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2013 Articles
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A - C
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D - G
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H - L
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M - R
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Daily Notes: The Half-Secret to Corey Kluber's Success
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Baseball Will Surprise You -- 5/20/13
FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron Says All He Has to Say
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Matt Moore is the Sell Highiest Starting Pitcher
Roto Riteup: May 21, 2013
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NotGraphs Video Scouting: Mike O'Neill, OF, St. Louis
A World Without Andrew McCutchen
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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FANS
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ZiPS
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Oliver
2013 Daily Updated Projections
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ZiPS (Update)
Steamer (RoS)
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Steamer (Update)
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2013
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
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AL Games
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F - 10th
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Final
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F - 10th
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Final
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Final
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Final
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Final
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2013
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Pitching Leaders
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Minor League Leaders
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AA:
Eastern
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A+:
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A:
Midwest
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South Atlantic
A-:
New York-Penn
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Northwest
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Team Batting Stats
2013
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Team Pitching Stats
2013
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2012
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2011
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2010
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
...
AL East
Yankees
28
16
----
Red Sox
27
18
1.5
Orioles
23
21
5.0
Rays
23
21
5.0
Blue Jays
18
26
10.0
AL Central
Indians
26
17
----
Tigers
23
19
2.5
Royals
20
21
5.0
White Sox
20
23
6.0
Twins
18
23
7.0
AL West
Rangers
29
16
----
Athletics
24
22
5.5
Mariners
20
25
9.0
Angels
17
27
11.5
Astros
13
32
16.0
NL East
Braves
26
18
----
Nationals
23
22
3.5
Phillies
21
24
5.5
Mets
17
25
8.0
Marlins
13
32
13.5
NL Central
Cardinals
28
16
----
Reds
27
18
1.5
Pirates
26
18
2.0
Cubs
18
25
9.5
Brewers
17
26
10.5
NL West
D-backs
26
19
----
Giants
25
20
1.0
Rockies
24
21
2.0
Padres
21
23
