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2013 Articles
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The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Swings
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Roto Riteup: May 25, 2013
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Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
Community Research
The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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FANS
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ZiPS (Update)
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
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AL Games
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Final
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Final
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F - 11th
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Final
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Final
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T - 9th
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T - 2nd
NL Games
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Final
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Final
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Final
SDP (0) @ ARI (2)
T - 2nd
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B - 8th
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AA:
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A+:
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A:
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A-:
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Team Batting Stats
2013
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2012
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2011
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2009
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2007
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Team Pitching Stats
2013
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2012
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2011
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2010
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
...
AL East
Yankees
30
18
----
Red Sox
30
20
1.0
Orioles
27
22
3.5
Rays
24
24
6.0
Blue Jays
20
29
10.5
AL Central
Tigers
27
20
----
Indians
27
21
0.5
White Sox
23
24
4.0
Royals
21
25
5.5
Twins
19
27
7.5
AL West
Rangers
31
17
----
Athletics
26
23
5.5
Angels
22
27
9.5
Mariners
20
28
11.0
Astros
14
34
17.0
NL East
Braves
29
18
----
Nationals
25
24
5.0
Phillies
24
25
6.0
Mets
17
28
11.0
Marlins
13
36
17.0
NL Central
Cardinals
31
16
----
Reds
31
18
1.0
Pirates
30
19
2.0
Brewers
19
28
12.0
Cubs
18
30
13.5
NL West
D-backs
27
21
----
Rockies
27
22
0.5
Giants
27
22
0.5
Padres
21
26
5.5
Dodgers
19
27
7.0
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Matt Adams
Birthdate:
8/31/1988
Bats/Throws:
L/R
Height/Weight:
6-3/230
Position:
1B
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/7/2013:
The Cardinals activated Adams (oblique) from the disabled list Tuesday.
5/8/2013
-
Roto Riteup: May 8, 2013
by
David Wiers (RotoGraphs)
5
4/24/2013
-
Rated Rookies: Late April
by
Bryan Smith (FanGraphs)
14
4/18/2013
-
1B Stock Watch: Adams, Davises, Napoli
by
Mike Axisa (RotoGraphs)
9
4/15/2013
-
Daily Notes: The Week's Top Performances
by
Carson Cistulli (FanGraphs)
2
2/27/2013
-
Cardinals Infield: Depth Chart Discussions
