Diekroeger dealing. Photo courtesy Stanford Athletics.
In 2009, Menlo High School shortstop Kenny Diekroeger was drafted by the Tampa Bay Rays in the second round and was reportedly offered just over a million dollars to join the organization. He chose Stanford and stayed close to his Northern California roots. Most players, when faced with a similar choice, follow suit. Diekroeger has no regrets. And he thinks this season has been just fine, too. Talk to the shortstop for even a few minutes, and you'll realize he's got an even-keeled outlook. "Maybe it's too bad that I didn't get to see a different part of the country," he admits, but we agreed he has a lot of life left to live, and it's nice to do laundry at home, even if "that doesn't actually happen as often you might think." This Burlingame, Woodside and Menlo Park raised local felt that "it's hard to turn down Stanford," and "this place is so nice" and that he's really enjoyed his time on the farm. Read the rest of this entry »One of my closest friends is a St. Louis native, and after the tumult of contract misadventures this past off season, he asked me how I thought the Cardinals might fare in 2012. My comment was that they'd win more games in 2012 than they did in 2011 — bank on it. But most of that was wrapped up in the notion that they'd get Adam Wainwright back to form, Lance Berkman would be relatively healthy and better suited defensively at first base and Carlos Beltran would produce somewhere around four wins. Some prognosticator I am. Thank goodness for Carlos Beltran — right, St. Louis? After just 33 games, Beltran has already posted 2.2 wins above replacement, and although he has played decent on defense, his WAR total is almost entirely accounted for with his bat. His slash line stands at .298/.406/.653 with 13 home runs and 32 RBI. He is among the league leaders in WAR, and is just 0.1 WAR behind Matt Kemp. And what's particularly notable about the current WAR leaders is the potential for regression: Read the rest of this entry »#30 - #21At the beginning of March, we released the results of our television broadcaster rankings -- itself the product of reader crowdsourcing that had started in late November. Since then, FanGraphs has asked readers to rate the radio broadcast teams (on a scale of 1-5 for charisma, analysis, and then overall) for all 30 major-league clubs -- with the intention, ultimately, of determining which broadcasts might best reflect the sorts of inquiry and analysis performed here at the site. Below are the 20th- through 11th-ranked radio broadcast teams, per the FanGraphs readership. But first, three notes: • Teams are ranked in ascending order of Overall rating. Overall ratings are not merely averages of Charisma and Analysis. • I've attempted to choose reader comments that are either (a) illustrative of the team's place in the rankings or (b) conspicuously amusing. • A complete table of ratings and ballots cast will appear in these pages Friday. 20. Kansas City RoyalsBroadcasters: Denny Matthews and Bob Davis Ratings (Charisma/Analysis/Overall): 3.2, 3.1, 3.4 Three Reader Comments• "Why shold I try to describe Denny Matthews, when I can let Bill James do it for me? 'His voice has a pleasant timbre which suggests a cheerful occasion. His inflection varies naturally so it's neither falsely enthusiastic nor boring. He has a dry, understated humor that drifts through much of his audience undetected. One cannot learn these things at a microphone; they are given.'" • "Listened to them when taking a break from the Jays broadcast... They were a little dull, but I assume an 11-game losing streak will do that." • "Matthews sounds like a gruffer Sean Connery without the Scottish accent." NotesBoth the television and radio teams for the Royals were restructured over the offseason*, and the result seems to be that Matthews, Steve Physioc, and Ryan Lefebvre will receive the majority of time on radio. Among respondents, there appears to be above-average enthusiasm for Matthews. Finding a suitable partner for him seems to've been the problem. *Credit to reader Brian for the alert.Read the rest of this entry » ...because you come here for the super clever post titles. No one has ever played off of the Melk/milk thing before, right? Melky Cabrera is at it again. After a disastrous 2010 season in Atlanta, the Melk-Man (BOOM! It's like MILK-Man, get it?) bounced back for a career year with the Royals in 