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The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Swings
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Roto Riteup: May 25, 2013
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Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
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A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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Final
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F - 11th
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B - 7th
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T - 8th
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Team Pitching Stats
2013
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AL East
Yankees
30
18
----
Red Sox
30
20
1.0
Orioles
27
22
3.5
Rays
24
24
6.0
Blue Jays
20
29
10.5
AL Central
Tigers
27
20
----
Indians
27
21
0.5
White Sox
23
24
4.0
Royals
21
25
5.5
Twins
19
27
7.5
AL West
Rangers
31
17
----
Athletics
27
23
5.0
Angels
22
27
9.5
Mariners
20
28
11.0
Astros
14
35
17.5
NL East
Braves
29
18
----
Nationals
25
24
5.0
Phillies
24
25
6.0
Mets
17
28
11.0
Marlins
13
36
17.0
NL Central
Cardinals
31
17
----
Reds
31
18
0.5
Pirates
30
19
1.5
Brewers
19
28
11.5
Cubs
18
30
13.0
NL West
D-backs
27
21
----
Giants
27
22
0.5
Rockies
27
22
0.5
Padres
21
26
5.5
Dodgers
20
27
6.5
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5/12/2009
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The Next Tommy John?
by
Dave Cameron (FanGraphs)
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3/10/2009
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Devilish Injury Strikes Angels' Rotation
by
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4
Graphs
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PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2002
Tigers
0
3
0
3
3
14.0
4.50
1.93
2.57
.306
40.2 %
38.5 %
20.0 %
9.00
6.53
4.80
-0.2
2003
Tigers
1
1
0
11
4
30.1
2.37
3.56
1.19
.295
61.2 %
48.7 %
11.8 %
7.12
5.80
5.72
-0.3
2006
Royals (AAA)
2
5
2
31
0
54.1
3.81
2.48
0.33
.355
49.9 %
6.46
3.88
2008
Angels (AAA)
12
6
0
22
22
138.0
5.02
2.61
0.91
.306
72.6 %
3.98
4.40
2008
Angels
0
0
0
7
0
16.0
2.25
1.13
0.56
.263
75.3 %
59.6 %
8.3 %
2.81
4.19
4.37
0.0
2009
Angels (A+)
0
0
0
1
1
1.0
0.00
18.00
0.00
.250
100.0 %
0.00
9.20
2009
Angels (AAA)
1
2
0
8
5
25.0
4.68
5.04
0.72
.286
73.9 %
3.96
4.88
2009
Angels
2
3
0
18
6
58.1
2.93
2.93
0.62
.356
64.1 %
46.7 %
5.4 %
5.86
4.52
5.29
0.5
2010
Astros (AAA)
6
12
0
20
19
108.0
5.17
1.33
0.92
.325
59.5 %
5.25
3.96
2011
Giants (AAA)
8
12
0
28
28
179.1
4.22
2.06
0.95
.300
67.7 %
4.67
4.56
2012
Giants (R)
0
0
0
1
1
1.0
9.00
0.00
0.00
.000
100.0 %
0.00
1.20
2012
Giants (AAA)
4
1
0
23
0
32.0
6.19
1.41
0.00
.250
79.3 %
1.41
2.39
2012
Giants
1
0
0
19
0
25.1
3.20
3.20
1.07
.319
70.7 %
49.5 %
12.5 %
4.97
4.99
4.84
-0.2
2013
Steamer
2
1
0
30
0
30.0
5.00
2.23
0.87
.303
70.6 %
4.00
4.12
-0.1
2013
Oliver
6
6
108.0
3.77
2.01
0.75
.303
69.2 %
4.10
4.09
2013
ZiPS
3
3
41
0
53.3
4.90
2.70
0.68
.300
69.3 %
4.05
