Cy Young Award Projections
About the Cy Young Award Projections:
These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)
- Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
- FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W
Data Export [Members Only]
American League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Cam Schlittler | 178.2 | 13 | 6 | 31.4% | 6.0% | 2.01 | 2.60 | 5.7 | 7.1 | 84.3 | 122.1 | 197.2 | 14 | 7 | 31.0% | 6.1% | 2.14 | 2.71 | 6.1 | 7.4 | 90.0 | 129.5 |
| 2 | Dylan Cease | 161.1 | 10 | 5 | 35.2% | 10.4% | 2.40 | 2.47 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 70.4 | 106.8 | 179.1 | 11 | 6 | 34.9% | 10.3% | 2.51 | 2.57 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 75.8 | 114.3 |
| 3 | Parker Messick | 167.0 | 11 | 9 | 26.1% | 6.8% | 2.53 | 3.11 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 64.8 | 90.6 | 184.0 | 12 | 10 | 25.9% | 6.8% | 2.64 | 3.21 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 69.0 | 95.5 |
| 4 | Drew Rasmussen | 153.1 | 14 | 5 | 26.1% | 4.5% | 2.88 | 2.91 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 57.3 | 84.4 | 171.1 | 15 | 6 | 25.9% | 4.6% | 2.94 | 3.00 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 62.1 | 90.6 |
| 5 | Sonny Gray | 150.2 | 17 | 4 | 22.1% | 6.5% | 2.69 | 3.49 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 60.8 | 77.7 | 167.2 | 18 | 5 | 22.3% | 6.6% | 2.79 | 3.55 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 65.0 | 82.7 |
| 6 | Reid Detmers | 168.0 | 5 | 8 | 28.4% | 6.7% | 3.32 | 3.03 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 46.1 | 73.6 | 186.0 | 6 | 9 | 28.3% | 6.8% | 3.39 | 3.10 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 50.2 | 79.1 |
| 7 | Gavin Williams | 169.0 | 13 | 7 | 33.5% | 7.8% | 3.78 | 3.48 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 49.3 | 68.4 | 186.0 | 14 | 8 | 32.9% | 7.8% | 3.77 | 3.53 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 53.8 | 73.9 |
| 8 | Payton Tolle | 137.0 | 9 | 6 | 28.9% | 6.7% | 3.15 | 3.09 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 45.4 | 66.8 | 152.0 | 10 | 7 | 28.6% | 6.8% | 3.20 | 3.20 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 49.6 | 71.5 |
| 9 | Jacob deGrom | 143.1 | 10 | 9 | 29.9% | 6.5% | 3.96 | 3.18 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 36.1 | 57.0 | 161.1 | 11 | 10 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 3.90 | 3.21 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 41.2 | 64.3 |
| 10 | Louis Varland | 71.1 | 5 | 5 | 31.0% | 7.5% | 1.26 | 1.90 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 39.4 | 60.0 | 78.1 | 5 | 5 | 30.5% | 7.5% | 1.38 | 2.11 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 41.6 | 62.3 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Cam Schlittler | 178.2 | 13 | 6 | 31.4% | 6.0% | 2.01 | 2.60 | 5.7 | 7.1 | 84.3 | 122.1 | 197.2 | 14 | 7 | 31.0% | 6.1% | 2.14 | 2.71 | 6.1 | 7.4 | 90.0 | 129.5 |
| 2 | Dylan Cease | 161.1 | 10 | 5 | 35.2% | 10.4% | 2.40 | 2.47 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 70.4 | 106.8 | 179.1 | 11 | 6 | 34.9% | 10.3% | 2.51 | 2.57 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 75.8 | 114.3 |
| 3 | Parker Messick | 167.0 | 11 | 9 | 26.1% | 6.8% | 2.53 | 3.11 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 64.8 | 90.6 | 184.0 | 12 | 10 | 25.9% | 6.8% | 2.64 | 3.21 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 69.0 | 95.5 |
| 4 | Drew Rasmussen | 153.1 | 14 | 5 | 26.1% | 4.5% | 2.88 | 2.91 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 57.3 | 84.4 | 171.1 | 15 | 6 | 25.9% | 4.6% | 2.94 | 3.00 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 62.1 | 90.6 |
| 5 | Sonny Gray | 150.2 | 17 | 4 | 22.1% | 6.5% | 2.69 | 3.49 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 60.8 | 77.7 | 167.2 | 18 | 5 | 22.3% | 6.6% | 2.79 | 3.55 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 65.0 | 82.7 |
| 6 | Reid Detmers | 168.0 | 5 | 8 | 28.4% | 6.7% | 3.32 | 3.03 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 46.1 | 73.6 | 186.0 | 6 | 9 | 28.3% | 6.8% | 3.39 | 3.10 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 50.2 | 79.1 |
| 7 | Gavin Williams | 169.0 | 13 | 7 | 33.5% | 7.8% | 3.78 | 3.48 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 49.3 | 68.4 | 186.0 | 14 | 8 | 32.9% | 7.8% | 3.77 | 3.53 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 53.8 | 73.9 |
| 8 | Payton Tolle | 137.0 | 9 | 6 | 28.9% | 6.7% | 3.15 | 3.09 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 45.4 | 66.8 | 152.0 | 10 | 7 | 28.6% | 6.8% | 3.20 | 3.20 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 49.6 | 71.5 |
| 9 | Jacob deGrom | 143.1 | 10 | 9 | 29.9% | 6.5% | 3.96 | 3.18 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 36.1 | 57.0 | 161.1 | 11 | 10 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 3.90 | 3.21 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 41.2 | 64.3 |
| 10 | Louis Varland | 71.1 | 5 | 5 | 31.0% | 7.5% | 1.26 | 1.90 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 39.4 | 60.0 | 78.1 | 5 | 5 | 30.5% | 7.5% | 1.38 | 2.11 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 41.6 | 62.3 |
of 17
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 163 results
of 17
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 163 results
