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FanGraphs Chat - 5/22/13
The Fringe Five: Baseball’s Most Compelling Fringe Prospects
Is Jose Ramirez a Starter or Reliever?
Q&A: Marcus Stroman, a Blue Jay Starts Over
RotoGraphs
So Close, Yet Profar
Buying & Selling: NL Starters
NotGraphs
A Dozen (Mostly) True Facts About Rickey Henderson
Sponsor Catch-Phrase Showdown: Mike Shannon vs. That Scott's Guy
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
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Final
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F - 10th
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2013
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2013
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AL East
Yankees
28
17
----
Red Sox
27
19
1.5
Rays
24
21
4.0
Orioles
24
21
4.0
Blue Jays
18
27
10.0
AL Central
Indians
26
18
----
Tigers
24
19
1.5
Royals
21
21
4.0
White Sox
21
23
5.0
Twins
18
24
7.0
AL West
Rangers
29
17
----
Athletics
25
22
4.5
Mariners
20
26
9.0
Angels
18
27
10.5
Astros
13
33
16.0
NL East
Braves
27
18
----
Nationals
23
23
4.5
Phillies
22
24
5.5
Mets
17
26
9.0
Marlins
13
33
14.5
NL Central
Cardinals
29
16
----
Reds
28
18
1.5
Pirates
27
18
2.0
Brewers
18
26
10.5
Cubs
18
26
10.5
NL West
Giants
26
20
----
D-backs
26
20
----
Rockies
25
21
1.0
Padres
21
24
4.5
Dodgers
18
26
7.0
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Marwin Gonzalez
Birthdate:
3/14/1989
Bats/Throws:
B/R
Height/Weight:
6-1/195
Position:
SS
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/7/2013:
Gonzalez is out of the Astros' lineup Tuesday versus the Angels, the Houston Chronicle reports.
4/29/2013
-
The Astros Are Trying To Make Lemonade
by
Paul Swydan (FanGraphs)
14
4/12/2013
-
Roto Riteup: April 12, 2013
by
David Wiers (RotoGraphs)
44
4/2/2013
-
GIF of Despair: Darvish Loses Perfect Game
by
Carson Cistulli (NotGraphs)
25
2/5/2013
-
The Houston Astros Shortstop
by
Eno Sarris (RotoGraphs)
5
7/17/2012
-
Jed Lowrie: Injured Again
by
Erik Hahmann (RotoGraphs)
9
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
PA
HR
R
RBI
SB
BB%
K%
ISO
BABIP
AVG
OBP
SLG
wOBA
wRC+
Fld
BsR
WAR
2006
Cubs (R)
24
94
0
9
11
0
8.5 %
20.2 %
.070
.254
.198
.266
.267
.265
48
2007
Cubs (R)
16
65
1
12
8
1
12.3 %
15.4 %
.196
.311
.268
.369
.464
.389
123
2008
Cubs (A-)
65
267
0
29
43
15
4.9 %
13.5 %
.086
.324
.279
.318
.365
.323
88
2008
Cubs (A)
33
122
0
6
9
1
2.5 %
12.3 %
.060
.252
.224
.240
.284
.240
46
2009
Cubs (A+)
120
461
2
43
34
9
5.6 %
16.7 %
.068
.289
.241
.287
.309
.281
74
2010
Cubs (A+)
23
96
0
7
5
7
7.3 %
13.5 %
.035
.315
.271
.330
.306
.303
88
2010
Cubs (AA)
86
330
4
24
