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Henderson Alvarez  
Birthdate: 4/18/1990     Bats/Throws: R/R
Height/Weight: 6-1/210     Position: P
Contract: Add New Contract
6/17/2013: Alvarez (shoulder) will make his second rehab outing for High-A Jupiter on Tuesday, the Miami Herald reports.
4/8/2013 - Have A Day, Jose Fernandez by Paul Swydan (FanGraphs) 16
11/16/2012 - Shake Up Leads to Opportunities in Miami by JD Sussman (RotoGraphs) 8
11/14/2012 - Time For Henderson Alvarez To Shine by Chris Cwik (RotoGraphs) 0
9/20/2012 - Toronto's Alvarez Abandons Change, Succeeds Harder by Carson Cistulli (FanGraphs) 21
6/28/2012 - Sabathia, Pettitte Latest Victims of ALE Injury Bu» by Mike Axisa (FanGraphs) 16


DashboardCustomize
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamWLSVGGSIPK/9BB/9HR/9BABIPLOB%GB%HR/FBERAFIPxFIPWAR
2008Blue Jays (R)140121146.16.601.170.58.35548.0 %  5.633.35  
2009Blue Jays (A)9602323124.16.661.380.07.30263.6 %  3.472.43  
2010Blue Jays (A+)8702321112.16.252.160.80.33867.5 %  4.333.88  
2011Blue Jays (A+)010228.14.321.080.00.34435.7 %  6.483.32  
2011Blue Jays (AA)840151488.06.751.740.72.28677.0 %  2.863.45  
2011Blue Jays130101063.25.651.131.13.28177.2 %53.5 %15.1 %3.533.973.380.9
2012Blue Jays91403131187.13.802.591.39.29170.1 %57.0 %18.1 %4.855.184.420.2
2013Steamer10902726161.05.292.530.58.31168.4 %  3.983.71 2.4
2013Bill James81203131186.04.842.321.26.297   4.404.64  
2013Oliver108   165.04.762.350.93.30172.5 %  3.944.21  
2013Fans (24)91203029175.05.142.311.18.29771.4 %  4.364.51 1.4
2013ZiPS911 2828167.04.582.481.08.30368.9 %  4.634.55 0.9
2013Marlins (A+)000115.01.800.000.00.267100.0 %  0.002.80  
2013Steamer (R)660171791.05.332.520.58.30268.4 %  3.973.67 1.4
2013Steamer (U)660171791.05.332.520.58.30268.4 %  3.973.66 1.4
Total- - -101704141251.04.272.221.33.28971.7 %56.2 %17.4 %4.524.874.151.1

News
6/18 - All-time two-first-names team by Greg Simons
4/8 - Not so fast, Toronto by Alex Connors
4/2 - Marlins get it all wrong with Jose Fernandez by Jeff Moore
6/5 - The Blue Jays and Replacement Pitchers by Bluebird Banter
6/3 - Miami Marlins' starting rotation will be impressive soon by FishStripes
5/31 - Miami Marlins news: Jacob Turner promoted to start tomorrow'» by FishStripes
11/19 - Blue Jays, Marlins Complete Blockbuster Trade by Ben Nicholson-Smith
4/3 - AL East Links: Bailey, Farnsworth, Alvarez, Yankees by Mark Polishuk

Standard
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamWLERAGGSCGShOSVHLDBSIPTBFHRERHRBBIBBHBPWPBKSO
2008Blue Jays (R)145.631211000  46.121863412936063134
2009Blue Jays (A)963.472323100  124.15151215448119064392
2010Blue Jays (A+)874.332321000  112.149813765541027075078
2011Blue Jays (A+)016.4822000  8.13911960102014
2011Blue Jays (AA)842.861514100  88.0353813128717041066
2011Blue Jays133.5310100000063.225964262588042040
2012Blue Jays9144.85313111000187.18072161101012954233179
2013Steamer1093.982726  0  161.069117278711045 6  94
2013Bill James8124.403131  0  186.0 205  2648 6  100
2013Oliver1083.94     0 165.06871787872174316  87
2013Fans (24)9124.363029  0  175.0 18991852345 4  100
2013ZiPS9114.632828     167.0 18892862046153185
2013Marlins (A+)000.0011000  5.0164000000001
2013Steamer (R)663.971717  0  91.0392974440626 3  54
2013Steamer (U)663.971717  0  91.0392974440626 3  54
Total- - -10174.52414111000251.0106628013612637622751119

