
| Yankees win in 7 Games | 16.4% |
| Yankees Total | 53.6% |
| Guardians win in 4 Games | 5.9% |
| Guardians win in 5 Games | 11.8% |
| Guardians win in 6 Games | 13.9% |
| Guardians win in 7 Games | 14.8% |
| Guardians Total | 46.4% |
