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2013 Articles
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Bullpen Report: June 19, 2013
American League Outfield Stock Watch
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A GIF and a Tune: Chris Davis and Lionel Richie
Juan Perez Knows Himself
Community Research
Breaking Down the Swing: Best Hitters of 2012
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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FANS
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ZiPS
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Oliver
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Final
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Final
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Final
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Final
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Team Batting Stats
2013
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2013
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...
AL East
Red Sox
44
30
----
Orioles
42
31
1.5
Yankees
39
32
3.5
Rays
37
35
6.0
Blue Jays
35
36
7.5
AL Central
Tigers
39
31
----
Indians
36
35
3.5
Royals
34
36
5.0
Twins
32
36
6.0
White Sox
29
40
9.5
AL West
Athletics
43
31
----
Rangers
40
32
2.0
Angels
32
40
10.0
Mariners
32
41
10.5
Astros
27
46
15.5
NL East
Braves
43
30
----
Nationals
35
36
7.0
Phillies
35
38
8.0
Mets
27
41
13.5
Marlins
22
49
20.0
NL Central
Cardinals
46
26
----
Reds
44
29
2.5
Pirates
42
30
4.0
Cubs
29
41
16.0
Brewers
29
41
16.0
NL West
D-backs
39
33
----
Giants
37
34
1.5
Rockies
37
36
2.5
Padres
36
36
3.0
Dodgers
30
40
8.0
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Jose Altuve
Birthdate:
5/6/1990
Bats/Throws:
R/R
Height/Weight:
5-5/170
Position:
2B
Contract:
Add New Contract
6/19/2013:
Altuve went 3-for-4 with a run scored and a trio of stolen bases Wednesday against the Brewers.
4/29/2013
-
The Astros Are Trying To Make Lemonade
by
Paul Swydan (FanGraphs)
14
2/18/2013
-
Astros Infield: Depth Chart Discussions
by
Mike Petriello (RotoGraphs)
10
1/8/2013
-
Andrelton Simmons: The New Jose Altuve?
by
Eno Sarris (RotoGraphs)
17
10/26/2012
-
Jose Altuve: Good Things Come in Small Packages
by
Colin Zarzycki (RotoGraphs)
5
10/4/2012
-
10 Bold Predictions: A Review
by
Mike Podhorzer (RotoGraphs)
19
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
PA
HR
R
RBI
SB
BB%
K%
ISO
BABIP
AVG
OBP
SLG
wOBA
wRC+
Fld
BsR
WAR
2008
Astros (R)
40
152
2
26
21
8
5.3 %
17.1 %
.149
.333
.284
.320
.433
.338
105
2009
Astros (R)
45
208
3
45
18
21
12.5 %
7.7 %
.184
.342
.324
.408
.508
.413
154
2009
Astros (A-)
21
87
0
13
7
7
9.2 %
11.5 %
.066
.288
.250
.337
.316
.318
100
2010
Astros (A)
94
434
11
75
45
39
7.6 %
11.3 %
.137
.332
.310
.366
.448
.372
132
2010