by
Howard Bender (RotoGraphs)
1
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
Game Log
Play Log
Compare
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Live
Season
PA
H
2B
3B
HR
R
RBI
SB
CS
BB
SO
BB%
K%
ISO
BABIP
AVG
OBP
SLG
wOBA
wRC+
Today
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0 %
0.0 %
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
-100
2013
44
16
3
0
3
5
10
0
0
3
9
6.8 %
20.5 %
.293
.448
.390
.432
.683
.475
214
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
PA
HR
R
RBI
SB
BB%
K%
ISO
BABIP
AVG
OBP
SLG
wOBA
wRC+
Fld
BsR
WAR
2009
Cardinals (R)
32
128
6
15
25
0
7.0 %
15.6 %
.209
.391
.365
.406
.574
.432
166
2009
Cardinals (A-)
31
142
4
16
27
0
7.7 %
14.8 %
.177
.387
.346
.394
.523
.417
164
2010
Cardinals (A)
121
510
22
71
88
5
6.5 %
15.3 %
.231
.322
.306
.351
.537
.391
138
2011
Javelinas (R)
20
89
4
15
19
1
3.4 %
31.5 %
.225
.296
.250
.258
.475
.296
59
2011
Cardinals (AA)
115
513
32
80
101
0
7.8 %
17.5 %
.266
.308
.300
.357
.566
.393
138
2012
Cardinals (AAA)
67
276
18
41
50
3
5.4 %
20.7 %
.295
.360
.329
.362
.624
.415
147
2012
Cardinals
27
91
2
8
13
0
5.5 %
26.4 %
.140
.317
.244
.286
.384
.292
83
-0.8
-1.2
-0.3
2013
Steamer
24
100
4
11
14
1
5.5 %
18.6 %
.189
.293
.267
.310
.456
.328
107
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
2013
Bill James
145
533
27
69
89
3
5.6 %
20.1 %
.231
.312
.282
.323
.513
.358
2013
Oliver
500
22
60
75
1
6.6 %
23.6 %
.208
.302
.260
.310
.469
.332
1.0
-0.6
1.5
2013
Fans (9)
58
237
9
28
31
1
7.2 %
22.8 %
.191
.314
.270
.321
.460
.332
-2.0
0.0
0.5
2013
ZiPS
117
486
16
51
66
2
5.8 %
22.0 %
.168
.311
.265
.307
.433
.316
99
-1.0
-0.5
0.5
2013
Cardinals (AA)
3
12
0
1
2
0
0.0 %
33.3 %
.083
.375
.250
.250
.333
.257
59
2013
Cardinals
19
43
3
5
10
0
7.0 %
20.9 %
.300
.464
.400
.442
.700
.486
222
-1.9
-1.0
0.4
2013
ZiPS (R)
77
303
11
32
43
1
5.8 %
22.0 %
.176
.321
.273
.315
.449
.328
105
-1.4
-0.6
0.8
2013
ZiPS (U)
96
346
14
37
53
1
6.0 %
21.9 %
.191
.338
.289
.331
.480
.348
118
-3.3
-1.5
1.1
2013
Steamer (R)
20
80
3
9
11
1
5.7 %
19.0 %
.193
.300
.271
.315
.465
.334
109
-0.2
-0.1
0.3
2013
Steamer (U)
39
123
6
14
21
1
6.2 %
19.7 %
.231
.355
.316
.359
.547
.388
145
-2.2
-1.0
0.6
Total
- - -
46
134
5
13
23
0
6.0 %
24.6 %
.190
.364
.294
.336
.484
.355
128
-2.8
-2.1
0.1
News
5/2
-
The Grand Tour, part four
by
Shane Tourtellotte
4/25
-
Fantasy: FAAB optimization: spend early, spend often
by
Moe Koltun
4/22
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 4-22-13
by
Brad Johnson
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
G
AB
PA
H
1B
2B
3B
HR
R
RBI
BB
IBB
SO
HBP
SF
SH
GDP
SB
CS
AVG
2009
Cardinals (R)
32
115
128
42
30
6
0
6
15
25
9
0
20
1
3
0
3
0
0
.365
2009
Cardinals (A-)
31
130
142
45
30
11
0
4
16
27
11
3
21
0
1
0
4
0
0
.346
2010
Cardinals (A)
121
464
510
142
79
41
0
22
71
88
33
3
78
4
9
0
11
5
1
.306
2011
Javelinas (R)
20
80
89
20
10
6
0
4
15
19
3
0
28
0
6
0
1
1
0
.250
2011
Cardinals (AA)
115
463
513
139
82
23
2
32
80
101
40
7
90
4
6
0
12
0
1
.300
2012
Cardinals (AAA)
67
258
276
85
45
22
0
18
41
50
15
1
57
0
3
0
5
3
1
.329
2012
Cardinals
27
86
91
21
13
6
0
2
8
13
5
0
24
0
0
0
3
0
0
.244
2013
Steamer
24
93
100
25
15
5
0
4
11
14
6
1
19
1
1
0
1
0
.267
2013
Bill James
145
503
533
142
80
35
0
27
69
89
30
0
107
3
2
.282
2013
Oliver
461
500
120
69
28
1
22
60
75
33
4
118
2
4
0
11
1
1
.260
2013
Fans (9)
58
215
237
58
35
14
0
9
28
31
17
2
54
1
4
1
0
.270
2013
ZiPS
117
453
486
120
77
26
1
16