41
6
5.2 %
12.1 %
.095
.268
.246
.284
.341
.284
67
2011
Cubs (AA)
64
239
2
29
20
4
7.1 %
11.3 %
.120
.335
.301
.359
.421
.352
111
2011
Cubs (AAA)
60
226
2
24
19
3
7.1 %
9.3 %
.102
.292
.274
.326
.376
.311
71
2012
Astros (AAA)
13
43
1
2
10
0
7.0 %
16.3 %
.179
.387
.333
.395
.513
.392
132
2012
Astros
80
219
2
21
12
3
5.9 %
13.2 %
.093
.264
.234
.280
.327
.269
66
2.8
-4.3
-0.1
2013
Steamer
40
149
2
14
13
2
5.8 %
12.1 %
.099
.278
.252
.299
.351
.285
77
0.9
-0.4
0.2
2013
Bill James
78
233
2
21
20
3
6.0 %
12.0 %
.096
.280
.251
.296
.347
.284
2013
Oliver
529
6
55
47
8
6.2 %
14.4 %
.099
.292
.257
.307
.356
.291
0.7
-0.6
1.4
2013
Fans (8)
73
285
1
21
21
3
6.7 %
11.9 %
.065
.271
.240
.295
.305
.266
2.0
-0.1
0.2
2013
ZiPS
122
418
3
41
30
6
5.3 %
14.6 %
.085
.286
.249
.291
.334
.275
70
-2.0
-0.8
0.0
2013
Astros
36
129
3
17
10
4
3.9 %
17.8 %
.126
.277
.244
.272
.370
.279
73
-0.3
0.0
0.1
2013
ZiPS (R)
88
304
3
32
22
5
5.0 %
15.2 %
.093
.285
.248
.287
.341
.276
69
-1.3
-0.3
0.1
2013
ZiPS (U)
124
433
6
49
32
9
4.7 %
16.0 %
.103
.282
.247
.283
.349
.277
69
-1.6
-0.3
0.1
2013
Steamer (R)
28
106
1
10
9
2
5.4 %
13.7 %
.101
.278
.249
.292
.350
.282
72
0.1
-0.3
0.1
2013
Steamer (U)
64
235
4
27
19
6
4.6 %
16.0 %
.115
.277
.246
.281
.361
.280
72
-0.2
-0.2
0.2
Total
- - -
116
348
5
38
22
7
5.2 %
14.9 %
.105
.269
.238
.277
.343
.273
68
2.5
-4.3
0.0
News
4/26
-
Fantasy: Fantasy Waiver Wire: Week 4, Vol III
by
Karl de Vries
4/22
-
Fantasy: Fantasy Waiver Wire: Week 4, Vol. I
by
Karl de Vries
4/15
-
Fantasy: Waiver Wire Week 3, Vol. IV
by
Karl de Vries
5/15
-
Astros 7, Tigers 5: Bullpen breaks Cardinal rule - Never wal»
by
Bless You Boys
5/13
-
Tigers 7, Astros 2: Andy Dirks powers victory with first car»
by
Bless You Boys
5/11
-
Astros 2, Rangers 4; Homeruns Do The Astros In
by
Crawfish Boxes
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
AB
PA
H
1B
2B
3B
HR
R
RBI
BB
IBB
SO
HBP
SF
SH
GDP
SB
CS
AVG
2006
Cubs (R)
24
86
94
17
12
4
1
0
9
11
8
0
19
0
0
0
1
0
2
.198
2007
Cubs (R)
16
56
65
15
9
2
3
1
12
8
8
0
10
1
0
0
2
1
2
.268
2008
Cubs (A-)
65
244
267
68
50
15
3
0
29
43
13
0
36
2
2
6
9
15
7
.279
2008
Cubs (A)
33
116
122
26
19
7
0
0
6
9
3
0
15
0
2
1
4
1
1
.224
2009
Cubs (A+)
120
424
461
102
81
15
4
2
43
34
26
0
77
2
1
8
11
9
8
.241
2010
Cubs (A+)
23
85
96
23
20
3
0
0
7
5
7
0
13
1
1
2
1
7
1
.271
2010
Cubs (AA)
86
305
330
75
57
11
3
4
24
41
17
2
40
1
4
3
7
6
4
.246
2011
Cubs (AA)
64
216
239
65
44
18
1
2
29
20
17
2
27
3
1
2
5
4
2
.301
2011
Cubs (AAA)
60
197
226
54
39
12
1
2
24
19
16
2
21
1
4
8
2
3
1
.274
2012
Astros (AAA)
13
39
43
13
8
4
0
1
2
10
3
1
7
1
0
0
1
0
0
.333
2012
Astros
80
205
219
48
33
13
0
2
21
12
13
0
29
0
