- Josh Reddick: Mr. Replacement
According to Zach Sanders' analysis, Josh Reddick was the fantasy replacement level outfielder of 2013. He was worth 41 cents. Dayan Viciedo was technically closer to zero with a negative 37 cent
- Pitcher Study: Josh Johnson
Is Josh Johnson still an ace?
The 2012 season had some encouraging signs after shoulder injuries cut short potential Cy Young campaigns in 2010 and 2011. Johnson posted a 3.81 ERA and 3.40 FIP
- Is Josh Johnson Back?
destined for an epic crash (click on the link, it's must-watch stuff). Owning Josh Johnson on a couple squads, I've felt a little of both.
Coming off of a serious shoulder injury in 2011, Johnson,28, had
- Josh Johnson's Extension
The Marlins locked up their most talented pitcher on Thursday, as they agreed to terms with 26-year-old SP Josh Johnson on a four-year, 39 million dollar contract. The deal will pay 3.75MM in '10
- The Return of Josh Johnson
Josh Johnson returned to the mound last night for the first time since April 21. The oft-injured 29-year-old (it still surprises me that he’s just 29) impressed against the Giants, throwing seven
- Buying Low on Josh Johnson
It may surprise some, considering this high ERA and low strikeout rate compared to his career average, but Josh Johnson actually has the seventh highest WAR of any pitcher in baseball. Despite having
- Josh Johnson's Curveball
We're happy to welcome Albert Lyu back to the FanGraphs team. His work will again appear regularly here on the site.
Before Josh Johnson was lost for the season with shoulder injuries in May, he
- The Josh Johnson Dilemma
Earlier this year, Jack Moore reviewed Josh Johnson's inability to get hitters out while pitching from the stretch. Johnson and the Jays were very much aware of the situation, but even still, it did
- Josh Johnson Heads to Canada
So as you all no doubt know by now, Josh Johnson was part of the trade of fantasy baseball proportions that is expected to be finalized at some point today. It's time for JJ to start trading in his
- Nothing Fishy About Josh Johnson
Heading into the 2007 season, Florida's Josh Johnson looked like an ace-in-waiting.
As a 22 year-old rookie in 2006, the 6-7 righty posted a 3.99 FIP in 24 starts and seven relief appearances
- Can Josh Johnson Fix The Stretch?
There have been plenty of good signs in Josh Johnson's return from a season-ending shoulder injury this year. His 2.98 FIP is excellent; he's striking out nearly eight batters per nine innings
- Josh Johnson Finding Success in June
The month of June has been very kind to Josh Johnson. In 14.2 innings, the big right-hander owns a 1.84 ERA with impressive peripheral numbers to match: 16 strikeouts, just four walks, and no home
- Best Rotation Ever? Best. Rotation. Ever.
Diamondbacks (22.8%). The year following a World Series title, both Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling fanned 334 and 316 batters, respectively. In the heyday of Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine and John Smoltz
- Josh Johnson's Creative Contract With the Padres
The news is breaking now. It seems that Josh Johnson has gotten $8 million dollars from the Padres to pitch in 2014, according to Jerry Crasnick. By itself, that is an interesting match -- Johnson
- Josh Johnson Earning His Contract
Justin Morneau has the highest WAR in baseball right now, but you probably knew that. Know who is second?
Josh Johnson. With another dominating start last night, the Marlins ace has now thrown
- Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Josh Johnson
is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they'd pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.
In this edition: Josh Johnson.
- A Josh Johnson Slider You Can Just Keep Watching
All things considered -- or just, like, one thing considered -- Marlins right-hander Josh Johnson had rather a poor game Saturday night (box). He pitched only three innings, for example, but conceded
- Why the Toronto Blue Jays Need to Extend Josh Johnson
In the Marlins deal last November, Josh Johnson was the main headlining piece along with Jose Reyes and Mark Buehrle. Then the Blue Jays added R.A. Dickey in December and the starting rotation looked
- James McDonald, Kyle McClellan, Josh Johnson: NL Starting Pitchers
Josh Johnson, Marlins
When Johnson was put on the DL with shoulder problems, it sounded like the Marlins were just being cautious. Now, Johnson isn’t going to be back when he’s eligible
- What Alex Rodriguez's Suspension Means for the Yankees
Reynolds, Michael Young, or Justin Turner, but as the saying goes "you get what you pay for." The club has been connected with Young and Reynolds. There has also been speculation that Kelly Johnson
- Lessons Learned From a Shallow Linear Weights Draft
trades. After that 5th round pick, the values flattened such that I could draft a couple dozen players and expect the same Points Above Replacement (PAR). Josh Donaldson was actually far and away the top
- The Pirates Outfield
steal upside could strongly affect his value, especially for an owner who missed out on early draft steals.