Astros (A+)
31
127
4
18
22
3
7.1 %
13.4 %
.181
.295
.276
.333
.457
.349
104
2011
Astros (A+)
52
238
5
38
34
19
8.0 %
10.9 %
.197
.438
.404
.447
.601
.454
167
2011
Astros (AA)
35
153
5
21
25
5
4.6 %
9.2 %
.208
.373
.361
.388
.569
.417
153
2011
Astros
57
234
2
26
12
7
2.1 %
12.4 %
.081
.309
.276
.297
.357
.289
80
-0.6
-0.1
0.2
2012
Astros
147
630
7
80
37
33
6.3 %
11.7 %
.109
.321
.290
.340
.399
.325
104
-13.4
4.1
1.7
2013
Steamer
151
687
11
84
61
22
5.9 %
11.1 %
.123
.311
.287
.332
.409
.324
103
-4.3
0.0
2.4
2013
Bill James
147
586
8
77
42
30
6.0 %
10.9 %
.118
.328
.299
.347
.417
.332
2013
Oliver
721
9
92
69
30
5.8 %
12.8 %
.116
.333
.299
.343
.415
.330
-8.3
1.2
3.0
2013
Fans (41)
150
685
8
93
62
32
6.4 %
12.0 %
.107
.327
.295
.343
.403
.327
-6.0
1.6
2.9
2013
ZiPS
156
672
9
85
49
33
5.5 %
11.8 %
.116
.315
.287
.330
.403
.321
101
-5.0
0.3
2.1
2013
Astros
67
298
3
28
27
16
4.7 %
13.1 %
.086
.328
.295
.326
.381
.304
92
1.9
1.5
1.2
2013
ZiPS (R)
85
368
5
44
28
18
5.3 %
12.1 %
.109
.318
.289
.329
.398
.317
94
-1.5
0.7
1.0
2013
ZiPS (U)
152
666
8
72
55
34
5.0 %
12.5 %
.099
.323
.292
.327
.390
.311
90
0.5
2.2
2.0
2013
Steamer (R)
83
379
5
45
32
17
5.6 %
11.7 %
.117
.315
.288
.331
.404
.321
97
-1.4
0.2
1.2
2013
Steamer (U)
150
677
8
73
59
33
5.2 %
12.3 %
.103
.320
.291
.329
.394
.313
92
0.6
1.7
2.1
Total
- - -
271
1162
12
134
76
56
5.1 %
12.2 %
.098
.320
.288
.328
.386
.312
96
-12.1
5.5
3.1
News
5/30
-
Fantasy: The Roto Grotto: z-scores applied
by
Scott Spratt
3/12
-
Fantasy: Dollar a day: Justin Smoak
by
Nick Fleder
3/6
-
Fantasy: The Verdict: Houston, we have a problem.
by
Michael Stein
6/19
-
Milwaukee Brewers (28-41) at Houston Astros (27-45), 7:10 pm»
by
Crawfish Boxes
6/18
-
MLB Scores: White Sox 4, Astros 2
by
Crawfish Boxes
6/18
-
White Sox 4, Astros 2: Four-run sixth ends four-game skid
by
South Side Sox
5/26
-
Rosenthal On Rizzo, Altuve, Mattingly
by
Charlie Wilmoth
5/21
-
Jose Altuve Rejoins Octagon; Leaves Boras
by
Tim Dierkes
5/17
-
Astros Open To Extension With Jose Altuve
by
Steve Adams
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
AB
PA
H
1B
2B
3B
HR
R
RBI
BB
IBB
SO
HBP
SF
SH
GDP
SB
CS
AVG
2008
Astros (R)
40
141
152
40
26
9
3
2
26
21
8
0
26
0
1
2
2
8
2
.284
2009
Astros (R)
45
179
208
58
33
20
2
3
45
18
26
0
16
0
1
2
6
21
4
.324
2009
Astros (A-)
21
76
87
19
14
5
0
0
13
7
8
0
10
2
0
1
0
7
2
.250
2010
Astros (A)
94
393
434
122
93
15
3
11
75
45
33
0
49
2
1
5
7
39
14
.310
2010
Astros (A+)
31
116
127
32
21
5
2
4
18
22
9
0
17
1
0
1
7
3
4
.276
2011
Astros (A+)
52
213
238
86
61
13
7
5
38
34
19
1
26
0
3
3
5
19
9
.404
2011
Astros (AA)
35
144
153
52
35
9
3
5
21
25
7
0
14
0
1
1
5
5
5
.361
2011
Astros
57
221
234
61
48
10
1
2
26
12
5
0
29
2
1
5
5
7
3
.276
2012
Astros
147
576
630
167
122
34
4
7
80
37
40
0
74
6
4
4
8
33
11
.290
