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FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 5/21/13
On the Not Literally Venomous Patrick Corbin
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The Fortnight - 5/21/13
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Bullpen Report: May 21, 2013
RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 5/21/13
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The Saddest Greatest Baseball Card I Own
Eno Sarris Pronunciation Guide: Trey Michalczewski
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The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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AL Games
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F - 10th
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Final
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2013
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AL East
Yankees
28
17
----
Red Sox
27
19
1.5
Orioles
24
21
4.0
Rays
24
21
4.0
Blue Jays
18
27
10.0
AL Central
Indians
26
18
----
Tigers
24
19
1.5
Royals
20
21
4.5
White Sox
21
23
5.0
Twins
18
23
6.5
AL West
Rangers
29
17
----
Athletics
25
22
4.5
Mariners
20
25
8.5
Angels
17
27
11.0
Astros
13
32
15.5
NL East
Braves
26
18
----
Nationals
23
22
3.5
Phillies
22
24
5.0
Mets
17
26
8.5
Marlins
13
33
14.0
NL Central
Cardinals
28
16
----
Reds
28
18
1.0
Pirates
27
18
1.5
Cubs
18
26
10.0
Brewers
17
26
10.5
NL West
D-backs
26
19
----
Giants
25
20
1.0
Rockies
24
21
2.0
Padres
21
23
4.5
Dodgers
18
25
7.0
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Adam Ottavino
Birthdate:
11/22/1985
Bats/Throws:
B/R
Height/Weight:
6-5/230
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
4/30/2013:
Ottavino has posted a 16:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 13.1 innings this season, aiding him to a 1.98 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
2/23/2011
-
Who Will Replace Adam Wainwright?
by
Paul Swydan (FanGraphs)
36
6/7/2010
-
Starting Pitchers: June 7th
by
Mike Axisa (RotoGraphs)
2
11/5/2009
-
A Minor Review of '09: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
7
2/16/2009
-
The 2009 Prospect Mine: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
5
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
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Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2006
Cardinals (A-)
2
2
0
6
6
28.2
8.16
4.08
0.31
.262
70.2 %
3.14
3.30
2006
Cardinals (A)
2
3
0
8
8
36.2
9.33
4.66
0.74
.269
64.1 %
3.44
4.07
2007
Cardinals (A+)
12
8
0
27
27
143.1
8.04
3.96
0.63
.292
73.8 %
3.08
3.81
2008
Cardinals (AA)
3
7
0
24
24
115.1
7.49
4.06
1.25
.329
69.5 %
5.23
4.95
2009
Cardinals (AAA)
7
12
0
27
27
144.0
7.44
5.13
0.75
.308
70.8 %
4.75
4.55
2010
Cardinals (AAA)
5
3
0
9
9
47.2
8.12
2.27
0.94
.286
68.6 %
3.97
3.70
2010
Cardinals
0
2
0
5
3
22.1
4.84
3.63
2.01
.381
64.1 %
36.4 %
17.9 %
8.46
6.12
4.74
-0.3
2011
Cardinals (AAA)
7
8
0
26
25
141.0
7.66
4.53
0.89
.329
69.5 %
4.85
4.49
2012
Rockies (AAA)
0
0
0
13
0
19.2
11.44
3.20
0.92
.364
80.2 %
3.20
3.05
2012
Rockies
5
1
0
53
0
79.0
9.23
3.87
1.03
.313
70.1 %
47.9 %
16.1 %
4.56
3.85
3.41
0.6
2013
Steamer
4
3
0
42
0
63.0
8.19
3.77
0.84
.312
72.9 %
3.87
3.86
0.6
2013
Bill James
3
4
0
21
9
63.0
7.86
4.00
1.00
.336
5.00
4.20
2013
Oliver
5
7
105.0
6.75
4.02
0.94
.328
69.5 %
4.87
4.34
2013
ZiPS
3
3
65
0
96.3
8.88
3.93
1.12
.325
72.0 %
4.49
4.11
0.6
2013
Rockies
0
1
0
14
0
22.1
9.67
2.01
1.21
.274
78.0 %
46.8 %
14.3 %
2.01
3.44
3.05
0.3
2013
ZiPS (R)
2
2
45
0
67.0
9.06
3.68
1.14
.330
70.9 %
4.48
3.97
0.5
2013
ZiPS (U)
2
3
59
0
89.0
9.22
3.26
1.16
.324
75.5 %
3.86
3.84
0.8
2013
Steamer (R)
3
2
0
37
0
46.0
8.29
3.54
0.85
.298
73.4 %
3.74
3.71
0.5
2013
Steamer (U)
3
3
0
51
0
68.0
8.74
3.04
0.97
.291
74.4 %
3.18
3.62
0.8
Total
- - -
5
4
0
72
3
123.2
8.51
3.49
1.24
.322
69.7 %
45.0 %
16.2 %
4.80
4.19
3.59
0.6
News
4/16
-
THT Awards
by
John Barten
8/31
-
Fantasy: NL Waiver Wire: Week 19
by
Nick Fleder
8/24
-
Fantasy: NL Waiver Wire: Week 18
by
Nick Fleder
5/18
-
Rock Mining, Week 7: Exorcising the baseball demons
by
Purple Row
5/11
-
Rock Mining Week 6: Where's the offense?
