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2013 Articles
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D - G
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H - L
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M - R
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The Ideal Groundball Rate for Hitters, Featuring the Royals
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Ellsbury's Struggles and the Red Sox
Daily Notes: The Effects of Burch Smith on the Human Brain
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Victor Martinez Needs Surgery On Bat
So Close, Yet Profar
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Ask NotGraphs (#34)
A Dozen (Mostly) True Facts About Rickey Henderson
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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Oliver
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T - 5th
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16:37
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19:05
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19:05
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19:05
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20:10
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20:10
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B - 7th
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15:45
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AL East
Yankees
28
17
----
Red Sox
27
19
1.5
Orioles
24
21
4.0
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24
21
4.0
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18
27
10.0
AL Central
Indians
26
18
----
Tigers
24
19
1.5
Royals
21
21
4.0
White Sox
21
23
5.0
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18
25
7.5
AL West
Rangers
29
17
----
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25
22
4.5
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20
26
9.0
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18
27
10.5
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13
33
16.0
NL East
Braves
28
18
----
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23
23
5.0
Phillies
22
24
6.0
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17
26
9.5
Marlins
13
33
15.0
NL Central
Cardinals
29
16
----
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28
18
1.5
Pirates
27
18
2.0
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18
26
10.5
Brewers
18
26
10.5
NL West
D-backs
26
20
----
Giants
26
20
----
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25
21
1.0
Padres
21
24
4.5
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18
26
7.0
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Jhan Marinez
Birthdate:
8/12/1988
Bats/Throws:
R/R
Height/Weight:
6-1/200
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
3/15/2013:
Marinez was optioned to Triple-A Charlotte on Friday.
12/16/2011
-
Top 15 Prospects: Chicago White Sox
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
30
11/30/2010
-
Top 10 Prospects: The Florida Marlins
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
13
1/21/2010
-
Florida Marlins: Top 10 Prospects
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
9
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2007
Marlins (R)
0
0
0
3
0
3.1
10.80
10.80
0.00
.500
50.0 %
10.80
5.30
2008
Marlins (R)
1
1
1
12
1
17.2
9.17
7.13
0.00
.396
62.2 %
6.11
3.88
2009
Marlins (A+)
1
1
1
29
0
43.0
8.79
4.19
0.84
.220
75.4 %
3.14
4.13
2010
Marlins (A+)
0
1
4
21
1
25.1
15.63
4.97
0.36
.282
89.8 %
1.42
2.02
2010
Marlins (AA)
1
0
6