The Right Field Shuffle
- Dodgers Make a Low Risk Investment in Rotation Depth
prefer not to rush either pitcher. Stephen Fife is a decent swing man, but the Dodgers would probably prefer to avoid turning to Matt Magill. Josh Beckett and Dan Haren are penciled into the rotation
- Alfonso Soriano: Barring Injury
-handers. That reduces his overall production enough that he's scarcely above fantasy replacement level (aka Josh Reddick) per wRC+. Of course, that's deceptive since it doesn't account for the actual
- Ottoneu Strategy Corner: Consideration About Value
. Similarly an owner that has most of their payroll committed to 18 keepers may be willing to pay extra for a $4 Josh Donaldson in trade.
In essence, there are two factors that greatly affect a player's
- The Athletics Rotation
is very limited. As in, maybe he'll outperform his peripherals.
Milone does a decent job of channeling Jamie Moyer. He's a fairly soft-tossing lefty who
- Projection Leaderboard Fun Courtesy of ZiPS and Fans
- The Players' Association May Target Qualifying Offers
Kuroda all fall into this bucket. The other group is comprised of free agent powerhouses - Robinson Cano, Josh Hamilton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Shin-Soo Choo and Brian McCann. To a lesser extent, Carlos
- Ottoneu Arbitration: A Guide for 2014
for multiple seasons.
For example, Josh Donaldson costs $3 to keep in many leagues and let's say My Archnemesis owns him. If I allocate $3 to him this season and he's kept for the next four seasons
- Bryce Harper: A Catch-34
wRC+ against left-handers is similar to Josh Reddick's 92 wRC+. If you go back to Zach Sanders' list and scroll down to the 75th name, you'll find Reddick with a $0 valuation. In other words, Harper
- Ottoneu Strategy Corner: Sending Signals
coveted Arenado and claims he would have accepted a package deal for his $11 Josh Donaldson.
Not all owners are as...calculating...as me. The example I gave is where somebody earnestly valued Arenado
- The Endowment Effect is Your Enemy
. Sometimes you'll come out looking like a genius because you kept Josh Donaldson for $3 based on a strong September, but other times you'll just waste $20 or worse, use a player well past his expiration date
- When Should You Pay for Elite Relievers?
rosters. You have Mike Trout for $10, Josh Donaldson for $3, Sonny Gray for $3, and Stephen Strasburg for $12. I'll say this as scientifically as possible, that hypothetical keeper roster has
- Elite Relievers in an Ottoneu Points Format
the cheapest. See Josh Donaldson last season. That functionally means that some teams have extra money available in their quest for 7,000 PAR. We call that inflation.
Trey shared a document with me
- Ottoneu Strategy Corner: Various Offseason Trade Strategies
$47 Dustin Pedroia and $5 Josh Bell for $29 Chase Utley and $4 Christian Yelich. I coveted Yelich, and was really targeting a Pedroia for Yelich swap, but I made the deal about two overpriced second
- The Dodgers Rotation
The Dodgers brought in the fly ball oriented Haren to add depth to the rotation. Relying on Beckett, Fife, and Billingsley (once health) is a shaky
- The Diamondbacks Rotation
doesn't match well with Chase Field. Neither pitcher possesses any fantasy upside. Josh Collmenter could also serve as a swing man in a pinch, but he's more useful out of the bullpen.
- The Athletics Outfield
, and that should continue into 2014. The club will return three starters and they have brought in a defensive stalwart to serve as depth.