4.00
0.0
2013
Giants (AAA)
4
2
0
8
8
41.2
3.24
3.67
1.30
.236
66.5 %
4.75
5.72
Total
- - -
4
7
0
58
13
144.0
2.94
2.81
1.00
.322
63.6 %
48.2 %
9.8 %
5.94
5.03
5.15
-0.1
News
5/23
-
minor lines, 5/22/13
by
McCovey Chronicles
5/18
-
Miami Marlins Daily Minor League Report: May 17
by
FishStripes
5/18
-
minor lines, 5/17/13
by
McCovey Chronicles
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2002
Tigers
0
3
9.00
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
14.0
64
19
16
14
4
3
0
1
1
0
7
2003
Tigers
1
1
7.12
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
30.1
140
37
24
24
4
12
1
4
1
0
8
2006
Royals (AAA)
2
5
6.46
31
0
0
0
2
54.1
247
74
48
39
2
15
2
4
3
0
23
2008
Angels (AAA)
12
6
3.98
22
22
1
0
0
138.0
595
154
69
61
14
40
0
6
3
0
77
2008
Angels
0
0
2.81
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
16.0
66
16
6
5
1
2
0
2
0
0
4
2009
Angels (A+)
0
0
0.00
1
1
0
0
0
1.0
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2009
Angels (AAA)
1
2
3.96
8
5
0
0
0
25.0
106
24
12
11
2
14
0
0
1
0
13
2009
Angels
2
3
5.86
18
6
0
0
0
0
0
58.1
271
84
42
38
4
19
0
4
3
0
19
2010
Astros (AAA)
6
12
5.25
20
19
1
1
0
108.0
473
134
72
63
11
16
0
5
2
0
62
2011
Giants (AAA)
8
12
4.67
28
28
1
1
0
179.1
768
202
101
93
19
41
3
14
4
0
84
2012
Giants (R)
0
0
0.00
1
1
0
0
0
1.0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2012
Giants (AAA)
4
1
1.41
23
0
0
0
0
32.0
120
23
6
5
0
5
0
1
1
0
22
2012
Giants
1
0
4.97
19
0
0
0
0
1
0
25.1
112
32
15
14
3
9
1
0
1
0
9
2013
Steamer
2
1
4.00
30
0
0
30.0
129
32
15
13
3
7
1
17
2013
Oliver
6
6
4.10
2
108.0
459
123
54
49
9
24
1
5
45
2013
ZiPS
3
3
4.05
41
0
53.3
56
26
24
4
16
1
2
2
0
29
2013
Giants (AAA)
4
2
4.75
8
8
0
0
0
41.2
180
39
25
22
6
17
0
2
4
1
15
Total
- - -
4
7
5.94
58
13
0
0
0
1
0
144.0
653
188
103
95
16
45
2
11
6
0
47
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2002
Tigers
4.50
1.93
2.33
2.57
10.9 %
4.7 %
.317
1.57
.306
40.2 %
209
154
6.53
2002
Average
6.53
3.38
1.93
1.05
16.8 %
8.7 %
.257
1.38
.289
71.7 %
4.52
2003
Tigers
2.37
3.56
0.67
1.19
5.7 %
8.6 %
.298
1.62
.295
61.2 %
163
134
5.80
2003
Average
6.40
3.30
1.94
1.08
16.4 %
8.5 %
.260
1.38
.291
71.2 %
4.57
2006
Royals (AAA)
3.81
2.48
1.53
0.33
9.3 %
6.1 %
.325
1.64
.355
49.9 %
3.88
2008
Angels (AAA)
5.02
2.61
1.93
0.91
12.9 %
6.7 %
.281
1.41
.306
72.6 %
4.40
2008
Angels
2.25
1.13
2.00
0.56
6.1 %
3.0 %
.258
1.13
.263
75.3 %
65
98
4.19
2008
Average
6.83
3.39
2.01
1.01
17.5 %
8.7 %
.259
1.39
.296
71.4 %
4.39
2009
Angels (A+)
0.00
18.00
0.00
0.00
0.0 %
33.3 %
.250
3.00
.250
100.0 %
9.20
2009
Angels (AAA)
4.68
5.04
0.93
0.72
12.3 %
13.2 %
.261
1.52
.286
73.9 %
4.88
2009
Angels
2.93
2.93
1.00
0.62
7.0 %
7.0 %
.339
1.77
.356
64.1 %
133
104
4.52
2009
Average
6.99
3.46
2.02
1.05
18.0 %
8.9 %
.258
1.39
.295
71.9 %
4.42
2010
Astros (AAA)
5.17
1.33
3.88
0.92
13.1 %
3.4 %
.297
1.39
.325
59.5 %
3.96
2011
Giants (AAA)
4.22
2.06
2.05
0.95
10.9 %
5.3 %
.283
1.36
.300
67.7 %
4.56
2012
Giants (R)
9.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
33.3 %
0.0 %
.000
0.00
.000
100.0 %
1.20
2012
Giants (AAA)
6.19
1.41
4.40
0.00