15
0
16.2
10.80
3.78
0.54
.229
75.3 %
2.70
2.84
2010
Marlins
1
1
0
4
0
2.2
10.13
10.13
3.38
.286
65.2 %
37.5 %
33.3 %
6.75
9.08
5.58
-0.2
2011
Marlins (AA)
3
8
3
56
0
58.0
11.48
6.52
1.09
.296
79.8 %
3.57
4.44
2012
White Sox (AAA)
4
2
4
40
0
63.0
9.29
4.29
0.71
.224
74.2 %
2.86
3.79
2012
White Sox
0
0
0
2
0
2.2
3.38
6.75
0.00
.250
100.0 %
42.9 %
0.0 %
0.00
4.59
5.15
0.0
2013
Steamer
2
1
0
30
0
30.0
8.50
5.55
1.00
.299
72.6 %
4.43
4.61
0.0
2013
Oliver
3
3
53.0
8.95
6.42
0.84
.280
72.4 %
4.39
4.57
2013
ZiPS
3
5
49
0
56.0
8.04
7.88
1.61
.308
69.9 %
6.27
6.47
-1.1
2013
White Sox (AAA)
2
2
1
15
0
21.1
8.44
5.06
1.69
.259
72.0 %
5.48
5.59
Total
- - -
1
1
0
6
0
5.1
6.75
8.44
1.69
.267
81.4 %
40.0 %
25.0 %
3.38
6.84
5.36
-0.2
News
2/10
-
Recapping a swap-filled winter
by
Jeff Moore
7/12
-
2011 Futures Game PITCHf/x
by
Harry Pavlidis
2/17
-
Fantasy: Ranking baseball’s farm systems
by
Matt Hagen
4/4
-
2013 Charlotte Knights: Season Preview
by
South Side Sox
3/15
-
Jared Mitchell headlines latest round of White Sox cuts
by
South Side Sox
3/11
-
White Sox move 10 players in second round of cuts
by
South Side Sox
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2007
Marlins (R)
0
0
10.80
3
0
0
0
0
3.1
19
5
5
4
0
4
0
1
1
0
4
2008
Marlins (R)
1
1
6.11
12
1
0
0
1
17.2
87
21
14
12
0
14
0
2
1
1
18
2009
Marlins (A+)
1
1
3.14
29
0
0
0
1
43.0
179
28
17
15
4
20
0
4
3
0
42
2010
Marlins (A+)
0
1
1.42
21
1
0
0
4
25.1
99
12
4
4
1
14
1
1
5
0
44
2010
Marlins (AA)
1
0
2.70
15
0
0
0
6
16.2
63
9
5
5
1
7
0
0
2
0
20
2010
Marlins
1
1
6.75
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2.2
14
3
3
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
3
2011
Marlins (AA)
3
8
3.57
56
0
0
0
3
58.0
259
47
26
23
7
42
0
1
12
2
74
2012
White Sox (AAA)
4
2
2.86
40
0
0
0
4
63.0
256
39
24
20
5
30
0
4
8
0
65
2012
White Sox
0
0
0.00
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2.2
11
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2013
Steamer
2
1
4.43
30
0
0
30.0
134
27
16
15
3
18
1
28
2013
Oliver
3
3
4.39
22
53.0
242
45
28
26
5
38
1
3
53
2013
ZiPS
3
5
6.27
49
0
56.0
58
42
39
10
49
1
4
14
1
50
2013
White Sox (AAA)
2
2
5.48
15
0
0
0
1
21.1
95
19
13
13
4
12
0
1
4
0
20
Total
- - -
1
1
3.38
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
5.1
25
5
3
2
1
5
1
0
0
0
4
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2007
Marlins (R)
10.80
10.80
1.00
0.00
21.1 %
21.1 %
.357
2.70
.500
50.0 %
5.30
2008
Marlins (R)
9.17
7.13
1.29
0.00
20.7 %
16.1 %
.296
1.98
.396
62.2 %
3.88
2009
Marlins (A+)
8.79
4.19
2.10
0.84
23.5 %
11.2 %
.181
1.12
.220
75.4 %
4.13
2010
Marlins (A+)
15.63
4.97
3.14
0.36
44.4 %
14.1 %
.143
1.03
.282
89.8 %
2.02
2010
Marlins (AA)
10.80
3.78
2.86
0.54
31.8 %
11.1 %
.161
0.96
.229
75.3 %
2.84
2010
Marlins
10.13
10.13
1.00
3.38
21.4 %
21.4 %
.273
2.25
.286
65.2 %
165
223
9.08
2010
Average
7.13
3.28
2.17
0.96
18.5 %
8.5 %
.253
1.35
.293
72.2 %
4.20
2011
Marlins (AA)
11.48
6.52
1.76
1.09
28.6 %
16.2 %
.218
1.53
.296
79.8 %
4.44
2012
White Sox (AAA)
9.29
4.29
2.17
0.71
25.4 %
11.7 %
.176
1.10
.224
74.2 %
3.79
2012
White Sox
3.38
6.75
0.50
0.00
9.1 %
18.2 %
.222
1.50
.250
100.0 %
0
106
4.59
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
8.50
5.55
1.53
1.00
.244
1.53
.299
72.6 %
4.61
2013
Oliver
8.95
6.42
1.39
0.84
21.9 %
15.7 %
.224
1.56
.280
72.4 %
4.57
2013
ZiPS
8.04
7.88
1.02
1.61
.269
1.91
.308
69.9 %
6.47
2013
White Sox (AAA)
8.44
5.06
1.67
1.69
21.1 %
12.6 %
.232
1.45
.259
72.0 %
5.59
Total
- - -
6.75
8.44
0.80
1.69
16.0 %
20.0 %
.250
1.88
.267
81.4 %
83
165
6.84
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2010
