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2013 Articles
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M - R
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Daily Notes: Actual Ways in Which Tom Koehler Was the Best
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The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Swings
The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Pitches
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Roto Riteup: May 25, 2013
Bullpen Report: May 24, 2013
NotGraphs
Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
,
FANS
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ZiPS
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Oliver
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AL Games
BAL (6) @ TOR (5)
Final
LAA (7) @ KCR (0)
Final
CLE (4) @ BOS (7)
Final
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Final
NYY (3) @ TBR (3)
T - 10th
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T - 2nd
MIA (0) @ CHW (0)
B - 2nd
TEX @ SEA
22:10
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Final
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PHI (2) @ WSN (0)
T - 2nd
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B - 1st
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SDP @ ARI
22:10
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2013
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A-:
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2013
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2006
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AL East
Yankees
29
18
----
Red Sox
30
20
0.5
Orioles
27
22
3.0
Rays
24
23
5.0
Blue Jays
20
29
10.0
AL Central
Tigers
27
20
----
Indians
27
21
0.5
White Sox
22
24
4.5
Royals
21
25
5.5
Twins
19
27
7.5
AL West
Rangers
31
17
----
Athletics
26
23
5.5
Angels
22
27
9.5
Mariners
20
28
11.0
Astros
14
34
17.0
NL East
Braves
28
18
----
Nationals
25
23
4.0
Phillies
23
25
6.0
Mets
17
27
10.0
Marlins
13
35
16.0
NL Central
Cardinals
31
16
----
Reds
31
18
1.0
Pirates
30
19
2.0
Brewers
19
28
12.0
Cubs
18
30
13.5
NL West
D-backs
27
21
----
Rockies
27
21
----
Giants
26
22
1.0
Padres
21
26
5.5
Dodgers
19
27
7.0
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Fernando Abad
Birthdate:
12/17/1985
Bats/Throws:
L/L
Height/Weight:
6-2/215
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/21/2013:
Abad was called up from Triple-A Syracuse, the Washington Post reports.
8/25/2012
-
GIF: Astros Assault Each Other Physically, Again
by
Carson Cistulli (NotGraphs)
7
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2007
Astros (R)
6
4
1
17
4
50.0
9.72
2.16
1.08
.302
60.8 %
4.14
3.44
2007
Astros (A-)
0
0
0
2
0
3.0
15.00
6.00
0.00
.333
50.0 %
6.00
1.87
2008
Astros (A)
2
7
3
45
0
76.1
11.08
1.53
1.06
.337
77.7 %
3.30
2.94
2009
Astros (A+)
4
6
6
41
0
82.2
8.60
0.87
0.87
.304
61.4 %
4.14
3.02
2009
Astros (AA)
0
1
0
3
3
14.0
8.36
1.93
0.64
.275
58.8 %
3.21
2.91
2010
Astros (AA)
4
3
0
14
4
39.2
7.49
1.36
0.68
.360
76.3 %
2.50
2.97
2010
Astros (AAA)
0
0
0