by
Purple Row
5/4
-
Game Wrap: Rays 7, Rockies 4: Rockies go down in tenth to »
by
Purple Row
4/3
-
Rockies Claim Adam Ottavino
by
Ben Nicholson-Smith
11/20
-
Cardinals Remove Four From 40-Man Roster
by
Mike Axisa
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2006
Cardinals (A-)
2
2
3.14
6
6
0
0
0
28.2
125
23
12
10
1
13
0
1
0
0
26
2006
Cardinals (A)
2
3
3.44
8
8
0
0
0
36.2
157
28
21
14
3
19
0
4
3
0
38
2007
Cardinals (A+)
12
8
3.08
27
27
1
0
0
143.1
620
130
63
49
10
63
0
8
6
0
128
2008
Cardinals (AA)
3
7
5.23
24
24
1
0
0
115.1
530
133
75
67
16
52
0
10
6
0
96
2009
Cardinals (AAA)
7
12
4.75
27
27
0
0
0
144.0
642
141
80
76
12
82
1
10
13
1
119
2010
Cardinals (AAA)
5
3
3.97
9
9
0
0
0
47.2
196
43
23
21
5
12
0
3
3
0
43
2010
Cardinals
0
2
8.46
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
22.1
110
37
21
21
5
9
1
0
1
0
12
2011
Cardinals (AAA)
7
8
4.85
26
25
0
0
0
141.0
639
154
85
76
14
71
0
9
8
1
120
2012
Rockies (AAA)
0
0
3.20
13
0
0
0
0
19.2
89
22
8
7
2
7
0
0
1
0
25
2012
Rockies
5
1
4.56
53
0
0
0
0
6
2
79.0
339
76
42
40
9
34
7
1
8
0
81
2013
Steamer
4
3
3.87
42
0
0
63.0
275
61
30
27
6
26
2
58
2013
Bill James
3
4
5.00
21
9
0
63.0
69
7
28
3
55
2013
Oliver
5
7
4.87
2
105.0
467
118
61
57
11
47
3
4
79
2013
ZiPS
3
3
4.49
65
0
96.3
97
51
48
12
42
7
2
9
0
95
2013
Rockies
0
1
2.01
14
0
0
0
0
1
0
22.1
95
20
9
5
3
5
2
1
2
0
24
2013
ZiPS (R)
2
2
4.48
45
0
67.0
68
36
33
9
27
2
68
2013
ZiPS (U)
2
3
3.86
59
0
89.0
88
42
38
12
32
3
92
2013
Steamer (R)
3
2
3.74
37
0
0
46.0
197
43
21
19
4
18
2
42
2013
Steamer (U)
3
3
3.18
51
0
0
68.0
292
63
30
24
7
23
3
66
Total
- - -
5
4
4.80
72
3
0
0
0
7
2
123.2
544
133
72
66
17
48
10
2
11
0
117
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2006
Cardinals (A-)
8.16
4.08
2.00
0.31
20.8 %
10.4 %
.207
1.26
.262
70.2 %
3.30
2006
Cardinals (A)
9.33
4.66
2.00
0.74
24.2 %
12.1 %
.209
1.28
.269
64.1 %
4.07
2007
Cardinals (A+)
8.04
3.96
2.03
0.63
20.7 %
10.2 %
.237
1.35
.292
73.8 %
3.81
2008
Cardinals (AA)
7.49
4.06
1.85
1.25
18.1 %
9.8 %
.284
1.60
.329
69.5 %
4.95
2009
Cardinals (AAA)
7.44
5.13
1.45
0.75
18.5 %
12.8 %
.256
1.55
.308
70.8 %
4.55
2010
Cardinals (AAA)
8.12
2.27
3.58
0.94
21.9 %
6.1 %
.238
1.15
.286
68.6 %
3.70
2010
Cardinals
4.84
3.63
1.33
2.01
10.9 %
8.2 %
.366
2.06
.381
64.1 %
216
157
6.12
2010
Average
7.13
3.28
2.17
0.96
18.5 %
8.5 %
.253
1.35
.293
72.2 %
4.20
2011
Cardinals (AAA)
7.66
4.53
1.69
0.89
18.8 %
11.1 %
.276
1.60
.329
69.5 %
4.49
2012
Rockies (AAA)
11.44
3.20
3.57
0.92
28.1 %
7.9 %
.268
1.47
.364
80.2 %
3.05
2012
Rockies
9.23
3.87
2.38
1.03
23.9 %
10.0 %
.250
1.39