4.5
Dodgers
18
25
7.0
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Brandon Guyer
Birthdate:
1/28/1986
Bats/Throws:
R/R
Height/Weight:
6-2/210
Position:
OF
Contract:
Add New Contract
3/16/2013:
Guyer has been optioned to Triple-A Durham, Roger Mooney of the Tampa Tribune reports.
3/15/2013
-
Rays Outfield: Depth Chart Discussions
by
Howard Bender (RotoGraphs)
10
12/11/2012
-
Do the Rays Need Offensive Help?
by
Bradley Woodrum (FanGraphs)
32
11/30/2012
-
Prospect Impact: Hicks, Arcia, Garcia and more
by
Jason Catania (RotoGraphs)
1
2/28/2012
-
Top 15 Prospects: Tampa Bay Rays
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
31
9/16/2011
-
Keeper Strategy -- 2012 Impact Rookies: Outfielder»
by
Jason Catania (RotoGraphs)
14
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
PA
HR
R
RBI
SB
BB%
K%
ISO
BABIP
AVG
OBP
SLG
wOBA
wRC+
Fld
BsR
WAR
2007
Cubs (R)
17
81
1
10
5
6
6.2 %
19.8 %
.125
.273
.222
.309
.347
.317
81
2007
Cubs (A-)
19
88
0
9
14
5
6.8 %
10.2 %
.014
.302
.268
.346
.282
.310
80
2008
Cubs (A)
88
363
14
55
38
22
5.2 %
17.4 %
.229
.292
.269
.331
.498
.374
135
2009
Cubs (A+)
73
305
2
40
32
23
7.9 %
11.1 %
.106
.380
.347
.407
.453
.394
149
2009
Cubs (AA)
57
205
1
22
14
7
4.9 %
16.1 %
.101
.223
.190
.236
.291
.242
42
2010
Cubs (AA)
102
410
13
76
58
30
6.6 %
12.4 %
.244
.371
.344
.398
.588
.437
168
2011
Rays (AAA)
107
443
14
78
61
16
7.9 %
17.8 %
.209
.360
.312
.384
.521
.399
149
2011
Rays
15
43
2
7
3
0
2.3 %
20.9 %
.171
.200
.195
.214
.366
.252
58
3.9
0.8
0.4
2012
Rays (AAA)
22
97
3
9
13
2
7.2 %
15.5 %
.165
.324
.294
.365
.459
.371
131
2012
Rays
3
7
1
2
1
0
0.0 %
14.3 %
.429
.000
.143
.143
.571
.294
88
0.1
0.1
0.0
2013
Steamer
126
482
12
53
56
9
6.4 %
17.4 %
.154
.296
.261
.317
.415
.317
104
1.1
0.0
1.4
2013
Oliver
396
11
50
46
11
6.8 %
18.9 %
.163
.308
.267
.328
.430
.329
0.8
0.6
1.5
2013
ZiPS
93
372
8
50
36
12
5.1 %
18.8 %
.141
.294
.253
.302
.394
.302
94
0.0
0.8
0.6
2013
Rays (AAA)
35
146
4
28
20
6
7.5 %
19.2 %
.168
.287
.248
.340
.416
.343
108
2013
Steamer (R)
92
351
8
38
39
8
6.3 %
18.5 %
.151
.293
.254
.312
.405
.312
98
0.8
0.2
0.8
2013
Steamer (U)
92
351
8
38
39
8
6.3 %
18.5 %
.151
.293
.254
.312
.405
.312
98
0.8
0.2
0.8
Total
- - -
18
50
3
9
4
0
2.0 %
20.0 %
.208
.171
.188
.204
.396
.258
62
3.9
0.9
0.4
News
1/23
-
Let there be news - Volume 5
by
Brad Johnson
9/2
-
Prospect three-day weekend
by
Jeff Moore
5/17
-
Down on the farm May 17: Ryan Brett day
by
DRays Bay
5/4
-
Down on the farm May 4: Offenses struggle
by
DRays Bay
5/1
-
Down on the farm May 1: First month in the books
by
DRays Bay
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
AB
PA
H
1B
2B
3B
HR
R
RBI
BB
IBB
SO
HBP
SF
SH
GDP
SB
CS
AVG
2007
Cubs (R)
17
72
81
16
10
4
1
1
10
5
5
0
16
4
0
0
0
6
2
.222
2007
Cubs (A-)
19
71
88
19
18
1
0
0
9
14
6
0
9
3
1
7
0
5
0
.268
2008
Cubs (A)
88
327
363
88
44
27
3
14
55
38
19
0
63
13
3
1
8
22
7
.269
2009
Cubs (A+)
73
265
305
92
71
16
3
2
40
32
24
1
34
8
8
0
3
23
2
.347
2009
Cubs (AA)
57
189
205
36
21
12
2
1
22
14
10
1
33
2
2
2
3
7
5
.190
2010
Cubs (AA)
102
369
410
127
69
39
6
13
76
58
27
1
51
7
2
5
6
30
3
.344
2011
Rays (AAA)
107
388
443
121
73
29
5
14
78
61
35
1
79
12
2
6
8
16
6
.312
2011
Rays
15
41
43
8
5
1
0
2
7
3
1
0
9
0
0
1
1
0
0
.195
2012
Rays (AAA)
22
85
97
25
18
3
1
3
9
13
7
0
15
3
1
1
2
2
0
.294
2012
Rays
3
7
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
.143
