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2013 Articles
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Matt Wieters Will Be Just Fine
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Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
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The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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FANS
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ZiPS
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Steamer
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Oliver
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2008
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AL Games
BAL (9) @ TOR (3)
B - 3rd
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B - 1st
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T - 1st
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B - 2nd
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B - 4th
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T - 4th
LAA @ KCR
20:10
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22:10
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B - 4th
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B - 3rd
PHI (1) @ WSN (1)
B - 4th
SDP @ ARI
21:40
COL @ SFG
22:15
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22:10
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A-:
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Team Pitching Stats
2013
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AL East
Yankees
28
18
----
Red Sox
28
20
1.0
Orioles
25
22
3.5
Rays
24
22
4.0
Blue Jays
20
27
8.5
AL Central
Indians
27
19
----
Tigers
26
19
0.5
Royals
21
23
5.0
White Sox
21
24
5.5
Twins
18
26
8.0
AL West
Rangers
30
17
----
Athletics
25
23
5.5
Mariners
20
27
10.0
Angels
20
27
10.0
Astros
14
33
16.0
NL East
Braves
28
18
----
Nationals
24
23
4.5
Phillies
23
24
5.5
Mets
17
27
10.0
Marlins
13
34
15.5
NL Central
Cardinals
30
16
----
Pirates
29
18
1.5
Reds
29
18
1.5
Brewers
18
27
11.5
Cubs
18
28
12.0
NL West
Giants
26
21
----
D-backs
26
21
----
Rockies
26
21
----
Padres
21
25
4.5
Dodgers
19
26
6.0
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Dusty Hughes
Birthdate:
6/29/1982
Bats/Throws:
L/L
Height/Weight:
5-10/186
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/10/2013:
Hughes was released Friday by the Braves.
Graphs
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PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2007
Royals (AA)
6
2
1
25
16
108.0
6.42
3.75
0.42
.280
74.3 %
3.08
3.85
2008
Royals (AA)
5
2
3
20
4
52.2
7.35
2.73
0.51
.299
78.2 %
2.91
3.22
2008
Royals (AAA)
3
2
0
12
11
55.1
5.86
4.07
1.30
.324
73.6 %
5.04
5.13
2009
Royals (AAA)
3
3
1
34
11
87.1
7.83
4.23
0.62
.297
76.6 %
3.50
3.83
2009
Royals
0
2
0
8
1
14.0
9.64
5.14
1.29
.306
69.3 %
47.4 %
13.3 %
5.14
4.95
4.50
0.0
2010
Royals
1
3
0
57
0
56.1
5.43
3.83
0.48
.301
71.6 %
35.6 %
3.8 %
3.83
4.11
5.13
0.1
2011
Twins (AAA)
3
1
1
43
2
56.2
10.80
3.81
0.95
.325
67.5 %
4.29
3.55
2011
Twins
1
0
0
15
0
12.2
7.82
5.68
2.84
.395
62.5 %
35.7 %
25.0 %
9.95
7.53
5.01
-0.4
2012
Braves (AAA)
3
2
4
54
0
65.1
7.58
5.10
0.28
.324
74.1 %
3.31
3.75
2013
Steamer
1
2
0
30
0
30.0
6.72
4.52
1.10
.301
71.5 %
4.65
4.83
-0.2
2013
Oliver
3
4
64.0
6.65
4.81
0.71
.314
68.8 %
4.81
4.37
2013
ZiPS
2
3
53
0
60.7
6.82
5.78
0.89
.305
72.1 %
4.74
5.04
-0.7
2013
Braves (AAA)
0
2
0
12
0
12.0
10.50
6.75
0.00
.436
59.3 %
6.75
3.37
Total
- - -
2
5
0
80
1
83.0
6.51
4.34
0.98
.315
69.6 %
