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2013 Articles
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A - C
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D - G
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H - L
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M - R
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S - Z
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The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Swings
The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Pitches
Who Is Josh Rutledge?
FanGraphs Audio: Dayn Perry Mixes Business with Business
RotoGraphs
Matt Wieters Will Be Just Fine
Stream, Stream, Stream: 2x SP 5.27-6.2
NotGraphs
Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
,
FANS
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ZiPS
,
Steamer
,
Oliver
2013 Daily Updated Projections
ZiPS (RoS)
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ZiPS (Update)
Steamer (RoS)
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Steamer (Update)
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Win Probability & Box Scores
2013
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2012
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2011
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2010
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
...
AL Games
CLE (1) @ BOS (3)
B - 3rd
BAL (9) @ TOR (3)
T - 5th
LAA (1) @ KCR (0)
T - 3rd
MIN (0) @ DET (5)
T - 6th
MIA (0) @ CHW (0)
B - 3rd
OAK (2) @ HOU (0)
B - 2nd
NYY (8) @ TBR (0)
B - 5th
TEX @ SEA
22:10
NL Games
PIT (0) @ MIL (2)
T - 3rd
CHC (3) @ CIN (5)
B - 5th
PHI (2) @ WSN (5)
B - 5th
ATL (2) @ NYM (2)
B - 5th
SDP @ ARI
21:40
COL @ SFG
22:15
STL @ LAD
22:10
2013 Projected Standings
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Batters:
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LF
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RP
Batting Leaders
2013
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2012
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2011
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10's
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90's
Pitching Leaders
2013
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Minor League Leaders
AAA:
International
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AA:
Eastern
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A+:
California
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Florida State
A:
Midwest
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South Atlantic
A-:
New York-Penn
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Northwest
R:
Appalachian
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Arizona
R:
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Arizona Fall
WAR Tools
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Team Batting Stats
2013
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2012
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2011
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2010
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2009
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2007
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2006
...
Team Pitching Stats
2013
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2012
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2011
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2010
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
...
AL East
Yankees
28
18
----
Red Sox
28
20
1.0
Orioles
25
22
3.5
Rays
24
22
4.0
Blue Jays
20
27
8.5
AL Central
Indians
27
19
----
Tigers
26
19
0.5
Royals
21
23
5.0
White Sox
21
24
5.5
Twins
18
26
8.0
AL West
Rangers
30
17
----
Athletics
25
23
5.5
Angels
20
27
10.0
Mariners
20
27
10.0
Astros
14
33
16.0
NL East
Braves
28
18
----
Nationals
24
23
4.5
Phillies
23
24
5.5
Mets
17
27
10.0
Marlins
13
34
15.5
NL Central
Cardinals
30
16
----
Pirates
29
18
1.5
Reds
29
18
1.5
Brewers
18
27
11.5
Cubs
18
28
12.0
NL West
Giants
26
21
----
D-backs
26
21
----
Rockies
26
21
----
Padres
21
25
4.5
Dodgers
19
26
6.0
Batting Stats
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Chris Seddon
Birthdate:
10/13/1983
Bats/Throws:
L/L
Height/Weight:
6-4/220
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
8/10/2012:
Seddon allowed three runs (two earned) on five hits and a pair of walks in six innings Friday.