0
1
9
3
3
.234
2013
Steamer
40
137
149
35
25
8
0
2
14
13
9
1
18
1
1
1
2
1
.252
2013
Bill James
78
219
233
55
39
13
1
2
21
20
14
0
28
3
2
.251
2013
Oliver
483
529
124
91
24
3
6
55
47
33
2
76
3
3
6
13
8
4
.257
2013
Fans (8)
73
262
285
63
49
12
1
1
21
21
19
2
34
2
2
3
1
.240
2013
ZiPS
122
386
418
96
71
20
2
3
41
30
22
1
61
2
3
5
10
6
4
.249
2013
Astros
36
119
129
29
20
6
0
3
17
10
5
0
23
0
1
4
1
4
1
.244
2013
ZiPS (R)
88
280
304
69
51
14
1
3
32
22
15
1
46
1
2
5
6
5
3
.248
2013
ZiPS (U)
124
399
433
98
71
20
1
6
49
32
20
1
69
1
3
9
7
9
4
.247
2013
Steamer (R)
28
98
106
24
17
6
0
1
10
9
6
0
15
1
1
1
2
1
.249
2013
Steamer (U)
64
217
235
53
37
12
0
4
27
19
11
0
38
1
2
5
6
2
.246
Total
- - -
116
324
348
77
53
19
0
5
38
22
18
0
52
0
1
5
10
7
4
.238
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
BB%
K%
BB/K
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
ISO
Spd
BABIP
UBR
wSB
wRC
wRAA
wOBA
wRC+
2006
Cubs (R)
8.5 %
20.2 %
0.42
.198
.266
.267
.533
.070
4.5
.254
-0.9
6
-6.9
.265
48
2007
Cubs (R)
12.3 %
15.4 %
0.80
.268
.369
.464
.834
.196
6.5
.311
-0.7
11
2.1
.389
123
2008
Cubs (A-)
4.9 %
13.5 %
0.36
.279
.318
.365
.683
.086
6.7
.324
0.0
29
-4.1
.323
88
2008
Cubs (A)
2.5 %
12.3 %
0.20
.224
.240
.284
.524
.060
2.1
.252
-0.2
6
-7.5
.240
46
2009
Cubs (A+)
5.6 %
16.7 %
0.34
.241
.287
.309
.596
.068
4.9
.289
-1.6
37
-13.5
.281
74
2010
Cubs (A+)
7.3 %
13.5 %
0.54
.271
.330
.306
.636
.035
4.9
.315
0.9
9
-1.3
.303
88
2010
Cubs (AA)
5.2 %
12.1 %
0.43
.246
.284
.341
.625
.095
4.4
.268
-0.5
26
-13.1
.284
67
2011
Cubs (AA)
7.1 %
11.3 %
0.63
.301
.359
.421
.780
.120
4.3
.335
0.1
32
3.1
.352
111
2011
Cubs (AAA)
7.1 %
9.3 %
0.76
.274
.326
.376
.701
.102
4.2
.292
0.1
23
-9.3
.311
71
2012
Astros (AAA)
7.0 %
16.3 %
0.43
.333
.395
.513
.908
.179
0.1
.387
0.0
8
1.8
.392
132
2012
Astros
5.9 %
13.2 %
0.45
.234
.280
.327
.607
.093
3.1
.264
-3.5
-0.8
17
-8.1
.269
66
2012
Average
8.0 %
19.8 %
0.40
.255
.319
.405
.724
.151
5.2
.297
.315
2013
Steamer
5.8 %
12.1 %
0.48
.252
.299
.351
.650
.099
3.1
.278
-0.1
-0.2
13
-3.6
.285
77
2013
Bill James
6.0 %
12.0 %
0.50
.251
.296
.347
.643
.096
3.7
.280
-0.4
21
-5.8
.284
2013
Oliver
6.2 %
14.4 %
0.43
.257
.307
.356
.663
.099
4.4
.292
-0.6
50
-10.2
.291
2013
Fans (8)
6.7 %
11.9 %
0.56
.240
.295
.305
.600
.065
3.6
.271
-0.1
21
-11.2
.266
2013
ZiPS
5.3 %
14.6 %
0.36
.249
.291
.334
.625
.085
4.3
.286
-0.8
34
-13.5
.275
70
2013
Astros
3.9 %
17.8 %
0.22
.244
.272
.370
.642
.126
5.4
.277
-0.3
0.3
11
-3.6
.279
73
2013
Average
8.1 %
20.0 %
0.41
.252
.318
.403
.721
.150
4.9
.295
.315
2013
ZiPS (R)
5.0 %
15.2 %
0.33
.248
.287
.341
.628
.093
4.5
.285
-0.1
-0.3
25
-9.3
.276
69
2013
ZiPS (U)
