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2013 Articles
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Daily Notes: A Brief Review of Burch Smith's Second Start
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Stream, Stream, Stream: 2x SP 5.20-5.26
Kicking Rocks: The Naysayers
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Audio: Bob Uecker Would Like One or Six Beers
A GIF and a Tune: Ian Kinsler and Modest Mussorgsky
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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FANS
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ZiPS
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Steamer
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Oliver
2013 Daily Updated Projections
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ZiPS (Update)
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AL Games
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Final
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T - 8th
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T - 6th
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AL East
Yankees
27
16
----
Red Sox
25
17
1.5
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23
19
3.5
Rays
22
20
4.5
Blue Jays
17
26
10.0
AL Central
Indians
24
17
----
Tigers
23
17
0.5
Royals
20
18
2.5
Twins
18
20
4.5
White Sox
19
22
5.0
AL West
Rangers
27
15
----
Athletics
21
22
6.5
Mariners
20
23
7.5
Angels
16
27
11.5
Astros
11
31
16.0
NL East
Braves
24
18
----
Nationals
23
20
1.5
Phillies
20
23
4.5
Mets
16
24
7.0
Marlins
11
32
13.5
NL Central
Cardinals
27
14
----
Reds
26
17
2.0
Pirates
25
17
2.5
Cubs
18
24
9.5
Brewers
16
24
10.5
NL West
D-backs
25
18
----
Giants
24
18
0.5
Rockies
22
20
2.5
Padres
19
23
5.5
Dodgers
17
24
7.0
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Vinnie Pestano
Birthdate:
2/20/1985
Bats/Throws:
R/R
Height/Weight:
6-0/200
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/17/2013:
Pestano (elbow) has been activated from the 15-day DL.
3/7/2013
-
Cleveland Indians Bullpen: Depth Chart Discussion
by
Mike Axisa (RotoGraphs)
2
2/14/2013
-
Holds Targets: Peralta and Pestano
by
Alan Harrison (RotoGraphs)
2
1/23/2013
-
Rotographs Mock Draft: The Rest of the Relievers
by
Colin Zarzycki (RotoGraphs)
13
4/6/2012
-
Chris Perez's Blown Save With Roto Implications
by
Ben Duronio (RotoGraphs)
8
3/7/2012
-
Social Media Expansion: Teams Get in the Game
by
Paul Swydan (FanGraphs)
4
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2007
Indians (A-)
1
1
6
21
0
22.2
10.72
2.78
1.99
.222
89.5 %
3.57
4.88
2008
Indians (A)
1
1
15
29
0
29.0
7.14
4.03
0.31
.279
77.7 %
1.55
3.61
2008
Indians (A+)
1
2
9
25
0
27.0
9.00
3.67
0.33
.279
66.5 %
4.00
3.13
2009
Indians (AA)
2
3
24
34
0
34.2
8.05
3.38
0.52
.283
80.6 %
2.86
3.46
2010
Indians (AA)
1
1
3
14
0
13.1
12.15
1.35
0.68
.333
63.5 %
2.70
1.93
2010
Indians (AAA)
1
2
14
43
0
46.1
11.46
2.72
0.19
.301
82.3 %
1.55
1.91
2010
Indians
0
0
1
5
0
5.0
14.40
9.00
0.00
.400
77.8 %
30.0 %
0.0 %
3.60
2.88
4.10
0.0
2011
Indians
1
2
2
68
0
62.0
12.19
3.48
0.73
.269
85.3 %
39.1 %
8.6 %
2.32
2.67
2.80
1.4
2012
Indians
3
3
2
70
0
70.0
9.77
3.09
0.90
.263
85.7 %
40.9 %
9.1 %
2.57
3.42
3.74
1.0
2013
Steamer
4
2
1
57
0
57.0
