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RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 5/21/13
Jake Peavy’s Quiet Comeback
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The Saddest Greatest Baseball Card I Own
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The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
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Are the Angels Actually Improved?
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AL East
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28
16
----
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27
18
1.5
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23
21
5.0
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23
21
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18
26
10.0
AL Central
Indians
26
17
----
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23
19
2.5
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20
21
5.0
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20
23
6.0
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18
23
7.0
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Rangers
29
16
----
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24
22
5.5
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20
25
9.0
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17
27
11.5
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13
32
16.0
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Braves
26
18
----
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23
22
3.5
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21
24
5.5
Mets
17
25
8.0
Marlins
13
32
13.5
NL Central
Cardinals
28
16
----
Reds
27
18
1.5
Pirates
26
18
2.0
Cubs
18
25
9.5
Brewers
17
26
10.5
NL West
D-backs
26
19
----
Giants
25
20
1.0
Rockies
24
21
2.0
Padres
21
23
4.5
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18
25
7.0
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Mike Leake
Birthdate:
11/12/1987
Bats/Throws:
R/R
Height/Weight:
6-0/180
Position:
P
Contract:
$3.1M / 1 Years (2013)
5/17/2013:
Leake will start Tuesday's game against the Mets, MLB.com reports.
4/11/2013
-
Stream, Aim, Fire - Friday and Saturday Streaming »
by
Blake Murphy (RotoGraphs)
7
6/14/2012
-
SP Skills Surgers
by
Mike Podhorzer (RotoGraphs)
9
6/6/2012
-
NL Starting Pitcher Tiered Rankings
by
Dan Wade (RotoGraphs)
41
4/3/2012
-
NL Starting Pitcher Tiered Rankings
by
Dan Wade (RotoGraphs)
30
2/22/2012
-
Chapman to Start?
by
Eno Sarris (RotoGraphs)
13
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2010
Reds
8
4
0
24
22
138.1
5.92
3.19
1.24
.314
72.5 %
50.2 %
13.2 %
4.23
4.68
4.16
0.8
2011
Reds (AAA)
0
1
0
2
1
7.1
6.14
0.00
3.68
.333
51.3 %
