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2024 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds

These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.

Season:
2024
202420232022202120202019

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ALWCSTigers-Astros
ALWCSRoyals-Orioles
NLWCSMets-Brewers
NLWCSBraves-Padres
ALDSRoyals-Yankees
ALDSTigers-Guardians
NLDSPadres-Dodgers
NLDSMets-Phillies
ALCS 
NLCS 
WS 
Royals
47.1%
Yankees
52.9%

Game By Game Match Up Projections

GameAway TeamHome TeamRoyals StarterYankees StarterRoyals Win ProbYankees Win Prob
1RoyalsYankeesMichael WachaGerrit Cole0.0%100.0%
2RoyalsYankeesCole RagansCarlos Rodón100.0%0.0%
3YankeesRoyalsSeth LugoClarke Schmidt49.7%50.3%
4YankeesRoyalsMichael WachaGerrit Cole44.6%55.4%
5RoyalsYankeesCole RagansCarlos Rodón49.9%50.1%
GameAway TeamHome TeamRoyals StarterYankees StarterRoyals Win ProbYankees Win Prob
1RoyalsYankeesMichael WachaGerrit Cole0.0%100.0%
2RoyalsYankeesCole RagansCarlos Rodón100.0%0.0%
3YankeesRoyalsSeth LugoClarke Schmidt49.7%50.3%
4YankeesRoyalsMichael WachaGerrit Cole44.6%55.4%
5RoyalsYankeesCole RagansCarlos Rodón49.9%50.1%

Series Outcome Projection

OutcomeProb
Yankees win in 3 Games0.0%
Yankees win in 4 Games27.9%
Yankees win in 5 Games25.0%
Yankees Total52.9%
Royals win in 3 Games0.0%
Royals win in 4 Games22.2%
Royals win in 5 Games24.9%
Royals Total47.1%
OutcomeProb
Yankees win in 3 Games0.0%
Yankees win in 4 Games27.9%
Yankees win in 5 Games25.0%
Yankees Total52.9%
Royals win in 3 Games0.0%
Royals win in 4 Games22.2%
Royals win in 5 Games24.9%
Royals Total47.1%