Cy Young Award Projections

Projection System

About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W

Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	145.1	11	3	33.8%	3.8%	2.35	2.13	5.5	5.5	64.4	102.7	194.1	15	5	33.0%	4.0%	2.41	2.25	7.3	7.0	84.8	133.4
2	Garrett Crochet	152.1	13	5	30.8%	6.5%	2.48	2.54	4.9	5.4	66.0	99.1	192.1	16	6	30.8%	6.7%	2.57	2.57	6.2	6.6	81.1	122.2
3	Hunter Brown	143.0	10	5	29.4%	7.7%	2.45	2.92	4.0	5.3	58.9	84.1	190.0	13	7	28.6%	7.8%	2.70	3.11	5.0	6.2	72.5	101.9
4	Framber Valdez	145.2	11	5	24.4%	8.2%	2.97	2.97	3.8	4.3	50.3	75.1	197.2	15	7	24.0%	8.3%	3.01	3.15	4.9	5.5	67.2	97.0
5	Nathan Eovaldi	116.0	10	3	25.6%	4.7%	1.71	2.77	3.3	5.1	57.4	79.7	159.0	13	5	24.9%	5.0%	2.26	3.03	4.2	5.8	68.0	93.9
6	Max Fried	144.0	12	5	22.8%	6.1%	2.94	3.17	3.3	2.9	50.5	71.8	193.0	16	7	22.6%	6.2%	3.03	3.24	4.4	3.9	65.5	92.4
7	Joe Ryan	139.0	12	5	28.2%	5.0%	2.72	3.23	3.4	4.4	54.8	74.5	184.0	15	7	28.0%	5.1%	2.93	3.35	4.4	5.2	67.3	90.9
8	Jacob deGrom	135.1	10	5	27.2%	5.7%	2.86	3.53	2.8	4.2	49.0	63.5	172.1	12	7	27.6%	5.6%	3.03	3.53	3.7	4.9	58.8	77.3
9	Drew Rasmussen	117.2	10	5	22.5%	5.5%	2.60	3.33	2.7	4.1	45.0	60.3	155.2	13	7	22.5%	5.6%	2.78	3.33	3.6	4.8	56.5	76.8
10	Bryan Woo	146.0	10	6	25.3%	4.5%	3.08	3.68	2.6	3.4	47.5	60.8	187.0	12	8	25.1%	4.6%	3.22	3.68	3.4	3.9	57.1	74.1

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	145.1	11	3	33.8%	3.8%	2.35	2.13	5.5	5.5	64.4	102.7	194.1	15	5	33.0%	4.0%	2.41	2.25	7.3	7.0	84.8	133.4
2	Garrett Crochet	152.1	13	5	30.8%	6.5%	2.48	2.54	4.9	5.4	66.0	99.1	192.1	16	6	30.8%	6.7%	2.57	2.57	6.2	6.6	81.1	122.2
3	Hunter Brown	143.0	10	5	29.4%	7.7%	2.45	2.92	4.0	5.3	58.9	84.1	190.0	13	7	28.6%	7.8%	2.70	3.11	5.0	6.2	72.5	101.9
4	Framber Valdez	145.2	11	5	24.4%	8.2%	2.97	2.97	3.8	4.3	50.3	75.1	197.2	15	7	24.0%	8.3%	3.01	3.15	4.9	5.5	67.2	97.0
5	Nathan Eovaldi	116.0	10	3	25.6%	4.7%	1.71	2.77	3.3	5.1	57.4	79.7	159.0	13	5	24.9%	5.0%	2.26	3.03	4.2	5.8	68.0	93.9
6	Max Fried	144.0	12	5	22.8%	6.1%	2.94	3.17	3.3	2.9	50.5	71.8	193.0	16	7	22.6%	6.2%	3.03	3.24	4.4	3.9	65.5	92.4
7	Joe Ryan	139.0	12	5	28.2%	5.0%	2.72	3.23	3.4	4.4	54.8	74.5	184.0	15	7	28.0%	5.1%	2.93	3.35	4.4	5.2	67.3	90.9
8	Jacob deGrom	135.1	10	5	27.2%	5.7%	2.86	3.53	2.8	4.2	49.0	63.5	172.1	12	7	27.6%	5.6%	3.03	3.53	3.7	4.9	58.8	77.3
9	Drew Rasmussen	117.2	10	5	22.5%	5.5%	2.60	3.33	2.7	4.1	45.0	60.3	155.2	13	7	22.5%	5.6%	2.78	3.33	3.6	4.8	56.5	76.8
10	Bryan Woo	146.0	10	6	25.3%	4.5%	3.08	3.68	2.6	3.4	47.5	60.8	187.0	12	8	25.1%	4.6%	3.22	3.68	3.4	3.9	57.1	74.1