2011. He was a good bet to regress, right? The Royals, who had Lorenzo Cain on deck, traded Cabrera to the Giants for much-needed pitching help in the form of one Jonathan Sanchez. So, how's that going? It actually seemed like a fair need-for-need trade at the time, but while Sanchez has crashed, burned, and gotten hurt in Kansas City, Cabrera has been on fire in San Francisco. He's been so good so far this season, that the team is reportedly already considering an in-season extension. Is Cabrera a different player than he used to be? How much would a reasonable extension be? Read the rest of this entry »Coming into the 2011 season, Domonic Brown ranked as the fourth-best prospect in all of baseball according to Baseball America. The Philadelphia Phillies had just watched right fielder Jayson Werth depart for greener pastures in Washington and felt confident that Brown was the long-term answer at the position. A little more than a year later, we're all left wondering what went wrong. At age 23, Brown got his second extended look in the big leagues starting in May of 2011. Though some skill at the plate was evident, he ultimately underwhelmed with a .322 wOBA in 210 plate appearances. The league-average wOBA in right field was .334 in 2011, and the struggles on defense could not justify allowing him to work through his growing pains at the big league level -- at least, not for a team with legitimate World Series aspirations. Philadelphia sent Brown back down to Triple-A in August. The only other big league action he saw last season was a brief call-up in late September once rosters expanded and the Triple-A season had already been completed. Read the rest of this entry »Brock Bond, 2B, San Francisco Giants Current Level: AAA 2012 Top 15 Prospects Ranking: NRCurrent Value: Limited Who? Bond has been kicking around the minor leagues since being selected by the Giants out of a Missouri high school in the 24th round of the 2007 draft. A pure hitter, he hit well over .300 during his three seasons in A-ball and double-A. He was then a triple-A all-star in 2010 before missing almost the entire year in '11 due to injury. Healthy once again, Bond is hitting .385 with 10 walks and just nine strikeouts in 24 games. He's always controlled the strike zone exceptionally well but has little-to-no power and doesn't run much. As such, his offensive profile is limited because his value is tied solely to his ability to hit for average. He's also an average fielder and has seen some time at second base, third base and left field. Bond, 26, could make an excellent 25th man - a switch-hitting pinch hitter and occasional infield back-up - for a National League club. As we've seen with the early 2012 success of pinch hitters like Chad Tracy and Mike Baxter, these players can be quite valuable. Read the rest of this entry » Table of ContentsHere's the table of contents for today's edition of Daily Notes. 1. Featured Game: Oakland at Texas, 20:05 ET2. Other Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)3. Today's Complete ScheduleFeatured Game: Oakland at Texas, 20:05 ETWith Regard to Japanese Sensation Yu DarvishWith regard to Japanese sensation Yu Darvish, who starts tonight for Texas, here's his line so far this season: 44.1 IP, 25.9% K, 12.2% BB, 47.0% GB, 3.64 SIERA, 88 xFIP-, 0.9 WAR. Read the rest of this entry » Jonathan Papelbon has been sharp in his debut season with the Phillies thus far. He has allowed just four runs in his first 15 innings of work (2.40 ERA) and continues to blow away hitters, notching 18 strikeouts already. He was unavailable Monday afternoon, though -- after throwing the past three nights consecutively, including with a four-run lead in Sunday's game (+0.01 WPA), Papelbon was unavailable. It was Chad Qualls's ninth inning, then, when the Phillies took a 3-1 lead into the ninth against the Astros. Qualls wouldn't finish the ninth, as the Astros tied the game behind four hits and nearly took the lead, stranding runners on second and third thanks to Jake Diekman's first career strikeout. Hunter Pence picked up Qualls with a walk-off home run in the 10th inning, but with Papelbon making $50 million over the next four years, it's easy to question Charlie Manuel when he sits in the bullpen as a journeyman reliever blows a save. Is what we saw Monday a theme for the season? Read the rest of this entry » During the 2011 postseason, I wrote about Brandon Inge and the unusual