5
0
6.1
12.79
2.84
1.42
.286
100.0 %
1.42
3.36
2010
Astros
0
1
0
22
0
19.0
5.68
2.37
1.42
.196
87.8 %
32.2 %
8.6 %
2.84
4.66
4.85
-0.1
2011
Astros (R)
0
0
0
1
0
1.0
9.00
0.00
0.00
.333
100.0 %
0.00
1.20
2011
Astros (AAA)
2
3
0
29
0
30.0
9.30
1.80
1.20
.326
67.9 %
4.80
3.47
2011
Astros
1
4
0
29
0
19.2
6.86
4.12
2.29
.333
64.5 %
35.2 %
15.6 %
7.32
6.33
5.07
-0.5
2012
Astros (AAA)
2
0
2
13
3
27.2
9.11
2.28
0.98
.366
78.8 %
3.90
3.45
2012
Astros
0
6
0
37
6
46.0
7.43
3.72
1.17
.359
73.7 %
43.2 %
11.5 %
5.09
4.57
4.54
0.1
2013
Steamer
2
1
0
30
0
30.0
7.27
3.12
1.14
.296
75.3 %
3.83
4.28
-0.1
2013
Bill James
3
6
0
28
12
82.0
7.79
2.96
1.21
.339
4.83
4.10
2013
Oliver
4
4
66.0
7.27
2.74
0.96
.310
71.1 %
4.12
3.81
2013
ZiPS
4
5
50
5
66.0
6.95
2.73
1.09
.318
68.9 %
4.64
4.17
0.0
2013
Nationals (AAA)
1
0
0
17
0
17.0
6.35
1.06
0.00
.309
89.5 %
1.06
2.14
2013
Steamer (R)
1
1
0
25
0
21.0
7.02
2.98
1.16
.283
74.8 %
3.90
4.26
0.0
2013
Steamer (U)
1
1
0
25
0
21.0
7.02
2.98
1.16
.283
74.8 %
3.90
4.26
0.0
Total
- - -
1
11
0
88
6
84.2
6.91
3.51
1.49
.318
73.0 %
38.8 %
11.8 %
5.10
5.00
4.73
-0.5
News
9/18
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 9-18
by
Brad Johnson
9/13
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 9-13
by
Brad Johnson
9/11
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 9-11
by
Brad Johnson
5/21
-
Washington Nationals' Roster Moves: Yunesky Maya And Fernand»
by
Federal Baseball
5/21
-
Washington Nationals' Ryan Mattheus To DL With Broken Hand; »
by
Federal Baseball
3/27
-
Washington Nationals Trim Roster To 28: LHP Fernando Abad An»
by
Federal Baseball
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2007
Astros (R)
6
4
4.14
17
4
0
0
1
50.0
210
47
29
23
6
12
0
2
2
3
54
2007
Astros (A-)
0
0
6.00
2
0
0
0
0
3.0
13
2
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
5
2008
Astros (A)
2
7
3.30
45
0
0
0
3
76.1
325
78
31
28
9
13
3
4
1
2
94
2009
Astros (A+)
4
6
4.14
41
0
0
0
6
82.2
330
78
42
38
8
8
0
5
3
0
79
2009
Astros (AA)
0
1
3.21
3
3
0
0
0
14.0
57
12
7
5
1
3
0
0
1
0
13
2010
Astros (AA)
4
3
2.50
14
4
0
0
0
39.2
167
48
16
11
3
6
1
0
2
1
33
2010
Astros (AAA)
0
0
1.42
5
0
0
0
0
6.1
26
5
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
9
2010
Astros
0
1
2.84
22
0
0
0
0
6
0
19.0
76
14
6
6
3
5
0
0
0
0
12
2011
Astros (R)
0
0
0.00
1
0
0
0
0
1.0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2011
Astros (AAA)
2
3
4.80
29
0
0
0
0
30.0
127
32
16
16
4
6
2
0
1
0
31
2011
Astros
1
4
7.32
29
0
0
0
0
7
2
19.2
99
28
18
16
5
9
0
1
0
0
15
2012
Astros (AAA)
2
0
3.90
13
3
0
0
2
27.2
121
33
12
12
3
7
1
1
0
2
28
2012
Astros
0
6
5.09
37
6
0
0
0
3
0
46.0
208
57
27
26
6
19
1
3
4
0
38
2013
Steamer
2
1
3.83
30
0
0
30.0
129
29
14
13
4
10
1
24
2013
Bill James
3
6
4.83
28
12
0
82.0
93
11
27
2
71
2013
Oliver
4
4
4.12
19
66.0
285
70
33
30
7
20
2
2
53
2013
ZiPS
4
5
4.64
50
5
66.0
71
36
34
8
20
1
3
3
1
51
2013
Nationals (AAA)
1
0
1.06
17
0
0
0
0
17.0
69
17
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
12
2013
Steamer (R)
1
1
3.90
25
0
0
21.0
91
21
10
9
3
7
1
16
2013
Steamer (U)
