Red Sox » Win Probability » Wednesday, September 3, 2025 | FanGraphs Baseball

Pitcher	Player	Outs	Base	Score	Inning - Bottom 9	LI	WE
E Sabrowski	C Rafaela	0	___	1-8	Ceddanne Rafaela lines out to center fielder Angel Martínez.	0.04	0.0%
E Sabrowski	N Sogard	1	___	1-8	Nick Sogard lines out sharply to left fielder Steven Kwan.	0.02	0.0%
E Sabrowski	A Sanchez	2	___	1-8	Ali Sánchez strikes out swinging.	0.00	0.0%

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
J Cantillo	6.0	5	0	1	2	7	0.43	.122
J Junis	1.2	2	0	0	0	2	0.17	.016
E Sabrowski	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	.003
Total	9.0	7	0	1	2	10	0.34	.140

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
Z Kelly	4.0	2	0	0	0	4	0.10	.028
D May	3.0	3	0	1	2	1	0.05	.001
B Bernardino	0.2	1	0	1	1	0	0.98	-.070
S Matz	1.0	1	0	1	0	0	0.55	-.093
J Hicks	0.1	4	1	4	0	1	0.79	-.226
Total	9.0	11	1	7	3	6	0.33	-.360

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
S Kwan	5	2	3	0	1	0	1	0.53	.129
A Martinez	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.44	-.042
J Ramirez	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	0.44	.049
K Manzardo	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.19	.015
J Noel	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	-.029
B Naylor	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0.26	.051
G Arias	3	1	1	1	2	0	2	0.43	.111
G Valera	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.06	.003
D Schneemann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C Kayfus	3	1	2	0	1	0	0	0.18	.041
B Rocchio	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.25	.030
Total	36	8	11	1	6	3	6	0.33	.360

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
N Eaton	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.51	-.025
N Lowe	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.34	-.010
A Bregman	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.38	-.040
T Story	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	-.022
D Hamilton	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	-.003
R Gonzalez	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	0.25	.001
R Refsnyder	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	0.28	.026
J Duran	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.36	-.009
C Rafaela	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.44	-.041
N Sogard	4	0	1	0	1	0	1	0.34	.000
C Wong	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	0.40	-.020
A Sanchez	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	.000
Total	34	1	7	0	1	2	10	0.34	-.140

Stars of the Game Vote See Results
Select 3 Star Player Brennan Bernardino (P / BOS) Alex Bregman (DH / BOS) Jarren Duran (LF / BOS) Nate Eaton (3B / BOS) Romy Gonzalez (1B-2B / BOS) David Hamilton (PH-SS / BOS) Jordan Hicks (P / BOS) Zack Kelly (P / BOS) Nathaniel Lowe (PH-1B / BOS) Steven Matz (P / BOS) Dustin May (P / BOS) Ceddanne Rafaela (CF / BOS) Rob Refsnyder (RF / BOS) Ali Sanchez (C / BOS) Nick Sogard (2B-3B / BOS) Trevor Story (SS / BOS) Connor Wong (C / BOS) Gabriel Arias (SS / CLE) Joey Cantillo (P / CLE) Jakob Junis (P / CLE) Collin Kayfus (1B / CLE) Steven Kwan (LF / CLE) Kyle Manzardo (DH / CLE) Angel Martinez (CF / CLE) Bo Naylor (C / CLE) Jhonkensy Noel (RF / CLE) Jose Ramirez (3B / CLE) Brayan Rocchio (2B-SS / CLE) Erik Sabrowski (P / CLE) Daniel Schneemann (2B / CLE) George Valera (PH / CLE)
Select 2 Star Player Brennan Bernardino (P / BOS) Alex Bregman (DH / BOS) Jarren Duran (LF / BOS) Nate Eaton (3B / BOS) Romy Gonzalez (1B-2B / BOS) David Hamilton (PH-SS / BOS) Jordan Hicks (P / BOS) Zack Kelly (P / BOS) Nathaniel Lowe (PH-1B / BOS) Steven Matz (P / BOS) Dustin May (P / BOS) Ceddanne Rafaela (CF / BOS) Rob Refsnyder (RF / BOS) Ali Sanchez (C / BOS) Nick Sogard (2B-3B / BOS) Trevor Story (SS / BOS) Connor Wong (C / BOS) Gabriel Arias (SS / CLE) Joey Cantillo (P / CLE) Jakob Junis (P / CLE) Collin Kayfus (1B / CLE) Steven Kwan (LF / CLE) Kyle Manzardo (DH / CLE) Angel Martinez (CF / CLE) Bo Naylor (C / CLE) Jhonkensy Noel (RF / CLE) Jose Ramirez (3B / CLE) Brayan Rocchio (2B-SS / CLE) Erik Sabrowski (P / CLE) Daniel Schneemann (2B / CLE) George Valera (PH / CLE)
Select 1 Star Player Brennan Bernardino (P / BOS) Alex Bregman (DH / BOS) Jarren Duran (LF / BOS) Nate Eaton (3B / BOS) Romy Gonzalez (1B-2B / BOS) David Hamilton (PH-SS / BOS) Jordan Hicks (P / BOS) Zack Kelly (P / BOS) Nathaniel Lowe (PH-1B / BOS) Steven Matz (P / BOS) Dustin May (P / BOS) Ceddanne Rafaela (CF / BOS) Rob Refsnyder (RF / BOS) Ali Sanchez (C / BOS) Nick Sogard (2B-3B / BOS) Trevor Story (SS / BOS) Connor Wong (C / BOS) Gabriel Arias (SS / CLE) Joey Cantillo (P / CLE) Jakob Junis (P / CLE) Collin Kayfus (1B / CLE) Steven Kwan (LF / CLE) Kyle Manzardo (DH / CLE) Angel Martinez (CF / CLE) Bo Naylor (C / CLE) Jhonkensy Noel (RF / CLE) Jose Ramirez (3B / CLE) Brayan Rocchio (2B-SS / CLE) Erik Sabrowski (P / CLE) Daniel Schneemann (2B / CLE) George Valera (PH / CLE)
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CHW (4)	100%
MIN (3)	0%
aLI: 1.45 \| aWE: .69

LAA (4)	100%
KCR (3)	0%
aLI: 1.40 \| aWE: .50

NYY (4)	2%
HOU (7)	98%
aLI: 1.29 \| aWE: .39

NYM (2)	0%
DET (6)	100%
aLI: 1.03 \| aWE: .70

CLE (8)	100%
BOS (1)	0%
aLI: 0.33 \| aWE: .09

SEA (4)	0%
TBR (9)	100%
aLI: 0.28 \| aWE: .93

SFG (10)	96%
COL (5)	4%
aLI: 1.01 \| aWE: .29

TEX (0)	0%
ARI (2)	100%
aLI: 1.00 \| aWE: .76

ATH (1)	0%
STL (5)	100%
aLI: 0.98 \| aWE: .74

LAD (0)	0%
PIT (3)	100%
aLI: 0.89 \| aWE: .77

ATL (5)	100%
CHC (1)	0%
aLI: 0.88 \| aWE: .44

TOR (13)	100%
CIN (9)	0%
aLI: 0.76 \| aWE: .38

BAL (7)	100%
SDP (5)	0%
aLI: 0.72 \| aWE: .15

MIA (5)	0%
WSN (10)	100%
aLI: 0.56 \| aWE: .89

PHI (3)	0%
MIL (6)	100%
aLI: 0.53 \| aWE: .90