Red Sox » Win Probability » Sunday, August 17, 2025 | FanGraphs Baseball

Pitcher	Player	Outs	Base	Score	Inning - Bottom 9	LI	WE
A Bender	A Bregman	0	___	3-5	Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee.	1.92	19.3%
A Bender	R Gonzalez	0	1__	3-5	Romy Gonzalez strikes out swinging.	3.53	11.3%
A Bender	A Toro	1	1__	3-5	Abraham Toro lines out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.	2.69	4.8%
A Bender	C Rafaela	2	1__	3-5	Ceddanne Rafaela walks. Alex Bregman to 2nd.	1.63	9.5%
A Bender	C Narvaez	2	12_	3-5	Carlos Narváez flies out to right fielder Dane Myers.	3.63	0.0%

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
A Bender	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	2.68	.098
T Phillips	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0.43	.034
J Junk	7.0	6	1	3	1	6	0.93	-.013
Total	9.0	7	1	3	2	7	1.12	.119

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
G Crochet	7.0	3	1	1	1	8	1.45	.346
G Whitlock	1.0	2	0	1	0	1	2.75	.006
G Weissert	0.1	2	1	2	0	0	2.37	-.330
S Matz	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	1.17	-.402
Total	9.0	8	3	5	1	9	1.70	-.381

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
X Edwards	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	1.30	-.131
A Ramirez	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1.14	.057
O Lopez	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1.94	-.165
H Hernandez	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1.41	-.117
L Hicks	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	2.80	.100
J Sanoja	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2.01	.048
D Myers	4	1	1	1	1	0	0	2.04	.257
J Wiemer	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.76	-.186
T Johnston	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.36	-.061
E Wagaman	4	2	2	1	1	0	1	1.69	.055
D Hill	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1.04	.042
J Marsee	2	1	2	1	2	0	0	2.28	.481
Total	35	5	8	3	5	1	9	1.70	.381

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
R Anthony	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1.05	-.114
T Story	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.75	-.078
J Duran	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	0.74	.055
M Yoshida	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1.01	-.108
W Abreu	3	2	2	1	2	0	0	1.07	.243
A Bregman	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1.92	.094
R Gonzalez	4	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.23	-.020
A Toro	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	1.39	-.047
C Rafaela	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.15	-.009
C Narvaez	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	1.54	-.136
Total	33	3	7	1	3	2	7	1.12	-.119

Stars of the Game Vote See Results
Select 3 Star Player Wilyer Abreu (RF / BOS) Roman Anthony (LF-RF / BOS) Alex Bregman (3B / BOS) Garrett Crochet (P / BOS) Jarren Duran (CF-LF / BOS) Romy Gonzalez (1B-2B / BOS) Steven Matz (P / BOS) Carlos Narvaez (C / BOS) Ceddanne Rafaela (2B-CF / BOS) Trevor Story (SS / BOS) Abraham Toro (3B-1B / BOS) Greg Weissert (P / BOS) Garrett Whitlock (P / BOS) Masataka Yoshida (DH / BOS) Anthony Bender (P / MIA) Xavier Edwards (2B / MIA) Heriberto Hernandez (DH / MIA) Liam Hicks (PH-DH / MIA) Derek Hill (CF / MIA) Troy Johnston (PH-LF / MIA) Janson Junk (P / MIA) Otto Lopez (SS / MIA) Jakob Marsee (PH-CF / MIA) Dane Myers (RF / MIA) Tyler Phillips (P / MIA) Agustin Ramirez (C / MIA) Javier Sanoja (3B / MIA) Eric Wagaman (1B / MIA) Joey Wiemer (LF / MIA)
Select 2 Star Player Wilyer Abreu (RF / BOS) Roman Anthony (LF-RF / BOS) Alex Bregman (3B / BOS) Garrett Crochet (P / BOS) Jarren Duran (CF-LF / BOS) Romy Gonzalez (1B-2B / BOS) Steven Matz (P / BOS) Carlos Narvaez (C / BOS) Ceddanne Rafaela (2B-CF / BOS) Trevor Story (SS / BOS) Abraham Toro (3B-1B / BOS) Greg Weissert (P / BOS) Garrett Whitlock (P / BOS) Masataka Yoshida (DH / BOS) Anthony Bender (P / MIA) Xavier Edwards (2B / MIA) Heriberto Hernandez (DH / MIA) Liam Hicks (PH-DH / MIA) Derek Hill (CF / MIA) Troy Johnston (PH-LF / MIA) Janson Junk (P / MIA) Otto Lopez (SS / MIA) Jakob Marsee (PH-CF / MIA) Dane Myers (RF / MIA) Tyler Phillips (P / MIA) Agustin Ramirez (C / MIA) Javier Sanoja (3B / MIA) Eric Wagaman (1B / MIA) Joey Wiemer (LF / MIA)
Select 1 Star Player Wilyer Abreu (RF / BOS) Roman Anthony (LF-RF / BOS) Alex Bregman (3B / BOS) Garrett Crochet (P / BOS) Jarren Duran (CF-LF / BOS) Romy Gonzalez (1B-2B / BOS) Steven Matz (P / BOS) Carlos Narvaez (C / BOS) Ceddanne Rafaela (2B-CF / BOS) Trevor Story (SS / BOS) Abraham Toro (3B-1B / BOS) Greg Weissert (P / BOS) Garrett Whitlock (P / BOS) Masataka Yoshida (DH / BOS) Anthony Bender (P / MIA) Xavier Edwards (2B / MIA) Heriberto Hernandez (DH / MIA) Liam Hicks (PH-DH / MIA) Derek Hill (CF / MIA) Troy Johnston (PH-LF / MIA) Janson Junk (P / MIA) Otto Lopez (SS / MIA) Jakob Marsee (PH-CF / MIA) Dane Myers (RF / MIA) Tyler Phillips (P / MIA) Agustin Ramirez (C / MIA) Javier Sanoja (3B / MIA) Eric Wagaman (1B / MIA) Joey Wiemer (LF / MIA)
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ATL (5)	100%
CLE (4)	0%
aLI: 1.74 \| aWE: .49

MIA (5)	100%
BOS (3)	0%
aLI: 1.41 \| aWE: .57

LAA (11)	100%
ATH (5)	0%
aLI: 1.32 \| aWE: .39

CHW (2)	0%
KCR (6)	100%
aLI: 1.13 \| aWE: .44

DET (1)	0%
MIN (8)	100%
aLI: 0.56 \| aWE: .82

BAL (12)	100%
HOU (0)	0%
aLI: 0.50 \| aWE: .19

TEX (10)	100%
TOR (4)	0%
aLI: 0.42 \| aWE: .17

MIL (2)	0%
CIN (3)	100%
aLI: 1.86 \| aWE: .60

PIT (3)	0%
CHC (4)	100%
aLI: 1.61 \| aWE: .57

ARI (5)	0%
COL (6)	100%
aLI: 1.50 \| aWE: .50

NYY (8)	100%
STL (4)	0%
aLI: 1.48 \| aWE: .44

SDP (4)	0%
LAD (5)	100%
aLI: 1.20 \| aWE: .76

SEA (0)	16%
NYM (3)	84%
aLI: 0.96 \| aWE: .70

PHI (11)	100%
WSN (9)	0%
aLI: 0.87 \| aWE: .22

TBR (1)	0%
SFG (7)	100%
aLI: 0.75 \| aWE: .71