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2013 Articles
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D - G
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H - L
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M - R
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Daily Notes: A Brief Review of Burch Smith's Second Start
The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Swings
FanGraphs Audio: The Readily Available Mike Bates
The 1998 Astros Were Pretty Good At Hitting
RotoGraphs
Bullpen Report: May 18, 2013
Stream, Stream, Stream: 2x SP 5.20-5.26
NotGraphs
Audio: Bob Uecker Would Like One or Six Beers
A GIF and a Tune: Ian Kinsler and Modest Mussorgsky
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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FANS
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ZiPS
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Steamer
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Oliver
2013 Daily Updated Projections
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2013
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2008
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2007
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2006
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AL Games
CHW (9) @ LAA (12)
Final
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Final
SEA (4) @ CLE (5)
Final
BOS (12) @ MIN (5)
Final
TOR (2) @ NYY (7)
Final
KCR (1) @ OAK (2)
Final
DET (2) @ TEX (7)
Final
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LAD (1) @ ATL (3)
Final
NYM (2) @ CHC (8)
Final
SFG (2) @ COL (10)
Final
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Final
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Final
HOU (4) @ PIT (2)
F - 11th
MIL (6) @ STL (4)
F - 10th
WSN (1) @ SDP (2)
Final
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AA:
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A+:
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A-:
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Team Batting Stats
2013
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Team Pitching Stats
2013
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2012
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2009
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2007
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2006
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AL East
Yankees
27
16
----
Red Sox
26
17
1.0
Orioles
23
19
3.5
Rays
22
20
4.5
Blue Jays
17
26
10.0
AL Central
Indians
24
17
----
Tigers
23
18
1.0
Royals
20
19
3.0
White Sox
19
22
5.0
Twins
18
21
5.0
AL West
Rangers
28
15
----
Athletics
22
22
6.5
Mariners
20
23
8.0
Angels
16
27
12.0
Astros
12
31
16.0
NL East
Braves
24
18
----
Nationals
23
20
1.5
Phillies
20
23
4.5
Mets
16
24
7.0
Marlins
11
32
13.5
NL Central
Cardinals
27
15
----
Reds
26
17
1.5
Pirates
25
18
2.5
Cubs
18
24
9.0
Brewers
17
24
9.5
NL West
D-backs
25
18
----
Giants
24
19
1.0
Rockies
23
20
2.0
Padres
19
23
5.5
Dodgers
17
24
7.0
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Tim Collins
Birthdate:
8/21/1989
Bats/Throws:
L/L
Height/Weight:
5-7/165