.313
70.1 %
102
87
3.85
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
8.19
3.77
2.17
0.84
.254
1.38
.312
72.9 %
3.86
2013
Bill James
7.86
4.00
1.96
1.00
.280
1.54
.336
4.20
2013
Oliver
6.75
4.02
1.68
0.94
16.9 %
10.1 %
.284
1.57
.328
69.5 %
4.34
2013
ZiPS
8.88
3.93
2.26
1.12
.263
1.44
.325
72.0 %
4.11
2013
Rockies
9.67
2.01
4.80
1.21
25.3 %
5.3 %
.225
1.12
.274
78.0 %
47
78
3.44
2013
Average
7.62
3.12
2.45
1.04
20.0 %
8.2 %
.248
1.31
.291
73.0 %
4.15
2013
ZiPS (R)
9.06
3.68
2.46
1.14
.266
1.43
.330
70.9 %
3.97
2013
ZiPS (U)
9.22
3.26
2.82
1.16
.260
1.35
.324
75.5 %
3.84
2013
Steamer (R)
8.29
3.54
2.34
0.85
.252
1.34
.298
73.4 %
3.71
2013
Steamer (U)
8.74
3.04
2.88
0.97
.248
1.27
.291
74.4 %
3.62
Total
- - -
8.51
3.49
2.44
1.24
21.5 %
8.8 %
.269
1.46
.322
69.7 %
112
98
4.19
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2010
Cardinals
1.14
31.8 %
36.4 %
31.8 %
3.6 %
17.9 %
6.3 %
0.0 %
7.99
4.97
119
4.74
2012
Rockies
1.86
26.3 %
47.9 %
25.8 %
10.7 %
16.1 %
7.7 %
16.7 %
5.54
3.32
87
3.41
2013
Rockies
1.38
19.4 %
46.8 %
33.9 %
9.5 %
14.3 %
10.3 %
0.0 %
4.26
2.70
78
3.05
Total
- - -
1.57
26.4 %
45.0 %
28.6 %
8.6 %
16.2 %
7.9 %
10.0 %
5.75
3.50
91
3.59
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2010
Cardinals
32
28
28
1
2
1
0
10
159
262
421
2012
Rockies
104
56
57
6
8
6
1
32
495
854
1349
2013
Rockies
29
21
12
2
3
3
0
7
130
230
360
Total
- - -
165
105
97
9
13
10
1
49
784
1346
2130
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2010
Cardinals
-0.32
-1.33
1.01
-8.31
-0.82
0.54
0.53
0.58
0.56
5
-1.26
0.67
0
0
2012
Rockies
0.36
-5.21
5.57
5.54
0.25
0.89
0.80
0.85
0.91
47
0.38
0.02
13
10
2013
Rockies
-0.12
-1.59
1.46
2.02
-0.01
1.00
0.85
1.03
1.11
13
0.46
-0.58
6
3
Total
- - -
-0.08
-8.13
8.04
-0.75
-0.59
0.84
0.76
0.87
0.93
65
-0.43
0.33
19
13
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2010
Cardinals
68.4% (92.8)
16.2% (83.9)
15.5% (86.1)
1.7%
2012
Rockies
51.7% (94.1)
46.1% (84.3)
2.3% (87.4)
2.0%
2013
Rockies
51.1% (92.2)
46.1% (82.6)
2.8% (85.6)
10.3%
Total
- - -
54.9% (93.5)
40.1% (84.0)
5.0% (86.5)
3.3%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2010
Cardinals
64.7 %
15.8 %
18.6 %
2012
Rockies
49.2 %
1.2 %
45.7 %
1.9 %
2013
Rockies
46.1 %
1.4 %
46.9 %
3.9 %
Total
- - -
51.7 %
1.0 %
40.0 %
5.6 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2010
Cardinals
92.9
84.0
86.2
2012
Rockies
94.0
94.6
84.4
87.2
2013
Rockies
92.2
90.8
82.7
87.2
Total
- - -
93.5
93.7
84.0
86.5
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2010
Cardinals
-6.9
-0.4
-3.6
-2.45
-0.52
-5.69
2012
