Bullpen Report: Friday, September 4, 2015

According to Chelsea Janes, Drew Storen is rocking a strong 6.11 ERA in the eighth inning of games this year. He gave up a run to the Braves in the eighth inning on Friday, allowing them to tie the game at two. Storen has a 6.32 ERA since the acquisition of Jonathan Papelbon pushed him from the closer role to set-up duties. His 25.4% K%-BB% is still strong, better than his 24.3% that preceded the trade. The 85.1% LOB% differs quite a bit from his 37.0% since he was bumped. His velo isn’t off from earlier in the season. His 3.40 FIP since the transaction is well off from the 1.99 he sported as the closer. He’s obviously not going to be the closer down the stretch for the Nats, barring an injury to Papelbon of course, but I still think he’s someone who could help you with holds and strikeouts in the final month of the season. The Braves lost their 17th of 18 and is their closer really relevant at this point? After Fredi Gonzalez exploded on Thursday afternoon and said that any of his pitchers who were feeling fatigue should “just suck it up”, Arodys Vizcaino had his first outing of the year of more than an inning. He threw 28 pitches, recorded five outs, but also surrendered three hits, a walk and the tying run. Papelbon got the win after twirling two scoreless innings(after being brought in in the ninth down a run!) and Michael Taylor hit a three-run shot off of Brandon Cunniff in the bottom of ten. Vizcaino is still the Braves closer, and if they ever lead a game again, he’d get to protect it.

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Quick Looks: Anderson and Jungmann

After three months, my kids are back to school and I finally have some additional time to restart my Quick Looks column. Today, I am going to start with a couple pitchers I saw at a while back but didn’t have time to type up. Hopefully each week, I will get a look at three to five pitchers and give you my take.

I will continue to implement player grading on the scouting scales of 20-80. I will use Kiley McDaniels scale he discussed in this article.

Grade Hitter Starting Pitcher Relief Pitcher WAR
80 Top 1-2 #1 Starter —- 7
75 Top 2-3 #1 —- 6
70 Top 5 #1/2 —- 5
65 All-Star #2/3 —- 4
60 Plus #3 High Closer 3
55 Above Avg #3/4 Mid Closer 2.5
50 Avg Regular #4 Low CL/High SU 2
45 Platoon/Util #5 Low Setup 1.5
40 Bench Swing/Spot SP Middle RP 1
35 Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up 0
30 *Organizational *Organizational *Organizational -1

I will give a value for where I think the pitcher could currently fit in on the average team (CV=current value) and where they could end up (FV=future value). I am sure I will disagree with some grades from others, but I am only looking at one game.

Note: If I say a pitch moves 11-5, it is from the pitcher’s perspective.

 

Taylor Jungmann (CV: 50/FV: 55)
7/19/15 vs Pirates

Game Thoughts
• The 25-year-old righty really liked to pitch downhill keeping the ball low in the zone. Additionally, is fastball has some natural sink at times, so he should get a decent number of groundballs (46% on the season).
• His fastball was possibly two different pitches and Pitchf/x had problems labeling them. When the fastball was in the 93-95 mph range, it really straightened out and had little sink. When he kept it around 91 mph, it would get a nice amount of sink.
• His curveball was 75-76 and was a nice pitch. He used it as a swing-and-miss pitch and also for called strikes if needed.
• His change was between 84-86 mph with some release-side run. In this start, it was not consistent at all. Sometimes it broke, other times not. It seemed to improve a bit as the game went on.
• He would really pound the bottom of the zone and if he gets an ump with a higher zone, he may have walk issues.
• He could have some bad games were he gets BABIP to death with the ground balls.

Final thoughts: None of his pitches stood out as plus, but the combination really worked good together. It would be nice to see his walk rate drop a bit more. I see him being a 4th to 5th starter in 12-team leagues next year

 

Cody Anderson (CV: 40/FV: 40)
7/4/15 vs Pirates

Game Thoughts
• The 24-year-old righty had a nice start to the season, but as regressed quite a bit since then.
• His fastball was at 92-95 mph and can get some nice sink at the lower velocities.
• He had an 86-90 mph cutter/slider with some sinker/downward action. If that description sounds confusion is because the pitch was all over the place.
• His 83-85 mph change was straight as an arrow.
• He threw a curve at 81 mph with 12-6 break.
• None of the pitches had any swing and miss. His results are going to be determined by the quality of sacrifices he makes to the BABIP gods.
• He throws from a 3/4 release point and keeps the ball down. He lives on the edge of the strike zone with the change being the only pitch he throws into the heart of the zone.