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
4/8/2013:
Collins pitched two perfect innings with four strikeouts during the Royals' 9-8 win over the Phillies on Sunday.
3/7/2013
-
KC Royals Bullpen: Depth Chart Discussions
by
Howard Bender (RotoGraphs)
9
9/7/2012
-
FanGraphs Audio: A. Gordon, T. Collins, G. Holland
by
Carson Cistulli (FanGraphs)
2
6/8/2012
-
Bullpen Report: June 8th, 2012
by
Colin Zarzycki (RotoGraphs)
4
12/19/2011
-
FAN Projection Targets: Sophomore Relievers
by
Matt Klaassen (FanGraphs)
2
9/12/2011
-
FanGraphs Power Rankings - 9/12/11
by
Paul Swydan (FanGraphs)
15
Graphs
All Graphs
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PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2007
Blue Jays (R)
0
0
0
7
0
6.0
10.50
3.00
0.00
.400
62.5 %
4.50
1.87
2008
Blue Jays (A)
4
2
14
39
0
68.1
12.91
4.21
0.40
.250
86.6 %
1.58
2.40
2009
Blue Jays (A+)
7
4
3
40
0
64.2
13.78
3.90
0.28
.326
75.8 %
2.37
1.98
2009
Blue Jays (AA)
2
3
0
9
0
12.2
12.08
4.97
0.71
.355
56.8 %
5.68
3.20
2010
Braves (AA)
0
0
2
6
0
8.0
15.75
3.38
1.13
.273
100.0 %
1.13
2.45
2010
Blue Jays (AA)
1
0
9
35
0
43.0
15.28
3.35
0.84
.295
82.9 %
2.51
2.13
2010
Royals (AAA)
2
1
4
15
0
20.1
9.30
3.54
0.00
.180
82.4 %
1.33
2.31
2011
Royals
4
4
0
68
0
67.0
8.06
6.45
0.67
.261
77.9 %
40.6 %
6.6 %
3.63
4.44
4.90
-0.1
2012
Royals
5
4
0
72
0
69.2
12.01
4.39
1.03
.297
77.7 %
40.9 %
11.8 %
3.36
3.47
3.41
0.8
2013
Steamer
4
2
0
58
0
60.0
10.50
4.71
0.81
.300
76.1 %
3.41
3.59
0.5
2013
Bill James
4
3
0
72
0
61.0
11.07
4.87
0.74
.297
3.25
3.31
2013
Oliver
4
3
68.0
10.00
4.80
0.53
.287
73.5 %
3.47
3.27
2013
ZiPS
5
4
72
0
69.3
11.56
4.94
1.04
.315
76.4 %
3.77
3.76
0.5
2013
Royals
1
1
0
13
0
14.0
9.64
2.57
0.00
.333
56.3 %
38.9 %
0.0 %
3.86
1.74
3.29
0.5
2013
ZiPS (R)
4
3
53
0
51.0
11.35
4.65
0.91
.320
75.7 %
3.61
3.44
0.5
2013
ZiPS (U)
5
4
66
0
65.0
10.98
4.20
0.71
.322
72.3 %
3.66
3.08
1.0
2013
Steamer (R)
3
2
0
54
0
46.0
10.43
4.53
0.81
.285
76.6 %
3.33
3.49
0.5
2013
Steamer (U)
4
3
0
67
0
60.0
10.25
4.07
0.62
.297
72.0 %
3.45
3.08
0.9
Total
- - -
10
9
0
153
0
150.2
10.04
5.14
0.78
.283
76.0 %
40.5 %
8.2 %
3.52
3.74
4.06
1.1
News
4/30
-
THT Awards
by
John Barten
10/2
-
THT Awards
by
John Barten
9/4
-
THT Awards
by
John Barten
5/10
-
The Rotation: Will women ever play in the majors?
by
5/8
-
Yost fiddles, Baltimore burns the Royals
by
Royals Review
5/7
-
Royals Mercifully Lose, Avoiding The Dreaded 18-11 Start
by
Royals Review
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2007
Blue Jays (R)
0
0
4.50
7
0
0
0
0
6.0
24
6
3
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
7
2008
Blue Jays (A)
4
2
1.58
39
0
0
0
14
68.1
267
36
13
12
3
32
1
2
5
2
98
2009
Blue Jays (A+)
7
4
2.37
40
0
0
0
3
64.2
270
47
21
17
2
28
1
3
2
0
99
2009
Blue Jays (AA)
2
3
5.68
9
0
0
0
0
12.2
56
12
9
8
1
7
0
0
2
0
17
2010
Braves (AA)
0
0
1.13
6
0
0
0
2
8.0
29
4
1
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
14
2010
Blue Jays (AA)
1
0
2.51
35
0
0
0
9
43.0
171
27
12
12
4
16
0
0
2
1
73
2010
Royals (AAA)
2
1
1.33
15
0
0
0
4
20.1
79
9
3
3
0
8
0
0
0
0
21
2011
Royals
4
4
3.63
68
0
0
0
0
11
1
67.0
295
52
28
27
5
48
2
2
3
0
60
2012
Royals
5
4
3.36
72
0
0
0
0
11
4
69.2
295
55
29
26
8
34
8
2
3
0
93
2013