2013
Steamer
126
437
482
114
74
25
4
12
53
56
31
2
84
6
4
3
9
5
.261
2013
Oliver
356
396
95
62
19
3
11
50
46
27
1
75
7
3
3
8
11
3
.267
2013
ZiPS
93
340
372
86
57
18
3
8
50
36
19
1
70
6
3
4
6
12
3
.253
2013
Rays (AAA)
35
125
146
31
20
5
2
4
28
20
11
1
28
7
1
2
4
6
0
.248
2013
Steamer (R)
92
318
351
81
53
17
3
8
38
39
22
1
65
6
3
2
8
4
.254
2013
Steamer (U)
92
318
351
81
53
17
3
8
38
39
22
1
65
6
3
2
8
4
.254
Total
- - -
18
48
50
9
5
1
0
3
9
4
1
0
10
0
0
1
1
0
0
.188
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
BB%
K%
BB/K
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
ISO
Spd
BABIP
UBR
wSB
wRC
wRAA
wOBA
wRC+
2007
Cubs (R)
6.2 %
19.8 %
0.31
.222
.309
.347
.656
.125
8.3
.273
0.3
9
-2.2
.317
81
2007
Cubs (A-)
6.8 %
10.2 %
0.67
.268
.346
.282
.627
.014
5.8
.302
1.0
9
-2.3
.310
80
2008
Cubs (A)
5.2 %
17.4 %
0.30
.269
.331
.498
.830
.229
7.6
.292
1.5
56
14.4
.374
135
2009
Cubs (A+)
7.9 %
11.1 %
0.71
.347
.407
.453
.859
.106
7.3
.380
3.5
50
16.7
.394
149
2009
Cubs (AA)
4.9 %
16.1 %
0.30
.190
.236
.291
.527
.101
6.8
.223
-0.6
10
-13.7
.242
42
2010
Cubs (AA)
6.6 %
12.4 %
0.53
.344
.398
.588
.986
.244
8.8
.371
4.7
82
33.3
.437
168
2011
Rays (AAA)
7.9 %
17.8 %
0.44
.312
.384
.521
.905
.209
7.2
.360
0.5
76
25.2
.399
149
2011
Rays
2.3 %
20.9 %
0.11
.195
.214
.366
.580
.171
2.6
.200
0.9
0.0
3
-2.2
.252
58
2011
Average
8.1 %
18.6 %
0.44
.255
.321
.399
.720
.144
5.1
.295
.316
2012
Rays (AAA)
7.2 %
15.5 %
0.47
.294
.365
.459
.823
.165
5.4
.324
0.4
14
3.4
.371
131
2012
Rays
0.0 %
14.3 %
0.00
.143
.143
.571
.714
.429
0.1
.000
0.1
0.0
1
-0.1
.294
88
2012
Average
8.0 %
19.8 %
0.40
.255
.319
.405
.724
.151
5.2
.297
.315
2013
Steamer
6.4 %
17.4 %
0.37
.261
.317
.415
.732
.154
5.0
.296
0.6
-0.5
56
0.9
.317
104
2013
Oliver
6.8 %
18.9 %
0.36
.267
.328
.430
.758
.163
6.0
.308
0.6
50
4.6
.329
2013
ZiPS
5.1 %
18.8 %
0.27
.253
.302
.394
.696
.141
6.8
.294
0.8
39
-3.8
.302
94
2013
Rays (AAA)
7.5 %
19.2 %
0.39
.248
.340
.416
.756
.168
8.7
.287
1.1
19
1.5
.343
108
2013
Steamer (R)
6.3 %
18.5 %
0.34
.254
.312
.405
.717
.151
5.5
.293
0.4
-0.3
39
-0.8
.312
98
2013
Steamer (U)
6.3 %
18.5 %
0.34
.254
.312
.405
.717
.151
5.5
.293
0.4
-0.3
39
-0.8
.312
98
Total
- - -
2.0 %
20.0 %
0.10
.188
.204
.396
.600
.208
2.6
.171
0.9
0.0
3
-2.3
.258
62
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
2011
Rays
1.70
15.6 %
53.1 %
31.3 %
20.0 %
20.0 %
5.9 %
0.0 %
2012
Rays
5.00
0.0 %
83.3 %
16.7 %
0.0 %
100.0 %
20.0 %
0.0 %
Total
- - -
2.00
13.2 %
57.9 %
28.9 %
18.2 %
27.3 %
9.1 %
0.0 %
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2011
Rays
17
10
5
2
1
1
0
49
115
164
2012
Rays
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
13
17
Total
- - -
22
11
5
2
2
1
0
53
128
181
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
phLI
PH
WPA/LI
Clutch
2011
Rays
-0.27
-0.81
0.54
-2.69
-0.27
0.93
0.16
1
-0.15
-0.14
2012
Rays
0.02
-0.11
0.13
0.28
0.03
1.11
0
0.01
0.01
Total
- - -
-0.25
-0.92
0.67
-2.42
-0.24
0.95
0.16
1
-0.14
-0.12
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2011
Rays
65.9% (92.9)
16.5% (83.2)
3.0% (89.4)
6.7% (78.6)
7.9% (85.8)
2012
Rays
47.1% (91.4)
11.8% (82.0)
5.9% (78.0)
35.3% (84.8)
Total
- - -
64.1% (92.8)
16.0% (83.1)
2.8% (89.4)
6.6% (78.6)
10.5% (85.5)
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2011
Rays
43.9 %
11.6 %
4.9 %
8.5 %
17.7 %
4.3 %
9.2 %
2012
Rays
29.4 %
5.9 %
5.9 %
