Cy Young Award Projections
Projection System
About the Cy Young Award Projections:
These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)
- Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
- FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W
Data Export [Members Only]
American League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 29.1 | 3 | 0 | 31.3% | 4.5% | 1.85 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.1 | 22.4 | 163.1 | 12 | 7 | 28.5% | 5.9% | 3.03 | 2.92 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 57.4 | 86.1 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 29.0 | 3 | 0 | 25.4% | 4.4% | 2.78 | 3.45 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 11.5 | 14.8 | 195.0 | 13 | 7 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 3.46 | 3.36 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 56.4 | 81.0 |
| 3 | Luis Castillo | 34.1 | 2 | 4 | 28.8% | 4.8% | 4.21 | 3.20 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 12.2 | 198.1 | 13 | 12 | 26.3% | 6.6% | 3.54 | 3.36 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 55.7 | 80.8 |
| 4 | Logan Gilbert | 33.1 | 2 | 0 | 27.8% | 6.3% | 1.90 | 3.32 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 15.1 | 19.4 | 195.1 | 12 | 8 | 24.3% | 6.1% | 3.32 | 3.58 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 57.0 | 76.9 |
| 5 | Pablo López | 26.1 | 1 | 2 | 27.4% | 5.7% | 4.47 | 3.60 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 187.1 | 11 | 10 | 26.8% | 6.4% | 3.70 | 3.35 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 48.3 | 72.1 |
| 6 | Zach Eflin | 29.0 | 1 | 2 | 21.8% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 3.45 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 9.5 | 179.0 | 12 | 10 | 23.3% | 3.7% | 3.52 | 3.32 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 48.6 | 72.0 |
| 7 | George Kirby | 25.0 | 2 | 2 | 23.6% | 2.7% | 5.38 | 2.58 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 184.0 | 13 | 10 | 22.8% | 3.8% | 3.76 | 3.32 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 45.5 | 69.6 |
| 8 | Framber Valdez | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 2.23 | 3.47 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 167.0 | 11 | 7 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 3.23 | 3.51 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 50.3 | 68.6 |
| 9 | Joe Ryan | 28.1 | 1 | 1 | 32.8% | 3.4% | 3.83 | 2.82 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 12.2 | 177.1 | 11 | 9 | 28.4% | 5.8% | 3.76 | 3.41 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 46.3 | 67.7 |
| 10 | Kevin Gausman | 21.0 | 0 | 3 | 18.6% | 6.2% | 5.57 | 4.28 | 0.2 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 178.0 | 11 | 11 | 25.1% | 6.1% | 3.79 | 3.49 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 43.8 | 63.7 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 29.1 | 3 | 0 | 31.3% | 4.5% | 1.85 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.1 | 22.4 | 163.1 | 12 | 7 | 28.5% | 5.9% | 3.03 | 2.92 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 57.4 | 86.1 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 29.0 | 3 | 0 | 25.4% | 4.4% | 2.78 | 3.45 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 11.5 | 14.8 | 195.0 | 13 | 7 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 3.46 | 3.36 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 56.4 | 81.0 |
| 3 | Luis Castillo | 34.1 | 2 | 4 | 28.8% | 4.8% | 4.21 | 3.20 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 12.2 | 198.1 | 13 | 12 | 26.3% | 6.6% | 3.54 | 3.36 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 55.7 | 80.8 |
| 4 | Logan Gilbert | 33.1 | 2 | 0 | 27.8% | 6.3% | 1.90 | 3.32 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 15.1 | 19.4 | 195.1 | 12 | 8 | 24.3% | 6.1% | 3.32 | 3.58 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 57.0 | 76.9 |
| 5 | Pablo López | 26.1 | 1 | 2 | 27.4% | 5.7% | 4.47 | 3.60 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 187.1 | 11 | 10 | 26.8% | 6.4% | 3.70 | 3.35 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 48.3 | 72.1 |
| 6 | Zach Eflin | 29.0 | 1 | 2 | 21.8% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 3.45 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 9.5 | 179.0 | 12 | 10 | 23.3% | 3.7% | 3.52 | 3.32 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 48.6 | 72.0 |
| 7 | George Kirby | 25.0 | 2 | 2 | 23.6% | 2.7% | 5.38 | 2.58 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 184.0 | 13 | 10 | 22.8% | 3.8% | 3.76 | 3.32 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 45.5 | 69.6 |
| 8 | Framber Valdez | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 2.23 | 3.47 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 167.0 | 11 | 7 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 3.23 | 3.51 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 50.3 | 68.6 |
| 9 | Joe Ryan | 28.1 | 1 | 1 | 32.8% | 3.4% | 3.83 | 2.82 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 12.2 | 177.1 | 11 | 9 | 28.4% | 5.8% | 3.76 | 3.41 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 46.3 | 67.7 |
| 10 | Kevin Gausman | 21.0 | 0 | 3 | 18.6% | 6.2% | 5.57 | 4.28 | 0.2 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 178.0 | 11 | 11 | 25.1% | 6.1% | 3.79 | 3.49 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 43.8 | 63.7 |