circumstances of his season with the Detroit Tigers. In post entitled Brandon Inge's Rare Feat, I explained that: Based on my research, Inge appears to be the only player in the past 10 years with more than five years of major-league service who was designated for assignment, then was recalled by the major-league team that sent him down and then went on to play a significant role [for that team] in the postseason. The Tigers had designated Inge for assignment last July after he batted .144/.202/.196 in 239 plate appearances. He reported to the Tigers' Triple-A affiliate in Toledo, and hit his way back to Detroit in August. Upon his return, he batted .262/.315/.436 in 54 plate appearances and earned a spot on the Tigers' postseason roster. He contributed a .429/.500/.571 line to the Tigers' winning effort over the Yankees in the League Division Series and a .267/.389/.467 line in the Tigers' loss to the Rangers in League Championship Series. Heading into the 2012 season, Inge expected to play third base for the Tigers in the final year of his 2-year/$11 million contract. But Victor Martinez blew out his knee and was lost for the season, leading the the Tigers to sign Prince Fielder and move Miguel Cabrera to third base. The Tigers moved Inge to second base, where he split time with Ryan Raburn and Ramon Santiago. In twenty plate appearances, Inge hit .100/.100/.300. The Tigers released him on April 26. Four days later, the Oakland A's -- desperate for just a replacement-level third baseman -- signed Inge. In eleven games, Inge is producing for Oakland like he did for Detroit last postseason. In 50 plate appearances, Inge is hitting .227/.300/.545 with five walks, two doubles and four home runs. Two of Inge's homers have been grand slams, including this walk-off slam against the Toronto Blue Jays last week: He's also made some nifty defensive plays for the Green-and-Gold, including this catch of Omar Vizquel's bunt attempt in the same game as the walk-off grannie. Whether Inge will continue to produce for the A's remains to be seen. Fifty plate appearances is a tiny sample size and runs counter to Inge's career numbers: .234/.304/.389, .301 wOBA and 81 RC+. Even so, Inge has already accomplished something few other major leaguers have: getting released from one team mid-season, signing with a new team that season, and making an immediate impact for the new team. To be sure, there are dozens of players who've redeemed their careers in the the seasons following an outright release. Among pitchers who've recently turned their careers around after getting released there's Brandon McCarthy, Ryan Vogelsong, Kevin Millwood, Clay Hensley, and Tim Byrdak. Among position players, there's Casey Kotchman, Melky Cabrera, and Jeff Francoeur. But few players turn their season around with a new team following a release. Bobby Abreu's been given a second chance with the Dodgers this season, after the Angels released him on April 26. After batting .208/.259/.303 in 27 plate appearances with Anaheim, Abreu's posted a .296/.345/.444 line in 29 plate appearances for the boys in blue. Livan Hernandez has been useful out of the bullpen for the Braves this season, after getting released by the Astros at the end of spring training. In 22 1/3 innings, Hernandez has a 2.17 K/BB ratio and is stranding 81 percent of the runners on base. Last season, the Rays released Cory Wade from their Triple-A affiliate in June only to see him become a steady reliever out of the Yankees bullpen. The Rangers faced Arthur Rhodes in the World Series after they released him August and he signed on with the Cardinals. Pat Burrell turned his career around with the Giants in 2010, after the Rays released him in the second year of a 2-year/$16 million contract. At the time he left Tampa, Burrell was batting .202/.292/.333 with two home runs in 96 plate appearances. In San Francisco, Burrell batted .266/.364/.539 with eighteen home runs in 341 plate appearances and was a key component of the Giants' first World Series Championship since the team moved to San Francisco in 1958. Unlike Burrell and Abreu, there's nothing in Inge's career numbers to suggest he can sustain this offensive production for the A's over the rest of the season. But Inge has proved us wrong before. And he may just do it again. At the beginning of March, we released the results of our television broadcaster rankings -- itself the product of reader crowdsourcing