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2024 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds

These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.

Season:
2024
202420232022202120202019

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ALWCSTigers-Astros
ALWCSRoyals-Orioles
NLWCSMets-Brewers
NLWCSBraves-Padres
ALDSRoyals-Yankees
ALDSTigers-Guardians
NLDSPadres-Dodgers
NLDSMets-Phillies
ALCS 
NLCS 
WS 
Tigers
45.3%
Guardians
54.7%

Game By Game Match Up Projections

GameAway TeamHome TeamTigers StarterGuardians StarterTigers Win ProbGuardians Win Prob
1TigersGuardiansReese OlsonTanner Bibee0.0%100.0%
2TigersGuardiansTarik SkubalMatthew Boyd100.0%0.0%
3GuardiansTigersKeider MonteroAlex Cobb43.7%56.3%
4GuardiansTigersBullpen GameTanner Bibee45.7%54.3%
5TigersGuardiansTarik SkubalMatthew Boyd51.3%48.7%
GameAway TeamHome TeamTigers StarterGuardians StarterTigers Win ProbGuardians Win Prob
1TigersGuardiansReese OlsonTanner Bibee0.0%100.0%
2TigersGuardiansTarik SkubalMatthew Boyd100.0%0.0%
3GuardiansTigersKeider MonteroAlex Cobb43.7%56.3%
4GuardiansTigersBullpen GameTanner Bibee45.7%54.3%
5TigersGuardiansTarik SkubalMatthew Boyd51.3%48.7%

Series Outcome Projection

OutcomeProb
Guardians win in 3 Games0.0%
Guardians win in 4 Games30.6%
Guardians win in 5 Games24.1%
Guardians Total54.7%
Tigers win in 3 Games0.0%
Tigers win in 4 Games20.0%
Tigers win in 5 Games25.4%
Tigers Total45.3%
OutcomeProb
Guardians win in 3 Games0.0%
Guardians win in 4 Games30.6%
Guardians win in 5 Games24.1%
Guardians Total54.7%
Tigers win in 3 Games0.0%
Tigers win in 4 Games20.0%
Tigers win in 5 Games25.4%
Tigers Total45.3%