- Beware of Sleepers
seen. Last year turned up Josh Donaldson, Domonic Brown, and Brandon Belt. It also identified Lorenzo Cain, Justin Smoak, and Nolan Reimold.
So the formula got it half right. That's a good success
- Prospects in Ottoneu: Additional Thoughts
). If I had a Buxton, I could probably get one of those elite players right now. As it stands, I'll need to bide my time and maybe hope to find a Josh Donaldson breakout along the way.
- The Phillies Infield
. Honestly, his profile is rather reminiscent of Josh Donaldson last preseason, except with a lower batting average. That's not to say Asche is a great breakout candidate, it's a reminder that under the right
- Lessons From a Botched Yahoo Draft
- Nomination Strategy Guide
and pass on other useful players. The best cases are flawed players like Josh Hamilton who owners might pass on anyway.
In these sorts of drafts, owners will soon realize that they have a lot
- Johnson Leads Florida's Rotation
projected them to be worse than the Nationals. Last night Josh Johnson won the game for the Marlins, pitching six innings of four-hit, one-run ball while striking out 6, walking only one and getting seven
- Chris Johnson Heads to Arizona
. When that didn't work, they tried bringing up Josh Bell. Another bust. They ultimately went back to Roberts, but for just a short time as he was soon demoted and traded and the D-Backs went with minor
- No Love For Jim Johnson?
and there, but if they're healthy, they've always seemed to slide back into the job. So why, after 101 saves in the past two season....yes, that's right, 101...does Jim Johnson get no love?
I did a mock draft
- Brad Johnson's 10 Bold Predictions
at RotoGraphs, it is customary to list 10 such bold picks; also Eno ordered me to do so.
1. Erik Johnson will be the second best starting pitcher for the White Sox
Johnson has good stuff
- Johnson Leads WAR at Labor Day
, nearly 85% of the way through the season, is Florida Marlins ace Josh Johnson - not Roy Halladay, nor Ubaldo Jimenez, not Cliff Lee, not Felix Hernandez, and not CC Sabathia. Johnson is establishing
- Erik Johnson: Late Round Breakout Candidate
After five respectable outings in 2013, Erik Johnson will begin his rookie campaign as a relative unknown in the fantasy world. This season is just his third as a professional and his quick ascension
- Don't Bring In the Lefty for Kelly Johnson
three years, and Joey Votto isn't far behind him. What might surprise you is the name that sits in the 34th spot out of the 150 qualified hitters: Kelly Johnson.
At a .382 wOBA against lefties since
- Promotion: Josh Bell
or something more substantive, Bell's the best position prospect in the system not named Manny Machado. The 23-year-old was acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers (along with RHP Steve Johnson) last
- Ivan Nova - An Uncommon Rule 5 Story
cite are the cases like Johan Santana, Joakim Soria and Josh Hamilton — where players went on to become valuable pieces for their new teams. But when do Rule 5 players become successes after being
- Josh Byrnes, A.J. Hinch Fired
When the Diamondbacks extended Josh Byrnes’ contract in February of 2008 through 2015 and included a small stake of team ownership, they probably didn’t envision firing him just two and a half years
- Santos' Swift Slider
- Matt Cain, Destroyer of DIPS
- Zack Greinke and Pitch Sequences
- Exploring Pitching Tendencies
- Breaking Down Stolen Base Break-Even Points
- Respect, Measured
- Anatomy of the $100 Million Contract
- Prince's Improved Approach at the Plate
- Beating the Defensive Shift
- How Good Is Matt Garza?
- Spring Training in September
- Commanding the Zone
- Do Better Pitchers Actually Have Better Command?
- Explaining the Command Disconnect
- Sabathia's Strong June
- Carsten Groundball Sabathia
- A Pitch F/X Look at Cliff Lee
- John Axford: the Cardinals’ newest reclamation project
- Did Josh Byrnes Deserve to Be Fired?
of the best front offices in baseball."
Another GM on the D-Backs' change at GM: "Absolutely crazy."
