Cy Young Award Projections

Projection System

About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W

Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cam Schlittler	118.2	9	5	29.2%	5.3%	2.05	2.81	3.4	4.3	55.0	77.3	183.2	14	8	28.0%	6.2%	2.65	3.15	4.7	5.5	72.5	100.2
2	Dylan Cease	98.1	6	4	36.9%	11.0%	2.56	2.18	3.7	3.2	42.0	67.3	168.1	11	7	34.2%	10.4%	2.89	2.62	5.5	4.9	64.9	100.1
3	Joe Ryan	110.1	6	5	28.4%	5.6%	2.85	2.77	3.3	2.4	39.0	60.1	175.1	10	8	28.1%	5.7%	3.13	3.09	4.8	3.7	56.8	84.2
4	Tarik Skubal	75.2	5	5	30.0%	3.7%	3.09	3.06	1.8	1.9	25.7	37.8	146.2	10	8	30.3%	4.3%	2.95	2.91	4.0	4.1	52.8	78.7
5	Logan Gilbert	114.0	7	6	26.5%	5.3%	3.32	3.37	2.5	2.8	33.9	48.2	185.0	11	9	26.6%	5.6%	3.36	3.43	3.8	4.2	54.1	76.2
6	Parker Messick	112.0	8	5	24.7%	8.1%	2.73	3.29	2.8	3.7	41.0	56.1	177.0	12	9	23.9%	8.1%	3.15	3.56	3.8	4.7	55.7	74.1
7	Ranger Suarez	91.1	4	3	25.8%	6.9%	3.15	2.61	3.0	2.6	27.4	46.6	159.1	9	6	24.2%	6.9%	3.28	2.97	4.5	4.2	46.7	73.8
8	Sonny Gray	95.2	11	1	22.3%	6.3%	2.54	3.53	1.9	3.7	40.3	50.7	163.2	15	5	22.9%	6.4%	3.08	3.58	3.2	5.1	56.1	73.0
9	Jacob deGrom	100.2	7	5	30.4%	5.5%	3.49	3.40	2.3	2.6	30.5	42.9	166.2	11	8	29.8%	5.5%	3.46	3.38	3.9	4.1	50.2	71.0
10	Shane McClanahan	86.0	8	5	23.2%	7.9%	2.83	3.15	2.2	2.2	32.2	45.1	147.0	12	8	23.9%	7.7%	3.12	3.35	3.5	3.6	49.0	67.7

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cam Schlittler	118.2	9	5	29.2%	5.3%	2.05	2.81	3.4	4.3	55.0	77.3	183.2	14	8	28.0%	6.2%	2.65	3.15	4.7	5.5	72.5	100.2
2	Dylan Cease	98.1	6	4	36.9%	11.0%	2.56	2.18	3.7	3.2	42.0	67.3	168.1	11	7	34.2%	10.4%	2.89	2.62	5.5	4.9	64.9	100.1
3	Joe Ryan	110.1	6	5	28.4%	5.6%	2.85	2.77	3.3	2.4	39.0	60.1	175.1	10	8	28.1%	5.7%	3.13	3.09	4.8	3.7	56.8	84.2
4	Tarik Skubal	75.2	5	5	30.0%	3.7%	3.09	3.06	1.8	1.9	25.7	37.8	146.2	10	8	30.3%	4.3%	2.95	2.91	4.0	4.1	52.8	78.7
5	Logan Gilbert	114.0	7	6	26.5%	5.3%	3.32	3.37	2.5	2.8	33.9	48.2	185.0	11	9	26.6%	5.6%	3.36	3.43	3.8	4.2	54.1	76.2
6	Parker Messick	112.0	8	5	24.7%	8.1%	2.73	3.29	2.8	3.7	41.0	56.1	177.0	12	9	23.9%	8.1%	3.15	3.56	3.8	4.7	55.7	74.1
7	Ranger Suarez	91.1	4	3	25.8%	6.9%	3.15	2.61	3.0	2.6	27.4	46.6	159.1	9	6	24.2%	6.9%	3.28	2.97	4.5	4.2	46.7	73.8
8	Sonny Gray	95.2	11	1	22.3%	6.3%	2.54	3.53	1.9	3.7	40.3	50.7	163.2	15	5	22.9%	6.4%	3.08	3.58	3.2	5.1	56.1	73.0
9	Jacob deGrom	100.2	7	5	30.4%	5.5%	3.49	3.40	2.3	2.6	30.5	42.9	166.2	11	8	29.8%	5.5%	3.46	3.38	3.9	4.1	50.2	71.0
10	Shane McClanahan	86.0	8	5	23.2%	7.9%	2.83	3.15	2.2	2.2	32.2	45.1	147.0	12	8	23.9%	7.7%	3.12	3.35	3.5	3.6	49.0	67.7

