Papi getting pop-y

Since hitting his second home run of the season on June 6, David Ortiz is hitting .333/.447/.769 with 5 home runs and 9 RBI in 47 plate appearances. I think he might be back.


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Adam
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Adam

Those “eye drops” sure are working.  Any idea who will DH for the Sox when he’s out for 50 games?

Troy Patterson
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Troy Patterson

I’m still worried with the K% holding at 27%.  Since June 6 he has had a K% of 25.6%.

I still say the bat speed is down, but not as bad as the first two months of the season.  His hittrackeronline.com data is not pretty either.  3 lucky homers and 3 just enough homers. (2 of the Just Enoughs are Lucky)

I am not sold he is back yet.

Steve
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Steve

I’m not entirely sold that he is back either.  I think any mental aspect of his slump can be taken out of the picture with his recent surge. 

Even a blind squirrel finds a nut though.  The physical skills are still shaky.

Slugger O'Toole
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Slugger O'Toole
Troy- You’re right that the K rate is still cause for alarm, but I question the idea that bat speed is the main culprit. Papi has looked just awful on breaking balls this season swinging at a lot of pitches in the dirt with 2 strikes. That could be due to pressing because he is struggling or, it could be because he is starting his swing earlier due to a loss of bat speed. I tend to believe it has been more of the former, because he does not seem to less of a pull hitter on his line drives… Read more »
Troy Patterson
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Troy Patterson

This study was run on an interesting date (June 5, right before this run), but the study is still something to look at. http://actasports.com/sow.php?id=213

There is no control group, but Ortiz has lost about 30 feet on his balls hit in the air since 2007.  Has it gone up since June 5?  I don’t know, but I would like to see his bat speed over the years.

Slugger O'Toole
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Slugger O'Toole

I was referring to a video based study of his mechanics, not to batted ball data, but thanks anyway. It does seem that Papi is hitting flyballs shorter than he used to but that doesn’t prove that he has lost bat speed. Such things are easier to show in frame-by-frame analysis. Stats only show a result attributable to that cause or possibly others, not the cause in this particular case.

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