National League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Jacob Misiorowski | 161.1 | 14 | 5 | 38.3% | 6.7% | 1.95 | 2.22 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 83.3 | 124.1 | 178.1 | 15 | 6 | 37.8% | 6.9% | 2.07 | 2.36 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 89.1 | 131.6 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | 181.1 | 16 | 5 | 27.5% | 5.6% | 2.58 | 2.59 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 75.4 | 113.8 | 202.1 | 17 | 6 | 27.3% | 5.6% | 2.62 | 2.69 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 82.1 | 122.9 |
| 3 | Chris Sale | 150.0 | 14 | 9 | 30.6% | 4.8% | 2.10 | 2.26 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 72.4 | 109.7 | 169.0 | 16 | 10 | 30.6% | 5.0% | 2.18 | 2.37 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 80.3 | 120.3 |
| 4 | Jesús Luzardo | 178.2 | 14 | 5 | 30.4% | 7.2% | 2.87 | 2.77 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 68.4 | 102.8 | 198.2 | 15 | 6 | 30.2% | 7.2% | 2.94 | 2.84 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 73.8 | 110.5 |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 165.0 | 12 | 8 | 25.4% | 6.0% | 2.67 | 3.36 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 61.6 | 82.5 | 185.0 | 13 | 9 | 25.5% | 6.0% | 2.77 | 3.38 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 66.7 | 89.6 |
| 6 | Chase Burns | 148.1 | 15 | 3 | 29.2% | 8.5% | 2.73 | 3.09 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 61.8 | 85.1 | 160.1 | 16 | 4 | 29.2% | 8.4% | 2.81 | 3.18 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 65.3 | 88.8 |
| 7 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 173.0 | 15 | 5 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 2.55 | 3.75 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 65.3 | 79.8 | 190.0 | 16 | 6 | 18.1% | 8.0% | 2.70 | 3.81 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 68.2 | 82.7 |
| 8 | Cade Cavalli | 158.2 | 12 | 5 | 27.9% | 6.9% | 3.12 | 3.29 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 54.8 | 76.2 | 173.2 | 13 | 6 | 27.5% | 7.0% | 3.16 | 3.39 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 58.8 | 80.2 |
| 9 | Nolan McLean | 161.2 | 11 | 8 | 26.7% | 9.7% | 3.06 | 3.57 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 54.7 | 71.5 | 179.2 | 12 | 9 | 26.4% | 9.7% | 3.11 | 3.64 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 59.5 | 76.7 |
| 10 | Paul Skenes | 155.0 | 10 | 11 | 28.3% | 7.0% | 3.83 | 3.08 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 39.6 | 64.1 | 173.0 | 11 | 12 | 28.3% | 7.0% | 3.75 | 3.14 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 45.7 | 71.9 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Jacob Misiorowski | 161.1 | 14 | 5 | 38.3% | 6.7% | 1.95 | 2.22 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 83.3 | 124.1 | 178.1 | 15 | 6 | 37.8% | 6.9% | 2.07 | 2.36 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 89.1 | 131.6 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | 181.1 | 16 | 5 | 27.5% | 5.6% | 2.58 | 2.59 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 75.4 | 113.8 | 202.1 | 17 | 6 | 27.3% | 5.6% | 2.62 | 2.69 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 82.1 | 122.9 |
| 3 | Chris Sale | 150.0 | 14 | 9 | 30.6% | 4.8% | 2.10 | 2.26 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 72.4 | 109.7 | 169.0 | 16 | 10 | 30.6% | 5.0% | 2.18 | 2.37 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 80.3 | 120.3 |
| 4 | Jesús Luzardo | 178.2 | 14 | 5 | 30.4% | 7.2% | 2.87 | 2.77 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 68.4 | 102.8 | 198.2 | 15 | 6 | 30.2% | 7.2% | 2.94 | 2.84 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 73.8 | 110.5 |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 165.0 | 12 | 8 | 25.4% | 6.0% | 2.67 | 3.36 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 61.6 | 82.5 | 185.0 | 13 | 9 | 25.5% | 6.0% | 2.77 | 3.38 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 66.7 | 89.6 |
| 6 | Chase Burns | 148.1 | 15 | 3 | 29.2% | 8.5% | 2.73 | 3.09 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 61.8 | 85.1 | 160.1 | 16 | 4 | 29.2% | 8.4% | 2.81 | 3.18 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 65.3 | 88.8 |
| 7 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 173.0 | 15 | 5 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 2.55 | 3.75 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 65.3 | 79.8 | 190.0 | 16 | 6 | 18.1% | 8.0% | 2.70 | 3.81 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 68.2 | 82.7 |
| 8 | Cade Cavalli | 158.2 | 12 | 5 | 27.9% | 6.9% | 3.12 | 3.29 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 54.8 | 76.2 | 173.2 | 13 | 6 | 27.5% | 7.0% | 3.16 | 3.39 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 58.8 | 80.2 |
| 9 | Nolan McLean | 161.2 | 11 | 8 | 26.7% | 9.7% | 3.06 | 3.57 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 54.7 | 71.5 | 179.2 | 12 | 9 | 26.4% | 9.7% | 3.11 | 3.64 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 59.5 | 76.7 |
| 10 | Paul Skenes | 155.0 | 10 | 11 | 28.3% | 7.0% | 3.83 | 3.08 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 39.6 | 64.1 | 173.0 | 11 | 12 | 28.3% | 7.0% | 3.75 | 3.14 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 45.7 | 71.9 |
of 16
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 154 results
of 16
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 154 results