4.7 %
16.0 %
0.29
.247
.283
.349
.632
.103
4.7
.282
-0.4
0.1
36
-13.0
.277
69
2013
Steamer (R)
5.4 %
13.7 %
0.39
.249
.292
.350
.642
.101
3.9
.278
-0.1
-0.1
9
-2.8
.282
72
2013
Steamer (U)
4.6 %
16.0 %
0.29
.246
.281
.361
.642
.115
4.7
.277
-0.4
0.2
20
-6.4
.280
72
Total
- - -
5.2 %
14.9 %
0.35
.238
.277
.343
.620
.105
4.0
.269
-3.8
-0.5
28
-11.8
.273
68
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
2012
Astros
2.02
19.5 %
53.8 %
26.6 %
17.8 %
4.4 %
4.4 %
50.0 %
2013
Astros
1.76
14.0 %
54.8 %
31.2 %
6.9 %
10.3 %
9.8 %
25.0 %
Total
- - -
1.92
17.6 %
54.2 %
28.2 %
13.5 %
6.8 %
6.3 %
37.5 %
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2012
Astros
91
45
33
8
4
8
4
277
539
816
2013
Astros
51
29
13
2
5
8
2
138
324
462
Total
- - -
142
74
46
10
9
16
6
415
863
1278
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
phLI
PH
WPA/LI
Clutch
2012
Astros
-1.60
-5.00
3.40
-11.28
-1.17
1.14
0.72
18
-1.04
-0.37
2013
Astros
-0.70
-2.07
1.38
-4.37
-0.39
0.90
0
-0.32
-0.46
Total
- - -
-2.30
-7.07
4.77
-15.65
-1.56
1.05
0.72
18
-1.36
-0.84
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2012
Astros
59.6% (91.0)
12.5% (83.9)
4.2% (87.8)
12.5% (77.1)
10.0% (81.7)
1.2% (84.3)
0.2%
2013
Astros
55.1% (91.1)
14.1% (82.3)
4.3% (89.7)
11.6% (77.6)
12.9% (83.0)
2.0% (83.3)
4.5%
Total
- - -
58.0% (91.0)
13.1% (83.3)
4.2% (88.5)
12.2% (77.2)
11.0% (82.2)
1.5% (83.8)
1.8%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2012
Astros
30.8 %
11.8 %
6.8 %
1.2 %
14.1 %
11.3 %
12.0 %
1.2 %
10.4 %
2013
Astros
36.4 %
9.7 %
7.6 %
0.9 %
6.9 %
13.9 %
10.2 %
2.0 %
12.3 %
Total
- - -
32.8 %
11.1 %
7.1 %
1.1 %
11.5 %
12.2 %
11.4 %
1.5 %
11.1 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2012
Astros
91.6
90.6
88.2
83.2
90.1
84.1
76.7
80.9
81.9
2013
Astros
91.5
90.0
89.5
83.3
89.9
82.4
77.3
81.2
82.6
Total
- - -
91.6
90.4
88.7
83.2
90.0
83.4
76.9
81.0
82.2
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2012
Astros
-7.5
-1.3
2.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-1.54
-1.31
5.86
-0.89
-0.98
-7.41
2013
Astros
0.4
-1.2
-1.9
-0.3
1.5
-0.8
0.17
-2.02
-9.93
-0.55
2.68
-8.76
Total
- - -
-7.1
-2.6
0.1
-1.2
0.7
-1.5
-0.97
-1.58
0.20
-0.78
0.53
-8.05
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2012
Astros
-2.3
-1.6
2.9
-0.7
-4.8
-0.8
-0.5
-0.3
-1.1
2013
Astros
1.6
0.0
-1.1
-0.5
-1.4
-1.9
-0.5
-0.4
2.2
Total
- - -
-0.7
-1.6
1.8
-1.2
-6.2
-2.8
-1.0
-0.7
1.0
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2012
Astros
-0.93
-1.66
5.23
-6.80
-4.18
-0.89
-0.51
-3.27
-1.32
2013
Astros
0.97
-0.07
-3.11
-13.11
-4.35
-3.03
-1.11
-4.31
3.79
Total
- - -
-0.17
-1.15
1.99
-8.60
-4.21
-1.76
-0.70