of 20
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 197 results
of 20
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 197 results
National League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 37.0 | 2 | 3 | 31.1% | 7.4% | 1.94 | 2.41 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 17.1 | 25.8 | 201.0 | 13 | 10 | 26.2% | 6.7% | 3.18 | 3.11 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 64.1 | 95.2 |
| 2 | Logan Webb | 38.1 | 3 | 1 | 17.0% | 4.6% | 2.36 | 2.75 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 22.1 | 208.1 | 14 | 9 | 20.0% | 5.1% | 3.20 | 3.10 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 61.3 | 93.8 |
| 3 | Dylan Cease | 29.1 | 3 | 1 | 31.3% | 9.8% | 1.85 | 2.32 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.1 | 22.2 | 174.1 | 12 | 8 | 29.2% | 10.0% | 3.25 | 3.33 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 57.2 | 79.8 |
| 4 | Tyler Glasnow | 37.0 | 4 | 1 | 30.6% | 6.3% | 2.92 | 2.90 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 14.9 | 21.5 | 161.0 | 14 | 6 | 30.6% | 7.1% | 3.30 | 3.18 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 55.4 | 79.1 |
| 5 | Zac Gallen | 27.0 | 3 | 1 | 28.1% | 7.0% | 3.00 | 2.73 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 10.7 | 16.0 | 190.0 | 14 | 9 | 24.6% | 6.9% | 3.55 | 3.49 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 53.6 | 74.9 |
| 6 | Sonny Gray | 17.0 | 2 | 1 | 35.9% | 1.6% | 1.05 | 0.63 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.9 | 18.2 | 165.0 | 11 | 8 | 24.0% | 6.9% | 3.22 | 3.30 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 51.0 | 73.0 |
| 7 | Shota Imanaga | 21.0 | 3 | 0 | 25.6% | 2.4% | 0.85 | 2.05 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 13.7 | 19.4 | 163.0 | 12 | 7 | 25.2% | 5.9% | 3.31 | 3.32 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 50.6 | 72.0 |
| 8 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 28.0 | 2 | 1 | 31.9% | 5.2% | 3.54 | 2.64 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 8.7 | 14.5 | 177.0 | 13 | 8 | 27.2% | 5.8% | 3.66 | 3.37 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 71.3 |
| 9 | Freddy Peralta | 28.0 | 2 | 0 | 33.3% | 7.9% | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 9.9 | 14.5 | 166.0 | 11 | 7 | 29.8% | 8.4% | 3.58 | 3.45 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 48.6 | 68.0 |
| 10 | Max Fried | 25.0 | 2 | 0 | 16.5% | 8.3% | 5.02 | 3.94 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 177.0 | 14 | 6 | 21.2% | 6.7% | 3.66 | 3.48 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 46.4 | 66.4 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 37.0 | 2 | 3 | 31.1% | 7.4% | 1.94 | 2.41 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 17.1 | 25.8 | 201.0 | 13 | 10 | 26.2% | 6.7% | 3.18 | 3.11 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 64.1 | 95.2 |
| 2 | Logan Webb | 38.1 | 3 | 1 | 17.0% | 4.6% | 2.36 | 2.75 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 22.1 | 208.1 | 14 | 9 | 20.0% | 5.1% | 3.20 | 3.10 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 61.3 | 93.8 |
| 3 | Dylan Cease | 29.1 | 3 | 1 | 31.3% | 9.8% | 1.85 | 2.32 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.1 | 22.2 | 174.1 | 12 | 8 | 29.2% | 10.0% | 3.25 | 3.33 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 57.2 | 79.8 |
| 4 | Tyler Glasnow | 37.0 | 4 | 1 | 30.6% | 6.3% | 2.92 | 2.90 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 14.9 | 21.5 | 161.0 | 14 | 6 | 30.6% | 7.1% | 3.30 | 3.18 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 55.4 | 79.1 |
| 5 | Zac Gallen | 27.0 | 3 | 1 | 28.1% | 7.0% | 3.00 | 2.73 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 10.7 | 16.0 | 190.0 | 14 | 9 | 24.6% | 6.9% | 3.55 | 3.49 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 53.6 | 74.9 |
| 6 | Sonny Gray | 17.0 | 2 | 1 | 35.9% | 1.6% | 1.05 | 0.63 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.9 | 18.2 | 165.0 | 11 | 8 | 24.0% | 6.9% | 3.22 | 3.30 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 51.0 | 73.0 |
| 7 | Shota Imanaga | 21.0 | 3 | 0 | 25.6% | 2.4% | 0.85 | 2.05 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 13.7 | 19.4 | 163.0 | 12 | 7 | 25.2% | 5.9% | 3.31 | 3.32 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 50.6 | 72.0 |
| 8 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 28.0 | 2 | 1 | 31.9% | 5.2% | 3.54 | 2.64 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 8.7 | 14.5 | 177.0 | 13 | 8 | 27.2% | 5.8% | 3.66 | 3.37 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 71.3 |
| 9 | Freddy Peralta | 28.0 | 2 | 0 | 33.3% | 7.9% | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 9.9 | 14.5 | 166.0 | 11 | 7 | 29.8% | 8.4% | 3.58 | 3.45 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 48.6 | 68.0 |
| 10 | Max Fried | 25.0 | 2 | 0 | 16.5% | 8.3% | 5.02 | 3.94 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 177.0 | 14 | 6 | 21.2% | 6.7% | 3.66 | 3.48 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 46.4 | 66.4 |
of 21
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 203 results
of 21
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 203 results
