Cy Young Award Projections

Projection System

About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W

Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cam Schlittler	104.0	8	5	29.7%	5.1%	2.08	2.68	3.2	3.7	48.3	69.3	177.0	13	9	28.1%	6.1%	2.75	3.10	4.6	5.0	67.7	95.3
2	Dylan Cease	90.1	5	4	36.7%	11.0%	2.79	2.26	3.3	2.6	35.9	58.4	168.1	10	8	33.8%	10.3%	3.05	2.71	5.3	4.4	60.8	94.3
3	Logan Gilbert	107.1	7	5	27.2%	5.3%	3.19	3.43	2.2	2.8	34.1	46.8	186.1	12	9	27.0%	5.5%	3.28	3.45	3.7	4.3	57.2	78.9
4	Tarik Skubal	65.2	4	4	29.5%	3.1%	3.15	3.11	1.6	1.6	21.3	31.5	145.2	10	7	30.1%	4.0%	2.97	2.89	4.0	4.0	52.0	78.1
5	Ranger Suarez	88.2	4	3	25.5%	7.2%	2.94	2.71	2.8	2.8	28.5	46.1	170.2	10	7	23.8%	7.2%	3.22	3.11	4.6	4.7	51.2	77.6
6	Parker Messick	106.0	7	5	25.8%	7.6%	2.80	3.09	2.9	3.4	37.9	54.5	178.0	11	9	24.6%	7.7%	3.19	3.45	4.1	4.5	54.9	75.7
7	Drew Rasmussen	97.0	7	4	25.4%	4.5%	2.78	3.28	2.4	3.2	35.1	48.2	174.0	12	8	24.3%	5.2%	3.16	3.45	3.9	4.8	54.9	75.3
8	Sonny Gray	89.2	10	1	22.8%	6.4%	2.61	3.60	1.6	3.3	37.0	46.0	166.2	15	5	23.4%	6.4%	3.19	3.60	3.2	4.9	55.3	72.1
9	Jacob deGrom	95.2	7	5	30.3%	5.3%	3.48	3.51	2.1	2.5	29.3	39.9	169.2	12	9	29.6%	5.4%	3.50	3.43	3.8	4.1	50.9	71.1
10	Joe Ryan	97.1	5	5	28.2%	5.5%	3.61	2.95	2.7	1.7	26.0	42.7	170.1	10	9	27.8%	5.6%	3.65	3.23	4.3	3.2	45.6	69.6

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cam Schlittler	104.0	8	5	29.7%	5.1%	2.08	2.68	3.2	3.7	48.3	69.3	177.0	13	9	28.1%	6.1%	2.75	3.10	4.6	5.0	67.7	95.3
2	Dylan Cease	90.1	5	4	36.7%	11.0%	2.79	2.26	3.3	2.6	35.9	58.4	168.1	10	8	33.8%	10.3%	3.05	2.71	5.3	4.4	60.8	94.3
3	Logan Gilbert	107.1	7	5	27.2%	5.3%	3.19	3.43	2.2	2.8	34.1	46.8	186.1	12	9	27.0%	5.5%	3.28	3.45	3.7	4.3	57.2	78.9
4	Tarik Skubal	65.2	4	4	29.5%	3.1%	3.15	3.11	1.6	1.6	21.3	31.5	145.2	10	7	30.1%	4.0%	2.97	2.89	4.0	4.0	52.0	78.1
5	Ranger Suarez	88.2	4	3	25.5%	7.2%	2.94	2.71	2.8	2.8	28.5	46.1	170.2	10	7	23.8%	7.2%	3.22	3.11	4.6	4.7	51.2	77.6
6	Parker Messick	106.0	7	5	25.8%	7.6%	2.80	3.09	2.9	3.4	37.9	54.5	178.0	11	9	24.6%	7.7%	3.19	3.45	4.1	4.5	54.9	75.7
7	Drew Rasmussen	97.0	7	4	25.4%	4.5%	2.78	3.28	2.4	3.2	35.1	48.2	174.0	12	8	24.3%	5.2%	3.16	3.45	3.9	4.8	54.9	75.3
8	Sonny Gray	89.2	10	1	22.8%	6.4%	2.61	3.60	1.6	3.3	37.0	46.0	166.2	15	5	23.4%	6.4%	3.19	3.60	3.2	4.9	55.3	72.1
9	Jacob deGrom	95.2	7	5	30.3%	5.3%	3.48	3.51	2.1	2.5	29.3	39.9	169.2	12	9	29.6%	5.4%	3.50	3.43	3.8	4.1	50.9	71.1
10	Joe Ryan	97.1	5	5	28.2%	5.5%	3.61	2.95	2.7	1.7	26.0	42.7	170.1	10	9	27.8%	5.6%	3.65	3.23	4.3	3.2	45.6	69.6