that had started in late November. Since then, FanGraphs has asked readers to rate the radio broadcast teams (on a scale of 1-5 for charisma, analysis, and then overall) for all 30 major-league clubs -- with the intention, ultimately, of determining which broadcasts might best reflect the sorts of inquiry and analysis performed here at the site. Below are the 30th- through 21st-ranked radio broadcast teams, per the FanGraphs readership. But first, three notes: • Teams are ranked in ascending order of Overall rating. Overall ratings are not merely averages of Charisma and Analysis. • I've attempted to choose reader comments that are either (a) illustrative of the team's place in the rankings or (b) conspicuously amusing. • A complete table of ratings and ballots cast will appear in these pages Friday. 30. New York YankeesBroadcasters: John Sterling and Suzyn Waldman Ratings (Charisma/Analysis/Overall): 2.3, 2.0, 2.1 Three Reader Comments• "What can I say about John Sterling that hasn't already been said about any of history's greatest monsters?" • "Ask John Sterling if you can predict baseball." • "My mother would never let us say anything bad about Suzyn Waldman because she is a cancer survivor. That said, her most memorable contribution to the broadcast, in my memory, was when she declared that she was going to challenge Kyle Farnsworth to a cookie baking contest. The results were not reported to my knowledge." NotesWhen there's praise among reader, it's generally for what I'd guess you'd call the "timbre" of Sterling's voice and for Waldman's clubhouse reports. Such comments, however, are greatly outnumbered by criticisms -- largely concerning Sterling's belabored trademark calls and poor eyesight and the pitch of Waldman's own voice. Read the rest of this entry »On March 5th, Christian Friedrich was inducted into the annual Best Shape Of His Life club thanks to this MLB.com article from Thomas Harding: Even worse, he had bulked up to 240 pounds by the latter part of the season, partly because of his off-base workouts and partly because he had fallen into the habit of late-night meals.
But this winter, Friedrich spent a week and a half training with Phillies standout Cliff Lee. Friedrich, who said he was floored by Lee's physical conditioning, dropped to 205 pounds, and he hopes to be in that vicinity during the season. A 35 pound weight loss is certainly a drastic change, but as has been often chronicled, many of these off-season workout stories turn out to have little to no impact on a player's performance on the field. In fact, so many players are noted to report to camp in the "Best Shape Of Their Life", the story has become something of a running joke. However, getting in better physical condition can occasionally lead to significant changes, and it's looking like Friedrich might just be an example of why these stories keep getting written. Read the rest of this entry »Justin Grimm, RHP, Texas Rangers Current Level: AA 2012 Top 15 Prospects Ranking: NRCurrent Value: On the Rise A former top prep pitcher, Grimm's inconsistency in college slid him down the 2010 draft's depth chart and he landed in Texas' lap in the fifth round. The right-hander has been on cruise control since turning pro and reached double-A in just his second season (He signed too late to play in '10). Grimm has shown above-average control and has walked just eight batters in 45.1 innings this season. He does a nice job of commanding the ball down in the zone and he has produced solid ground-ball rates. The 23-year-old prospect is not far from being MLB-ready and he could eventually settle in as a No. 3 starter. With some other higher ceiling arms in the system Grimm could eventually be trade fodder. Read the rest of this entry » Our game logs have been updated to include all the stats sections available on FanGraphs! Here's the full rundown of the new features: - Includes the majority of our stats sections including the Dashboard, Standard, Advanced, Batted Ball, More Batted Ball, Win Probability, Pitch Type, Pitch Value, Plate Discipline and all PITCHf/x sections. - Date filtering allows you to select the exact time range of a player's career (dating back to 1974) that you want to see, even spanning multiple seasons. - Minor League game logs are available for all players dating back to 2006. Table of ContentsHere's the table of contents for today's edition of Daily Notes. 