11/12/2010
-
The Forgotten Horrible Bullpen
by
Jack Moore (FanGraphs)
20
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2006
Devil Rays (AAA)
9
9
0
28
28
154.1
6.30
2.68
1.17
.303
66.5 %
4.72
4.48
2007
Devil Rays (AA)
3
4
0
12
12
71.0
5.07
2.92
0.89
.294
65.8 %
4.94
4.50
2007
Marlins (AA)
3
6
0
14
14
68.2
7.60
3.28
0.79
.297
65.4 %
4.33
3.78
2007
Marlins
0
2
0
7
4
17.1
5.19
2.60
1.04
.370
49.7 %
36.2 %
9.5 %
8.83
4.62
4.64
0.1
2008
Marlins (AAA)
10
9
0
28
27
152.0
7.46
4.09
1.36
.326
71.0 %
5.09
5.07
2009
Mariners (AAA)
9
8
0
25
24
131.2
5.47
3.69
1.16
.292
71.4 %
4.51
5.01
2010
Mariners (AAA)
10
4
0
18
15
101.0
5.79
2.58
0.62
.279
70.0 %
3.39
3.76
2010
Mariners
1
0
0
14
0
22.1
6.45
4.03
1.61
.262
66.9 %
47.8 %
16.0 %
5.64
5.32
4.36
-0.2
2011
Mariners (AAA)
9
7
0
28
25
149.1
7.17
4.16
1.21
.338
64.1 %
6.27
4.79
2012
Indians (AAA)
11
5
0
20
20
123.0
7.90
1.98
1.17
.282
72.5 %
3.44
3.84
2012
Indians
1
1
0
17
2
34.1
4.72
3.41
0.52
.289
73.0 %
41.4 %
5.1 %
3.67
3.94
4.85
0.3
2013
Steamer
2
2
0
23
2
36.0
6.49
3.19
1.01
.301
71.4 %
4.18
4.24
0.0
2013
Bill James
2
3
0
34
0
42.0
6.43
3.00
1.07
.311
4.50
4.22
2013
Oliver
8
8
144.0
5.80
3.24
1.00
.302
71.5 %
4.30
4.33
Total
- - -
2
3
0
38
6
74.0
5.35
3.41
0.97
.306
64.2 %
41.7 %
9.4 %
5.47
4.52
4.65
0.2
News
8/10
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 8-10
by
Brad Johnson
8/9
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 8-9
by
Brad Johnson
2/27
-
2013 MLB exports: A look at everyone who's headed to East As»
by
MLB Daily Dish
12/1
-
Indians claim Mike McDade off waivers from Blue Jays
by
11/30
-
Mike McDade Claimed By Cleveland, Mike McCoy And Joel Carren»
by
Bluebird Banter
12/6
-
SK Wyverns Sign Chris Seddon
by
Tim Dierkes
12/2
-
Quick Hits: Pagan, Giants, Indians, Brewers,
by
Zach Links
11/30
-
Indians Claim Mike McDade, Designate Seddon
by
Ben Nicholson-Smith
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2006
Devil Rays (AAA)
9
9
4.72
28
28
1
0
0
154.1
668
168
92
81
20
46
2
5
2
0
108
2007
Devil Rays (AA)
3
4
4.94
12
12
0
0
0
71.0
292
71
40
39
7
23
1
4
4
0
40
2007
Marlins (AA)
3
6
4.33
14
14
0
0
0
68.2
289
65
37
33
6
25
1
1
2
0
58
2007
Marlins
0
2
8.83
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
17.1
91
29
19
17
2
5
0
1
0
0
10
2008
Marlins (AAA)
10
9
5.09
28
27
2
0
0
152.0
679
170
95
86
23
69
1
10
10
1
126
2009
Mariners (AAA)
9
8
4.51
25
24
0
0
0
131.2
578
140
74
66
17
54
0
5
8
4
80
2010
Mariners (AAA)
10
4
3.39
18
15
2
2
0
101.0
420
95
45
38
7
29
0
3
3
0
65
2010
Mariners
1
0
5.64
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
22.1
95
21
14
14
4
10
0
0
2
0
16
2011
Mariners (AAA)
9
7
6.27
28
25
0
0
0
149.1
682
179
108
104
20
69
0
3
12
0
119
2012
Indians (AAA)
11
5
3.44
20
20
1
0
0
123.0
494
112
55
47
16
27
0
2
4
0
108
2012
Indians
1
1
3.67
17
2
0
0
0
1
0
34.1
147
35
15
14
2
13
1
0
1
0
18
2013
Steamer
2
2
4.18
23
2
0
36.0
156
37
18
17
4
13
1
26
2013
Bill James
2
3
4.50
34
0
0
42.0
45