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 181 results

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 181 results

National League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cristopher Sánchez	117.0	10	3	28.6%	4.8%	2.00	2.31	4.3	4.8	56.1	84.5	209.0	16	6	27.2%	5.3%	2.45	2.64	6.9	7.4	86.6	129.9
2	Jacob Misiorowski	104.0	9	4	39.3%	6.8%	1.47	1.96	4.3	4.7	59.6	88.9	183.0	15	8	36.0%	8.0%	2.21	2.50	6.2	6.5	87.6	128.4
3	Chris Sale	95.0	9	6	28.6%	6.1%	2.27	2.89	2.6	3.3	43.7	60.7	176.0	15	10	28.8%	6.4%	2.66	2.98	4.6	5.4	71.8	101.6
4	Shohei Ohtani	85.2	8	2	27.9%	7.6%	1.79	2.62	3.0	3.7	43.3	61.2	145.2	12	4	28.1%	7.9%	2.35	2.91	4.5	5.2	63.2	89.0
5	Paul Skenes	97.0	6	8	30.1%	5.6%	3.62	3.03	2.7	1.6	27.4	43.3	179.0	12	12	29.8%	5.9%	3.32	3.00	5.1	4.1	57.2	87.1
6	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	104.2	9	5	25.1%	5.3%	2.49	3.25	2.7	4.0	42.3	56.9	174.2	14	8	25.4%	5.8%	2.89	3.33	4.4	5.5	62.7	85.4
7	Chase Burns	97.2	10	1	29.7%	7.9%	2.40	3.28	2.9	4.1	44.4	57.6	167.2	15	5	29.2%	7.8%	2.95	3.36	4.6	5.5	63.7	85.0
8	Zack Wheeler	80.0	8	1	27.3%	6.5%	2.36	3.30	2.0	3.3	35.4	46.1	164.0	14	5	26.9%	6.5%	2.85	3.31	4.0	5.3	61.5	83.3
9	Braxton Ashcraft	108.1	9	3	27.8%	5.7%	3.24	3.15	2.9	2.7	36.4	52.6	186.1	14	7	26.2%	6.2%	3.38	3.30	4.5	4.3	57.2	82.0
10	Jesús Luzardo	103.1	7	4	28.6%	7.6%	3.75	2.95	2.9	1.7	28.2	45.9	188.1	13	8	28.0%	7.6%	3.68	3.20	4.9	3.5	52.3	79.5

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cristopher Sánchez	117.0	10	3	28.6%	4.8%	2.00	2.31	4.3	4.8	56.1	84.5	209.0	16	6	27.2%	5.3%	2.45	2.64	6.9	7.4	86.6	129.9
2	Jacob Misiorowski	104.0	9	4	39.3%	6.8%	1.47	1.96	4.3	4.7	59.6	88.9	183.0	15	8	36.0%	8.0%	2.21	2.50	6.2	6.5	87.6	128.4
3	Chris Sale	95.0	9	6	28.6%	6.1%	2.27	2.89	2.6	3.3	43.7	60.7	176.0	15	10	28.8%	6.4%	2.66	2.98	4.6	5.4	71.8	101.6
4	Shohei Ohtani	85.2	8	2	27.9%	7.6%	1.79	2.62	3.0	3.7	43.3	61.2	145.2	12	4	28.1%	7.9%	2.35	2.91	4.5	5.2	63.2	89.0
5	Paul Skenes	97.0	6	8	30.1%	5.6%	3.62	3.03	2.7	1.6	27.4	43.3	179.0	12	12	29.8%	5.9%	3.32	3.00	5.1	4.1	57.2	87.1
6	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	104.2	9	5	25.1%	5.3%	2.49	3.25	2.7	4.0	42.3	56.9	174.2	14	8	25.4%	5.8%	2.89	3.33	4.4	5.5	62.7	85.4
7	Chase Burns	97.2	10	1	29.7%	7.9%	2.40	3.28	2.9	4.1	44.4	57.6	167.2	15	5	29.2%	7.8%	2.95	3.36	4.6	5.5	63.7	85.0
8	Zack Wheeler	80.0	8	1	27.3%	6.5%	2.36	3.30	2.0	3.3	35.4	46.1	164.0	14	5	26.9%	6.5%	2.85	3.31	4.0	5.3	61.5	83.3
9	Braxton Ashcraft	108.1	9	3	27.8%	5.7%	3.24	3.15	2.9	2.7	36.4	52.6	186.1	14	7	26.2%	6.2%	3.38	3.30	4.5	4.3	57.2	82.0
10	Jesús Luzardo	103.1	7	4	28.6%	7.6%	3.75	2.95	2.9	1.7	28.2	45.9	188.1	13	8	28.0%	7.6%	3.68	3.20	4.9	3.5	52.3	79.5

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 185 results

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 185 results

BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
NYM	MIL	LAD
PHI	PIT	SDP
WSN	STL	SFG