9.53
3.46
0.95
.297
77.9 %
3.20
3.62
0.4
2013
Bill James
5
3
25
70
0
76.0
10.54
3.20
0.71
.301
2.72
2.90
2013
Oliver
4
3
64.0
9.95
3.22
0.56
.287
74.9 %
2.94
2.84
2013
ZiPS
3
2
67
0
63.7
10.31
3.25
0.85
.310
75.8 %
3.25
3.25
0.7
2013
Indians (A)
0
0
0
1
0
1.0
9.00
0.00
0.00
.000
100.0 %
0.00
1.20
2013
Indians
1
0
0
9
0
9.0
9.00
5.00
1.00
.190
93.0 %
18.2 %
9.1 %
2.00
4.13
4.46
0.0
2013
ZiPS (R)
2
2
47
0
44.0
10.33
3.46
0.87
.315
75.0 %
3.44
3.27
0.4
2013
ZiPS (U)
3
2
56
0
53.0
10.10
3.72
0.89
.296
77.3 %
3.19
3.42
0.4
2013
Steamer (R)
3
2
1
53
0
43.0
9.59
3.58
0.98
.283
77.9 %
3.26
3.62
0.2
2013
Steamer (U)
4
2
1
62
0
52.0
9.48
3.83
0.98
.268
80.2 %
3.05
3.70
0.2
Total
- - -
5
5
5
152
0
146.0
10.91
3.58
0.80
.265
85.5 %
38.5 %
8.6 %
2.47
3.13
3.40
2.5
News
4/9
-
THT Awards
by
John Barten
11/8
-
Using WPA to grade bullpen management, part one
by
Dan Lependorf
8/20
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 8-20
by
Brad Johnson
5/17
-
Indians activate Vinnie Pestano from disabled list
by
MLB Daily Dish
5/17
-
Cleveland Indians News: May 17, 2013: Vinnie Pestano Recalle»
by
Lets Go Tribe
5/13
-
MLB Recap: Cleveland Indians 4, Detroit Tigers 3 (10) - Clev»
by
Lets Go Tribe
12/5
-
Mets Not Targeting Vinnie Pestano
by
Luke Adams
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2007
Indians (A-)
1
1
3.57
21
0
0
0
6
22.2
95
17
9
9
5
7
0
2
1
0
27
2008
Indians (A)
1
1
1.55
29
0
0
0
15
29.0
125
25
10
5
1
13
0
2
2
1
23
2008
Indians (A+)
1
2
4.00
25
0
0
0
9
27.0
120
23
13
12
1
11
1
2
2
0
27
2009
Indians (AA)
2
3
2.86
34
0
0
0
24
34.2
147
30
11
11
2
13
3
2
0
0
31
2010
Indians (AA)
1
1
2.70
14
0
0
0
3
13.1
54
12
6
4
1
2
0
0
1
0
18
2010
Indians (AAA)
1
2
1.55
43
0
0
0
14
46.1
188
35
10
8
1
14
0
1
1
0
59
2010
Indians
0
0
3.60
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5.0
23
4
2
2
0
5
0
0
0
0
8
2011
Indians
1
2
2.32
68
0
0
0
2
23
4
62.0
250
41
16
16
5
24
3
3
0
0
84
2012
Indians
3
3
2.57
70
0
0
0
2
36
3
70.0
286
53
20
20
7
24
1
4
1
0
76
2013
Steamer
4
2
3.20
57
0
1
57.0
241
49
22
20
6
22
2
61
2013
Bill James
5
3
2.72
70
0
25
76.0
60
6
27
3
89
2013
Oliver
4
3
2.94
24
64.0
268
52
23
21
4
23
1
3
71
2013
ZiPS
3
2
3.25
67
0
63.7
54
25
23
6
23
2
3
1
0
73
2013
Indians (A)
0
0
0.00
1
0
0
0
0
1.0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2013
Indians
1
0
2.00
9
0
0
0
0
4
0
9.0
36
5
2
2
1
5
0
0
1
0
9
2013
ZiPS (R)
2
2
3.44
47
0
44.0
38
18
17
4
17
2
51
2013
ZiPS (U)
3
2
3.19
56
0
53.0
43
21
19
5
22
2
60
2013
Steamer (R)
3
2
3.26
53
0
1
43.0
182
37
17
16
5
17
2
46
2013
Steamer (U)
4
2
3.05
62
0
1
52.0
218
42
19
18
6
22
2
55
Total
- - -
5
5
2.47
152
0
0
0
5
63
7
146.0
595
103
40
40
13
58
4
7
2
0
177
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2007
Indians (A-)
10.72
2.78
3.86
1.99
28.4 %
7.4 %
.198
1.06
.222
89.5 %
4.88
2008
Indians (A)
7.14
4.03
1.77
0.31
18.4 %
10.4 %
.227
1.31
.279
77.7 %
3.61
2008
Indians (A+)
9.00
3.67
2.45
0.33
22.5 %
9.2 %
.215
1.26
.279
66.5 %
3.13
2009
Indians (AA)
8.05
3.38
2.38
0.52
21.1 %
8.8 %
.227
1.24
.283
80.6 %
3.46
2010
Indians (AA)
12.15
1.35
9.00
0.68
33.3 %
3.7 %
.231
1.05
.333
63.5 %
1.93
2010
Indians (AAA)
11.46
2.72
4.21
0.19
31.4 %
7.5 %
.202
1.06
.301
82.3 %
1.91
2010
Indians
14.40
9.00
1.60
0.00
34.8 %
21.7 %
.222
1.80
.400