37.3 %
8.2 %
4.99
4.77
5.00
-0.2
News
5/1
-
Tuesday's Atlanta Braves Minor League Action
by
Talking Chop
4/13
-
Mejia And Terdoslavich Homer Again While Elander Extends Hit»
by
Talking Chop
4/10
-
Hefflinger And Beckwith Homer Again, While Reyes, Kubitza, A»
by
Talking Chop
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2007
Royals (AA)
6
2
3.08
25
16
1
0
1
108.0
467
98
44
37
5
45
1
8
6
1
77
2008
Royals (AA)
5
2
2.91
20
4
0
0
3
52.2
209
47
17
17
3
16
1
0
1
1
43
2008
Royals (AAA)
3
2
5.04
12
11
0
0
0
55.1
245
65
32
31
8
25
0
0
3
0
36
2009
Royals (AAA)
3
3
3.50
34
11
0
0
1
87.1
371
79
35
34
6
41
0
2
8
0
76
2009
Royals
0
2
5.14
8
1
0
0
0
2
0
14.0
63
13
9
8
2
8
0
2
1
0
15
2010
Royals
1
3
3.83
57
0
0
0
0
7
0
56.1
252
59
28
24
3
24
0
5
1
0
34
2011
Twins (AAA)
3
1
4.29
43
2
0
0
1
56.2
251
55
32
27
6
24
2
2
1
0
68
2011
Twins
1
0
9.95
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
12.2
62
19
14
14
4
8
2
1
0
0
11
2012
Braves (AAA)
3
2
3.31
54
0
0
0
4
65.1
301
68
30
24
2
37
5
3
4
0
55
2013
Steamer
1
2
4.65
30
0
0
30.0
134
30
17
15
4
15
1
22
2013
Oliver
3
4
4.81
20
64.0
294
69
37
34
5
34
4
4
47
2013
ZiPS
2
3
4.74
53
0
60.7
61
34
32
6
39
3
5
4
0
46
2013
Braves (AAA)
0
2
6.75
12
0
0
0
0
12.0
63
17
11
9
0
9
0
1
1
0
14
Total
- - -
2
5
4.99
80
1
0
0
0
9
0
83.0
377
91
51
46
9
40
2
8
2
0
60
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2007
Royals (AA)
6.42
3.75
1.71
0.42
16.5 %
9.6 %
.237
1.32
.280
74.3 %
3.85
2008
Royals (AA)
7.35
2.73
2.69
0.51
20.6 %
7.7 %
.244
1.20
.299
78.2 %
3.22
2008
Royals (AAA)
5.86
4.07
1.44
1.30
14.7 %
10.2 %
.296
1.63
.324
73.6 %
5.13
2009
Royals (AAA)
7.83
4.23
1.85
0.62
20.5 %
11.1 %
.241
1.37
.297
76.6 %
3.83
2009
Royals
9.64
5.14
1.88
1.29
23.8 %
12.7 %
.245
1.50
.306
69.3 %
115
111
4.95
2009
Average
6.99
3.46
2.02
1.05
18.0 %
8.9 %
.258
1.39
.295
71.9 %
4.42
2010
Royals
5.43
3.83
1.42
0.48
13.5 %
9.5 %
.265
1.47
.301
71.6 %
92
98
4.11
2010
Average
7.13
3.28
2.17
0.96
18.5 %
8.5 %
.253
1.35
.293
72.2 %
4.20
2011
Twins (AAA)
10.80
3.81
2.83
0.95
27.1 %
9.6 %
.244
1.39
.325
67.5 %
3.55
2011
Twins
7.82
5.68
1.38
2.84
17.7 %
12.9 %
.358
2.13
.395
62.5 %
245
186
7.53
2011
Average
7.13
3.11
2.30
0.94
18.6 %
8.1 %
.251
1.32
.291
72.5 %
4.12
2012
Braves (AAA)
7.58
5.10
1.49
0.28
18.3 %
12.3 %
.261
1.61
.324
74.1 %
3.75
2013
Steamer
6.72
4.52
1.49
1.10
.264
1.52
.301
71.5 %
4.83
2013
Oliver
6.65
4.81
1.38
0.71
16.0 %
11.6 %
.270
1.62
.314
68.8 %
4.37
2013
ZiPS
6.82
5.78
1.18
0.89
.263
1.65
.305
72.1 %
5.04
2013
Braves (AAA)
10.50
6.75
1.56
0.00
22.2 %
14.3 %
.321
2.17
.436
59.3 %
3.37
Total
- - -
6.51
4.34
1.50
0.98
15.9 %
10.6 %
.277
1.58
.315
69.6 %
119
113
4.77
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2009
Royals
1.20
13.2 %
47.4 %
39.5 %
0.0 %
13.3 %
16.7 %
0.0 %
4.59
3.92
102
4.50
2010
Royals
0.85
22.3 %
35.6 %
42.0 %
5.1 %
3.8 %
11.9 %
0.0 %
4.76
4.67
123
5.13
2011
Twins
0.94
26.2 %
35.7 %
38.1 %
6.3 %
25.0 %
13.3 %
0.0 %
8.54
4.47
124
5.01
Total
- - -
0.91
21.6 %
37.3 %
41.0 %
4.5 %
8.2 %
13.0 %
0.0 %
5.29
4.49
120
5.00
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2009
Royals
18
15
5
0
3
0
0
12
98
142
240
2010
Royals
67
79
42
4
8
1
0
35
423
596
1019
2011
Twins
15
16
11
1
2
0
0
4
113
175
288
Total
- - -
100
110
58
5
13
1
0
51
634
913
1547
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2009
Royals
-0.15
-1.28
1.13
1.00
0.08
0.92
0.83
1.02
0.68
8
-0.28
0.12
1
2
2010
Royals
0.33
-2.29
2.62
10.40
1.03
0.66
0.76
0.89
1.11
38
0.39
0.12
8
9
2011
Twins
0.19
-0.30
0.48
-9.30
-0.95
0.37
0.35
0.56
0.41