1
1
3.90
25
0
0
21.0
91
21
10
9
3
7
1
16
Total
- - -
1
11
5.10
88
6
0
0
0
16
2
84.2
383
99
51
48
14
33
1
4
4
0
65
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2007
Astros (R)
9.72
2.16
4.50
1.08
25.7 %
5.7 %
.240
1.18
.302
60.8 %
3.44
2007
Astros (A-)
15.00
6.00
2.50
0.00
38.5 %
15.4 %
.182
1.33
.333
50.0 %
1.87
2008
Astros (A)
11.08
1.53
7.23
1.06
28.9 %
4.0 %
.253
1.19
.337
77.7 %
2.94
2009
Astros (A+)
8.60
0.87
9.88
0.87
23.9 %
2.4 %
.246
1.04
.304
61.4 %
3.02
2009
Astros (AA)
8.36
1.93
4.33
0.64
22.8 %
5.3 %
.222
1.07
.275
58.8 %
2.91
2010
Astros (AA)
7.49
1.36
5.50
0.68
19.8 %
3.6 %
.298
1.36
.360
76.3 %
2.97
2010
Astros (AAA)
12.79
2.84
4.50
1.42
34.6 %
7.7 %
.208
1.11
.286
100.0 %
3.36
2010
Astros
5.68
2.37
2.40
1.42
15.8 %
6.6 %
.197
1.00
.196
87.8 %
72
118
4.66
2010
Average
7.13
3.28
2.17
0.96
18.5 %
8.5 %
.253
1.35
.293
72.2 %
4.20
2011
Astros (R)
9.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
25.0 %
0.0 %
.250
1.00
.333
100.0 %
1.20
2011
Astros (AAA)
9.30
1.80
5.17
1.20
24.4 %
4.7 %
.265
1.27
.326
67.9 %
3.47
2011
Astros
6.86
4.12
1.67
2.29
15.2 %
9.1 %
.315
1.88
.333
64.5 %
194
167
6.33
2011
Average
7.13
3.11
2.30
0.94
18.6 %
8.1 %
.251
1.32
.291
72.5 %
4.12
2012
Astros (AAA)
9.11
2.28
4.00
0.98
23.1 %
5.8 %
.292
1.45
.366
78.8 %
3.45
2012
Astros
7.43
3.72
2.00
1.17
18.3 %
9.1 %
.306
1.65
.359
73.7 %
130
118
4.57
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
7.27
3.12
2.33
1.14
.256
1.32
.296
75.3 %
4.28
2013
Bill James
7.79
2.96
2.63
1.21
.287
1.46
.339
4.10
2013
Oliver
7.27
2.74
2.65
0.96
18.6 %
7.0 %
.266
1.37
.310
71.1 %
3.81
2013
ZiPS
6.95
2.73
2.55
1.09
.276
1.38
.318
68.9 %
4.17
2013
Nationals (AAA)
6.35
1.06
6.00
0.00
17.4 %
2.9 %
.254
1.12
.309
89.5 %
2.14
2013
Steamer (R)
7.02
2.98
2.35
1.16
.260
1.32
.283
74.8 %
4.26
2013
Steamer (U)
7.02
2.98
2.35
1.16
.260
1.32
.283
74.8 %
4.26
Total
- - -
6.91
3.51
1.97
1.49
17.0 %
8.6 %
.286
1.56
.318
73.0 %
132
129
5.00
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2010
Astros
0.54
8.5 %
32.2 %
59.3 %
8.6 %
8.6 %
5.3 %
0.0 %
3.44
4.42
121
4.85
2011
Astros
0.78
19.7 %
35.2 %
45.1 %
18.8 %
15.6 %
12.0 %
66.7 %
6.04
4.37
132
5.07
2012
Astros
1.21
21.2 %
43.2 %
35.6 %
19.2 %
11.5 %
11.1 %
0.0 %
4.78
4.18
116
4.54
Total
- - -
0.90
18.1 %
38.8 %
43.1 %
16.0 %
11.8 %
10.3 %
40.0 %
4.80
4.22
121
4.73
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2010
Astros
19
35
5
3
1
0
0
0
101
201
302
2011
Astros
25
32
14
6
3
3
2
13
176
262
438
2012
Astros
63
52
31
10
7
2
0
7
286
532
818
Total
- - -
107
119
50
19
11
5
2
20
563
995
1558
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2010
Astros
0.34
-0.93
1.27
1.11
0.13
0.89
1.18
1.13
1.38
16
0.40
-0.02
5
3
2011
Astros
-1.74
-3.14
1.41
-11.33
-1.20
1.11
0.90
1.13
1.16
28
-0.85
-0.72
4
7
2012
Astros
-0.92
-3.25
2.34
-7.96
-0.95
0.71
0.59
0.71
0.71
29
-1.13
-0.15
2
4
Total
- - -
-2.31
-7.33
5.02
-18.18
-2.02
0.85
0.80
0.95
1.03
73
-1.58
-1.15
11
14
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2010
Astros
57.1% (90.1)
26.2% (76.3)
16.6% (76.5)