77.8 %
90
71
2.88
2010
Average
7.13
3.28
2.17
0.96
18.5 %
8.5 %
.253
1.35
.293
72.2 %
4.20
2011
Indians
12.19
3.48
3.50
0.73
33.6 %
9.6 %
.184
1.05
.269
85.3 %
59
68
2.67
2011
Average
7.13
3.11
2.30
0.94
18.6 %
8.1 %
.251
1.32
.291
72.5 %
4.12
2012
Indians
9.77
3.09
3.17
0.90
26.6 %
8.4 %
.205
1.10
.263
85.7 %
65
85
3.42
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
9.53
3.46
2.76
0.95
.232
1.23
.297
77.9 %
3.62
2013
Bill James
10.54
3.20
3.30
0.71
.219
1.14
.301
2.90
2013
Oliver
9.95
3.22
3.09
0.56
26.5 %
8.6 %
.215
1.17
.287
74.9 %
2.84
2013
ZiPS
10.31
3.25
3.17
0.85
.231
1.21
.310
75.8 %
3.25
2013
Indians (A)
9.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
33.3 %
0.0 %
.000
0.00
.000
100.0 %
1.20
2013
Indians
9.00
5.00
1.80
1.00
25.0 %
13.9 %
.161
1.11
.190
93.0 %
50
106
4.13
2013
Average
7.65
3.11
2.46
1.04
20.0 %
8.1 %
.248
1.30
.291
73.1 %
4.15
2013
ZiPS (R)
10.33
3.46
2.99
0.87
.235
1.25
.315
75.0 %
3.27
2013
ZiPS (U)
10.10
3.72
2.72
0.89
.224
1.23
.296
77.3 %
3.42
2013
Steamer (R)
9.59
3.58
2.68
0.98
.231
1.25
.283
77.9 %
3.62
2013
Steamer (U)
9.48
3.83
2.48
0.98
.221
1.22
.268
80.2 %
3.70
Total
- - -
10.91
3.58
3.05
0.80
29.8 %
9.8 %
.194
1.10
.265
85.5 %
62
79
3.13
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2010
Indians
0.60
20.0 %
30.0 %
50.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
3.01
4.01
98
4.10
2011
Indians
0.93
18.8 %
39.1 %
42.0 %
12.1 %
8.6 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
2.70
2.23
69
2.80
2012
Indians
0.96
16.6 %
40.9 %
42.5 %
14.3 %
9.1 %
6.8 %
0.0 %
3.14
3.00
90
3.74
2013
Indians
0.36
31.8 %
18.2 %
50.0 %
0.0 %
9.1 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
5.62
4.16
110
4.46
Total
- - -
0.89
18.5 %
38.5 %
43.0 %
11.9 %
8.6 %
3.7 %
0.0 %
3.08
2.75
83
3.40
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2010
Indians
3
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
43
58
101
2011
Indians
54
58
26
7
0
1
0
17
352
641
993
2012
Indians
74
77
30
11
5
1
0
31
432
774
1206
2013
Indians
4
11
7
0
0
0
0
3
52
98
150
Total
- - -
135
151
65
18
5
2
0
53
879
1571
2450
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2010
Indians
0.08
-0.15
0.23
0.49
0.06
0.46
0.50
0.50
0
-0.04
0.22
1
0
2011
Indians
1.93
-5.27
7.20
15.30
1.59
1.57
1.29
1.49
1.92
47
1.30
-0.08
29
8
2012
Indians
3.54
-6.20
9.74
16.72
1.73
1.76
1.60
1.76
1.54
57
1.27
0.74
37
7
2013
Indians
0.54
-0.31
0.84
2.42
0.25
1.06
1.32
1.32
1.96
6
0.20
0.31
4
1
Total
- - -
6.08
-11.93
18.01
34.94
3.64
1.59
1.41
1.57
1.72
110
2.73
1.10
71
16
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2010
Indians
90.0% (92.8)
10.0% (82.1)
1.0%
2011
Indians
73.1% (92.7)
19.9% (80.6)
7.0% (92.0)
1.5%
2012
Indians
77.1% (91.8)
22.9% (80.0)
0.5%
2013
Indians
72.2% (92.1)
27.8% (79.5)
11.3%
Total
- - -
75.7% (92.2)
21.0% (80.2)
2.8% (92.0)
0.4% (82.1)
1.6%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2010
Indians
40.6 %
13.9 %
35.6 %
9.9 %
2011
Indians
44.4 %
24.3 %
10.3 %
19.8 %
2012
Indians
71.6 %
5.1 %
22.8 %
2013
Indians
62.7 %
8.7 %
28.7 %
Total
- - -
58.7 %
13.5 %
5.6 %
21.0 %
0.4 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2010
Indians
93.0
92.9
92.5
82.0
2011
Indians
92.6
92.9
92.1
80.6
2012
Indians
91.7
92.6
80.0
2013
Indians
91.9
