Cy Young Award Projections

Projection System

About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W

Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cam Schlittler	184.2	14	6	31.6%	6.1%	1.95	2.57	5.9	7.5	89.1	128.8	195.2	15	6	31.3%	6.2%	2.02	2.63	6.2	7.7	92.9	133.6
2	Dylan Cease	166.1	11	5	35.3%	10.8%	2.38	2.47	5.6	5.7	73.8	111.2	178.1	12	5	35.1%	10.7%	2.42	2.53	5.9	5.9	78.4	117.4
3	Parker Messick	172.1	11	9	26.0%	6.9%	2.51	3.11	4.5	6.1	67.0	93.6	183.1	12	9	25.8%	6.8%	2.60	3.16	4.7	6.3	69.6	96.8
4	Drew Rasmussen	160.1	14	5	25.6%	4.3%	2.81	2.87	4.6	5.2	60.2	89.1	171.1	15	5	25.5%	4.5%	2.89	2.93	4.8	5.4	62.8	92.7
5	Sonny Gray	156.2	17	5	22.0%	6.6%	2.76	3.46	3.2	5.6	61.3	79.5	166.2	18	5	21.9%	6.6%	2.86	3.50	3.3	5.7	63.2	81.8
6	Reid Detmers	174.0	6	8	28.6%	6.6%	3.36	3.04	4.6	4.3	47.9	76.2	185.0	6	9	28.5%	6.6%	3.41	3.14	4.8	4.5	49.7	77.6
7	Payton Tolle	143.0	9	6	28.9%	6.6%	3.02	3.04	4.0	4.2	49.1	72.2	153.0	10	6	28.6%	6.6%	3.06	3.08	4.2	4.4	52.2	76.3
8	Gavin Williams	174.0	13	8	33.3%	7.9%	3.78	3.48	3.4	3.2	50.5	70.1	186.0	14	8	33.0%	8.0%	3.77	3.50	3.6	3.5	53.9	74.7
9	Jacob deGrom	154.1	11	9	31.2%	6.3%	3.79	3.05	4.2	3.3	42.6	67.5	165.1	12	9	30.9%	6.3%	3.76	3.07	4.5	3.5	46.3	72.5
10	Bryan Woo	162.1	12	9	24.8%	5.3%	3.88	3.31	3.7	2.1	39.5	61.0	174.1	13	9	24.8%	5.4%	3.87	3.34	4.0	2.3	42.7	65.2

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cam Schlittler	184.2	14	6	31.6%	6.1%	1.95	2.57	5.9	7.5	89.1	128.8	195.2	15	6	31.3%	6.2%	2.02	2.63	6.2	7.7	92.9	133.6
2	Dylan Cease	166.1	11	5	35.3%	10.8%	2.38	2.47	5.6	5.7	73.8	111.2	178.1	12	5	35.1%	10.7%	2.42	2.53	5.9	5.9	78.4	117.4
3	Parker Messick	172.1	11	9	26.0%	6.9%	2.51	3.11	4.5	6.1	67.0	93.6	183.1	12	9	25.8%	6.8%	2.60	3.16	4.7	6.3	69.6	96.8
4	Drew Rasmussen	160.1	14	5	25.6%	4.3%	2.81	2.87	4.6	5.2	60.2	89.1	171.1	15	5	25.5%	4.5%	2.89	2.93	4.8	5.4	62.8	92.7
5	Sonny Gray	156.2	17	5	22.0%	6.6%	2.76	3.46	3.2	5.6	61.3	79.5	166.2	18	5	21.9%	6.6%	2.86	3.50	3.3	5.7	63.2	81.8
6	Reid Detmers	174.0	6	8	28.6%	6.6%	3.36	3.04	4.6	4.3	47.9	76.2	185.0	6	9	28.5%	6.6%	3.41	3.14	4.8	4.5	49.7	77.6
7	Payton Tolle	143.0	9	6	28.9%	6.6%	3.02	3.04	4.0	4.2	49.1	72.2	153.0	10	6	28.6%	6.6%	3.06	3.08	4.2	4.4	52.2	76.3
8	Gavin Williams	174.0	13	8	33.3%	7.9%	3.78	3.48	3.4	3.2	50.5	70.1	186.0	14	8	33.0%	8.0%	3.77	3.50	3.6	3.5	53.9	74.7
9	Jacob deGrom	154.1	11	9	31.2%	6.3%	3.79	3.05	4.2	3.3	42.6	67.5	165.1	12	9	30.9%	6.3%	3.76	3.07	4.5	3.5	46.3	72.5
10	Bryan Woo	162.1	12	9	24.8%	5.3%	3.88	3.31	3.7	2.1	39.5	61.0	174.1	13	9	24.8%	5.4%	3.87	3.34	4.0	2.3	42.7	65.2

