Cubs » Win Probability » Friday, May 16, 2025 | FanGraphs Baseball

Pitcher	Player	Outs	Base	Score	Inning - Bottom 6	LI	WE
T Gilbert	N Hoerner	0	___	6-3	Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to left fielder Brooks Baldwin.	0.28	93.0%
T Gilbert	N Hoerner	0	1__	6-3	Nico Hoerner steals (9) 2nd base. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Nico Hoerner advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by catcher Matt Thaiss.	0.43	95.2%
T Gilbert	J Berti	0	__3	6-3	Jon Berti strikes out swinging.	0.30	93.8%
T Gilbert	P Crow-Armstrong	1	__3	6-3	Injury Delay.	0.50	93.8%

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
T Gilbert	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0.38	-.018
S Smith	5.0	7	1	1	1	5	0.80	-.434
Total	5.1	8	1	1	1	6	0.74	-.452

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
D Palencia	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1.16	.044
C Horton	5.0	7	2	3	0	2	0.73	-.059
Total	6.0	8	2	3	0	2	0.80	-.014

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
C Meidroth	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1.09	-.034
M Thaiss	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.90	-.064
L Robert Jr.	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.66	-.053
M Vargas	3	2	3	2	3	0	0	0.76	.280
J Palacios	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.75	-.036
A Vaughn	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.88	-.060
E Quero	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.72	-.057
J Rojas	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0.40	.030
B Baldwin	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.80	.007
Total	25	3	8	2	3	0	2	0.80	.014

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
P Crow-Armstrong	3	1	2	1	3	0	0	0.79	.265
K Tucker	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.46	-.014
S Suzuki	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.59	.029
M Busch	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.58	.021
C Kelly	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	0.78	.130
D Swanson	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.75	-.069
M Ballesteros	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.96	.059
N Hoerner	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.81	.100
J Berti	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.91	-.069
Total	26	6	8	1	5	1	6	0.74	.452

CHW (3)	6%
CHC (6)	94%
aLI: 0.77 \| aWE: .70