-3.76
0.73
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2012
Astros
32.3 %
58.1 %
44.2 %
75.9 %
93.5 %
86.6 %
46.0 %
58.5 %
5.8 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Astros
36.9 %
59.6 %
48.3 %
73.8 %
87.0 %
82.0 %
50.3 %
67.4 %
8.9 %
2013
Average
29.6 %
64.9 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.5 %
45.9 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
33.8 %
58.6 %
45.6 %
75.1 %
91.1 %
84.9 %
47.6 %
61.8 %
6.9 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2012
Astros
30.0 %
57.8 %
44.0 %
69.4 %
94.5 %
86.0 %
50.3 %
24.5
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Astros
35.9 %
58.4 %
47.5 %
63.8 %
91.4 %
81.3 %
51.6 %
23.8
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.1 %
22.5
Total
- - -
32.1 %
58.1 %
45.3 %
67.2 %
93.3 %
84.2 %
50.8 %
24.2
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2012
Astros
2B
6
4
31.0
5
15
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1.000
2013
Astros
2B
4
2
29.2
9
16
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
1.000
Total
- - -
2B
10
6
60.2
14
31
0
0
0
4
0
4
0
1.000
2012
Astros
3B
14
6
52.2
2
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
3B
14
6
52.2
2
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2012
Astros
SS
47
38
347.2
56
112
5
3
2
17
10
7
2
.971
2013
Astros
SS
33
32
277.2
50
90
5
3
2
28
16
14
1
.966
Total
- - -
SS
80
70
625.1
106
202
10
6
4
45
26
21
3
.969
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2012
Astros
2B
31.0
0
0
0
0
12
12
1.000
2
0
0.8
0.2
1.0
31.5
2013
Astros
2B
29.2
0
0
2
2
12
12
1.000
1
1.1
0.3
1.3
39.8
Total
- - -
2B
60.2
0
0
2
2
24
24
1.000
3
0
1.9
0.5
2.4
35.6
2012
Astros
3B
52.2
0
0
2
2
13
11
.846
3
0
-0.2
0.8
0.6
1.2
24.1
Total
- - -
3B
52.2
0
0
2
2
13
11
.846
3
0
-0.2
0.8
0.6
1.2
24.1
2012
Astros
SS
347.2
0
0
0
0
93
82
.882
22
-1
-0.6
1.1
0.0
0.5
1.9
2013
Astros
SS
277.2
1
1
0
2
74
59
.797
12
0.7
-1.3
-1.0
-1.6
-14.6
Total
- - -
SS
625.1
1
1
0
2
167
141
.844
34
-1
0.1
-0.2
-1.1
-1.1
-3.0
Fans Scouting Report
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Inn
Votes
Instincts
First Step
Speed
Hands
Release
Arm Strength
Arm Accuracy
Overall
FSR
2012
Astros
431.1
8
56
60
56
51
66
51
56
57
-1
Total
- - -
431.1
8
56
60
56
51
66
51
56
57
-1
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Batting
Base Running
Fielding
Replacement
Positional
Fld + Pos
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2012
Astros
-8.9
-4.3
2.8
6.5
1.9
4.7
-1.4
-0.1
($0.7)
2013
Astros
-4.1
0.0
-0.3
3.8
1.5
1.2
1.4
0.1
$0.7
Total
- - -
-13.1
-4.3
2.5
10.2
3.4
5.9
-0.1
0.0
$0.1
Contracts
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