9.82
7.15
2011
Reds
12
9
0
29
26
167.2
6.33
2.04
1.23
.269
75.8 %
47.7 %
13.9 %
3.86
4.22
3.68
1.3
2012
Reds
8
9
0
30
30
179.0
5.83
2.06
1.31
.306
71.0 %
48.9 %
16.7 %
4.58
4.42
3.82
1.3
2012
Reds
0
1
0
1
1
4.1
2.08
4.15
4.15
.267
57.7 %
37.5 %
40.0 %
10.38
10.02
5.71
2013
Steamer
5
4
0
18
11
79.0
6.36
2.22
0.89
.307
69.6 %
4.01
3.81
0.9
2013
Bill James
9
11
0
29
29
178.0
6.02
2.12
1.31
.300
4.15
4.38
2013
Oliver
11
8
171.0
6.05
2.21
1.05
.301
73.2 %
3.84
4.03
2013
Fans (24)
7
7
0
28
19
128.0
5.98
2.18
1.20
.301
73.2 %
4.17
4.30
1.2
2013
ZiPS
8
9
29
27
166.7
6.15
2.21
1.35
.302
69.7 %
4.59
4.49
1.1
2013
Reds
3
2
0
8
8
48.1
6.33
2.42
0.93
.348
79.7 %
51.9 %
10.6 %
3.72
4.03
4.08
0.5
2013
ZiPS (R)
5
7
21
20
122.0
6.16
2.24
1.27
.306
68.8 %
4.56
4.35
0.9
2013
ZiPS (U)
8
9
29
28
170.0
6.21
2.29
1.18
.317
71.6 %
4.32
4.26
1.6
2013
Steamer (R)
4
3
0
20
11
57.0
6.41
2.23
0.88
.295
69.8 %
3.96
3.74
0.6
2013
Steamer (U)
7
5
0
28
19
105.0
6.37
2.32
0.91
.320
74.1 %
3.85
3.87
1.2
Total
- - -
31
24
0
91
86
533.1
6.06
2.38
1.23
.301
73.7 %
49.2 %
14.3 %
4.19
4.39
3.89
3.8
Postseason
- - -
0
1
0
1
1
4.1
2.08
4.15
4.15
.267
57.7 %
37.5 %
40.0 %
10.38
10.02
5.71
News
5/15
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 5-15-13
by
Brad Johnson
5/14
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 5-14-13
by
Brad Johnson
5/13
-
NL Central division update: May edition
by
Jason Linden
5/20
-
2013 Mets Series Preview: Five questions about the Cincinnat»
by
Amazin' Avenue
5/18
-
Reds option Tony Cingrani to Triple-A
by
MLB Daily Dish
5/16
-
The Streamer Report: Friday's Starting Pitcher Targets
by
Fake Teams
2/6
-
Reds, Leake Avoid Arbitration
by
Ben Nicholson-Smith
12/7
-
Rockies, Reds Have Discussed Fowler
by
Ben Nicholson-Smith
6/7
-
Platform Years For First-Time Eligible Starters
by
Ben Nicholson-Smith
Standard
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2010
Reds
8
4
4.23
24
22
0
0
0
0
0
138.1
604
158
77
65
19
49
2
3
2
0
91
2011
Reds (AAA)
0
1
9.82
2
1
0
0
0
7.1
35
12
8
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
5
2011
Reds
12
9
3.86
29
26
0
0
0
0
0
167.2
693
159
74
72
23
38
3
8
2
1
118
2012
Reds
8
9
4.58
30
30
2
0
0
0
0
179.0
757
201
97
91
26
41
3
3
3
0
116
2012
Reds
0
1
10.38
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
4.1
20
6
5
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
2013
Steamer
5
4
4.01
18
11
0
79.0
334
81
38
35
8
19
2
56
2013
Bill James
9
11
4.15
29
29
0
178.0
190
26
42
5
119
2013
Oliver
11
8
3.84
0
171.0
713
180
80
73
20
42
3
5
115
2013
Fans (24)
7
7
4.17
28
19
0
128.0
136
63
59
17
31
3
85
2013
ZiPS
8
9
4.59
29
27
166.7
179
91
85
25
41
3
4
2
0
114
2013
Reds
3
2
3.72
8
8
0
0
0
0
0
48.1
211
59
21
20
5
13
1
4
0
0
