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FanGraphs Chat - 5/22/13
The Fringe Five: Baseball’s Most Compelling Fringe Prospects
Is Jose Ramirez a Starter or Reliever?
Q&A: Marcus Stroman, a Blue Jay Starts Over
RotoGraphs
So Close, Yet Profar
Buying & Selling: NL Starters
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A Dozen (Mostly) True Facts About Rickey Henderson
Sponsor Catch-Phrase Showdown: Mike Shannon vs. That Scott's Guy
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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ZiPS
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Oliver
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AL Games
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Final
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F - 10th
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Final
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F - 10th
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Team Batting Stats
2013
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Team Pitching Stats
2013
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2012
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2011
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2010
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
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AL East
Yankees
28
17
----
Red Sox
27
19
1.5
Orioles
24
21
4.0
Rays
24
21
4.0
Blue Jays
18
27
10.0
AL Central
Indians
26
18
----
Tigers
24
19
1.5
Royals
21
21
4.0
White Sox
21
23
5.0
Twins
18
24
7.0
AL West
Rangers
29
17
----
Athletics
25
22
4.5
Mariners
20
26
9.0
Angels
18
27
10.5
Astros
13
33
16.0
NL East
Braves
27
18
----
Nationals
23
23
4.5
Phillies
22
24
5.5
Mets
17
26
9.0
Marlins
13
33
14.5
NL Central
Cardinals
29
16
----
Reds
28
18
1.5
Pirates
27
18
2.0
Cubs
18
26
10.5
Brewers
18
26
10.5
NL West
Giants
26
20
----
D-backs
26
20
----
Rockies
25
21
1.0
Padres
21
24
4.5
Dodgers
18
26
7.0
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Brett Oberholtzer
Birthdate:
7/1/1989
Bats/Throws:
L/L
Height/Weight:
6-2/230
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/11/2013:
Oberholtzer tossed 5.2 shutout innings and allowed just one hit and two walks against Triple-A Tacoma on Friday.
3/7/2012
-
Top 15 Prospects: Houston Astros
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
12
11/29/2011
-
Astros Prospects in 2012 and Beyond: Prospect Chat»
by
Jason Catania (RotoGraphs)
4
11/21/2011
-
Rule 5 Decisions Provide Valuable Insight
by
Mike Newman (FanGraphs)
16
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
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Compare
PITCHf/x
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2008
Braves (R)
4
1
0
10
0
37.1
7.71
2.41
0.24
.303
67.3 %
2.89
2.80
2009
Braves (R)
6
2
0
12
12
67.0
7.52
0.81
0.13
.242
70.3 %
2.01
2.08
2010
Braves (A)
0
2
0
4
4
23.0
7.43
1.96
0.39
.323
79.0 %
1.96
2.90
2010
Braves (A+)
6
6
2
22
18
112.2
8.55
1.44
0.56
.343
63.6 %
4.15
2.69
2011
Braves (AA)
9
9
0
21
21
127.2
6.56
2.96
0.42
.289
63.2 %
3.74
3.36
2011
Astros (AA)
2
3
0
6
6
27.1
9.22
3.29
0.99
.333
66.1 %
5.27
3.79
2012
Astros (AA)
5
3
0
13
13
77.0
7.95
2.45
1.29
.304
70.8 %