5
14
1
30
2013
Oliver
8
8
4.30
6
144.0
625
155
75
69
16
52
0
3
93
Total
- - -
2
3
5.47
38
6
0
0
0
1
0
74.0
333
85
48
45
8
28
1
1
3
0
44
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2006
Devil Rays (AAA)
6.30
2.68
2.35
1.17
16.2 %
6.9 %
.272
1.39
.303
66.5 %
4.48
2007
Devil Rays (AA)
5.07
2.92
1.74
0.89
13.7 %
7.9 %
.268
1.32
.294
65.8 %
4.50
2007
Marlins (AA)
7.60
3.28
2.32
0.79
20.1 %
8.7 %
.247
1.31
.297
65.4 %
3.78
2007
Marlins
5.19
2.60
2.00
1.04
11.0 %
5.5 %
.341
1.96
.370
49.7 %
200
103
4.62
2007
Average
6.67
3.33
2.00
1.03
17.1 %
8.5 %
.263
1.41
.299
70.7 %
4.43
2008
Marlins (AAA)
7.46
4.09
1.83
1.36
18.6 %
10.2 %
.283
1.57
.326
71.0 %
5.07
2009
Mariners (AAA)
5.47
3.69
1.48
1.16
13.8 %
9.3 %
.270
1.47
.292
71.4 %
5.01
2010
Mariners (AAA)
5.79
2.58
2.24
0.62
15.5 %
6.9 %
.245
1.23
.279
70.0 %
3.76
2010
Mariners
6.45
4.03
1.60
1.61
16.8 %
10.5 %
.247
1.39
.262
66.9 %
145
136
5.32
2010
Average
7.13
3.28
2.17
0.96
18.5 %
8.5 %
.253
1.35
.293
72.2 %
4.20
2011
Mariners (AAA)
7.17
4.16
1.72
1.21
17.5 %
10.1 %
.293
1.66
.338
64.1 %
4.79
2012
Indians (AAA)
7.90
1.98
4.00
1.17
21.9 %
5.5 %
.241
1.13
.282
72.5 %
3.84
2012
Indians
4.72
3.41
1.38
0.52
12.2 %
8.8 %
.261
1.40
.289
73.0 %
93
98
3.94
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
6.49
3.19
2.04
1.01
.265
1.37
.301
71.4 %
4.24
2013
Bill James
6.43
3.00
2.14
1.07
.275
1.40
.311
4.22
2013
Oliver
5.80
3.24
1.79
1.00
14.9 %
8.3 %
.272
1.43
.302
71.5 %
4.33
Total
- - -
5.35
3.41
1.57
0.97
13.2 %
8.4 %
.280
1.53
.306
64.2 %
134
111
4.52
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2007
Marlins
1.19
33.3 %
36.2 %
30.4 %
14.3 %
9.5 %
8.0 %
0.0 %
6.58
4.92
103
4.64
2010
Mariners
1.32
15.9 %
47.8 %
36.2 %
12.0 %
16.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
4.83
4.18
104
4.36
2012
Indians
1.23
25.0 %
41.4 %
33.6 %
15.4 %
5.1 %
6.3 %
0.0 %
4.73
4.83
117
4.85
Total
- - -
1.25
24.8 %
41.7 %
33.5 %
14.1 %
9.4 %
4.7 %
0.0 %
5.24
4.64
110
4.65
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2007
Marlins
25
21
23
3
2
6
0
9
114
190
304
2010
Mariners
33
25
11
3
0
0
0
6
145
221
366
2012
Indians
48
39
29
6
3
0
0
20
192
335
527
Total
- - -
106
85
63
12
5
6
0
35
451
746
1197
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2007
Marlins
-0.89
-2.11
1.22
-9.07
-0.87
0.94
0.79
0.61
0.69
6
-0.70
-0.25
0
0
2010
Mariners
0.11
-0.45
0.56
-4.80
-0.44
0.29
0.45
0.44
0.33
9
-2.95
3.33
3
1
2012
Indians
-0.17
-2.01
1.84
-0.86
-0.09
0.73
0.69
0.97
0.75
14
0.05
-0.28
4
2
Total
- - -
-0.95
-4.56
3.61
-14.73
-1.41
0.66
0.63
0.71
0.61
29
-3.61
2.18
7
3
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2007
Marlins
51.7% (87.0)
13.7% (80.9)
2.0% (83.3)
32.7% (77.7)
1.3%
2010
Mariners
61.8% (88.6)
13.7% (83.0)
24.5% (81.3)
0.5%
2012
Indians
58.5% (90.2)
18.7% (81.6)
5.0% (75.8)
17.9% (81.9)
0.4%
Total
- - -
57.8% (89.0)
15.9% (81.8)
0.5% (83.3)
2.2% (75.8)
23.6% (80.3)
0.7%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2007
