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FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: August 15, 2026
Answering your questions on pitchers outperforming their xERAs, how plate discipline translates to ABS challenges, (maybe) the final 100-loss team, and more...
Trending Articles

The State of FanGraphs 2026
With FanGraphs' 21st anniversary later this summer, an update on where the site stands.

Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 8/14/26
Pick the brain of your friendly neighborhood prospect writer, who is in the throes of Bridge League and 2027 Draft scouting.

Ben Joyce Throws Two Fastballs, Too
Batters can't stand this one weird trick (he said, apologetically).
Mailbag

FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: August 15, 2026
Answering your questions on pitchers outperforming their xERAs, how plate discipline translates to ABS challenges, (maybe) the final 100-loss team, and more...
RotoGraphs – Trending Fantasy Articles

RotoGraphs Dynasty Rankings
All models are wrong, but some are useful.

Lineup Analysis (8/14/26)
Not as many changes as I thought there would be.

Big Kid Adds (Week 20)
What a great week for new players.
Recent Articles

FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: August 15, 2026
Answering your questions on pitchers outperforming their xERAs, how plate discipline translates to ABS challenges, (maybe) the final 100-loss team, and more...
Hunter Greene Out Through the 2027 Season
On top of the other major issues, the Cincinnati Reds now have a big pitching problem to solve.
Darrin Jackson Tackles a Challenging Career Quiz
The Chicago White Sox broadcast analyst has entertaining anecdotes about pitchers he faced over a 12-year playing career.
The Early Shift: Sonogram Goo
Our baby loves lamp.
ProspectsEric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 8/14/26
Pick the brain of your friendly neighborhood prospect writer, who is in the throes of Bridge League and 2027 Draft scouting.
ProspectsWait, What?! Nicolo Pinazzi's Emergence
The Italian lefty has blossomed from near obscurity into a real prospect.
Ben Joyce Throws Two Fastballs, Too
Batters can't stand this one weird trick (he said, apologetically).
ChatRosterResource Chat - 8/13/26
Jason Martinez and Jon Becker answer questions related to rosters, playing time, bullpen usage, minor leaguers, payroll, and more.
Let's Put Tarik Skubal Back on the Tigers
I tried to measure how much better the Tigers would be if we undid their deadline dealings, as well as what that would cost them in the future.
Site NewsUpdated Splits Leaderboards and Splits Tools Are Here!
One of our core offerings is now even better.
Prone To Gophers Early On, Ryan Weathers' Homeritis Has Subsided
The margins now in his favor, the southpaw is allowing far fewer long balls.
WPBL Week Two: Such Great Heights
The season is only a quarter of the way complete, but one player is already making her case for MVP.
The Old Man’s Christian Yelich Association
Even as Milwaukee’s output at the plate has waxed and waned ever the years, Yelich has been the prime mover of the offense. Until now.
Which Teams Are Built To Be the Most Dangerous in the Playoffs?
A look at regular season vs. early postseason projections for the plausible playoff field.
RotoGraphs