5.9 %
17.7 %
35.3 %
Total
- - -
42.5 %
11.1 %
5.0 %
8.3 %
17.7 %
3.9 %
11.6 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2011
Rays
93.4
92.1
90.4
91.1
82.6
77.7
85.5
2012
Rays
90.8
91.6
91.8
92.7
80.9
84.8
Total
- - -
93.2
92.0
90.6
91.2
82.4
77.7
85.3
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2011
Rays
0.6
-1.2
-0.5
0.3
-1.3
0.53
-4.29
-9.23
2.82
-10.20
2012
Rays
-0.6
0.0
0.0
1.5
-7.81
-0.84
-3.76
25.82
Total
- - -
-0.1
-1.2
-0.5
0.3
0.2
-0.05
-4.05
-9.23
2.27
1.17
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2011
Rays
0.3
-0.2
-0.5
0.7
-1.2
0.4
-1.6
2012
Rays
-0.4
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
1.3
Total
- - -
-0.1
-0.2
-0.6
0.7
-1.3
0.4
-0.3
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2011
Rays
0.37
-0.85
-5.81
4.93
-4.24
5.81
-10.39
2012
Rays
-7.45
-3.76
-17.36
-3.76
-1.82
21.14
Total
- - -
-0.14
-0.99
-7.10
4.36
-4.01
5.81
-1.38
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2011
Rays
46.5 %
64.0 %
54.7 %
62.5 %
89.6 %
77.3 %
46.6 %
62.8 %
12.2 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Rays
50.0 %
42.9 %
47.1 %
80.0 %
100.0 %
87.5 %
41.2 %
71.4 %
5.9 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
Total
- - -
46.9 %
62.2 %
53.9 %
64.4 %
90.2 %
78.1 %
46.1 %
64.0 %
11.6 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2011
Rays
41.8 %
64.7 %
53.7 %
51.5 %
92.7 %
77.3 %
51.8 %
22.2
2011
Average
28.9 %
62.1 %
45.6 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.6
2012
Rays
50.0 %
42.9 %
47.1 %
80.0 %
100.0 %
87.5 %
41.2 %
17.5
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
Total
- - -
42.7 %
63.0 %
53.0 %
55.3 %
93.1 %
78.1 %
50.8 %
21.9
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2011
Rays
LF
3
2
20.0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2012
Rays
LF
3
2
14.0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
.667
Total
- - -
LF
6
4
34.0
9
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
.900
2011
Rays
RF
11
9
74.0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
RF
11
9
74.0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2011
Rays
OF
14
11
94.0
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2012
Rays
OF
3
2
14.0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
.667
Total
- - -
OF
17
13
108.0
22
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
.957
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2011
Rays
LF
20.0
0
0
0
0
5
5
1.000
2
0.0
1.2
0.0
1.2
89.8
2012
Rays
LF
14.0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1.000
0
0.5
-0.2
-0.3
0.1
5.2
Total
- - -
LF
34.0
0
0
0
0
7
7
1.000
2
0.5
1.0
-0.2
1.3
55.1
2011
Rays
RF
74.0
0
0
1
1
8
8
1.000
5
0.4
2.2
0.1
2.6
77.1
Total
- - -
RF
74.0
0
0
1
1
8
8
1.000
5
0.4
2.2
0.1
2.6
77.1
2011
Rays
OF
94.0
0
0
1
1
13
13
1.000
7
0.3
3.4
0.1
3.9
82.9
2012
Rays
OF
14.0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1.000
0
0.5
-0.2
-0.3
0.1
5.2
Total
- - -
OF
108.0
0
0
1
1
15
15
1.000
7
0.9
3.2
-0.2
3.9
65.6
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Batting
Base Running
Fielding
Replacement
Positional
Fld + Pos
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2011
Rays
-2.1
0.8
3.9
1.3
-0.6
3.3
3.4
0.4
$1.6
2012
Rays
-0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
$0.1
Total
- - -
-2.2
0.9
3.9
1.5
-0.7
3.3
3.6
0.4
$1.7
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