Marlins
47.5 %
16.2 %
1.0 %
35.4 %
2010
Mariners
60.4 %
17.5 %
14.8 %
7.4 %
2012
Indians
37.1 %
21.0 %
23.7 %
0.2 %
17.8 %
Total
- - -
46.7 %
17.6 %
19.6 %
0.2 %
15.7 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2007
Marlins
87.0
81.5
73.9
77.4
2010
Mariners
88.6
81.7
83.1
80.7
2012
Indians
90.0
90.2
80.5
75.7
81.8
Total
- - -
89.0
87.1
81.3
74.8
80.6
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2007
Marlins
-1.8
-2.5
-0.1
-2.0
-1.15
-6.15
-2.07
-2.09
2010
Mariners
-3.5
0.7
1.0
-1.54
1.38
1.13
2012
Indians
-1.6
2.2
0.8
0.1
-0.52
2.29
2.91
0.14
Total
- - -
-6.8
0.4
-0.1
0.8
-0.9
-0.99
0.22
-2.07
2.91
-0.32
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2007
Marlins
-0.8
0.3
0.1
-0.7
2010
Mariners
-3.3
0.6
0.8
0.1
2012
Indians
-2.4
2.1
2.8
0.2
0.4
Total
- - -
-6.4
2.7
3.9
0.3
-0.2
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2007
Marlins
-1.60
1.91
5.38
-1.94
2010
Mariners
-1.48
0.91
1.41
0.20
2012
Indians
-1.23
1.92
2.24
21.30
0.43
Total
- - -
-1.39
1.55
1.98
13.34
-0.14
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2007
Marlins
29.8 %
66.2 %
46.9 %
68.8 %
90.4 %
83.1 %
46.9 %
57.1 %
7.9 %
2007
Average
25.0 %
66.6 %
45.9 %
60.8 %
88.2 %
80.8 %
50.3 %
58.7 %
8.6 %
2010
Mariners
27.2 %
66.7 %
45.1 %
71.7 %
81.5 %
78.3 %
45.4 %
62.1 %
9.6 %
2010
Average
29.3 %
64.4 %
45.6 %
66.5 %
88.1 %
80.7 %
46.5 %
58.8 %
8.5 %
2012
Indians
31.3 %
64.8 %
46.9 %
69.0 %
86.1 %
80.0 %
46.7 %
57.1 %
9.1 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
Total
- - -
29.7 %
65.7 %
46.4 %
69.7 %
85.8 %
80.3 %
46.4 %
58.6 %
8.9 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2007
Marlins
39.1 %
62.9 %
47.5 %
84.0 %
81.8 %
83.0 %
35.4 %
21.4
2007
Average
28.9 %
62.3 %
45.4 %
66.4 %
87.6 %
80.8 %
49.6 %
21.5
2010
Mariners
27.9 %
62.7 %
44.0 %
76.4 %
78.3 %
77.6 %
46.2 %
17.9
2010
Average
28.4 %
61.3 %
44.9 %
64.6 %
87.9 %
80.6 %
50.4 %
21.5
2012
Indians
30.2 %
63.7 %
46.7 %
64.2 %
87.3 %
79.7 %
49.2 %
21.9
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
Total
- - -
30.4 %
63.3 %
45.8 %
71.4 %
83.6 %
79.3 %
46.7 %
20.4
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2007
Marlins
P
7
4
17.1
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1.000
2010
Mariners
P
14
0
22.1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2012
Indians
P
17
2
34.1
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
.750
Total
- - -
P
38
6
74.0
3
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
6
.909
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2007
Marlins
P
17.1
0
0
0
0
2010
Mariners
P
22.1
0
0
0
0
2012
Indians
P
34.1
0
0
-2
-2
Total
- - -
P
74.0
0
0
-2
-2
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2007
Marlins
-0.7
-0.4
-0.4
-0.8
1.4
0.1
$0.6
2010
Mariners
-0.3
0.2
-0.2
0.0
-2.3
-0.2
($0.9)
2012
Indians
0.4
0.0
0.1
0.1
2.7
0.3
$1.3
Total
- - -
-0.6
-0.3
-0.5
-0.8
1.7
0.2
$0.9
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