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2013 Articles
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M - R
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Daily Notes: Actual Ways in Which Tom Koehler Was the Best
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The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Swings
The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Pitches
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Roto Riteup: May 25, 2013
Bullpen Report: May 24, 2013
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Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
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The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
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A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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2013
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2012
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AL East
Yankees
30
18
----
Red Sox
30
20
1.0
Orioles
27
22
3.5
Rays
24
24
6.0
Blue Jays
20
29
10.5
AL Central
Tigers
27
20
----
Indians
27
21
0.5
White Sox
23
24
4.0
Royals
21
25
5.5
Twins
19
27
7.5
AL West
Rangers
32
17
----
Athletics
27
23
5.5
Angels
22
27
10.0
Mariners
20
29
12.0
Astros
14
35
18.0
NL East
Braves
29
18
----
Nationals
25
24
5.0
Phillies
24
25
6.0
Mets
17
28
11.0
Marlins
13
36
17.0
NL Central
Cardinals
31
17
----
Reds
31
18
0.5
Pirates
30
19
1.5
Brewers
19
28
11.5
Cubs
18
30
13.0
NL West
Giants
27
22
----
D-backs
27
22
----
Rockies
27
22
----
Padres
22
26
4.5
Dodgers
20
27
6.0
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Jordan Lyles
Birthdate:
10/19/1990
Bats/Throws:
R/R
Height/Weight:
6-4/210
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/23/2013:
Lyles is working to improve the location of his pitches, the Houston Chronicle reports.
3/22/2013
-
Roto Riteup: March 22, 2013
by
David Wiers (RotoGraphs)
3
2/21/2013
-
Astros Rotation: Depth Chart Discussions
by
Mike Podhorzer (RotoGraphs)
10
9/22/2012
-
SIERA’s Unluckiest Starting Pitchers
by
Mike Podhorzer (RotoGraphs)
7
6/22/2012
-
Available Two Start Starters (June 25-July 1)
by
Brandon Warne (RotoGraphs)
9
11/29/2011
-
Astros Prospects in 2012 and Beyond: Prospect Chat»
by
Jason Catania (RotoGraphs)
4
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
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Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2008
Astros (R)
3
3
0
13
13
49.2
11.60
1.81
0.72
.315
60.3 %
3.99
2.46
2008
Astros (A-)
0
0
0
2
2
5.2
6.35
11.12
3.18
.278
80.4 %
6.35
10.08
2009
Astros (A)
7
11
0
26
26
144.2
10.39
2.36
0.31
.342
72.6 %
3.24
2.42
2010
Astros (AA)
7
9
0
21
20
127.0
8.15
2.48
0.71
.327
74.8 %
3.12
3.36
2010
Astros (AAA)
0
3
0
6
6
31.2
6.25
3.13
0.57
.397
68.7 %
5.40
3.86
2011
Astros (AAA)
3
3
0
12
10
62.1
6.06
2.45
0.58
.318
75.9 %
3.61
3.75
2011
Astros
2
8
0
20
15
94.0
6.41
2.49
1.34
.307
65.0 %
40.8 %
12.2 %
5.36
4.53
4.13
0.3
2012
Astros (AAA)
5
0
0
7
7
40.2
7.30
1.77
0.44
.328
74.7 %
3.54
3.25
2012
Astros
5
12
0
25
25
141.1
6.30
