1/16/1985 (32 y, 2 m, 12 d) Bats/Throws:
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Guerra has been named Milwaukee's Opening Day starter, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports. (3/18/2017)
Profiles: 2017 (Click Year to Expand / Close)
|Profile: It's rare, but not unprecedented, for a former Indy leaguer to have success in the majors. (Arizona's David Peralta is an example of such a player.) It's rare, but not unprecedented, for a player to debut as a 30-year-old and produce an above-average season. (Chuck Smith did that for the Marlins in 2000.) It's more rare and much less precedented for a player to fulfill both those criteria. And it ought to be actually impossible for a player to fulfill both those criteria AFTER HAVING ALSO PLAYED IN THE SPANISH LEAGUE. And yet, here's Junior Guerra, of whom all this is true. Strangely, Guerra's repertoire isn't the sort one typically associates with a journeyman type. His fastball sits at 94 mph, and he throws a splitter that earned a whiff 20% of the time in 2016. That package worked during his first substantive tour of the majors. Even after regressing his (potentially fortunate) batted-ball outcomes, Guerra still pitched like an average major leaguer. Barring injury, "average major leaguer" probably represents something close to his floor in 2017. (Carson Cistulli)|
The Quick Opinion: Despite a late start, "average major leaguer" probably represents Guerra's floor in 2017. His very low fantasy cost mitigates any substantial risk of betting that the skills are real.