92.1
79.3
Total
- - -
92.0
92.8
92.2
80.1
82.0
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2010
Indians
0.8
0.0
0.92
-0.30
2011
Indians
7.3
4.4
1.4
1.02
2.24
2.09
2012
Indians
8.0
-0.3
0.86
-0.11
2013
Indians
0.6
0.4
0.60
1.19
Total
- - -
16.7
4.5
1.4
0.0
0.91
0.89
2.09
-0.30
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2010
Indians
-1.0
0.4
1.4
0.0
2011
Indians
5.7
0.3
3.5
4.0
2012
Indians
6.3
2.1
-0.3
2013
Indians
-0.9
1.8
0.7
Total
- - -
10.1
4.6
4.9
4.4
0.0
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2010
Indians
-2.48
2.71
4.00
-0.37
2011
Indians
1.30
0.14
3.42
2.05
2012
Indians
0.73
3.32
-0.12
2013
Indians
-0.93
13.77
1.58
Total
- - -
0.70
1.38
3.57
0.85
-0.37
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2010
Indians
26.2 %
73.0 %
43.9 %
62.5 %
59.3 %
60.5 %
37.8 %
47.8 %
17.8 %
2010
Average
29.3 %
64.4 %
45.6 %
66.5 %
88.1 %
80.7 %
46.5 %
58.8 %
8.5 %
2011
Indians
34.6 %
67.6 %
49.7 %
52.8 %
73.8 %
65.9 %
45.8 %
58.8 %
16.3 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Indians
34.8 %
66.1 %
49.2 %
68.5 %
82.7 %
77.2 %
45.9 %
61.2 %
10.7 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Indians
27.0 %
66.7 %
44.3 %
60.0 %
89.5 %
79.3 %
43.5 %
66.7 %
10.0 %
2013
Average
29.5 %
64.9 %
45.7 %
66.1 %
86.5 %
79.4 %
46.0 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
33.9 %
67.0 %
48.9 %
61.5 %
78.5 %
72.1 %
45.4 %
60.0 %
13.2 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2010
Indians
28.3 %
60.4 %
43.6 %
60.0 %
58.6 %
59.1 %
47.5 %
21.5
2010
Average
28.0 %
61.3 %
44.7 %
64.6 %
87.9 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.5
2011
Indians
32.4 %
62.5 %
47.8 %
49.0 %
73.8 %
65.6 %
51.1 %
21.1
2011
Average
28.6 %
62.1 %
45.3 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
49.8 %
21.6
2012
Indians
30.8 %
64.0 %
48.1 %
65.2 %
82.1 %
76.9 %
52.1 %
22.2
2012
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.2 %
22.1
2013
Indians
35.7 %
55.0 %
46.0 %
56.0 %
90.9 %
78.3 %
53.3 %
22.0
2013
Average
28.7 %
62.1 %
45.1 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
48.9 %
22.5
Total
- - -
31.6 %
62.7 %
47.7 %
57.6 %
78.4 %
71.7 %
51.6 %
21.7
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2010
Indians
P
5
0
5.0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.000
2011
Indians
P
68
0
62.0
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.000
2012
Indians
P
70
0
70.0
3
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.000
2013
Indians
P
9
0
9.0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
P
152
0
146.0
5
12
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.000
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2010
Indians
P
5.0
0
0
0
0
2011
Indians
P
62.0
0
0
1
1
2012
Indians
P
70.0
0
0
2
2
2013
Indians
P
9.0
0
0
0
0
Total
- - -
P
146.0
0
0
3
3
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2010
Indians
0.0
-0.1
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.0
$0.2
2011
Indians
2.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
13.6
1.4
$6.3
2012
Indians
2.3
0.3
0.9
1.2
10.1
1.0
$4.7
2013
Indians
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.3
-0.1
0.0
($0.1)
Total
- - -
4.7
0.6
1.6
2.2
24.0
2.5
$11.2
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