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 173 results

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 173 results

National League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Paul Skenes	148.0	7	9	28.6%	6.2%	2.13	2.51	4.7	6.1	62.6	95.3	189.0	10	11	28.6%	6.3%	2.33	2.65	5.8	7.2	76.9	115.7
2	Cristopher Sánchez	150.2	11	4	25.8%	5.9%	2.45	2.73	4.3	5.7	61.0	90.7	200.2	14	6	25.0%	5.9%	2.69	2.94	5.4	6.8	74.7	109.5
3	Zack Wheeler	144.2	10	5	33.5%	5.5%	2.68	2.92	4.0	5.0	58.2	83.6	196.2	14	7	32.1%	5.7%	2.84	3.04	5.3	6.3	75.2	107.0
4	Logan Webb	153.2	10	9	26.2%	5.5%	3.34	2.62	4.0	3.1	46.6	78.8	204.2	14	11	25.3%	5.4%	3.25	2.77	5.2	4.3	63.8	103.3
5	Matthew Boyd	135.2	11	5	22.6%	5.4%	2.45	3.13	3.4	4.5	53.9	74.5	180.2	14	7	22.7%	5.7%	2.74	3.23	4.4	5.4	65.7	91.3
6	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	126.2	10	8	28.3%	8.6%	2.84	3.06	3.4	3.7	47.8	68.0	171.2	14	10	28.0%	8.1%	2.99	3.17	4.5	4.6	62.2	87.7
7	Nick Pivetta	141.1	12	4	25.9%	6.5%	2.87	3.26	3.3	4.0	52.1	71.5	188.1	15	6	26.3%	6.6%	3.06	3.43	4.2	4.8	64.8	87.1
8	Freddy Peralta	136.2	14	5	26.1%	8.8%	2.90	3.74	2.6	4.2	53.1	64.7	179.2	17	7	26.3%	8.9%	3.11	3.85	3.3	4.9	64.4	77.5
9	Robbie Ray	148.0	9	6	25.3%	9.3%	2.98	3.73	2.0	3.9	49.2	61.9	190.0	12	8	25.3%	9.1%	3.17	3.83	2.5	4.6	59.7	73.7
10	Sonny Gray	135.1	11	5	26.8%	4.0%	4.06	3.11	3.2	1.7	32.5	53.3	180.1	14	7	26.6%	4.3%	3.94	3.27	4.0	2.4	44.8	69.5

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Paul Skenes	148.0	7	9	28.6%	6.2%	2.13	2.51	4.7	6.1	62.6	95.3	189.0	10	11	28.6%	6.3%	2.33	2.65	5.8	7.2	76.9	115.7
2	Cristopher Sánchez	150.2	11	4	25.8%	5.9%	2.45	2.73	4.3	5.7	61.0	90.7	200.2	14	6	25.0%	5.9%	2.69	2.94	5.4	6.8	74.7	109.5
3	Zack Wheeler	144.2	10	5	33.5%	5.5%	2.68	2.92	4.0	5.0	58.2	83.6	196.2	14	7	32.1%	5.7%	2.84	3.04	5.3	6.3	75.2	107.0
4	Logan Webb	153.2	10	9	26.2%	5.5%	3.34	2.62	4.0	3.1	46.6	78.8	204.2	14	11	25.3%	5.4%	3.25	2.77	5.2	4.3	63.8	103.3
5	Matthew Boyd	135.2	11	5	22.6%	5.4%	2.45	3.13	3.4	4.5	53.9	74.5	180.2	14	7	22.7%	5.7%	2.74	3.23	4.4	5.4	65.7	91.3
6	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	126.2	10	8	28.3%	8.6%	2.84	3.06	3.4	3.7	47.8	68.0	171.2	14	10	28.0%	8.1%	2.99	3.17	4.5	4.6	62.2	87.7
7	Nick Pivetta	141.1	12	4	25.9%	6.5%	2.87	3.26	3.3	4.0	52.1	71.5	188.1	15	6	26.3%	6.6%	3.06	3.43	4.2	4.8	64.8	87.1
8	Freddy Peralta	136.2	14	5	26.1%	8.8%	2.90	3.74	2.6	4.2	53.1	64.7	179.2	17	7	26.3%	8.9%	3.11	3.85	3.3	4.9	64.4	77.5
9	Robbie Ray	148.0	9	6	25.3%	9.3%	2.98	3.73	2.0	3.9	49.2	61.9	190.0	12	8	25.3%	9.1%	3.17	3.83	2.5	4.6	59.7	73.7
10	Sonny Gray	135.1	11	5	26.8%	4.0%	4.06	3.11	3.2	1.7	32.5	53.3	180.1	14	7	26.6%	4.3%	3.94	3.27	4.0	2.4	44.8	69.5

of 17

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 163 results

of 17

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 163 results

BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
NYM	MIL	LAD
PHI	PIT	SDP
WSN	STL	SFG