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2024 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds

These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.

Season:
2024
202420232022202120202019

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ALWCSTigers-Astros
ALWCSRoyals-Orioles
NLWCSMets-Brewers
NLWCSBraves-Padres
ALDSRoyals-Yankees
ALDSTigers-Guardians
NLDSPadres-Dodgers
NLDSMets-Phillies
ALCS 
NLCS 
WS 
Padres
68.8%
Dodgers
31.2%

Game By Game Match Up Projections

GameAway TeamHome TeamPadres StarterDodgers StarterPadres Win ProbDodgers Win Prob
1PadresDodgersDylan CeaseYoshinobu Yamamoto0.0%100.0%
2PadresDodgersYu DarvishJack Flaherty100.0%0.0%
3DodgersPadresMichael KingWalker Buehler100.0%0.0%
4DodgersPadresMartín PérezLandon Knack45.8%54.2%
5PadresDodgersDylan CeaseYoshinobu Yamamoto42.4%57.6%
GameAway TeamHome TeamPadres StarterDodgers StarterPadres Win ProbDodgers Win Prob
1PadresDodgersDylan CeaseYoshinobu Yamamoto0.0%100.0%
2PadresDodgersYu DarvishJack Flaherty100.0%0.0%
3DodgersPadresMichael KingWalker Buehler100.0%0.0%
4DodgersPadresMartín PérezLandon Knack45.8%54.2%
5PadresDodgersDylan CeaseYoshinobu Yamamoto42.4%57.6%

Series Outcome Projection

OutcomeProb
Dodgers win in 3 Games0.0%
Dodgers win in 4 Games0.0%
Dodgers win in 5 Games31.2%
Dodgers Total31.2%
Padres win in 3 Games0.0%
Padres win in 4 Games45.8%
Padres win in 5 Games23.0%
Padres Total68.8%
OutcomeProb
Dodgers win in 3 Games0.0%
Dodgers win in 4 Games0.0%
Dodgers win in 5 Games31.2%
Dodgers Total31.2%
Padres win in 3 Games0.0%
Padres win in 4 Games45.8%
Padres win in 5 Games23.0%
Padres Total68.8%