Final thoughts: There is nothing here to be excited about. He is nothing more than a long reliever who will get a spot start now and then. There is no reason to own him. He needs to get his strikeouts in the 6 K/9 for me to be interested


Bargain Hunting For Speed and Power

I tossed out some hitters who could help a few weeks ago. Now I have some more, this time focusing on two specific needs: home runs and steals. All players are 50 percent owned or less in both Yahoo! and ESPN, with several under 10 percent for deep leagues.

Home runs

Brandon Moss ( Yahoo! 50 percent, ESPN 40 percent) - Moss is playing a lot and finally playing well for the Cardinals. He appears to be fully beyond those dark days of July, when a .204 BABIP helped him produce a 44 wRC+. ZiPS and Steamer both call for an average around .240 with five home runs the rest of the way. Moss is certainly capable of doing more in a month (he hit nine homers last May), so there’s upside too.

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The Daily Grind: Seager, Severino, Lamb, Moore

Agenda

  1. Seager Restraint
  2. Daily DFS
  3. GB / FB Splits
  4. SaberSim Hi/Lo
  5. Tomorrow’s Targets – Lamb, Moore, Baez, Kelby
  6. Factor Grid

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RotoGraphs Audio: Field of Streams 9/04/2015

Episode 106 – The Guyest Guy

The latest episode of “Field of Streams” is live!

In this episode, Dylan Higgins and Matthew Dewoskin discuss recording from an airport, reviewing positive comments from the new iTunes page, Matt still not getting Keyvius Sampson’s name right, the Cardinals somehow stranding just about every baserunner they allow, David Freese having the opportunity to terrorize the Rangers again, Edgar Olmos receiving an obligatory nickname, the return of Preston Tucker, John Lamb having his ESPN player profile photo scouted, and previewing Dylan’s trip to Alaska.

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Play

A Minor Review of 2015: Atlanta Braves

Welcome to the annual series: ‘A Minor (League) Review of 2015.” This series is a great way to receive a quick recap of the ’15 minor league season for your favorite club(s), while also receiving a brief look toward the 2016 season and beyond. It can also be a handy feature for fantasy baseball players in keeper and Dynasty leagues.

Previous Reviews:
Baltimore Orioles

A Minor Review of 2015: Braves

The Graduate: Mike Foltynewicz, RHP: Acquired from the Astros in the Evan Gattis deal, Foltynewicz has a chance to be a real steal for the Braves. The right-hander was probably in the Majors before he was ready and he struggled mightily with his command. However, his overpowering fastball gives him a chance to survive even without his best stuff — most specifically command and control. He has a strong frame that should allow him to provide 200+ innings and could be an excellent No. 3 starter for Atlanta. Some see him as the future closer for the Braves but I remain hopeful that he’ll stick in the starting rotation once he solves his command issues and keeps the ball in the park more consistently.

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Roto Riteup: September 4, 2015

Seventeen years ago today a little company named Google got started. It’s still a bit of a niche company, so I wouldn’t blame you if haven’t heard of it just yet.

On today’s agenda:
1. Corey Seager got called up
2. Domingo Santana‘s power
3. Streaming Pitching Options
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Bullpen Report: September 3, 2015

Just a handful of games on this Thursday slate, so here’s just a couple of bullpen notes to get you up to speed:

A three-run seventh put the White Sox up two on the Twinkies and in need of closer David Robertson’s services in the final frame. Robertson dished a clean frame, retiring the top of the Twins’ lineup in order on 14 pitches (10 strikes) — including a strikeout of Eduardo Escobar — to secure the victory and his 28th save on the year. On the season, the right-hander is now 28-of-34 in save chances with a 2.55 ERA (2.08 FIP) and a 12.23 K/9 in 53 innings on the hill. Nate Jones fanned three and notched his fourth hold of the season in the same contest.
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The Sleeper and the Bust 9/3/2015 – Innings Limits

Episode 273

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Paul Sporer and Eno Sarris talk Corey Seager, Ryan Zimmerman, Michael Conforto, Didi Gregorius, and Jay Bruce. The main topic centers around IP limits for young starters and we find out how Eno is handling: Noah Syndergaard, Raisel Iglesias, Carlos Martinez, Lance McCullers, Taijuan Walker, Joe Ross, and Luis Severino

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Play

MASH Report (9/3/15)

• September 1st is such a mess with all the transactions. A bunch of semi-hurt players came off the DL. Also, several minor league DL players moved to the MLB 60-day DL to increase roster spots. With no real reason to put players on the DL with the expanded rosters, I will try to keep track of those players in another table after the official DL players. I hope I got everything, but let me know if I missed anything.

Mark Teixeira’s bone bruise is going to keep him out at least two weeks. Historically, hitters take a little longer to return, but the time frame is close.

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