2013
Steamer
151
632
687
181
130
36
5
11
84
61
40
1
76
5
4
6
22
12
.287
2013
Bill James
147
551
586
165
120
33
4
8
77
42
35
0
64
30
12
.299
2013
Oliver
663
721
198
146
36
7
9
92
69
42
1
92
5
5
7
14
30
10
.299
2013
Fans (41)
150
633
685
187
142
30
7
8
93
62
44
0
82
4
4
32
10
.295
2013
ZiPS
156
620
672
178
130
33
6
9
85
49
37
0
79
5
4
6
12
33
14
.287
2013
Astros
67
278
298
82
65
13
1
3
28
27
14
4
39
1
5
0
11
16
4
.295
2013
ZiPS (R)
85
340
368
98
73
18
3
5
44
28
20
1
44
2
3
2
8
18
7
.289
2013
ZiPS (U)
152
618
666
180
138
31
4
8
72
55
34
5
83
3
8
2
19
34
11
.292
2013
Steamer (R)
83
349
379
100
73
20
2
5
45
32
21
2
44
3
2
3
17
9
.288
2013
Steamer (U)
150
627
677
182
138
33
3
8
73
59
35
6
83
4
7
3
33
13
.291
Total
- - -
271
1075
1162
310
235
57
6
12
134
76
59
4
142
9
10
9
24
56
18
.288
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
BB%
K%
BB/K
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
ISO
Spd
BABIP
UBR
wSB
wRC
wRAA
wOBA
wRC+
2008
Astros (R)
5.3 %
17.1 %
0.31
.284
.320
.433
.753
.149
8.7
.333
0.9
21
1.0
.338
105
2009
Astros (R)
12.5 %
7.7 %
1.63
.324
.408
.508
.916
.184
8.3
.342
2.5
41
14.3
.413
154
2009
Astros (A-)
9.2 %
11.5 %
0.80
.250
.337
.316
.653
.066
6.4
.288
0.5
10
0.0
.318
100
2010
Astros (A)
7.6 %
11.3 %
0.67
.310
.366
.448
.814
.137
7.3
.332
2.0
69
16.6
.372
132
2010
Astros (A+)
7.1 %
13.4 %
0.53
.276
.333
.457
.790
.181
5.9
.295
-1.2
18
0.7
.349
104
2011
Astros (A+)
8.0 %
10.9 %
0.73
.404
.447
.601
1.048
.197
7.3
.438
-0.5
56
22.5
.454
167
2011
Astros (AA)
4.6 %
9.2 %
0.50
.361
.388
.569
.958
.208
5.9
.373
-1.3
30
10.5
.417
153
2011
Astros
2.1 %
12.4 %
0.17
.276
.297
.357
.654
.081
5.2
.309
-0.1
0.0
21
-5.0
.289
80
2011
Average
8.1 %
18.6 %
0.44
.255
.321
.399
.720
.144
5.1
.295
.316
2012
Astros
6.3 %
11.7 %
0.54
.290
.340
.399
.740
.109
6.3
.321
2.6
1.5
77
4.9
.325
104
2012
Average
8.0 %
19.8 %
0.40
.255
.319
.405
.724
.151
5.2
.297
.315
2013
Steamer
5.9 %
11.1 %
0.53
.287
.332
.409
.742
.123
5.4
.311
1.3
-1.3
83
4.7
.324
103
2013
Bill James
6.0 %
10.9 %
0.55
.299
.347
.417
.764
.118
6.1
.328
0.5
75
8.0
.332
2013
Oliver
5.8 %
12.8 %
0.46
.299
.343
.415
.757
.116
6.2
.333
1.2
91
8.9
.330
2013
Fans (41)
6.4 %
12.0 %
0.54
.295
.343
.403
.746
.107
6.5
.327
1.6
84
6.6
.327
2013
ZiPS
5.5 %
11.8 %
0.47
.287
.330
.403
.734
.116
6.4
.315
0.3
80
3.1
.321
101
2013
Astros
4.7 %
13.1 %
0.36
.295
.326
.381
.707
.086
5.3
.328
0.2
1.4
31
-2.1
.304
92
2013
Average
7.8 %
19.9 %
0.39
.253
.316
.399
.716
.147
5.0
.295
.313
2013
ZiPS (R)
5.3 %
12.1 %
0.44
.289
.329
.398
.727
.109
6.1
.318
0.0
0.6
42
1.3
.317
94
2013
ZiPS (U)
5.0 %
12.5 %
0.40
.292
.327
.390
.718
.099
5.7
.323
0.2
2.0
73
-0.8
.311
90
2013
Steamer (R)
5.6 %
11.7 %
0.48
.288
.331
.404
.735
.117
5.5
.315
0.6
-0.4
44
2.4
.321
97
2013
Steamer (U)
5.2 %
12.3 %