34
2013
ZiPS (R)
5
7
4.56
21
20
122.0
132
67
62
17
30
4
83
2013
ZiPS (U)
8
9
4.32
29
28
170.0
191
89
82
22
43
8
117
2013
Steamer (R)
4
3
3.96
20
11
0
57.0
241
58
27
25
6
14
2
40
2013
Steamer (U)
7
5
3.85
28
19
0
105.0
452
117
48
45
11
27
6
74
Total
- - -
31
24
4.19
91
86
2
0
0
0
0
533.1
2265
577
269
248
73
141
9
18
7
1
359
Postseason
- - -
0
1
10.38
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
4.1
20
6
5
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
Advanced
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2010
Reds
5.92
3.19
1.86
1.24
15.1 %
8.1 %
.286
1.50
.314
72.5 %
103
115
4.68
2010
Average
7.13
3.28
2.17
0.96
18.5 %
8.5 %
.253
1.35
.293
72.2 %
4.20
2011
Reds (AAA)
6.14
0.00
5.00
3.68
14.3 %
0.0 %
.343
1.64
.333
51.3 %
7.15
2011
Reds
6.33
2.04
3.11
1.23
17.0 %
5.5 %
.246
1.17
.269
75.8 %
99
108
4.22
2011
Average
7.13
3.11
2.30
0.94
18.6 %
8.1 %
.251
1.32
.291
72.5 %
4.12
2012
Reds
5.83
2.06
2.83
1.31
15.3 %
5.4 %
.282
1.35
.306
71.0 %
114
111
4.42
2012
Reds
2.08
4.15
0.50
4.15
5.0 %
10.0 %
.333
1.85
.267
57.7 %
258
250
10.02
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
6.36
2.22
2.86
0.89
.268
1.28
.307
69.6 %
3.81
2013
Bill James
6.02
2.12
2.83
1.31
.275
1.30
.300
4.38
2013
Oliver
6.05
2.21
2.74
1.05
16.1 %
5.9 %
.270
1.30
.301
73.2 %
4.03
2013
Fans (24)
5.98
2.18
2.74
1.20
.274
1.30
.301
73.2 %
4.30
2013
ZiPS
6.15
2.21
2.78
1.35
.276
1.32
.302
69.7 %
4.49
2013
Reds
6.33
2.42
2.62
0.93
16.1 %
6.2 %
.304
1.49
.348
79.7 %
96
102
4.03
2013
Average
7.62
3.12
2.45
1.04
20.0 %
8.2 %
.248
1.31
.291
73.0 %
4.15
2013
ZiPS (R)
6.16
2.24
2.75
1.27
.277
1.33
.306
68.8 %
4.35
2013
ZiPS (U)
6.21
2.29
2.71
1.18
.284
1.38
.317
71.6 %
4.26
2013
Steamer (R)
6.41
2.23
2.87
0.88
.267
1.28
.295
69.8 %
3.74
2013
Steamer (U)
6.37
2.32
2.75
0.91
.284
1.37
.320
74.1 %
3.87
Total
- - -
6.06
2.38
2.55
1.23
15.9 %
6.2 %
.274
1.35
.301
73.7 %
105
110
4.39
Postseason
- - -
2.08
4.15
0.50
4.15
5.0 %
10.0 %
.333
1.85
.267
57.7 %
258
250
10.02
Batted Ball
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2010
Reds
1.58
17.9 %
50.2 %
31.9 %
6.9 %
13.2 %
4.4 %
11.1 %
4.92
4.33
104
4.16
2011
Reds
1.50
20.6 %
47.7 %
31.7 %
9.1 %
13.9 %
4.8 %
0.0 %
4.85
3.76
95
3.68
2012
Reds
1.84
24.5 %
48.9 %
26.6 %
8.3 %
16.7 %
4.5 %
0.0 %
5.57
4.01
98
3.82
2012
Reds
1.20
31.3 %
37.5 %
31.3 %
20.0 %
40.0 %
16.7 %
0.0 %
14.17
5.91
146
5.71
2013
Reds
1.72
17.9 %
51.9 %
30.1 %
10.6 %
10.6 %
4.9 %
25.0 %
4.29
4.03
105
4.08
Total
- - -
1.65
21.0 %
49.2 %
29.9 %
8.4 %
14.3 %
4.6 %
6.9 %
5.05
4.02
99
3.89
Postseason
- - -
1.20
31.3 %
37.5 %
31.3 %
20.0 %
40.0 %
16.7 %
0.0 %
14.17
5.91
146
5.71
More Batted Ball
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2010
Reds
227