4.21
4.15
2012
Astros (AAA)
5
7
0
15
15
89.2
6.93
1.91
1.30
.323
72.4 %
4.52
4.25
2013
Steamer
3
3
0
8
8
50.0
5.35
3.01
1.14
.300
67.3 %
4.88
4.64
0.2
2013
Oliver
8
9
151.0
6.20
2.74
1.25
.310
69.8 %
4.71
4.43
2013
ZiPS
7
14
27
27
145.7
5.81
3.46
1.36
.328
64.8 %
5.87
5.11
-0.2
2013
Astros (AAA)
3
3
0
8
8
38.0
8.53
3.08
1.18
.300
57.8 %
4.74
4.12
2013
Astros
0
0
0
1
0
2.0
0.00
0.00
9.00
.143
100.0 %
22.2 %
33.3 %
9.00
16.03
7.34
-0.2
2013
ZiPS (R)
3
9
16
16
87.0
5.79
3.45
1.45
.333
63.6 %
6.09
5.17
-0.3
2013
ZiPS (U)
3
9
17
16
89.0
5.66
3.37
1.62
.329
64.2 %
6.16
5.41
-0.6
2013
Steamer (R)
2
1
0
30
0
30.0
6.90
2.56
1.12
.288
73.7 %
3.90
4.06
-0.1
2013
Steamer (U)
2
1
0
31
0
32.0
6.47
2.40
1.61
.278
76.2 %
4.22
4.81
-0.3
Total
- - -
0
0
0
1
0
2.0
0.00
0.00
9.00
.143
100.0 %
22.2 %
33.3 %
9.00
16.03
7.34
-0.2
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2008
Braves (R)
4
1
2.89
10
0
0
0
0
37.1
154
34
16
12
1
10
0
2
4
0
32
2009
Braves (R)
6
2
2.01
12
12
1
0
0
67.0
251
46
17
15
1
6
0
2
6
1
56
2010
Braves (A)
0
2
1.96
4
4
0
0
0
23.0
91
22
7
5
1
5
0
1
2
0
19
2010
Braves (A+)
6
6
4.15
22
18
0
0
2
112.2
474
123
59
52
7
18
0
4
6
0
107
2011
Braves (AA)
9
9
3.74
21
21
1
0
0
127.2
533
119
65
53
6
42
4
1
5
0
93
2011
Astros (AA)
2
3
5.27
6
6
0
0
0
27.1
117
28
16
16
3
10
0
1
2
0
28
2012
Astros (AA)
5
3
4.21
13
13
0
0
0
77.0
331
81
41
36
11
21
1
1
4
0
68
2012
Astros (AAA)
5
7
4.52
15
15
0
0
0
89.2
388
105
48
45
13
19
3
2
3
0
69
2013
Steamer
3
3
4.88
8
8
0
50.0
218
54
29
27
6
17
1
30
2013
Oliver
8
9
4.71
1
151.0
658
171
86
79
21
46
3
3
104
2013
ZiPS
7
14
5.87
27
27
145.7
177
102
95
22
56
3
9
9
0
94
2013
Astros (AAA)
3
3
4.74
8
8
0
0
0
38.0
165
38
26
20
5
13
0
1
2
0
36
2013
Astros
0
0
9.00
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2.0
9
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2013
ZiPS (R)
3
9
6.09
16
16
87.0
108
64
59
14
33
5
56
2013
ZiPS (U)
3
9
6.16
17
16
89.0
111
66
61
16
33
5
56
2013
Steamer (R)
2
1
3.90
30
0
0
30.0
128
30
14
13
4
9
1
23
2013
Steamer (U)
2
1
4.22
31
0
0
32.0
137
33
16
15
6
9
1
23
Total
- - -
0
0
9.00
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2.0
9
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2008
Braves (R)
7.71
2.41
3.20
0.24
20.8 %
6.5 %
.239
1.18
.303
67.3 %
2.80
2009
Braves (R)
7.52
0.81
9.33
0.13
22.3 %
2.4 %
.189
0.78
.242
70.3 %
2.08
2010
Braves (A)
7.43
1.96
3.80
0.39
20.9 %
5.5 %
.259
1.17
.323
79.0 %
2.90
2010
Braves (A+)
8.55
1.44
5.94
0.56
22.6 %
3.8 %
.272
1.25
.343
63.6 %
2.69
2011
Braves (AA)
6.56
2.96
2.21
0.42
17.5 %
7.9 %
.243
1.26
.289
63.2 %
3.36
2011
Astros (AA)
9.22
3.29
2.80
0.99
23.9 %
8.6 %
.264
1.39
.333
66.1 %
3.79
2012
Astros (AA)
7.95
2.45
3.24
1.29
20.5 %
6.3 %
.262
1.32
.304
70.8 %
4.15
2012
Astros (AAA)
6.93
1.91
3.63
1.30
17.8 %
4.9 %
.286
1.38
.323
72.4 %
4.25
2013
Steamer
5.35
3.01
1.78
1.14
.277
1.41
.300
67.3 %
4.64
2013
Oliver
6.20
2.74
2.26
1.25
15.8 %
7.0 %
.281
1.44
.310
69.8 %
4.43
2013
ZiPS
5.81
3.46
1.68
1.36
.301
1.60
.328
64.8 %
5.11
2013
Astros (AAA)
8.53
3.08
2.77
1.18
21.8 %
7.9 %
.252
1.34
.300
57.8 %
4.12
2013
Astros
0.00
0.00
0.00
9.00
0.0 %
0.0 %
.333
1.50
.143
100.0 %
220
393
16.03
2013
Average
7.63
3.11
2.45
1.03
20.0 %
8.1 %
.248
1.30
.291