1. Featured Game: Milwaukee at New York NL, 19:10 ET2. Other Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)3. Largely Superfluous Video: Stephen Strasburg's Last Start4. Today's Complete ScheduleFeatured Game: Milwaukee at New York NL, 19:10 ETOn What the Reader Might Be WonderingThe reader might be wondering why a contest involving Dillon Gee is this evening's featured game -- in particular, that is, because Cliff Lee and CC Sabathia and Stephen Strasburg are all pitching in other, not featured games. On What the Author Is RespondingThe author is responding, first of all, that Gee opposes Brewers right-hander Zack Greinke, who has been excellent this season (43.0 IP, 67 xFIP-, 1.7 WAR). On What the Author Is Also RespondingThe author is also responding that Gee himself has been quite good. Consider, if you have a moment, staring deep into his season line to date: 37.2 IP, 20.0% K, 4.9% BB, 52.2% GB, 3.15 SIERA, 83 xFIP-, 0.6 WAR. Of Particular Note Regarding Dillon GeeOf particular note regarding Dillon Gee is that he's currently 11th (among 116 qualified starters) with an 11.0% swinging-strike rate -- and, on a likely related note, is first in opponent O-Swing%, at 36.8%. Read the rest of this entry » Danny Duffy is headed for surgery. After an MRI revealed a torn ulnar collateral ligament in Duffy's left elbow, it looks like Tommy John surgery will sideline the left-hander until next season. A former top prospect in the Kansas City Royals' farm system, Duffy reached the majors last season. And even though he struggled initially, the 23-year-old seemed to be making progress this year. And now that he's out for the season, the Royals' rise to prominence may be put on hold even longer. Read the rest of this entry » UZR is catching up to Adam Jones, or maybe it‘s the other way around. Either way, the Orioles centerfielder is finally receiving some love from defensive metrics -- his league-leading 5.9 UZR is by far the best of his career. He already had a Gold Glove, as well as both appreciation and skepticism for the numbers that assess his play. The 26-year-old Jones discussed his defensive game -- and those numbers -- during a recent visit to Fenway Park. ------ Jones on defense and data: “Defense adds to your overall value. Teams look at what you bring to the table both offensively and defensively. In this division, along with myself you have [Jacoby] Ellsbury -- who is on the shelf right now and I wish him a speedy recovery -- [Curtis] Granderson and [B.J.] Upton. You also have [Colby] Rasmus. I can’t forget my man Rasmus. I think we’re all plus defenders. We’re also plus offensive players, which is why most of us are hitting in the middle of the lineup for our teams. We bring both to the table. “There are stats now like defensive UZR, and all that, but they don’t show the placement of the player. Everything nowadays is so statistical. Like wOBA. We have a wOBA this year --weighted on-base average. It’s pretty cool to look at that, even though we joke about it. There are so many statistical-analysis ways to look at the game now that it’s crazy.” On Gold Glove voting: “Gold Glove winners usually deserve a Gold Glove. Read the rest of this entry »Part One: Idle ThoughtsIt has recently been discovered by, like, top-top literary critics that, when T.S. Eliot writes -- in his long poem "The Waste Land" -- when Eliot writes that "April is the cruellest month," he's referring not to the tumult and angst of spring that is also the tumult and angst of the human condition, but to an entirely different phenomenon altogether. In fact, the thing to which Eliot is actually referring is the inordinate power and influence of April numbers over the minds of even those of us who attempt to actively avoid such biases. The reader is surely able to remember examples from past seasons when a hitter or pitcher's hot start led to an almost season-long narrative that portrayed said player in an unduly flattering light -- or, conversely, those other situations in which a player, after a very poor start, slowly hit his way back to respectability without much in the way fanfare. The pull of these April narratives is strong. It was not, for example, until I saw the above tweet from managing editor Dave Cameron regarding Carlos Beltran and Matt Kemp that I seriously entertained the notion that the former (i.e. Beltran) had approached the latter (i.e. Kemp) in terms of production on the young season. Read the rest of this entry » |