Steamer
4
2
3.41
58
0
0
60.0
258
48
25
23
5
32
2
70
2013
Bill James
4
3
3.25
72
0
0
61.0
46
5
33
1
75
2013
Oliver
4
3
3.47
28
68.0
291
54
28
26
4
36
4
2
75
2013
ZiPS
5
4
3.77
72
0
69.3
57
31
29
8
38
6
2
3
0
89
2013
Royals
1
1
3.86
13
0
0
0
0
4
1
14.0
55
12
7
6
0
4
0
0
0
0
15
2013
ZiPS (R)
4
3
3.61
53
0
51.0
43
22
21
5
26
1
65
2013
ZiPS (U)
5
4
3.66
66
0
65.0
55
29
27
5
30
1
80
2013
Steamer (R)
3
2
3.33
54
0
0
46.0
196
37
18
17
4
23
1
53
2013
Steamer (U)
4
3
3.45
67
0
0
60.0
251
49
25
23
4
27
1
68
Total
- - -
10
9
3.52
153
0
0
0
0
26
6
150.2
645
119
64
59
13
86
10
4
6
0
168
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2007
Blue Jays (R)
10.50
3.00
3.50
0.00
29.2 %
8.3 %
.273
1.33
.400
62.5 %
1.87
2008
Blue Jays (A)
12.91
4.21
3.06
0.40
36.7 %
12.0 %
.155
1.00
.250
86.6 %
2.40
2009
Blue Jays (A+)
13.78
3.90
3.54
0.28
36.7 %
10.4 %
.197
1.16
.326
75.8 %
1.98
2009
Blue Jays (AA)
12.08
4.97
2.43
0.71
30.4 %
12.5 %
.245
1.50
.355
56.8 %
3.20
2010
Braves (AA)
15.75
3.38
4.67
1.13
48.3 %
10.3 %
.154
0.88
.273
100.0 %
2.45
2010
Blue Jays (AA)
15.28
3.35
4.56
0.84
42.7 %
9.4 %
.174
1.00
.295
82.9 %
2.13
2010
Royals (AAA)
9.30
3.54
2.63
0.00
26.6 %
10.1 %
.127
0.84
.180
82.4 %
2.31
2011
Royals
8.06
6.45
1.25
0.67
20.3 %
16.3 %
.212
1.49
.261
77.9 %
88
109
4.44
2011
Average
7.13
3.11
2.30
0.94
18.6 %
8.1 %
.251
1.32
.291
72.5 %
4.12
2012
Royals
12.01
4.39
2.74
1.03
31.5 %
11.5 %
.212
1.28
.297
77.7 %
82
83
3.47
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
10.50
4.71
2.23
0.81
.221
1.32
.300
76.1 %
3.59
2013
Bill James
11.07
4.87
2.27
0.74
.211
1.30
.297
3.31
2013
Oliver
10.00
4.80
2.08
0.53
25.8 %
12.4 %
.213
1.33
.287
73.5 %
3.27
2013
ZiPS
11.56
4.94
2.34
1.04
.226
1.37
.315
76.4 %
3.76
2013
Royals
9.64
2.57
3.75
0.00
27.3 %
7.3 %
.235
1.14
.333
56.3 %
92
44
1.74
2013
Average
7.63
3.12
2.45
1.04
20.0 %
8.2 %
.248
1.31
.291
73.0 %
4.16
2013
ZiPS (R)
11.35
4.65
2.44
0.91
.229
1.35
.320
75.7 %
3.44
2013
ZiPS (U)
10.98
4.20
2.61
0.71
.230
1.31
.322
72.3 %
3.08
2013
Steamer (R)
10.43
4.53
2.30
0.81
.222
1.31
.285
76.6 %
3.49
2013
Steamer (U)
10.25
4.07
2.52
0.62
.224
1.27
.297
72.0 %
3.08
Total
- - -
10.04
5.14
1.95
0.78
26.1 %
13.3 %
.214
1.36
.283
76.0 %
86
91
3.74
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2011
Royals
0.96
17.2 %
40.6 %
42.2 %
7.9 %
6.6 %
5.5 %
0.0 %
4.54
4.64
121
4.90
2012
Royals
0.96
16.4 %
40.9 %
42.8 %
7.4 %
11.8 %
4.6 %
28.6 %
3.41
2.87
82
3.41
2013
Royals
0.93
19.4 %
38.9 %
41.7 %
13.3 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
1.97
2.80
81
3.29
Total
- - -
0.96
17.1 %
40.5 %
42.4 %
8.2 %
8.2 %
4.6 %
16.7 %
3.77
3.62
99
4.06
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2011
Royals
73
76
31
6
4
5
0
18
511
734
1245
2012
Royals
65
68
26
5
3
7
2
36
485
744
1229
2013
Royals
14
15
7
2
0
0
0
14
99
139
238
Total
- - -
152
159
64
13
7
12
2
68
1095
1617
2712
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2011
Royals
0.48
-4.73
5.21
6.66
0.62
1.01
1.00
1.17
1.33
50
-0.36
0.83
15
11
2012
Royals
-0.22
-5.82
5.60
-1.74
-0.21
1.12
0.95
1.20
1.36
63
0.52
-0.72
19
15
2013
Royals
0.05
-1.18
1.23
2.75
0.28
1.22
1.00
1.13
1.34
11
0.26
-0.22
4
2
Total
- - -
0.31
-11.74
12.04
7.67
0.69
1.08