18.3 %
4.2 %
.202
0.88
.250
79.3 %
2.39
2012
Giants
3.20
3.20
1.00
1.07
8.0 %
8.0 %
.311
1.62
.319
70.7 %
132
133
4.99
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
5.00
2.23
2.24
0.87
.277
1.33
.303
70.6 %
4.12
2013
Oliver
3.77
2.01
1.88
0.75
9.8 %
5.2 %
.286
1.37
.303
69.2 %
4.09
2013
ZiPS
4.90
2.70
1.81
0.68
.271
1.35
.300
69.3 %
4.00
2013
Giants (AAA)
3.24
3.67
0.88
1.30
8.3 %
9.4 %
.242
1.34
.236
66.5 %
5.72
Total
- - -
2.94
2.81
1.04
1.00
7.2 %
6.9 %
.315
1.62
.322
63.6 %
139
119
5.03
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2002
Tigers
1.00
23.1 %
38.5 %
38.5 %
5.0 %
20.0 %
0.0 %
100.0 %
7.20
4.73
110
4.80
2003
Tigers
1.65
21.7 %
48.7 %
29.6 %
0.0 %
11.8 %
5.4 %
0.0 %
6.52
5.48
128
5.72
2008
Angels
2.83
19.3 %
59.6 %
21.1 %
8.3 %
8.3 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
4.66
3.86
101
4.37
2009
Angels
1.43
20.7 %
46.7 %
32.6 %
6.8 %
5.4 %
7.5 %
100.0 %
4.93
5.25
120
5.29
2012
Giants
1.92
24.7 %
49.5 %
25.8 %
8.3 %
12.5 %
6.5 %
0.0 %
5.93
4.82
124
4.84
Total
- - -
1.60
21.7 %
48.2 %
30.1 %
5.5 %
9.8 %
5.3 %
60.0 %
5.61
5.06
119
5.15
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2002
Tigers
20
20
12
1
0
1
1
9
108
143
251
2003
Tigers
56
34
25
0
3
1
0
20
199
305
504
2008
Angels
34
12
11
1
0
1
0
4
87
144
231
2009
Angels
106
74
47
5
8
2
2
28
389
568
957
2012
Giants
46
24
23
2
3
0
0
10
164
245
409
Total
- - -
262
164
118
9
14
5
3
71
947
1405
2352
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2002
Tigers
-0.79
-1.54
0.75
-8.28
-0.80
0.76
0.74
0.87
0.67
3
-0.74
-0.30
0
0
2003
Tigers
-0.81
-2.26
1.45
-7.59
-0.89
0.66
0.70
1.00
0.48
10
-0.53
-0.69
0
2
2008
Angels
0.02
-0.24
0.26
0.71
0.07
0.22
0.23
0.35
0.47
2
0.00
0.09
0
0
2009
Angels
-0.34
-3.44
3.10
-12.35
-1.14
0.70
0.64
0.44
0.84
11
-0.85
0.37
0
1
2012
Giants
-0.02
-0.54
0.52
-3.51
-0.41
0.25
0.27
0.32
0.47
13
-0.54
0.47
1
0
Total
- - -
-1.94
-8.01
6.07
-31.02
-3.17
0.57
0.55
0.52
0.59
39
-2.67
-0.70
1
3
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2002
Tigers
71.9% (89.3)
19.4% (77.4)
8.8% (80.6)
36.3%
2003
Tigers
75.4% (89.8)
7.9% (83.7)
11.1% (77.5)
5.6% (83.1)
2008
Angels
78.5% (90.7)
16.2% (85.0)
1.3% (78.7)
3.9% (84.1)
1.3%
2009
Angels
67.2% (90.8)
24.0% (84.8)
6.4% (78.0)
2.4% (83.9)
0.6%
2012
Giants
74.8% (91.2)
9.4% (84.0)
10.4% (78.9)
5.4% (83.0)
1.2%
Total
- - -
71.9% (90.6)
15.3% (84.6)
8.6% (78.0)
4.3% (83.1)
4.5%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2008
Angels
80.9 %
1.1 %
3.3 %
11.5 %
2.2 %
1.1 %
2009
Angels
63.1 %
23.5 %
7.2 %
5.9 %
2012
Giants
16.4 %
57.1 %
9.3 %
10.3 %
5.6 %
Total
- - -
52.7 %
0.1 %
0.4 %
15.3 %
18.2 %
7.4 %
5.3 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2008
Angels
90.9
85.7
84.1
85.4
78.4
87.2
2009
Angels
90.9
85.0
79.6
84.2
2012
Giants
91.7
90.9
83.8
78.9
83.2
Total
- - -
90.9
85.7
84.1
90.9
84.9
79.3
84.0
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2002
Tigers
1.2
-2.8
-0.7
1.04
-8.94
-5.27
2003
Tigers
-3.3
-4.1
-0.3
-0.3
-0.87
-10.16
-0.46
-1.18
2008
Angels
2.2
-0.6
0.0
-0.3
1.23
-1.62
0.59
-3.58
2009
Angels
-6.2
-4.6
-1.6
-0.2
-0.97