0.3%
2011
Astros
56.4% (90.2)
22.1% (77.1)
21.5% (73.8)
2012
Astros
54.0% (90.1)
33.8% (78.1)
12.1% (75.6)
0.2%
Total
- - -
55.3% (90.1)
29.1% (77.6)
15.6% (75.1)
0.2%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2010
Astros
52.3 %
5.3 %
2.3 %
23.8 %
16.2 %
2011
Astros
56.4 %
26.6 %
17.0 %
2012
Astros
27.7 %
26.0 %
37.8 %
8.2 %
Total
- - -
40.6 %
14.7 %
0.5 %
31.9 %
12.2 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2010
Astros
90.0
89.3
76.2
76.2
76.4
2011
Astros
90.1
76.2
74.3
2012
Astros
90.1
89.9
77.8
75.5
Total
- - -
90.1
89.9
76.2
77.2
75.3
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2010
Astros
3.7
-0.5
-0.8
2.14
-0.66
-1.52
2011
Astros
-5.2
-3.2
0.2
-2.12
-3.29
0.21
2012
Astros
0.0
-8.4
-2.4
0.00
-3.03
-2.45
Total
- - -
-1.5
-12.1
-3.0
-0.18
-2.67
-1.23
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2010
Astros
2.8
0.7
0.3
-0.8
-0.8
2011
Astros
-5.3
-3.3
0.3
2012
Astros
-1.8
2.2
-6.7
-3.7
Total
- - -
-4.2
2.9
0.3
-10.8
-4.2
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2010
Astros
1.78
4.29
4.69
-1.15
-1.58
2011
Astros
-2.14
-2.81
0.41
2012
Astros
-0.78
1.04
-2.16
-5.51
Total
- - -
-0.67
1.27
4.69
-2.17
-2.19
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2010
Astros
25.9 %
62.8 %
44.7 %
86.8 %
86.5 %
86.6 %
51.0 %
61.8 %
6.0 %
2010
Average
29.3 %
64.4 %
45.6 %
66.5 %
88.1 %
80.7 %
46.5 %
58.8 %
8.5 %
2011
Astros
22.9 %
69.3 %
43.4 %
80.0 %
87.0 %
85.0 %
44.1 %
53.5 %
6.4 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Astros
30.5 %
63.8 %
45.8 %
75.0 %
86.0 %
82.1 %
46.1 %
61.5 %
8.0 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
Total
- - -
27.4 %
65.0 %
44.9 %
78.2 %
86.4 %
83.7 %
46.5 %
59.5 %
7.1 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2010
Astros
26.8 %
59.8 %
44.7 %
89.2 %
85.7 %
86.7 %
54.3 %
21.6
2010
Average
28.4 %
61.3 %
44.9 %
64.6 %
87.9 %
80.6 %
50.4 %
21.5
2011
Astros
18.5 %
64.9 %
42.4 %
74.4 %
87.7 %
84.9 %
51.6 %
20.1
2011
Average
28.9 %
62.1 %
45.6 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.6
2012
Astros
28.2 %
59.6 %
45.3 %
72.4 %
85.6 %
81.8 %
54.2 %
21.4
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
Total
- - -
25.1 %
61.1 %
44.4 %
76.2 %
86.2 %
83.6 %
53.5 %
21.1
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2010
Astros
P
22
0
19.0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2011
Astros
P
29
0
19.2
1
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
.600
2012
Astros
P
37
6
46.0
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
P
88
6
84.2
4
11
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
.882
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2010
Astros
P
19.0
0
0
0
0
2011
Astros
P
19.2
0
0
0
-1
2012
Astros
P
46.0
1
0
-2
-1
Total
- - -
P
84.2
1
0
-2
-2
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2010
Astros
0.4
0.5
0.0
0.5
-0.9
-0.1
($0.4)
2011
Astros
-1.0
-0.3
-0.2
-0.5
-4.8
-0.5
($2.3)
2012
Astros
-0.2
-0.7
0.4
-0.3
0.8
0.1
$0.4
Total
- - -
-0.9
-0.5
0.2
-0.3
-4.8
-0.5
($2.3)
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