Our predictions (and yours)

Now that the Division Series are over—with each of the two NL series ending in dramatic fashion Friday—let’s review how the Hardball Times’ staff did and compare their picks to those of our readers contest entries.

Among our staff, Ben Pritchett—who was our winner for best predictions of which teams would make the playoffs—picked three of the Divsion Series winners correctly, as did Greg Simons. Nine people were right on two outcomes, eight picked only one correctly…and then there’s Steve Treder. Poor Steve whiffed on all four series, but he can take comfort in the fact that his favorite team won the World Series last year.

Three of us have both our World Series entrants alive, 12 have one of them, and five are shut out from here on out. And exactly half of the 20 voters have their predicted World Series champion still in contention.

How does this stack up against our readers’ picks? Well, three of you picked three Division Series out of four: Matthew Warden (Texas, Milwaukee and St. Louis), Trip Von Minden (Detroit, Texas, Milwaukee) and Eugene Douglas (Detroit, Texas, Milwaukee). One of them will win a 2012 Hardball Times Annual. Next tiebreaker: The League Championship Series.


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Jeffrey Gross
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Jeffrey Gross

Just shoot me now. I’m awful at predicting games/series. Don’t gamble on my recommendations!

gdc
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gdc

How many readers submitted picks?
2/20 staff have 3/4; 3/? readers do.  If totally random 1/16 should get all 4, but 0 of (20+?) did.

Derek Ambrosino
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Derek Ambrosino
GDC, But, it’s not totally random, right? I mean totally randomly 1/2 would have picked the Seahawks to beat the Giants yesterday, but there was any wisdom in the totally random, the point spread wouldn’t have been 10 points. I assume a lot of the sharps cashed a Seahawks ticket yesterday, but even among those who won their bets, I doubt 10% of them would have bet the money line. Sorry, don’t mean to bring this to football and gambling, but I think it’s a good way to illustrate the point. What this does highlight, yet again, is the black… Read more »
Greg Simons
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Greg Simons

Correction: Mat Kovach also picked three out of four Division Series correctly, missing on the Rays.  The final recap will reflect his brilliance.

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