51
66
28
4
107
1
4
0
11
2
1
.265
2013
Cardinals (AA)
3
12
12
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
.250
2013
Cardinals
19
40
43
16
10
3
0
3
5
10
3
0
9
0
0
0
2
0
0
.400
2013
ZiPS (R)
77
283
303
77
49
17
1
11
32
43
18
2
67
1
2
0
7
1
1
.273
2013
ZiPS (U)
96
323
346
93
59
20
1
14
37
53
21
2
76
1
2
0
9
1
1
.289
2013
Steamer (R)
20
74
80
20
12
4
0
3
9
11
5
0
15
0
1
0
1
0
.271
2013
Steamer (U)
39
114
123
36
22
7
0
6
14
21
8
0
24
0
1
0
1
0
.316
Total
- - -
46
126
134
37
23
9
0
5
13
23
8
0
33
0
0
0
5
0
0
.294
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
BB%
K%
BB/K
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
ISO
Spd
BABIP
UBR
wSB
wRC
wRAA
wOBA
wRC+
2009
Cardinals (R)
7.0 %
15.6 %
0.45
.365
.406
.574
.980
.209
0.8
.391
0.0
27
10.8
.432
166
2009
Cardinals (A-)
7.7 %
14.8 %
0.52
.346
.394
.523
.917
.177
1.0
.387
-0.1
26
10.2
.417
164
2010
Cardinals (A)
6.5 %
15.3 %
0.42
.306
.351
.537
.888
.231
3.4
.322
0.5
88
24.2
.391
138
2011
Javelinas (R)
3.4 %
31.5 %
0.11
.250
.258
.475
.733
.225
5.0
.296
0.2
8
-5.5
.296
59
2011
Cardinals (AA)
7.8 %
17.5 %
0.44
.300
.357
.566
.923
.266
2.7
.308
-0.7
91
24.9
.393
138
2012
Cardinals (AAA)
5.4 %
20.7 %
0.26
.329
.362
.624
.986
.295
3.1
.360
0.1
54
17.2
.415
147
2012
Cardinals
5.5 %
26.4 %
0.21
.244
.286
.384
.669
.140
1.1
.317
-1.1
-0.1
9
-1.7
.292
83
2012
Average
8.0 %
19.8 %
0.40
.255
.319
.405
.724
.151
5.2
.297
.315
2013
Steamer
5.5 %
18.6 %
0.30
.267
.310
.456
.765
.189
3.2
.293
0.0
-0.1
12
1.0
.328
107
2013
Bill James
5.6 %
20.1 %
0.28
.282
.323
.513
.836
.231
2.5
.312
-0.7
79
18.5
.358
2013
Oliver
6.6 %
23.6 %
0.28
.260
.310
.469
.779
.208
2.4
.302
-0.6
64
6.7
.332
2013
Fans (9)
7.2 %
22.8 %
0.31
.270
.321
.460
.781
.191
2.6
.314
0.0
30
3.3
.332
2013
ZiPS
5.8 %
22.0 %
0.26
.265
.307
.433
.739
.168
2.7
.311
-0.5
56
0.6
.316
99
2013
Cardinals (AA)
0.0 %
33.3 %
0.00
.250
.250
.333
.583
.083
1.6
.375
0.0
1
-0.6
.257
59
2013
Cardinals
7.0 %
20.9 %
0.33
.400
.442
.700
1.142
.300
0.3
.464
-0.9
0.0
11
5.9
.486
222
2013
Average
8.1 %
19.9 %
0.41
.253
.318
.403
.721
.150
4.9
.295
.315
2013
ZiPS (R)
5.8 %
22.0 %
0.27
.273
.315
.449
.764
.176
2.6
.321
-0.4
-0.2
37
3.2
.328
105
2013
ZiPS (U)
6.0 %
21.9 %
0.27
.289
.331
.480
.811
.191
2.4
.338
-1.3
-0.2
48
9.2
.348
118
2013
Steamer (R)
5.7 %
19.0 %
0.30
.271
.315
.465
.780
.193
3.0
.300
0.0
-0.1
10
1.2
.334
109
2013
Steamer (U)
6.2 %
19.7 %
0.31
.316
.359
.547
.906
.231
2.1
.355
-0.9
-0.1
21
7.2
.388
145
Total
- - -
6.0 %
24.6 %
0.24
.294
.336
.484
.820
.190
0.8
.364
-2.0
-0.1
19
4.2
.355
128
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
2012
Cardinals
1.13
17.7 %
43.5 %
38.7 %
4.2 %
8.3 %
7.4 %
0.0 %
2013
Cardinals
0.67
19.4 %
32.3 %
48.4 %
0.0 %
20.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
Total
- - -
0.95
18.3 %
39.8 %
41.9 %
2.6 %
12.8 %
5.4 %
0.0 %
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2012
Cardinals
27
24
11
1
2
0
0
110
212
322
2013
Cardinals
10
15
6
0
0
0
0
70
107
177
Total
- - -
37
39
17
1
2
0
0
180
319
499
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
phLI
PH
WPA/LI
Clutch
2012
Cardinals
-0.75
-1.91
1.15
-2.55
-0.27
1.01
0.82
3
-0.47
-0.27
2013
Cardinals
0.36
-0.93
1.29
5.17
0.57
1.20
0.86
10
0.38
-0.08
Total
- - -
-0.39
-2.84
2.45
2.62
0.30
1.07
0.85
13
-0.09
-0.28
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2012
Cardinals
53.1% (92.1)
13.7% (82.2)
5.6% (86.8)
12.4% (77.9)
11.8% (82.5)
1.6% (84.3)
1.9% (76.8)