Lineup Analysis (8/14/26)
Not as many changes as I thought there would be.
Pitcher Playing Time Changes: August 14, 2026
The trade deadline induced a lot of shuffling in playing time projections.
The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1530 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 22
Paul and Justin work through next week's board of 2-start arms
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner: August 17–23
Ottoneu Starting Pitcher sit/start recommendations for the week of August 17–23.
Starting Pitcher Chart – August 14th, 2026
Aces lead the charge on Friday as we head into a pivotal weekend with some great matchups
Power Sweepers: Pitching's Next Evolution?
Sweepers, with a little extra
So You Made a Trade You Regret
Here’s how to bounce back and make that trade regret you!
Big Kid Adds (Week 20)
What a great week for new players.
Roto Riteup: August 13, 2026
In the Dog Days of August, but the Roto Riteup keeps rolling
Starting Pitcher Chart – August 13th, 2026
Short board, but plenty of options!
Mining the News (8/12/26)
Some sneaky possible adds.
Rolling? Don't Trip, Just Peak
If you analyze rolling wOBA and HR totals, and separate the peaks, you can see some of this season’s streakiest streakers.
Starting Pitcher Risers in Pitching+ From July and Early August
Several starting pitchers have improved their Pitching+ since July. Let's examine what changed within their profile.
Community
- HOF
BOOG and the Hall of Fame, Part 1 (Introduction)
Presenting a different metric for evaluating Hall of Fame candidacies. Shape+ v2.0: Isolating Pitch Quality With Relative Physics and Additive Modeling
The updated framework establishes baselines for movement and approach angles, yielding an objective tool to analyze which pitch shapes are harder to hit.Waiting for MLB’s First Billion-Dollar Player
Would you rather have a guaranteed $140 million today or a chance at $1 billion six years from now?Effectively Wild's Preseason Predictions Update: Meg Rowley
A breakdown of Meg Rowley’s ballot for Effectively Wild’s 2025 Preseason Predictions Game.
Job Postings
Job PostingJob Posting: Miami Marlins - Director of Baseball Applications
The Miami Marlins are hiring.
Job PostingJob Posting: San Diego Padres - Software Engineer, Baseball Systems
The San Diego Padres are hiring.
Job PostingJob Posting: Chicago Cubs - Data Scientist, Innovation - Baseball Analytics
The Chicago Cubs are hiring.
Essential Articles
ProspectsThe Details of Our New Prospect Valuation Methodology
Let's get into the nitty gritty of our new approach to prospect valuation.
ProspectsIntroducing an Updated Method for Prospect Valuation
Our new method for prospect valuation updates previous studies for today's environment.
Prospects2026 Top 100 Prospects
The prospect team presents their 2026 Top 100 Prospects list, with reports for each player.
2026 Top 50 MLB Free Agents
The most significant players to hit the open market this offseason, as compiled by Ben Clemens and the FanGraphs staff.
Prospects2025 Top 100 Prospects
Eric Longenhagen presents his 2025 Top 100 Prospects list, with reports for each player.
Site News
Site NewsUpdated Splits Leaderboards and Splits Tools Are Here!
One of our core offerings is now even better.
Site NewsThe Crowdsourced Trade Value Tool Is Back
It's the return of our crowdsourced trade value tool. Pick who you prefer between two players, over and over again, to build your own rankings.
Site NewsA New Heat Maps Feature for Members Is Now Active!
Time to learn what a Gaussian distribution is.
Top Prospects
AL
| BAL | CHW | ATH |
| BOS | CLE | HOU |
| NYY | DET | LAA |
| TBR | KCR | SEA |
| TOR | MIN | TEX |
NL
| ATL | CHC | ARI |
| MIA | CIN | COL |
| NYM | MIL | LAD |
| PHI | PIT | SDP |
| WSN | STL | SFG |
2026 Pre-Trade Deadline Top 100 Update
ZiPS Projections
Chat Schedule All times ET
| Sun | 8:30 PM | Jeff Zimmerman |
| Mon | 12 PM | Justin Mason |
| Mon | 2 PM | Ben Clemens |
| Tue | 12 PM | Jay Jaffe |
| Tue | 2 PM | Brendan Gawlowski |
| Wed | 2 PM | Paul Sporer |
| Thu | 12 PM | Dan Szymborski |
| Thu | 2 PM | RosterResource |
| Fri | 12 PM | Eric Longenhagen |
FANGRAPHS LAB
Top Prospects
AL
| BAL | CHW | ATH |
| BOS | CLE | HOU |
| NYY | DET | LAA |
| TBR | KCR | SEA |
| TOR | MIN | TEX |
NL
| ATL | CHC | ARI |
| MIA | CIN | COL |
| NYM | MIL | LAD |
| PHI | PIT | SDP |
| WSN | STL | SFG |
2026 Pre-Trade Deadline Top 100 Update
ZiPS Projections
Chat Schedule All times ET
| Sun | 8:30 PM | Jeff Zimmerman |
| Mon | 12 PM | Justin Mason |
| Mon | 2 PM | Ben Clemens |
| Tue | 12 PM | Jay Jaffe |
| Tue | 2 PM | Brendan Gawlowski |
| Wed | 2 PM | Paul Sporer |
| Thu | 12 PM | Dan Szymborski |
| Thu | 2 PM | RosterResource |
| Fri | 12 PM | Eric Longenhagen |
Podcasts
Leaders
WAR
wRC+
wOBA
WPA
| 1.Pete Crow-Armstrong | 7.8 |
| 2.Yordan Alvarez | 5.7 |
| 3.Bobby Witt Jr. | 5.4 |
| 4.Dillon Dingler | 5.2 |
| 5.Kevin McGonigle | 4.8 |
WAR
WPA
ERA
| 1.Jacob Misiorowski | 5.1 |
| 2.Cristopher Sanchez | 5.0 |
| 3.Cameron Schlittler | 4.7 |
| 4.Chris Sale | 4.6 |
| 5.Dylan Cease | 4.5 |
WAR
WPA
ERA
| 1.Mason Miller | 3.1 |
| 2.Louie Varland | 2.5 |
| 3.Adrian Morejon | 2.3 |
| 4.Trevor Megill | 2.2 |
| 5.Jhoan Duran | 2.1 |