0.42
.291
.329
.394
.723
.103
5.5
.320
0.8
0.9
75
0.3
.313
92
Total
- - -
5.1 %
12.2 %
0.42
.288
.328
.386
.714
.098
5.8
.320
2.6
2.9
129
-2.2
.312
96
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
2011
Astros
1.69
20.4 %
50.0 %
29.6 %
9.1 %
3.6 %
6.5 %
25.0 %
2012
Astros
1.94
20.2 %
52.7 %
27.1 %
1.5 %
5.1 %
11.0 %
0.0 %
2013
Astros
1.79
23.0 %
49.4 %
27.6 %
1.5 %
4.5 %
10.0 %
0.0 %
Total
- - -
1.85
21.0 %
51.3 %
27.7 %
3.1 %
4.7 %
9.9 %
13.6 %
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2011
Astros
93
55
38
5
6
12
3
206
522
728
2012
Astros
264
136
101
2
29
9
0
746
1385
2131
2013
Astros
120
67
56
1
12
1
0
344
662
1006
Total
- - -
477
258
195
8
47
22
3
1296
2569
3865
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
phLI
PH
WPA/LI
Clutch
2011
Astros
-1.16
-4.84
3.68
-7.77
-0.80
1.09
0.73
2
-0.63
-0.43
2012
Astros
-0.41
-10.44
10.03
4.95
0.39
0.97
2.75
2
0.71
-1.13
2013
Astros
-0.99
-5.01
4.02
-3.73
-0.25
0.90
0
-0.45
-0.65
Total
- - -
-2.56
-20.29
17.72
-6.55
-0.66
0.98
1.74
4
-0.38
-2.25
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2011
Astros
60.5% (91.2)
19.3% (83.7)
5.2% (87.7)
7.0% (75.4)
5.5% (82.3)
2.5% (85.2)
0.1%
2012
Astros
59.0% (91.3)
17.0% (83.0)
4.8% (87.9)
12.9% (76.5)
4.5% (81.7)
1.3% (84.7)
0.5% (75.6)
0.1%
2013
Astros
59.2% (91.3)
18.9% (82.6)
6.8% (87.1)
7.2% (77.0)
7.0% (82.5)
0.9% (81.4)
3.6%
Total
- - -
59.4% (91.3)
17.9% (83.0)
5.4% (87.6)
10.4% (76.5)
5.3% (82.1)
1.4% (84.3)
0.3% (75.6)
1.0%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2011
Astros
40.1 %
10.7 %
6.3 %
2.3 %
6.7 %
19.6 %
7.4 %
6.6 %
2012
Astros
33.5 %
10.7 %
7.0 %
0.9 %
11.8 %
18.5 %
11.4 %
0.4 %
5.3 %
0.4 %
2013
Astros
38.5 %
12.3 %
7.8 %
0.7 %
3.7 %
22.2 %
5.8 %
0.8 %
6.7 %
0.1 %
Total
- - -
36.0 %
11.1 %
7.1 %
1.1 %
8.7 %
19.7 %
9.2 %
0.4 %
5.9 %
0.0 %
0.2 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2011
Astros
91.6
89.8
88.2
86.8
90.5
83.9
75.8
82.6
2012
Astros
91.7
90.4
88.8
84.7
90.3
83.0
76.1
82.3
82.6
76.6
2013
Astros
91.5
90.3
89.8
83.9
91.2
82.9
76.8
80.1
82.5
77.8
Total
- - -
91.6
90.3
89.0
85.4
90.5
83.1
76.2
81.3
82.6
77.8
76.6
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2011
Astros
-2.5
-2.5
-0.4
0.7
-0.2
-0.4
-0.56
-1.78
-1.01
1.41
-0.54
-2.15
2012
Astros
12.2
-1.2
0.8
-0.7
1.9
-0.7
-0.1
0.97
-0.34
0.75
-0.24
2.03
-2.54
-0.53
2013
Astros
-2.4
-1.1
-4.5
1.7
-0.1
0.5
-0.42
-0.61
-6.89
2.46
-0.08
5.64
Total
- - -
7.3
-4.8
-4.2
1.8
1.7
-0.6
-0.1
0.32
-0.70
-2.02
0.45
0.82
-1.07
-0.53
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2011
Astros
-1.9
-1.2
0.5
-0.3
0.4
-2.4
1.2
-1.4
2012
Astros
10.3
4.4
0.0
0.1
1.6
-4.3
-0.4
-0.7
1.0
-0.1
2013
Astros
-3.4
-0.4
-0.4
0.1
-0.4
-2.7
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.0
Total
- - -
5.0
2.7
0.1
-0.2
1.6
-9.4