2013
Cardinals
63.3% (90.4)
5.6% (79.9)
5.6% (88.8)
5.6% (79.1)
16.4% (81.9)
3.4% (85.8)
Total
- - -
56.7% (91.5)
10.8% (81.8)
5.6% (87.5)
10.0% (78.2)
13.4% (82.3)
2.2% (85.2)
1.2% (76.8)
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2012
Cardinals
28.9 %
12.7 %
7.8 %
1.2 %
9.6 %
14.6 %
11.2 %
12.1 %
1.9 %
2013
Cardinals
36.2 %
13.6 %
5.7 %
2.3 %
13.0 %
6.2 %
3.4 %
2.8 %
17.0 %
Total
- - -
31.5 %
13.0 %
7.0 %
1.6 %
10.8 %
11.6 %
8.4 %
1.0 %
13.8 %
1.2 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2012
Cardinals
92.0
92.2
87.4
83.4
91.8
82.6
77.2
82.9
76.9
2013
Cardinals
90.5
91.1
88.8
85.1
89.5
82.1
75.1
82.3
82.1
Total
- - -
91.4
91.8
87.8
84.2
90.8
82.5
76.9
82.3
82.6
76.9
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2012
Cardinals
-4.2
-3.1
0.2
0.4
3.0
1.6
-0.8
-2.47
-6.99
1.38
1.01
7.81
31.16
-13.72
2013
Cardinals
1.2
1.1
0.3
1.0
0.3
0.8
1.03
10.64
2.94
10.21
1.09
14.04
Total
- - -
-3.1
-2.0
0.5
1.4
3.3
2.4
-0.8
-1.08
-3.73
1.94
2.85
4.90
21.82
-13.72
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2012
Cardinals
-2.4
-1.3
-0.9
0.8
0.7
-3.1
0.1
3.8
-0.8
2013
Cardinals
2.4
-1.2
0.3
0.6
-0.1
0.9
1.3
-0.4
0.8
Total
- - -
-0.1
-2.5
-0.5
1.3
0.7
-2.1
1.4
-0.4
4.6
-0.8
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2012
Cardinals
-2.62
-3.13
-3.47
19.57
2.30
-6.54
0.35
9.72
-13.64
2013
Cardinals
3.72
-5.05
3.39
13.83
-0.25
8.62
21.64
-7.29
2.67
Total
- - -
-0.04
-3.84
-1.51
16.70
1.21
-3.67
3.39
-7.29
6.66
-13.64
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2012
Cardinals
40.7 %
67.2 %
51.1 %
59.5 %
86.9 %
73.6 %
39.2 %
59.3 %
13.4 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Cardinals
30.8 %
74.7 %
48.6 %
53.1 %
84.9 %
72.9 %
40.6 %
44.2 %
13.0 %
2013
Average
29.7 %
65.0 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.4 %
45.8 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
37.3 %
69.9 %
50.2 %
57.7 %
86.1 %
73.4 %
39.7 %
54.5 %
13.2 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2012
Cardinals
40.9 %
63.1 %
50.6 %
56.8 %
87.6 %
73.6 %
43.8 %
21.2
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Cardinals
31.8 %
72.9 %
48.0 %
50.0 %
88.2 %
72.9 %
39.6 %
21.4
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.2 %
22.5
Total
- - -
37.5 %
66.4 %
49.7 %
54.6 %
87.9 %
73.4 %
42.3 %
21.2
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2012
Cardinals
1B
24
23
194.2
210
12
3
2
1
12
1
0
12
8
.987
2013
Cardinals
1B
8
8
70.2
75
4
0
0
0
11
0
0
11
1
1.000
Total
- - -
1B
32
31
265.1
285
16
3
2
1
23
1
0
23
9
.990
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2012
Cardinals
1B
194.2
0
0
2
1
35
29
.829
6
-1
-0.2
0.0
-0.7
-0.8
-4.1
2013
Cardinals
1B
70.2
0
0
-2
-2
14
9
.643
0
-2.4
0.4
-1.9
-22.3
Total
- - -
1B
265.1
0
0
0
-1
49
38
.776
6
-1
-0.2
-2.3
-0.2
-2.8
-10.1
Fans Scouting Report
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Inn
Votes
Instincts
First Step
Speed
Hands
Release
Arm Strength
Arm Accuracy
Overall
FSR
2012
Cardinals
194.2
7
31
28
24
31
22
26
24
27
-1
Total
- - -
194.2
7
31
28
24
31
22
26
24
27
-1
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Batting
Base Running
Fielding
Replacement
Positional
Fld + Pos
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2012
Cardinals
-1.8
-1.2
-0.8
2.7
-1.7
-2.5
-2.6
-0.3
($1.2)
2013
Cardinals
6.0
-1.0
-1.9
1.3
-0.6
-2.5
3.8
0.4
$2.0
Total
- - -
4.1
-2.1
-2.8
3.9
-2.3
-5.0
1.2
0.1
$0.8
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