Marlins
1.00
25.0 %
37.5 %
37.5 %
0.0 %
33.3 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
10.06
5.46
139
5.58
2012
White Sox
3.00
42.9 %
42.9 %
14.3 %
100.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
8.83
6.32
125
5.15
Total
- - -
1.50
33.3 %
40.0 %
26.7 %
25.0 %
25.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
9.53
5.88
132
5.36
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2010
Marlins
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
24
31
55
2012
White Sox
3
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
12
24
36
Total
- - -
6
4
5
1
0
1
0
2
36
55
91
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2010
Marlins
-0.88
-0.98
0.10
-3.34
-0.34
1.15
1.58
1.81
1.67
2
-0.22
-0.55
0
2
2012
White Sox
0.12
-0.26
0.38
0.78
0.08
2.32
1.51
1.13
6.39
1
0.09
-0.04
1
0
Total
- - -
-0.77
-1.25
0.48
-2.56
-0.26
1.65
1.55
1.58
3.24
3
-0.13
-0.34
1
2
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2010
Marlins
72.2% (95.8)
25.9% (86.9)
1.9% (89.0)
1.8%
2012
White Sox
65.6% (94.7)
34.4% (85.2)
11.1%
Total
- - -
69.8% (95.4)
29.1% (86.2)
1.2% (89.0)
5.5%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2010
Marlins
72.7 %
1.8 %
25.5 %
2012
White Sox
55.6 %
2.8 %
27.8 %
2.8 %
Total
- - -
65.9 %
1.1 %
1.1 %
26.4 %
1.1 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2010
Marlins
95.8
88.5
86.8
2012
White Sox
94.6
96.6
85.2
84.6
Total
- - -
95.4
88.5
96.6
86.1
84.6
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2010
Marlins
-2.0
0.7
0.0
-5.10
5.26
-2.78
2012
White Sox
0.4
0.1
1.69
1.05
Total
- - -
-1.6
0.9
0.0
-2.72
3.41
-2.78
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2010
Marlins
-1.9
0.0
0.7
2012
White Sox
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.1
Total
- - -
-1.6
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.1
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2010
Marlins
-4.85
-2.62
5.21
2012
White Sox
1.88
3.76
-0.02
5.71
Total
- - -
-2.61
-2.62
3.76
3.03
5.71
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2010
Marlins
25.8 %
68.2 %
43.4 %
75.0 %
86.7 %
82.6 %
41.5 %
42.9 %
7.3 %
2010
Average
29.3 %
64.4 %
45.6 %
66.5 %
88.1 %
80.7 %
46.5 %
58.8 %
8.5 %
2012
White Sox
35.7 %
61.1 %
50.0 %
80.0 %
100.0 %
93.8 %
56.3 %
72.7 %
2.8 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
Total
- - -
28.9 %
65.0 %
45.9 %
76.9 %
92.3 %
87.2 %
47.1 %
56.0 %
5.5 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2010
Marlins
31.0 %
57.7 %
43.6 %
77.8 %
86.7 %
83.3 %
47.3 %
19.7
2010
Average
28.4 %
61.3 %
44.9 %
64.6 %
87.9 %
80.6 %
50.4 %
21.5
2012
White Sox
35.7 %
61.1 %
50.0 %
80.0 %
100.0 %
93.8 %
56.3 %
20.9
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
Total
- - -
32.6 %
59.1 %
46.0 %
78.6 %
92.3 %
87.5 %
50.6 %
20.2
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2010
Marlins
P
4
0
2.2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.000
2012
White Sox
P
2
0
2.2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
P
6
0
5.1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.000
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2010
Marlins
P
2.2
0
0
0
0
2012
White Sox
P
2.2
0
0
0
0
Total
- - -
P
5.1
0
0
0
0
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2010
Marlins
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
-2.0
-0.2
($0.8)
2012
White Sox
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.0
$0.1
Total
- - -
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
-1.9
-0.2
($0.8)
Contracts
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