Cy Young Award Projections


About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

  • Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
  • FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W
Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
Season StatsProjected Stats
#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
1Tarik Skubal86.08229.2%4.8%2.202.442.73.139.859.5178.014728.9%5.4%2.682.705.15.370.4106.1
2Corbin Burnes92.18224.2%6.5%2.153.132.33.141.055.0203.115725.0%6.9%2.883.244.55.172.2100.6
3Tanner Houck91.07524.5%4.1%2.082.213.23.340.463.6185.0131024.0%5.7%2.972.884.84.862.796.0
4Garrett Crochet82.16535.7%5.8%3.182.712.62.229.746.0163.112933.5%7.3%3.202.964.53.957.685.5
5Logan Gilbert98.04424.9%5.3%2.943.361.92.630.342.8203.010924.2%5.6%3.233.493.54.358.080.8
6George Kirby86.06524.0%2.6%3.552.982.11.623.438.0189.0131023.4%3.1%3.473.184.13.352.580.2
7Cole Ragans86.04429.1%7.4%3.142.632.52.427.245.1177.010927.2%8.2%3.413.064.14.251.579.8
8Luis Castillo89.06725.2%6.6%3.333.571.61.726.736.0194.0131325.2%6.8%3.383.553.53.557.177.7
9Luis Gil80.09130.4%12.3%2.033.062.03.140.653.4151.013429.6%12.0%2.863.463.14.058.876.2
10Jack Flaherty77.14433.3%3.7%3.032.622.22.026.642.7170.191029.0%6.1%3.493.203.63.348.272.8
#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
Season StatsProjected Stats
#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
1Tarik Skubal86.08229.2%4.8%2.202.442.73.139.859.5178.014728.9%5.4%2.682.705.15.370.4106.1
2Corbin Burnes92.18224.2%6.5%2.153.132.33.141.055.0203.115725.0%6.9%2.883.244.55.172.2100.6
3Tanner Houck91.07524.5%4.1%2.082.213.23.340.463.6185.0131024.0%5.7%2.972.884.84.862.796.0
4Garrett Crochet82.16535.7%5.8%3.182.712.62.229.746.0163.112933.5%7.3%3.202.964.53.957.685.5
5Logan Gilbert98.04424.9%5.3%2.943.361.92.630.342.8203.010924.2%5.6%3.233.493.54.358.080.8
6George Kirby86.06524.0%2.6%3.552.982.11.623.438.0189.0131023.4%3.1%3.473.184.13.352.580.2
7Cole Ragans86.04429.1%7.4%3.142.632.52.427.245.1177.010927.2%8.2%3.413.064.14.251.579.8
8Luis Castillo89.06725.2%6.6%3.333.571.61.726.736.0194.0131325.2%6.8%3.383.553.53.557.177.7
9Luis Gil80.09130.4%12.3%2.033.062.03.140.653.4151.013429.6%12.0%2.863.463.14.058.876.2
10Jack Flaherty77.14433.3%3.7%3.032.622.22.026.642.7170.191029.0%6.1%3.493.203.63.348.272.8
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National League

#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
Season StatsProjected Stats
#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
1Tyler Glasnow93.07534.7%6.9%3.002.672.62.735.053.9186.015933.1%7.2%3.102.874.74.868.4102.2
2Chris Sale81.19230.7%4.0%2.992.342.62.532.552.0175.116630.4%5.1%3.132.774.74.764.097.6
3Logan Webb92.06520.7%5.3%3.032.742.22.228.846.9204.0141020.8%5.2%3.172.944.34.561.597.0
4Ranger Suárez86.010127.5%5.7%1.782.592.73.845.163.4179.016624.4%6.8%2.713.134.35.669.296.5
5Zack Wheeler92.08426.8%7.9%2.843.492.02.634.945.2202.015925.9%7.2%3.213.404.54.865.389.9
6Shota Imanaga76.07125.8%3.6%1.892.772.22.736.851.4170.013525.4%4.9%2.863.134.04.461.687.5
7Sonny Gray68.18433.0%7.2%3.042.552.01.428.243.0167.115927.7%7.4%3.233.123.73.457.783.4
8Max Fried78.16322.4%7.7%3.223.391.41.924.133.7182.114822.4%7.1%3.313.383.24.154.877.5
9Reynaldo López69.04225.8%8.1%1.692.831.93.132.545.3153.010625.3%8.4%2.823.343.04.454.474.2
10Dylan Cease86.16629.9%7.3%3.973.331.81.121.732.9181.1121129.4%8.3%3.733.433.52.849.671.2
#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
Season StatsProjected Stats
#NameIPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
IPWLK%BB%ERAFIPWARRA9-
WAR
CYPFIP
CYP
1Tyler Glasnow93.07534.7%6.9%3.002.672.62.735.053.9186.015933.1%7.2%3.102.874.74.868.4102.2
2Chris Sale81.19230.7%4.0%2.992.342.62.532.552.0175.116630.4%5.1%3.132.774.74.764.097.6
3Logan Webb92.06520.7%5.3%3.032.742.22.228.846.9204.0141020.8%5.2%3.172.944.34.561.597.0
4Ranger Suárez86.010127.5%5.7%1.782.592.73.845.163.4179.016624.4%6.8%2.713.134.35.669.296.5
5Zack Wheeler92.08426.8%7.9%2.843.492.02.634.945.2202.015925.9%7.2%3.213.404.54.865.389.9
6Shota Imanaga76.07125.8%3.6%1.892.772.22.736.851.4170.013525.4%4.9%2.863.134.04.461.687.5
7Sonny Gray68.18433.0%7.2%3.042.552.01.428.243.0167.115927.7%7.4%3.233.123.73.457.783.4
8Max Fried78.16322.4%7.7%3.223.391.41.924.133.7182.114822.4%7.1%3.313.383.24.154.877.5
9Reynaldo López69.04225.8%8.1%1.692.831.93.132.545.3153.010625.3%8.4%2.823.343.04.454.474.2
10Dylan Cease86.16629.9%7.3%3.973.331.81.121.732.9181.1121129.4%8.3%3.733.433.52.849.671.2
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