0.97
1.18
1.34
124
0.43
-0.15
38
28
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2011
Royals
62.0% (92.4)
19.7% (74.3)
18.4% (82.3)
0.7%
2012
Royals
54.6% (93.2)
27.6% (75.0)
17.9% (83.1)
2.0%
2013
Royals
53.5% (93.1)
27.2% (74.3)
19.4% (84.0)
8.8%
Total
- - -
57.9% (92.8)
23.9% (74.7)
18.2% (82.8)
2.0%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2011
Royals
61.5 %
19.6 %
18.3 %
2012
Royals
52.6 %
0.8 %
27.0 %
17.5 %
2013
Royals
51.3 %
2.1 %
28.2 %
18.5 %
Total
- - -
56.6 %
0.6 %
23.7 %
18.0 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2011
Royals
92.3
74.3
82.2
2012
Royals
93.1
94.3
75.0
83.0
2013
Royals
93.0
92.8
74.2
83.9
Total
- - -
92.7
93.8
74.7
82.7
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2011
Royals
0.0
-0.6
4.8
0.00
-0.23
2.11
2012
Royals
-3.8
3.8
3.7
-0.58
1.13
1.70
2013
Royals
2.7
-0.6
0.8
2.32
-0.94
1.86
Total
- - -
-1.1
2.6
9.2
-0.07
0.42
1.91
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2011
Royals
-0.7
-0.5
4.8
2012
Royals
-3.7
0.3
3.7
3.6
2013
Royals
2.2
0.5
-0.3
0.8
Total
- - -
-2.2
0.8
2.9
9.2
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2011
Royals
-0.10
-0.22
2.15
2012
Royals
-0.57
2.55
1.11
1.67
2013
Royals
1.82
10.06
-0.48
1.72
Total
- - -
-0.14
5.05
0.44
1.90
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2011
Royals
25.2 %
60.1 %
40.7 %
64.9 %
82.4 %
76.4 %
44.3 %
55.9 %
9.2 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Royals
24.1 %
66.5 %
43.1 %
58.5 %
75.4 %
70.2 %
44.9 %
53.6 %
12.1 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Royals
25.4 %
63.0 %
39.5 %
76.5 %
78.4 %
77.7 %
37.7 %
52.7 %
8.8 %
2013
Average
29.6 %
64.9 %
45.8 %
66.1 %
86.6 %
79.4 %
46.0 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
24.8 %
63.3 %
41.7 %
63.2 %
78.7 %
73.5 %
44.0 %
54.6 %
10.5 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2011
Royals
22.9 %
59.3 %
39.9 %
62.9 %
82.4 %
76.4 %
46.6 %
20.5
2011
Average
28.6 %
62.1 %
45.3 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
49.8 %
21.6
2012
Royals
21.6 %
62.6 %
41.9 %
53.7 %
75.9 %
70.1 %
49.6 %
23.5
2012
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.2 %
22.1
2013
Royals
21.0 %
58.0 %
39.5 %
76.0 %
78.3 %
77.7 %
50.0 %
21.6
2013
Average
28.7 %
62.1 %
45.0 %
63.1 %
87.3 %
79.4 %
48.9 %
22.5
Total
- - -
22.2 %
60.7 %
40.8 %
60.0 %
78.9 %
73.6 %
48.2 %
22.0
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2011
Royals
P
68
0
67.0
0
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
1.000
2012
Royals
P
72
0
69.2
3
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
1.000
2013
Royals
P
13
0
14.0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.000
Total
- - -
P
153
0
150.2
3
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
1.000
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2011
Royals
P
67.0
-1
-1
1
0
2012
Royals
P
69.2
-1
0
-1
-1
2013
Royals
P
14.0
0
0
0
0
Total
- - -
P
150.2
-2
-1
0
-1
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2011
Royals
0.8
0.4
0.5
0.9
-1.0
-0.1
($0.4)
2012
Royals
0.8
-0.2
0.3
0.1
7.3
0.8
$3.4
2013
Royals
0.0
-0.1
-0.3
-0.5
4.6
0.5
$2.4
Total
- - -
1.6
0.0
0.4
0.5
10.9
1.1
$5.3
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