73.1 %
4.14
2013
ZiPS (R)
5.79
3.45
1.68
1.45
.306
1.63
.333
63.6 %
5.17
2013
ZiPS (U)
5.66
3.37
1.68
1.62
.307
1.63
.329
64.2 %
5.41
2013
Steamer (R)
6.90
2.56
2.69
1.12
.263
1.29
.288
73.7 %
4.06
2013
Steamer (U)
6.47
2.40
2.69
1.61
.269
1.30
.278
76.2 %
4.81
Total
- - -
0.00
0.00
0.00
9.00
0.0 %
0.0 %
.333
1.50
.143
100.0 %
220
393
16.03
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2013
Astros
0.33
11.1 %
22.2 %
66.7 %
0.0 %
33.3 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
15.47
7.65
179
7.34
Total
- - -
0.33
11.1 %
22.2 %
66.7 %
0.0 %
33.3 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
15.47
7.65
179
7.34
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2013
Astros
2
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
16
22
38
Total
- - -
2
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
16
22
38
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2013
Astros
-0.19
-0.30
0.12
-1.08
-0.12
0.76
1.06
1.19
1.53
1
-0.22
-0.03
0
1
Total
- - -
-0.19
-0.30
0.12
-1.08
-0.12
0.76
1.06
1.19
1.53
1
-0.22
-0.03
0
1
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2013
Astros
68.4% (91.0)
18.4% (79.6)
13.2% (81.8)
Total
- - -
68.4% (91.0)
18.4% (79.6)
13.2% (81.8)
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2013
Astros
55.3 %
18.4 %
7.9 %
10.5 %
7.9 %
Total
- - -
55.3 %
18.4 %
7.9 %
10.5 %
7.9 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2013
Astros
90.9
88.4
79.6
79.5
81.6
Total
- - -
90.9
88.4
79.6
79.5
81.6
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2013
Astros
-1.9
-0.2
0.0
-7.32
-2.30
-0.52
Total
- - -
-1.9
-0.2
0.0
-7.32
-2.30
-0.52
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2013
Astros
-1.9
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
Total
- - -
-1.9
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2013
Astros
-8.84
0.40
-3.52
-1.56
-1.09
Total
- - -
-8.84
0.40
-3.52
-1.56
-1.09
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2013
Astros
21.1 %
68.4 %
44.7 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
50.0 %
22.2 %
0.0 %
2013
Average
29.6 %
64.9 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.5 %
45.9 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
21.1 %
68.4 %
44.7 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
50.0 %
22.2 %
0.0 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2013
Astros
14.3 %
82.4 %
44.7 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
44.7 %
22.4
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.1 %
22.5
Total
- - -
14.3 %
82.4 %
44.7 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
100.0 %
44.7 %
22.4
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2013
Astros
P
1
0
2.0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.000
Total
- - -
P
1
0
2.0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.000
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2013
Astros
P
2.0
0
0
0
0
Total
- - -
P
2.0
0
0
0
0
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2013
Astros
-0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-2.9
-0.2
($1.2)
Total
- - -
-0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-2.9
-0.2
($1.2)
Contracts
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