THT Forecasts – 2012 Oliver projected-WAR starting lineup

Using the 2012 Oliver database, here is the top-projected-WAR starting lineup:

Pos Player       2012 Projected WAR
P   Yu Darvish          7.0 (Wow!)
C   Joe Mauer           3.5
1B  Albert Pujols       5.5
2B  Robinson Cano       4.5
3B  Evan Longoria       4.6
SS  Troy Tulowitzki     5.6
LF  Ryan Braun*         4.6
CF  Matt Kemp           4.9
RFl Jose Bautista       3.9
                       -----
                       44.1

* – If Braun indeed suspended for 50 games, will then substitute in Matt Holiday, 4.2 projected WAR.

Think you could construct a lineup with other players that will out-WAR the above lineup in 2012? Perhaps worth an investigation after the season!

THT Forecasts is available for the 2012 season, with Brian Cartwright’s Oliver database providing over 9000 projections for major and minor leaguers. Visit Forecasts today to learn more and sign up for only $14.95!


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elwin
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elwin

Who is the substitute for Yu Darvish? A 7.0 WAR projection seems like a problem with translating stats from Japan.

Greg Tamer
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Greg Tamer

Darvish’s substitute would be Justin Verlander, 6.7 WAR.

Brad Johnson
Guest
Brad Johnson

I’ll take a stab at this – with no repeats to boot

Roy Halladay
Miguel Cabrera
Ian Kinsler
Pablo Sandoval
Jose Reyes
Matt Holliday
Jacoby Ellsbury
Mike Stanton

I’d really prefer to use Tulo to Reyes, but I did say no repeats…I’m also tempted to use Granderson over Ellsbury.

It’s worth mentioning that Oliver has it’s own calculation of WAR that differs subtly from fWAR and bWar.

Darren
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Darren

I noticed that Oliver projections have no players with negative Fielding Runs. Is this skewing the WAR figures?

aladou
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aladou

Brad – catcher?

Brad Johnson
Guest
Brad Johnson

Ha, good catch. I was debating the merits of Santana vs Napoli. A debate I will continue to have until well into the season. Let’s say Santana.

rbt
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rbt

Yeah, I’d take that Darvish projection with a huge grain of salt.  I have a hard time accepting that for a player who has yet to throw a pitch in this country, no matter how good he was in Japan.

Chitownron
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Chitownron

Greg who would the DH be?

Greg Tamer
Guest
Greg Tamer

DH would be Adrian Gonzalez, 5.2 WAR. 

Also, I overlooked Mike Stanton, since for some weird reason he is classified as “OF” instead of “RF”.  He also has a 5.2-WAR projection and should be in the starting lineup instead of Bautista.

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