Advanced
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season  |  Averages
SeasonTeamK/9BB/9K/BBHR/9K%BB%AVGWHIPBABIPLOB%ERA-FIP-FIP
2008Blue Jays (R)6.601.175.670.5815.6 %2.8 %.3061.49.35548.0 %  3.35
2009Blue Jays (A)6.661.384.840.0717.9 %3.7 %.2471.13.30263.6 %  2.43
2010Blue Jays (A+)6.252.162.890.8015.7 %5.4 %.2951.46.33867.5 %  3.88
2011Blue Jays (A+)4.321.084.000.0010.3 %2.6 %.3061.44.34435.7 %  3.32
2011Blue Jays (AA)6.751.743.880.7218.7 %4.8 %.2441.11.28677.0 %  3.45
2011Blue Jays5.651.135.001.1315.4 %3.1 %.2591.13.28177.2 %86973.97
2011Average7.133.112.300.9418.6 %8.1 %.2511.32.29172.5 %  4.12
2012Blue Jays3.802.591.461.399.8 %6.7 %.2881.44.29170.1 %1181245.18
2012Average7.563.052.481.0219.8 %8.0 %.2501.31.29372.5 %  4.12
2013Steamer5.292.532.090.58  .2751.35.31168.4 %  3.71
2013Bill James4.842.322.081.26  .2811.36.297   4.64
2013Oliver4.762.352.020.9312.7 %6.3 %.2791.34.30172.5 %  4.21
2013Fans (24)5.142.312.221.18  .2771.34.29771.4 %  4.51
2013ZiPS4.582.481.851.08  .2851.40.30368.9 %  4.55
2013Marlins (A+)1.800.001.000.006.3 %0.0 %.2500.80.267100.0 %  2.80
2013Steamer (R)5.332.522.110.58  .2751.35.30268.4 %  3.67
2013Steamer (U)5.332.522.110.58  .2751.35.30268.4 %  3.66
Total- - -4.272.221.921.3311.2 %5.8 %.2811.36.28971.7 %1101184.87

Batted Ball
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamGB/FBLD%GB%FB%IFFB%HR/FBIFH%BUH%tERASIERAxFIP-xFIP
2011Blue Jays2.0420.3 %53.5 %26.2 %7.5 %15.1 %5.6 %40.0 %4.613.42843.38
2012Blue Jays2.3418.7 %57.0 %24.3 %8.1 %18.1 %4.5 %53.8 %5.614.521074.42
Total- - -2.2719.1 %56.2 %24.8 %8.0 %17.4 %4.8 %50.0 %5.364.241014.15

More Batted Ball
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamGBFBLDIFFBIFHBUBUHRSBallsStrikesPitches
2011Blue Jays1085341465234336641977
2012Blue Jays3751601231317137104102818372865
Total- - -4832131641723189138136424783842

Win Probability
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamWPA-WPA+WPARE24REWpLIinLIgmLIexLIPullsWPA/LIClutchSDMD
2011Blue Jays0.11-4.314.426.190.580.870.860.881.27100.32-0.1900
2012Blue Jays-1.59-14.1312.55-10.96-1.110.900.840.870.8530-1.54-0.2200
Total- - --1.48-18.4416.97-4.77-0.540.890.840.870.9540-1.22-0.4300

Pitch Type
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamFB%SL%CT%CB%CH%SF%KN%XX%
2011Blue Jays71.8% (93.3)9.9% (83.9)  18.3% (85.4)   
2012Blue Jays69.2% (93.3)10.5% (84.0)3.9% (88.9) 16.4% (86.7)  0.3%
Total- - -69.8% (93.3)10.4% (84.0)2.9% (88.9) 16.9% (86.3)  0.2%

PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamFA%FT%FC%FS%FO%SI%SL%CU%KC%EP%CH%SC%KN%UN%
2011Blue Jays61.1 %10.1 %1.8 %   8.8 %1.8 %  16.3 %   
2012Blue Jays45.8 %28.5 %0.7 %   14.1 %   10.5 %   
Total- - -49.7 %23.8 %1.0 %   12.8 %0.5 %  12.0 %   

PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamvFAvFTvFCvFSvFOvSIvSLvCUvKCvEPvCHvSCvKN
2011Blue Jays93.392.593.7   84.083.0  85.1  
2012Blue Jays92.893.291.6   84.9   85.7  
Total- - -92.993.192.6   84.783.0  85.5  

Pitch Values
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamwFBwSLwCTwCBwCHwSFwKNwFB/CwSL/CwCT/CwCB/CwCH/CwSF/CwKN/C
2011Blue Jays-1.7-4.5  5.0  -0.25-4.60  2.78  
2012Blue Jays-12.90.1-0.4 -6.5  -0.650.02-0.35 -1.39  
Total- - --14.6-4.4-0.4 -1.5  -0.55-1.11-0.35 -0.23  

PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamwFAwFTwFCwFSwFOwSIwSLwCUwKCwEPwCHwSCwKN
2011Blue Jays1.4-1.9-0.8   -2.5-0.9  5.2  
2012Blue Jays-11.2-1.20.2   1.4   -7.0  
Total- - --9.8-3.1-0.6   -1.0-0.9  -1.8  

PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamwFA/CwFT/CwFC/CwFS/CwFO/CwSI/CwSL/CwCU/CwKC/CwEP/CwCH/CwSC/CwKN/C
2011Blue Jays0.24-1.88-4.50   -2.86-5.18  3.27  
2012Blue Jays-0.86-0.150.83   0.35   -2.33  
Total- - --0.51-0.34-1.63   -0.21-5.18  -0.39  

Plate Discipline
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season  |  Averages
SeasonTeamO-Swing%Z-Swing%Swing%O-Contact%Z-Contact%Contact%Zone%F-Strike%SwStr%
2011Blue Jays27.1 %68.7 %46.4 %77.1 %90.0 %86.0 %46.5 %64.9 %6.4 %
2011Average30.6 %65.0 %46.2 %68.1 %87.9 %80.7 %45.3 %59.4 %8.6 %
2012Blue Jays28.2 %65.3 %46.0 %81.3 %92.2 %88.8 %47.9 %59.1 %5.1 %
2012Average30.8 %64.7 %46.0 %66.8 %87.2 %79.7 %44.9 %59.8 %9.1 %
Total- - -27.9 %66.2 %46.1 %80.3 %91.7 %88.0 %47.5 %60.5 %5.4 %

PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season  |  Averages
SeasonTeamO-Swing%Z-Swing%Swing%O-Contact%Z-Contact%Contact%Zone%Pace
2011Blue Jays24.7 %65.6 %45.9 %72.4 %90.7 %85.9 %51.8 %19.8
2011Average28.9 %62.1 %45.6 %64.7 %88.0 %80.6 %50.1 %21.6
2012Blue Jays25.5 %62.2 %45.8 %78.7 %92.2 %88.8 %55.4 %21.3
2012Average29.3 %62.2 %45.6 %63.6 %87.3 %79.6 %49.5 %22.1
Total- - -25.3 %63.0 %45.9 %77.1 %91.8 %88.1 %54.5 %20.9

Fielding
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamPosGGSInnPOAEFETEDPDPSDPTDPFScpSBCSPBWPFPTZ
2011Blue JaysP101063.25131010100 1   .947 
2012Blue JaysP3131187.115354132200 2   .926 
Total- - -P4141251.020485142300 3   .932 

Advanced Fielding
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamPosInnrSBrGDPrARMrGFPrPMDRSBIZPlaysRZROOZCPPRPPTZLFSRARMDPRRngRErrRUZRUZR/150
2011Blue JaysP63.21  034              
2012Blue JaysP187.11  033              
Total- - -P251.02  067              

Value
Projections  |  Minor Leagues  |  Regular Season
SeasonTeamRA9-WinsBIP-WinsLOB-WinsFDP-WinsRARWARDollarsSalary
2011Blue Jays1.40.20.30.58.30.9$3.9 
2012Blue Jays0.70.20.30.52.10.2$0.9 
Total- - -2.10.40.61.010.51.1$4.8 

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