Rockies
-7.5
9.0
0.6
-1.09
1.48
2.12
2013
Rockies
-0.2
2.7
-0.9
-0.12
1.84
-10.29
Total
- - -
-14.6
11.4
-3.9
-1.29
1.38
-3.82
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2010
Cardinals
-6.0
-0.5
-4.4
2012
Rockies
-7.3
0.5
9.7
0.7
2013
Rockies
0.5
-0.2
2.8
-1.0
Total
- - -
-12.9
0.2
12.0
-4.7
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2010
Cardinals
-2.22
-0.78
-5.64
2012
Rockies
-1.11
2.86
1.58
2.58
2013
Rockies
0.30
-4.75
1.67
-6.95
Total
- - -
-1.17
1.05
1.41
-3.98
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2010
Cardinals
26.8 %
65.6 %
45.3 %
73.7 %
96.1 %
89.2 %
47.8 %
57.3 %
4.8 %
2010
Average
29.3 %
64.4 %
45.6 %
66.5 %
88.1 %
80.7 %
46.5 %
58.8 %
8.5 %
2012
Rockies
31.0 %
62.9 %
47.0 %
50.3 %
85.2 %
73.7 %
50.1 %
58.7 %
11.7 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Rockies
28.2 %
66.9 %
47.2 %
50.0 %
81.9 %
72.2 %
49.1 %
66.3 %
13.1 %
2013
Average
29.5 %
64.9 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.5 %
45.9 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
29.7 %
64.0 %
46.7 %
54.6 %
86.8 %
76.5 %
49.5 %
59.7 %
10.6 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2010
Cardinals
25.1 %
63.9 %
44.6 %
71.2 %
95.5 %
88.7 %
50.1 %
20.5
2010
Average
28.4 %
61.3 %
44.9 %
64.6 %
87.9 %
80.6 %
50.4 %
21.5
2012
Rockies
31.1 %
60.3 %
46.6 %
44.6 %
87.0 %
73.7 %
53.1 %
23.7
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Rockies
31.4 %
62.8 %
47.7 %
49.1 %
81.7 %
71.4 %
52.0 %
23.6
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.1 %
45.3 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.1 %
22.5
Total
- - -
29.9 %
61.4 %
46.4 %
50.0 %
87.8 %
76.2 %
52.3 %
23.1
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2010
Cardinals
P
5
3
22.1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1.000
2012
Rockies
P
53
0
79.0
5
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
16
1.000
2013
Rockies
P
14
0
22.1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.000
Total
- - -
P
72
3
123.2
11
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19
1.000
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2010
Cardinals
P
22.1
0
0
-1
-1
2012
Rockies
P
79.0
-2
-1
0
-3
2013
Rockies
P
22.1
0
0
-1
-1
Total
- - -
P
123.2
-2
-1
-2
-5
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2010
Cardinals
-0.6
-0.5
0.3
-0.2
-3.7
-0.3
($1.4)
2012
Rockies
0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.5
6.0
0.6
$2.9
2013
Rockies
0.3
0.1
-0.1
0.0
2.4
0.3
$1.4
Total
- - -
-0.1
-0.7
0.0
-0.7
4.7
0.6
$2.9
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