That, essentially, was my reaction, as well, to the news that the Diamondbacks have fired Josh Byrnes
- Should Anyone Trade For Josh Beckett?
from March-June is slightly better than Josh Johnson's .299 wOBA against this year. He was a benefactor of a low-ish BABIP for those three months, but they at least show that this version of Beckett
- Q&A: Kelly Johnson, Sabermetrically Savvy FA
Kelly Johnson may or may not be a Toronto Blue Jay next season, but wherever he ends up, he promises to have a better year with the bat -- regardless of how many times he strikes out. The free-agent
- Josh Bell and Steve Lombardozzi: Waiver Wire
wire just waiting to be claimed.
Josh Bell, ARI |3B| Ownership: ESPN - 0.5% Yahoo - 1.0%
Right on the heels of my last Kicking Rocks piece which clamored for Bell's call-up, the Diamondbacks
- One Night Only: Doc Halladay v. Big Johnson
Marlins: Josh Johnson (NERD: 10)
77.0 IP, 9.00 K/9, 2.81 BB/9, .286 BABIP, 48.5% GB, 4.8% HR/FB, 3.25 xFIP
Phils: Roy Halladay (NERD: 10)
93.0 IP, 7.45 K/9, 1.26 BB/9, .302 BABIP, 53.4% GB, 4.3
- Mailbag: Josh Hamilton vs Carlos Beltran
[Carlos] Beltran until the recent surgery (we don't have to announce our eight keepers until early March). But Josh Hamilton is also an option for me. So my question is - is it worth taking a shot
- GIF: Jim Johnson's Jim Johnson
Because Oriole Jim Johnson plays for the Orioles, there's a strong chance that no one -- perhaps besides his teammates and Buck Showalter and Buck Showalter's grizzled and nameless manservant
- Johnson's Domination
Johnson and his performance from 1999-2002.
For starters, here are some of his peripheral numbers in each of these seasons:
1999: 35 GS, 271.2 IP, 207 H, 75 ER, 70 BB, 364 K, 1.02 WHIP, 2.48 ERA
- The Yankees Infield
The Fab Five
I wrote about about McCann when he joined the Yankees from a non-fantasy perspective. I love
- The Orioles Play in the Shallow End of Free Agency
Earlier in the offseason, the Orioles traded incumbent closer Jim Johnson to the Oakland Athletics for second baseman Jemile Weeks. Johnson was expected to earn $10 million in arbitration - a figure
- A Look at Today's Pitchers: 10-5-13
- Continuing Coverage of Joe Kelly, or Kelly's Wild Night
- The Grand Slam That Almost Wasn't
- An Inauspicious Night for Will Middlebrooks
- Select 2013 World Series Moments as Viewed by ChampAdded
- Far East Rumors and Game Theory
- Why Do We Use MPH?
- The Yankees and McCann: A Perfect Match
- The Astros Begin the Long Climb
- Don't Expect Big Changes in Philadelphia
- Did Somebody Screw Up Carlos Gomez's Scouting Report?
- The Phillies Take the Middle Road
- A Data-Centric View on Why the Phillies May Want to Avoid Losing
- The Royals: Curiouser and Curiouser
- The Pitcher Who Did the Most With the Least
- The Rays Need Their Depth Early
- On the New Collision Rules at Home Plate
- Domonic Brown Goes Mashing
- B.J. Upton: Living in the Basement
- Leonys Martin: To Platoon or Not to Platoon
- Christian Yelich: Modest Success
- Healthiful, Flavorful, Venable
- Michael Bourn: To Steal a Base
- Gerardo Parra: Back to the Platoon
- The Quietly Consistent Nick Swisher
- Barnes in New Pastures
- David Murphy: A Platoon of His Own
- Stephen Strasburg: Not Quite Elite
- Cole Hamels is a Model of Consistency
- What Should We Make of Tim Lincecum
- Patrick Corbin: A Tale of Two Halves
- Zach McAllister: Fit for Streaming
- John Lackey is Relevant Again
- Cliff Lee: Still Studly
- Valuing Your Last Roster Spot
- Lance Lynn's Fatal Flaw
- Sonny Gray for Ace
- Ivan Nova Regresses
- Dillon Gee Has a Confusing Season
- Danny Salazar Can Throw That Speed Ball By You
- Michael Wacha Requests Your Attention
- Nathan Eovaldi and the Top Heavy Repertoire
- Jarred Cosart and the World's Worst 1.95 ERA
- Aroldis Chapman Is Still Ridiculous
- Kenley Jansen Is Increasingly Amazing
- The Padres Outfield
- The Giants Bullpen
- Jarrod Parker: Outstanding in One Way
- Lessons From My First Mock
- What I Learned From Jeff Sullivan Learning About WAR
- The Cardinals Rotation
- The Royals Infield
- A Collection of Five Category Hitters
- The Phillies Rotation
- The Rays Rotation
- The Rays Outfield
- So Your Keeper League Has Too Many Fire Sales...