2.67
1.27
.301
61.2 %
53.9 %
14.7 %
5.09
4.53
4.10
0.6
2013
Steamer
8
9
0
24
24
136.0
5.93
2.79
0.99
.303
67.8 %
4.50
4.28
1.1
2013
Bill James
6
12
0
28
28
163.0
6.90
2.54
0.99
.333
4.64
3.94
2013
Oliver
10
9
172.0
6.21
2.51
0.84
.309
70.9 %
4.02
3.87
2013
Fans (14)
8
11
0
29
29
162.0
6.33
2.44
1.11
.309
72.0 %
4.21
4.19
1.8
2013
ZiPS
8
12
31
28
165.3
6.32
2.50
1.14
.319
66.5 %
4.95
4.30
1.1
2013
Astros (AAA)
2
2
0
6
5
23.2
4.18
2.28
0.38
.345
60.7 %
5.32
3.58
2013
Astros
2
1
0
5
5
25.0
7.20
3.24
1.08
.341
68.8 %
48.8 %
12.5 %
5.40
4.33
4.15
0.2
2013
ZiPS (R)
4
8
20
18
106.0
6.41
2.58
1.14
.323
65.3 %
5.04
4.27
0.5
2013
ZiPS (U)
6
9
25
23
131.0
6.56
2.71
1.13
.330
65.5 %
5.11
4.28
0.7
2013
Steamer (R)
6
7
0
20
20
96.0
5.79
2.82
0.98
.295
67.3 %
4.59
4.26
0.6
2013
Steamer (U)
8
8
0
25
25
121.0
6.08
2.91
1.00
.305
67.2 %
4.75
4.27
0.7
Total
- - -
9
21
0
50
45
260.1
6.43
2.66
1.28
.307
63.4 %
48.8 %
13.5 %
5.22
4.51
4.12
1.1
News
5/22
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 5-22-13
by
Brad Johnson
5/21
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 5-21-13
by
Brad Johnson
5/17
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 5-17-13
by
Brad Johnson
5/22
-
Astros 3, Royals 1; Lyles Holds Royals In Check, Martinez Ho»
by
Crawfish Boxes
5/18
-
Saturday Notebook: Monday Chat, Playing Catch, Worst First P»
by
Twinkie Town
5/18
-
Podcast: Three For The Price Of One
by
Crawfish Boxes
7/5
-
Astros Notes: Wandy, Bourn, Lee, Pence, Myers
by
Ben Nicholson-Smith
6/5
-
Astros Notes: Reed, Minors, Hall
by
Dan Mennella
6/1
-
NL Central Notes: Lyles, Reyes, Doumit
by
Ben Nicholson-Smith
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2008
Astros (R)
3
3
3.99
13
13
0
0
0
49.2
208
44
26
22
4
10
0
3
1
0
64
2008
Astros (A-)
0
0
6.35
2
2
0
0
0
5.2
31
7
5
4
2
7
0
0
1
0
4
2009
Astros (A)
7
11
3.24
26
26
0
0
0
144.2
601
134
56
52
5
38
1
14
6
0
167
2010
Astros (AA)
7
9
3.12
21
20
1
0
0
127.0
541
133
54
44
10
35
2
5
3
1
115
2010
Astros (AAA)
0
3
5.40
6
6
0
0
0
31.2
153
48
21
19
2
11
0
2
0
0
22
2011
Astros (AAA)
3
3
3.61
12
10
0
0
0
62.1
257
64
25
25
4
17
2
5
0
0
42
2011
Astros
2
8
5.36
20
15
0
0
0
0
0
94.0
415
107
61
56
14
26
1
5
0
0
67
2012
Astros (AAA)
5
0
3.54
7
7
0
0
0
40.2
168
41
16
16
2
8
0
6
1
0
33
2012
Astros
5
12
5.09
25
25
1
1
0
0
0
141.1
628
159
97
80
20
42
4
5
2
0
99
2013
Steamer
8
9
4.50
24
24
0
136.0
588
143
74
68
15
42
7
90
2013
Bill James
6
12
4.64
28
28
0
163.0
185
18
46
9
125
2013
Oliver
10
9
4.02
0
172.0
733
183
83
77
16
48
3
10
119
2013
Fans (14)
8
11
4.21
29
29
0
162.0
173
82
76
20
44
4
114
2013
ZiPS
8
12
4.95
31
28
165.3
185
97
91
21
46
3
7
2
0
116
2013
Astros (AAA)
2
2
5.32
6
5
0
0
0
23.2
102
30
15
14
1
6
0
0
0
0
11
2013
Astros
2
1
5.40
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
25.0
116
31
16
15
3
9
1
2
0
1
20
2013
ZiPS (R)
4
8
5.04
20
18
106.0
120
65
59
13
30
5
76
2013
ZiPS (U)
6
9
5.11
25
23
131.0
151
81
74
16
39
7
96
2013
Steamer (R)
6
7
4.59
20
20
0
96.0
415
101
53
49
10
30
5
62
2013
Steamer (U)
8
8
4.75
25
25
0
121.0
531
132
69
64
13
39
7
82
Total
- - -
9
21
5.22
50
45
1
1
0
0
0
260.1
1159
297
174
151
37
77
6