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 179 results

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 179 results

National League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Jacob Misiorowski	111.0	10	4	39.6%	6.4%	1.62	2.09	4.4	4.8	62.2	91.9	177.0	15	7	36.8%	7.5%	2.24	2.51	6.0	6.4	85.0	124.1
2	Cristopher Sánchez	127.1	11	4	27.4%	4.8%	2.62	2.70	4.0	4.2	52.1	77.5	207.1	16	7	26.5%	5.2%	2.78	2.84	6.2	6.4	78.3	116.5
3	Chris Sale	105.0	10	6	28.9%	5.9%	2.06	2.72	3.1	4.1	50.8	71.6	175.0	15	9	29.0%	6.0%	2.47	2.86	5.0	5.9	75.2	107.1
4	Zack Wheeler	93.0	10	1	30.4%	6.2%	2.13	2.95	2.7	4.1	45.3	61.3	167.0	15	4	29.1%	6.3%	2.64	3.08	4.6	6.0	68.6	95.0
5	Paul Skenes	108.1	8	8	29.5%	5.5%	3.57	2.88	3.2	2.0	32.2	51.7	182.1	14	11	29.5%	5.8%	3.31	2.90	5.4	4.2	60.0	92.4
6	Jesús Luzardo	110.1	8	4	29.4%	7.6%	3.51	2.84	3.3	2.2	33.8	54.2	185.1	13	8	28.6%	7.6%	3.50	3.06	5.1	3.8	55.8	85.4
7	Shohei Ohtani	85.2	8	2	27.9%	7.6%	1.79	2.61	3.0	3.7	43.3	61.3	138.2	12	4	28.2%	7.9%	2.34	2.95	4.3	4.9	61.0	84.8
8	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	110.2	9	6	24.9%	5.9%	2.85	3.35	2.7	3.7	39.9	54.0	173.2	14	9	25.3%	6.2%	3.06	3.39	4.2	5.1	59.0	80.5
9	Chase Burns	102.2	11	1	28.6%	9.0%	2.54	3.40	2.8	4.1	45.1	57.7	164.2	15	5	28.4%	8.6%	3.01	3.47	4.3	5.3	61.4	80.3
10	Braxton Ashcraft	113.1	9	3	27.8%	5.9%	3.49	3.32	2.8	2.5	34.5	49.3	183.1	13	7	26.4%	6.2%	3.53	3.44	4.2	4.0	52.6	74.1

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Jacob Misiorowski	111.0	10	4	39.6%	6.4%	1.62	2.09	4.4	4.8	62.2	91.9	177.0	15	7	36.8%	7.5%	2.24	2.51	6.0	6.4	85.0	124.1
2	Cristopher Sánchez	127.1	11	4	27.4%	4.8%	2.62	2.70	4.0	4.2	52.1	77.5	207.1	16	7	26.5%	5.2%	2.78	2.84	6.2	6.4	78.3	116.5
3	Chris Sale	105.0	10	6	28.9%	5.9%	2.06	2.72	3.1	4.1	50.8	71.6	175.0	15	9	29.0%	6.0%	2.47	2.86	5.0	5.9	75.2	107.1
4	Zack Wheeler	93.0	10	1	30.4%	6.2%	2.13	2.95	2.7	4.1	45.3	61.3	167.0	15	4	29.1%	6.3%	2.64	3.08	4.6	6.0	68.6	95.0
5	Paul Skenes	108.1	8	8	29.5%	5.5%	3.57	2.88	3.2	2.0	32.2	51.7	182.1	14	11	29.5%	5.8%	3.31	2.90	5.4	4.2	60.0	92.4
6	Jesús Luzardo	110.1	8	4	29.4%	7.6%	3.51	2.84	3.3	2.2	33.8	54.2	185.1	13	8	28.6%	7.6%	3.50	3.06	5.1	3.8	55.8	85.4
7	Shohei Ohtani	85.2	8	2	27.9%	7.6%	1.79	2.61	3.0	3.7	43.3	61.3	138.2	12	4	28.2%	7.9%	2.34	2.95	4.3	4.9	61.0	84.8
8	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	110.2	9	6	24.9%	5.9%	2.85	3.35	2.7	3.7	39.9	54.0	173.2	14	9	25.3%	6.2%	3.06	3.39	4.2	5.1	59.0	80.5
9	Chase Burns	102.2	11	1	28.6%	9.0%	2.54	3.40	2.8	4.1	45.1	57.7	164.2	15	5	28.4%	8.6%	3.01	3.47	4.3	5.3	61.4	80.3
10	Braxton Ashcraft	113.1	9	3	27.8%	5.9%	3.49	3.32	2.8	2.5	34.5	49.3	183.1	13	7	26.4%	6.2%	3.53	3.44	4.2	4.0	52.6	74.1

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 180 results

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 180 results

BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
NYM	MIL	LAD
PHI	PIT	SDP
WSN	STL	SFG