-2.00
-2.55
-0.81
2012
Giants
-1.1
-2.6
-1.4
0.6
-0.35
-6.95
-3.37
2.83
Total
- - -
-7.2
-11.9
-6.0
-1.0
-0.44
-3.46
-3.10
-0.99
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2008
Angels
3.5
-0.1
-0.6
0.1
-0.5
0.0
2009
Angels
-5.9
-3.7
-2.8
-1.7
2012
Giants
-1.8
1.0
-2.6
-1.4
0.8
Total
- - -
-4.3
-0.1
-0.6
1.0
-6.2
-4.8
-0.9
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2008
Angels
2.34
-3.24
-9.68
0.34
-12.67
0.11
2009
Angels
-1.01
-1.68
-4.24
-3.07
2012
Giants
-2.75
0.44
-6.77
-3.40
3.61
Total
- - -
-0.54
-3.24
-9.68
0.44
-2.22
-4.23
-1.07
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2002
Tigers
10.1 %
79.6 %
46.6 %
33.3 %
88.6 %
82.9 %
52.6 %
46.9 %
8.0 %
2002
Average
18.1 %
70.1 %
46.5 %
47.5 %
85.5 %
78.8 %
54.6 %
58.3 %
9.8 %
2003
Tigers
15.3 %
69.6 %
44.1 %
72.2 %
95.1 %
91.4 %
53.1 %
57.9 %
3.8 %
2003
Average
22.2 %
68.8 %
46.2 %
51.9 %
87.8 %
79.4 %
51.4 %
58.6 %
9.5 %
2008
Angels
23.9 %
68.6 %
47.1 %
80.8 %
97.5 %
93.5 %
52.0 %
50.0 %
3.0 %
2008
Average
25.4 %
65.4 %
45.9 %
61.7 %
87.9 %
80.8 %
51.1 %
58.6 %
8.6 %
2009
Angels
22.0 %
71.1 %
43.9 %
74.8 %
98.0 %
91.6 %
44.7 %
50.2 %
3.6 %
2009
Average
25.1 %
66.0 %
45.3 %
61.7 %
87.8 %
80.5 %
49.3 %
58.2 %
8.6 %
2012
Giants
27.0 %
69.1 %
46.2 %
75.9 %
91.2 %
86.3 %
45.7 %
60.7 %
6.1 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
Total
- - -
20.6 %
71.1 %
45.0 %
73.3 %
95.0 %
89.8 %
48.2 %
53.3 %
4.5 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2008
Angels
27.6 %
60.4 %
44.8 %
79.2 %
98.3 %
92.7 %
52.5 %
20.1
2008
Average
28.0 %
62.5 %
45.3 %
65.9 %
88.0 %
81.2 %
50.3 %
21.6
2009
Angels
23.4 %
64.9 %
43.8 %
75.7 %
96.6 %
90.9 %
49.0 %
22.4
2009
Average
27.9 %
61.4 %
44.8 %
65.5 %
88.0 %
81.0 %
50.4 %
21.4
2012
Giants
22.1 %
68.1 %
45.4 %
72.7 %
90.7 %
86.3 %
50.6 %
24.1
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
Total
- - -
23.6 %
65.2 %
44.3 %
75.4 %
95.1 %
89.9 %
49.9 %
22.6
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2002
Tigers
P
3
3
14.0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2003
Tigers
P
11
4
30.1
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1.000
2008
Angels
P
7
0
16.0
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1.000
2009
Angels
P
18
6
58.1
6
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
1.000
2012
Giants
P
19
0
25.1
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
.833
Total
- - -
P
58
13
144.0
15
23
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
9
.974
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2003
Tigers
P
30.1
0
0
1
1
2008
Angels
P
16.0
0
0
0
0
2009
Angels
P
58.1
0
0
1
1
2012
Giants
P
25.1
1
0
0
1
Total
- - -
P
144.0
1
0
2
3
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2002
Tigers
-0.6
-0.1
-0.3
-0.4
-1.8
-0.2
($0.4)
2003
Tigers
-0.6
0.0
-0.2
-0.2
-3.4
-0.3
($0.9)
2008
Angels
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.0
$0.2
2009
Angels
-0.2
-1.0
0.4
-0.7
5.2
0.5
$2.4
2012
Giants
-0.2
-0.2
0.2
0.0
-2.2
-0.2
($1.0)
Total
- - -
-1.3
-1.2
0.0
-1.2
-1.8
-0.1
$0.2
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