12
2
1
186
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2008
Astros (R)
11.60
1.81
6.40
0.72
30.8 %
4.8 %
.226
1.09
.315
60.3 %
2.46
2008
Astros (A-)
6.35
11.12
0.57
3.18
12.9 %
22.6 %
.292
2.47
.278
80.4 %
10.08
2009
Astros (A)
10.39
2.36
4.39
0.31
27.8 %
6.3 %
.244
1.19
.342
72.6 %
2.42
2010
Astros (AA)
8.15
2.48
3.29
0.71
21.3 %
6.5 %
.266
1.32
.327
74.8 %
3.36
2010
Astros (AAA)
6.25
3.13
2.00
0.57
14.4 %
7.2 %
.343
1.86
.397
68.7 %
3.86
2011
Astros (AAA)
6.06
2.45
2.47
0.58
16.3 %
6.6 %
.272
1.30
.318
75.9 %
3.75
2011
Astros
6.41
2.49
2.58
1.34
16.1 %
6.3 %
.279
1.41
.307
65.0 %
142
119
4.53
2011
Average
7.13
3.11
2.30
0.94
18.6 %
8.1 %
.251
1.32
.291
72.5 %
4.12
2012
Astros (AAA)
7.30
1.77
4.13
0.44
19.6 %
4.8 %
.266
1.20
.328
74.7 %
3.25
2012
Astros
6.30
2.67
2.36
1.27
15.8 %
6.7 %
.274
1.42
.301
61.2 %
131
117
4.53
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
5.93
2.79
2.12
0.99
.271
1.36
.303
67.8 %
4.28
2013
Bill James
6.90
2.54
2.72
0.99
.287
1.42
.333
3.94
2013
Oliver
6.21
2.51
2.48
0.84
16.2 %
6.5 %
.271
1.34
.309
70.9 %
3.87
2013
Fans (14)
6.33
2.44
2.59
1.11
.275
1.34
.309
72.0 %
4.19
2013
ZiPS
6.32
2.50
2.52
1.14
.284
1.40
.319
66.5 %
4.30
2013
Astros (AAA)
4.18
2.28
1.83
0.38
10.8 %
5.9 %
.313
1.52
.345
60.7 %
3.58
2013
Astros
7.20
3.24
2.22
1.08
17.2 %
7.8 %
.295
1.60
.341
68.8 %
130
106
4.33
2013
Average
7.61
3.10
2.45
1.03
19.9 %
8.1 %
.249
1.30
.291
73.0 %
4.14
2013
ZiPS (R)
6.41
2.58
2.48
1.14
.287
1.42
.323
65.3 %
4.27
2013
ZiPS (U)
6.56
2.71
2.42
1.13
.290
1.45
.330
65.5 %
4.28
2013
Steamer (R)
5.79
2.82
2.05
0.98
.273
1.37
.295
67.3 %
4.26
2013
Steamer (U)
6.08
2.91
2.09
1.00
.280
1.42
.305
67.2 %
4.27
Total
- - -
6.43
2.66
2.42
1.28
16.1 %
6.6 %
.278
1.44
.307
63.4 %
135
117
4.51
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2011
Astros
1.08
21.4 %
40.8 %
37.8 %
11.3 %
12.2 %
5.6 %
23.1 %
4.98
4.13
107
4.13
2012
Astros
1.86
17.1 %
53.9 %
29.0 %
8.8 %
14.7 %
9.9 %
16.7 %
4.49
4.07
105
4.10
2013
Astros
1.67
22.0 %
48.8 %
29.3 %
0.0 %
12.5 %
2.5 %
33.3 %
4.97
4.15
101
4.15
Total
- - -
1.52
19.1 %
48.8 %
32.2 %
9.1 %
13.5 %
7.9 %
21.4 %
4.71
4.13
105
4.12
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2011
Astros
124
115
65
13
7
13
3
37
579
995
1574
2012
Astros
253
136
80
12
25
12
2
62
886
1478
2364
2013
Astros
40
24
18
0
1
3
1
16
172
276
448
Total
- - -
417
275
163
25
33
28
6
115
1637
2749
4386
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2011
Astros
-1.77
-9.00
7.23
-12.51
-1.42
1.06
0.97
0.92
1.45
18
-1.60
-0.07
0
2
2012
Astros
-2.45
-13.30
10.85
-25.96
-2.67
1.08
0.95
0.87
1.06
24
-1.82
-0.45
0
0
2013
Astros
-0.22
-2.08
1.87
-5.37
-0.59
0.94
0.93
0.88
1.25
5
-0.72
0.49
0
0
Total
- - -
-4.43
-24.38
19.95
-43.85
-4.68
1.06
0.95
0.89
1.23
47
-4.13
-0.06
0
2
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2011
Astros
51.7% (89.8)
23.9% (86.0)
12.6% (76.6)
11.9% (80.9)
0.3%
2012
Astros
60.7% (91.8)
15.0% (86.2)
19.3% (79.5)
5.0% (82.1)
0.7%
2013
Astros
58.1% (92.0)
13.1% (85.6)
15.5% (78.9)
13.3% (82.4)
0.9%
Total
- - -
57.2% (91.2)
18.0% (86.0)
16.5% (78.7)
8.3% (81.5)