2.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2011
Astros
-0.66
-1.60
1.08
-2.03
0.88
-1.65
2.16
-2.94
2012
Astros
1.45
1.93
-0.01
0.44
0.62
-1.08
-0.15
-7.65
0.89
-1.12
2013
Astros
-0.88
-0.36
-0.53
1.39
-1.06
-1.23
2.11
7.17
0.43
2.15
Total
- - -
0.36
0.62
0.03
-0.38
0.48
-1.23
0.57
-0.67
-0.06
2.15
-1.12
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2011
Astros
43.7 %
70.3 %
55.9 %
76.5 %
95.7 %
87.5 %
45.7 %
68.4 %
6.7 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Astros
30.5 %
59.7 %
44.3 %
82.5 %
95.3 %
90.7 %
47.3 %
63.5 %
4.1 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Astros
37.6 %
62.4 %
47.7 %
77.7 %
95.9 %
87.4 %
40.6 %
63.8 %
5.8 %
2013
Average
30.1 %
65.2 %
46.1 %
66.5 %
86.7 %
79.6 %
45.6 %
60.3 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
34.9 %
62.3 %
47.3 %
79.7 %
95.5 %
89.1 %
45.3 %
64.5 %
5.0 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2011
Astros
41.4 %
67.6 %
55.0 %
72.4 %
96.1 %
87.5 %
51.9 %
23.1
2011
Average
28.9 %
62.1 %
45.6 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.6
2012
Astros
29.5 %
56.5 %
43.8 %
80.7 %
95.1 %
90.6 %
52.8 %
21.5
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Astros
36.1 %
59.3 %
47.5 %
77.4 %
93.8 %
87.4 %
49.2 %
22.1
2013
Average
29.2 %
62.4 %
45.6 %
63.3 %
87.3 %
79.5 %
49.2 %
22.5
Total
- - -
33.5 %
59.3 %
46.8 %
77.8 %
95.0 %
89.1 %
51.7 %
22.0
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2011
Astros
2B
55
51
460.2
80
135
2
2
0
24
13
11
2
.991
2012
Astros
2B
147
142
1226.2
256
410
11
5
6
76
34
46
3
.984
2013
Astros
2B
66
66
572.0
119
188
5
1
4
51
24
28
3
.984
Total
- - -
2B
268
259
2259.1
455
733
18
8
10
151
71
85
8
.985
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2011
Astros
2B
460.2
1
1
1
3
127
103
.811
14
0
1.0
-2.3
0.7
-0.6
-1.4
2012
Astros
2B
1226.2
-2
-2
-14
-18
410
313
.763
43
0
-2.0
-12.1
0.7
-13.4
-13.6
2013
Astros
2B
572.0
3
1
-2
2
171
130
.760
25
1.6
-0.7
1.0
1.9
2.2
Total
- - -
2B
2259.1
2
0
-15
-13
708
546
.771
82
0
0.6
-15.0
2.4
-12.1
-7.1
Fans Scouting Report
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Inn
Votes
Instincts
First Step
Speed
Hands
Release
Arm Strength
Arm Accuracy
Overall
FSR
2011
Astros
460.2
6
70
64
69
47
51
48
54
58
0
2012
Astros
1226.2
15
56
63
61
55
47
44
54
54
0
Total
- - -
1687.1
21
60
63
63
53
48
45
54
55
0
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Batting
Base Running
Fielding
Replacement
Positional
Fld + Pos
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2011
Astros
-5.4
-0.1
-0.6
6.8
0.8
0.2
2.0
0.2
$1.0
2012
Astros
2.7
4.1
-13.4
18.6
2.1
-11.3
15.8
1.7
$7.5
2013
Astros
-2.9
1.5
1.9
8.6
0.9
2.8
11.2
1.2
$6.0
Total
- - -
-5.7
5.5
-12.1
34.0
3.8
-8.3
29.1
3.1
$14.4
Contracts
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