144
81
10
10
9
1
87
814
1317
2131
2011
Reds
248
165
107
15
12
6
0
108
933
1619
2552
2012
Reds
287
156
144
13
13
10
0
89
977
1737
2714
2012
Reds
6
5
5
1
1
1
0
2
27
44
71
2013
Reds
81
47
28
5
4
4
1
29
262
482
744
Total
- - -
843
512
360
43
39
29
2
313
2986
5155
8141
Postseason
- - -
6
5
5
1
1
1
0
2
27
44
71
Win Probability
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2010
Reds
0.03
-10.07
10.10
-7.47
-0.79
0.94
0.87
0.83
0.85
24
-0.60
0.64
0
1
2011
Reds
-0.35
-11.91
11.55
8.06
0.93
0.94
0.89
0.90
0.96
27
0.62
-0.99
0
1
2012
Reds
-2.03
-14.72
12.69
-16.69
-1.76
0.97
0.90
0.87
1.19
28
-2.21
0.13
0
0
2012
Reds
-0.31
-0.55
0.24
-2.60
-0.28
0.82
0.85
0.87
1.14
1
-0.25
-0.14
0
0
2013
Reds
-0.26
-3.57
3.31
1.15
0.09
0.90
0.77
0.88
1.12
8
-0.35
0.06
0
0
Total
- - -
-2.61
-40.26
37.65
-14.95
-1.53
0.95
0.88
0.87
1.02
87
-2.54
-0.21
0
2
Postseason
- - -
-0.31
-0.55
0.24
-2.60
-0.28
0.82
0.85
0.87
1.14
1
-0.25
-0.14
0
0
Pitch Type
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2010
Reds
51.6% (88.7)
17.9% (80.8)
12.1% (88.6)
7.7% (77.0)
10.7% (82.1)
1.4%
2011
Reds
35.4% (89.1)
14.9% (82.2)
31.8% (88.1)
7.0% (76.6)
10.9% (82.9)
0.8%
2012
Reds
46.3% (89.6)
10.0% (81.0)
24.2% (88.5)
9.1% (77.7)
10.4% (83.6)
0.9%
2013
Reds
47.6% (90.1)
5.0% (80.0)
19.2% (87.7)
11.5% (77.7)
16.8% (83.9)
0.5%
Total
- - -
44.4% (89.2)
13.1% (81.3)
23.0% (88.3)
8.3% (77.3)
11.2% (83.1)
1.0%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2010
Reds
2.5 %
12.3 %
48.6 %
16.2 %
8.9 %
11.0 %
2011
Reds
7.7 %
31.7 %
26.8 %
15.8 %
7.0 %
10.5 %
2012
Reds
12.9 %
24.3 %
33.8 %
9.3 %
9.8 %
9.3 %
2013
Reds
6.9 %
19.8 %
40.6 %
4.6 %
11.8 %
15.9 %
Total
- - -
8.0 %
23.1 %
36.1 %
12.7 %
8.9 %
10.7 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2010
Reds
91.1
88.5
88.5
80.9
77.3
82.2
2011
Reds
89.0
88.2
88.8
82.3
77.0
83.0
2012
Reds
89.5
88.4
89.4
80.8
78.0
83.5
2013
Reds
90.4
87.7
89.9
80.0
77.8
83.7
Total
- - -
89.5
88.3
89.0
81.4
77.5
83.0
Pitch Values
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2010
Reds
4.1
-3.1
-8.4
-0.4
-3.3
0.38
-0.81
-3.32
-0.26
-1.46
2011
Reds
1.7
2.5
-2.4
-1.6
0.9
0.19
0.66
-0.29
-0.94
0.34
2012
Reds
-5.0
-5.2
4.8
-1.7
-9.5
-0.40
-1.95
0.74
-0.68
-3.42
2013
Reds
-3.3
0.2
-0.9
2.7
0.5
-0.94
0.51
-0.63
3.13
0.40
Total
- - -
-2.4
-5.6
-6.8
-1.1
-11.4
-0.07
-0.53
-0.37
-0.16
-1.26
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2010
Reds
-1.2
-9.1
5.4
-3.4
-0.9
-3.4
2011
Reds
2.5
-3.3
1.2
2.9
-0.9
0.1
2012
Reds
-5.6
7.3
-5.3
-3.1
-3.1
-5.0
2013
Reds
-0.1
-0.8
-3.3
-0.6
3.5
0.8
Total
- - -
-4.4
-5.9
-2.0
-4.2
-1.4
-7.5
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2010
Reds
-2.23
-3.49
0.52
-1.00
-0.46
-1.44
2011
Reds
1.26
-0.41
0.18
0.73
-0.50