0.6%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2011
Astros
36.5 %
4.7 %
12.6 %
20.5 %
12.4 %
13.3 %
2012
Astros
42.9 %
17.4 %
15.6 %
18.5 %
5.0 %
2013
Astros
48.9 %
10.9 %
13.8 %
14.7 %
10.7 %
Total
- - -
41.2 %
12.2 %
4.5 %
17.2 %
15.9 %
8.5 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2011
Astros
89.9
89.3
89.0
85.6
76.6
81.4
2012
Astros
91.7
91.8
86.0
79.4
82.1
2013
Astros
92.0
90.3
85.4
78.7
82.0
Total
- - -
91.1
91.4
89.0
85.8
78.6
81.7
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2011
Astros
-2.2
-5.2
-7.8
1.2
-0.27
-1.40
-3.95
0.62
2012
Astros
-8.9
-0.5
-4.7
-3.5
-0.63
-0.14
-1.04
-2.94
2013
Astros
-5.5
-2.7
0.0
1.7
-2.13
-4.62
-0.02
2.95
Total
- - -
-16.6
-8.4
-12.5
-0.6
-0.67
-1.07
-1.74
-0.16
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2011
Astros
1.9
0.2
0.0
-7.1
-7.7
0.6
2012
Astros
-10.4
2.1
-0.4
-4.9
-3.3
2013
Astros
-5.2
-0.2
-2.8
0.1
1.9
Total
- - -
-13.7
2.1
0.0
-10.3
-12.5
-0.8
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2011
Astros
0.34
0.32
-0.02
-2.22
-3.97
0.30
2012
Astros
-1.03
0.52
-0.11
-1.11
-2.82
2013
Astros
-2.38
-0.50
-4.50
0.15
3.93
Total
- - -
-0.76
0.40
-0.02
-1.37
-1.79
-0.22
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2011
Astros
33.7 %
67.3 %
47.4 %
75.1 %
87.2 %
82.1 %
40.9 %
62.2 %
8.3 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Astros
30.7 %
67.5 %
46.0 %
76.1 %
90.1 %
84.7 %
41.8 %
61.5 %
6.9 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Astros
31.2 %
67.4 %
45.5 %
70.2 %
92.4 %
83.2 %
39.4 %
56.9 %
7.6 %
2013
Average
29.7 %
65.0 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.4 %
45.8 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
31.8 %
67.4 %
46.5 %
75.1 %
89.3 %
83.6 %
41.2 %
61.3 %
7.5 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2011
Astros
31.0 %
63.3 %
46.3 %
71.0 %
87.9 %
81.9 %
47.4 %
18.4
2011
Average
28.9 %
62.1 %
45.6 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.6
2012
Astros
28.5 %
63.3 %
45.5 %
70.7 %
91.1 %
84.6 %
49.0 %
20.4
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Astros
31.3 %
63.2 %
45.7 %
71.1 %
89.8 %
82.8 %
45.3 %
22.3
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.2 %
22.5
Total
- - -
29.7 %
63.3 %
45.8 %
70.8 %
89.8 %
83.4 %
48.1 %
19.9
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2011
Astros
P
20
15
94.0
5
18
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
.958
2012
Astros
P
25
25
141.1
7
19
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
10
.963
2013
Astros
P
5
5
25.0
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.000
Total
- - -
P
50
45
260.1
15
44
2
0
2
1
2
0
0
15
.967
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2011
Astros
P
94.0
0
0
1
1
2012
Astros
P
141.1
0
0
-2
-2
2013
Astros
P
25.0
0
0
2
2
Total
- - -
P
260.1
0
0
1
1
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2011
Astros
-0.8
-0.4
-0.7
-1.1
2.7
0.3
$1.3
2012
Astros
-1.3
-0.3
-1.7
-2.0
6.2
0.6
$2.9
2013
Astros
-0.1
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
2.1
0.2
$1.1
Total
- - -
-2.2
-0.9
-2.5
-3.3
11.1
1.1
$5.2
Contracts
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