- Fantasy Baseball Isn't Poker
- Some Relievers Who Are Maybe Possibly Good Targets
- Stolen Topic: Three Players I Won't Draft
- Eight and a Half Observations Using ZiPS Projections
- Relievers Who Have SP-Eligibility in Yahoo
- The Obvious Risk of Drafting to Trade (And Bold Pick #11)
- Josh Donaldson
On June 13, when Josh Donaldson was sent down, his line was an astonishing .153/.160/.235. In exactly 100 plate appearances, he had 1 walk, and that was in that final June 13 game. He had 1
- What Happened To Davey Johnson?
Davey Johnson on Joe Maddon:
"I don’t know him that well, but I thought he was a weird wuss anyways."
When did Davey Johnson become a grumpy old codger? Wasn't he the first guy
- What Is Davey Johnson Doing?
Here's newly minted Nats skipper Davey Johnson!
The discerning discerner will observe that also in this photo is a white orb of cowhide, something known in industry parlance as a "baseball
- Kelly Johnson's Redemption
Dropped from Braves at the end of 2009, Kelly Johnson found little interest in his services and ended up in Arizona on a one year contract paying him just $2.3 million. Arizona gambled that Johnson
- Randy Johnson's Countdown
Randy Johnson has not pitched particularly well this season, for instance see yesterday's shelling at the hands of the Rockies. In fact, outside of Tim Lincecum, nobody in the Giants rotation has
- Is Elliot Johnson Worth Starting?
Last year, Elliot Johnson was one of the worst hitters in the majors. With a 57 wRC+ backed by just four home runs, six steals, and a strikeout rate near 30%, Johnson's lackluster performance had
- Chris Johnson and Great Players
that people hardly notice. The leader in the National League right now is Chris Johnson, batting .342. Johnson didn't even begin the year as an everyday player.
Johnson went from the Diamondbacks
- Kelly Johnson: A DeRosa Alternative
dislike dealing in shadowy realm of rumor, Braves second baseman Kelly Johnson has been mentioned in multiple places as a non-tender candidate given his 2009 performance and replacement by Martin Prado
- Nick Johnson to New York
The Yankees have absolutely refused to stand pat this offseason. After adding Curtis Granderson in the first big trade of the winter, the Yankees have now agreed to terms with 1B/DH Nick Johnson
- Kelly Johnson: Slugger
As part of a critical five-run rally in the bottom of the fifth inning of yesterday's Phillies-Diamondbacks game, Arizona second baseman Kelly Johnson slugged his NL-leading seventh home run
- A Small Randy Johnson Retrospective
As you have surely heard, Randy Johnson announced his retirement last night. Matthew took the first look at this, noting that he retires as someone who could be a three-win pitcher next year. Here
- Marlins Reel in Nick Johnson
Bedlam ruled the day of the trade deadline, and the Nick Johnson for LHP Aaron Thompson deal was no exception. The Nationals broke from their age old custom of clenching to tradeable players
- The Nick Johnson Quandry
offers a similar problem for GMs with a shopping list.
I'm speaking of Mr. Disabled List himself, Nick Johnson. His list of health problems is longer than a typical Joe Posnanski column
- Robbing Johnson of a Shot
(and the .227 batting average in 2008 just adds insult to injury). The move also keeps the underrated Rob Johnson from receiving the opportunity that he deserves.
Johnson, 25, was selected out of college
- Randy Johnson Retires
Randy Johnson announced his retirement today. There are thousands upon thousands of words that could, and should, be written about Randy Johnson. His career numbers are remarkable. The mark he left