9
-0.01
0.51
2
2
Total
- - -
0.37
-3.86
4.24
2.10
0.16
0.66
0.71
0.84
0.94
55
0.09
0.48
11
13
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2009
Royals
45.8% (89.6)
16.4% (83.5)
4.6% (70.4)
33.2% (80.7)
0.8%
2010
Royals
47.1% (90.3)
24.4% (85.1)
9.0% (74.8)
19.4% (81.8)
2.4%
2011
Twins
51.1% (88.9)
11.8% (82.9)
5.7% (73.1)
31.4% (81.4)
2.8%
Total
- - -
47.7% (89.9)
20.8% (84.7)
7.7% (74.1)
23.8% (81.5)
2.2%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2009
Royals
43.6 %
12.3 %
15.9 %
5.3 %
22.9 %
2010
Royals
47.4 %
5.8 %
31.4 %
3.2 %
12.2 %
2011
Twins
48.3 %
1.7 %
5.6 %
42.4 %
Total
- - -
47.0 %
5.7 %
23.5 %
4.0 %
19.4 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2009
Royals
89.7
81.2
83.2
71.7
80.7
2010
Royals
90.1
82.3
83.2
72.5
82.1
2011
Twins
88.9
83.6
72.3
82.0
Total
- - -
89.8
81.9
83.2
72.3
81.8
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2009
Royals
-2.1
0.8
0.6
0.6
-1.96
1.97
5.63
0.78
2010
Royals
-0.6
-3.0
0.0
0.5
-0.13
-1.24
0.03
0.28
2011
Twins
-5.9
-0.2
-0.2
0.4
-4.10
-0.74
-1.00
0.47
Total
- - -
-8.6
-2.5
0.5
1.6
-1.19
-0.79
0.41
0.43
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2009
Royals
-1.5
-0.7
0.8
0.2
0.5
2010
Royals
0.7
-2.8
-1.7
-0.7
1.6
2011
Twins
-6.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.1
Total
- - -
-6.8
-3.5
-0.9
-0.7
2.0
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2009
Royals
-1.49
-2.59
2.29
1.77
1.04
2010
Royals
0.14
-4.78
-0.53
-2.27
1.29
2011
Twins
-4.33
0.56
-1.00
-0.11
Total
- - -
-0.95
-4.08
-0.24
-1.14
0.67
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2009
Royals
29.2 %
60.2 %
41.4 %
50.0 %
87.5 %
71.4 %
39.2 %
47.6 %
12.1 %
2009
Average
25.1 %
66.0 %
45.3 %
61.7 %
87.8 %
80.5 %
49.3 %
58.2 %
8.6 %
2010
Royals
28.6 %
64.0 %
43.1 %
74.1 %
90.4 %
84.0 %
41.1 %
52.4 %
6.5 %
2010
Average
29.3 %
64.4 %
45.6 %
66.5 %
88.1 %
80.7 %
46.5 %
58.8 %
8.5 %
2011
Twins
27.6 %
64.0 %
44.0 %
78.6 %
81.3 %
80.3 %
45.1 %
59.7 %
8.7 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
Total
- - -
28.5 %
63.4 %
43.0 %
70.8 %
88.1 %
81.4 %
41.5 %
52.8 %
7.8 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2009
Royals
29.1 %
59.1 %
41.4 %
59.0 %
80.0 %
71.3 %
41.0 %
21.1
2009
Average
27.9 %
61.4 %
44.8 %
65.5 %
88.0 %
81.0 %
50.4 %
21.4
2010
Royals
27.3 %
60.7 %
42.5 %
74.3 %
89.7 %
84.3 %
45.4 %
20.3
2010
Average
28.4 %
61.3 %
44.9 %
64.6 %
87.9 %
80.6 %
50.4 %
21.5
2011
Twins
26.2 %
62.8 %
44.0 %
71.1 %
84.9 %
80.7 %
48.6 %
19.5
2011
Average
28.9 %
62.1 %
45.6 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.6
Total
- - -
27.4 %
60.9 %
42.6 %
71.2 %
87.4 %
81.7 %
45.4 %
20.2
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2009
Royals
P
8
1
14.0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2010
Royals
P
57
0
56.1
5
8
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
1.000
2011
Twins
P
15
0
12.2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
P
80
1
83.0
7
11
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
1.000
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2009
Royals
P
14.0
1
0
0
1
2010
Royals
P
56.1
0
0
1
1
2011
Twins
P
12.2
1
0
0
1
Total
- - -
P
83.0
2
0
1
3
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2009
Royals
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
$0.0
2010
Royals
0.1
-0.2
0.2
0.0
1.2
0.1
$0.5
2011
Twins
-0.6
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
-3.6
-0.4
($1.6)
Total
- - -
-0.5
-0.5
0.3
-0.3
-2.5
-0.2
($1.2)
Contracts
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