0.05
2012
Reds
-1.61
1.10
-0.58
-1.23
-1.15
-2.00
2013
Reds
-0.17
-0.55
-1.08
-1.62
3.94
0.66
Total
- - -
-0.68
-0.32
-0.07
-0.40
-0.19
-0.86
Plate Discipline
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2010
Reds
28.3 %
63.1 %
43.7 %
66.2 %
90.8 %
81.9 %
44.2 %
59.1 %
7.6 %
2010
Average
29.3 %
64.4 %
45.6 %
66.5 %
88.1 %
80.7 %
46.5 %
58.8 %
8.5 %
2011
Reds
32.0 %
64.0 %
45.6 %
71.0 %
90.3 %
82.6 %
42.7 %
57.9 %
7.7 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Reds
29.8 %
65.3 %
45.0 %
73.6 %
90.6 %
84.2 %
42.9 %
62.8 %
6.9 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Reds
32.1 %
66.2 %
48.3 %
70.7 %
89.5 %
83.0 %
47.5 %
59.7 %
7.9 %
2013
Average
29.5 %
64.9 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.5 %
45.9 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
30.3 %
64.4 %
45.2 %
70.7 %
90.5 %
83.0 %
43.6 %
60.0 %
7.4 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2010
Reds
26.5 %
60.8 %
42.9 %
62.2 %
91.2 %
81.8 %
47.8 %
17.6
2010
Average
28.4 %
61.3 %
44.9 %
64.6 %
87.9 %
80.6 %
50.4 %
21.5
2011
Reds
28.7 %
62.1 %
45.2 %
66.2 %
90.0 %
82.4 %
49.5 %
20.8
2011
Average
28.9 %
62.1 %
45.6 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.6
2012
Reds
29.4 %
60.6 %
44.7 %
69.7 %
91.6 %
84.2 %
48.9 %
20.3
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Reds
32.1 %
63.2 %
47.7 %
67.8 %
90.2 %
82.7 %
50.3 %
21.3
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.1 %
45.3 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.1 %
22.5
Total
- - -
28.7 %
61.4 %
44.7 %
66.6 %
90.9 %
82.9 %
48.9 %
19.8
Fielding
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2010
Reds
P
24
22
138.1
18
22
3
1
2
3
2
0
1
5
.930
2011
Reds
P
29
26
167.2
18
22
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
5
1.000
2012
Reds
P
30
30
179.0
25
30
2
0
2
3
3
0
0
8
.965
2013
Reds
P
8
8
48.1
5
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.000
Total
- - -
P
91
86
533.1
66
81
5
1
4
10
9
0
1
21
.967
Advanced Fielding
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2010
Reds
P
138.1
1
1
0
2
2011
Reds
P
167.2
1
0
2
4
2012
Reds
P
179.0
1
1
3
6
2013
Reds
P
48.1
0
1
0
1
Total
- - -
P
533.1
3
3
5
13
Value
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2010
Reds
1.0
-0.6
0.9
0.2
7.7
0.8
$3.2
2011
Reds
2.4
1.0
0.2
1.2
11.8
1.3
$5.6
2012
Reds
1.1
-0.6
0.4
-0.2
12.4
1.3
$5.8
2013
Reds
0.7
-0.8
1.0
0.2
4.7
0.5
$2.5
Total
- - -
5.3
-1.0
2.5
1.4
36.6
3.8
$17.1
Contracts
$3.1m / 1 Years (2013)
(
Edit
)
signed by Cincinnati Reds on 2/6/2013 (Avoided Arbitration)
2013:
$3.1M
Incentives: a) $25K if he pitches 180 innings or more
Source:
espn.go.com
Submitted by Jeff Zimmerman
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