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 158 results

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 158 results

National League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Jacob Misiorowski	166.1	15	5	38.2%	6.6%	1.89	2.19	6.3	6.8	87.5	130.1	177.1	16	5	37.9%	6.8%	1.98	2.27	6.6	7.1	91.5	135.4
2	Chris Sale	157.0	14	9	30.3%	4.9%	2.18	2.28	5.7	6.2	73.5	112.2	169.0	15	9	30.2%	5.0%	2.24	2.36	6.0	6.4	77.9	118.1
3	Cristopher Sánchez	193.2	17	6	26.7%	5.5%	2.93	2.79	5.8	5.9	72.3	109.0	204.2	18	6	26.5%	5.5%	2.95	2.85	6.1	6.1	75.9	113.5
4	Jesús Luzardo	178.2	14	5	30.4%	7.2%	2.87	2.77	5.5	5.3	68.4	102.7	190.2	15	5	30.2%	7.2%	2.88	2.83	5.9	5.5	72.7	108.2
5	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	179.0	14	8	26.1%	6.0%	2.51	3.28	4.7	6.8	71.3	95.6	191.0	15	8	26.1%	6.0%	2.54	3.29	5.0	7.2	75.5	101.1
6	Chase Burns	151.1	15	3	29.4%	8.8%	2.80	3.17	4.4	4.7	61.8	84.1	162.1	16	3	29.2%	8.8%	2.88	3.29	4.5	4.9	64.5	86.3
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	178.1	15	6	18.3%	7.9%	2.62	3.74	3.2	5.8	65.7	80.6	190.1	16	6	18.3%	7.9%	2.74	3.84	3.4	5.8	67.6	81.4
8	Cade Cavalli	164.2	12	5	28.2%	7.0%	3.12	3.33	3.7	3.7	56.7	78.1	175.2	12	6	28.0%	7.1%	3.18	3.39	3.9	3.9	58.3	80.1
9	Nolan McLean	166.2	11	9	26.5%	9.5%	3.24	3.68	3.1	3.1	52.7	68.0	177.2	12	9	26.2%	9.4%	3.29	3.71	3.3	3.3	55.3	70.9
10	Zack Wheeler	143.1	12	5	30.0%	7.8%	3.14	3.54	3.3	4.3	50.9	66.2	155.1	13	5	29.7%	7.9%	3.19	3.53	3.5	4.6	54.2	70.8

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Jacob Misiorowski	166.1	15	5	38.2%	6.6%	1.89	2.19	6.3	6.8	87.5	130.1	177.1	16	5	37.9%	6.8%	1.98	2.27	6.6	7.1	91.5	135.4
2	Chris Sale	157.0	14	9	30.3%	4.9%	2.18	2.28	5.7	6.2	73.5	112.2	169.0	15	9	30.2%	5.0%	2.24	2.36	6.0	6.4	77.9	118.1
3	Cristopher Sánchez	193.2	17	6	26.7%	5.5%	2.93	2.79	5.8	5.9	72.3	109.0	204.2	18	6	26.5%	5.5%	2.95	2.85	6.1	6.1	75.9	113.5
4	Jesús Luzardo	178.2	14	5	30.4%	7.2%	2.87	2.77	5.5	5.3	68.4	102.7	190.2	15	5	30.2%	7.2%	2.88	2.83	5.9	5.5	72.7	108.2
5	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	179.0	14	8	26.1%	6.0%	2.51	3.28	4.7	6.8	71.3	95.6	191.0	15	8	26.1%	6.0%	2.54	3.29	5.0	7.2	75.5	101.1
6	Chase Burns	151.1	15	3	29.4%	8.8%	2.80	3.17	4.4	4.7	61.8	84.1	162.1	16	3	29.2%	8.8%	2.88	3.29	4.5	4.9	64.5	86.3
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	178.1	15	6	18.3%	7.9%	2.62	3.74	3.2	5.8	65.7	80.6	190.1	16	6	18.3%	7.9%	2.74	3.84	3.4	5.8	67.6	81.4
8	Cade Cavalli	164.2	12	5	28.2%	7.0%	3.12	3.33	3.7	3.7	56.7	78.1	175.2	12	6	28.0%	7.1%	3.18	3.39	3.9	3.9	58.3	80.1
9	Nolan McLean	166.2	11	9	26.5%	9.5%	3.24	3.68	3.1	3.1	52.7	68.0	177.2	12	9	26.2%	9.4%	3.29	3.71	3.3	3.3	55.3	70.9
10	Zack Wheeler	143.1	12	5	30.0%	7.8%	3.14	3.54	3.3	4.3	50.9	66.2	155.1	13	5	29.7%	7.9%	3.19	3.53	3.5	4.6	54.2	70.8

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 151 results

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 151 results

BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
NYM	MIL	LAD
PHI	PIT	SDP
WSN	STL	SFG