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2013 Articles
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D - G
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H - L
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M - R
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S - Z
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Daily Notes: Kluber With, Like, Seven or Nine Ks
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FanGraphs Audio: Jeff Locke on Jeff Locke's Success
The Worst of the Best: The Week’s Wildest Swings
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RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 5/26/13
Roto Riteup: May 26, 2013
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Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
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The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
FanGraphs+
A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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FANS
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ZiPS
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2013
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2007
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Final
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Final
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Final
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Final
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F - 13th
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Final
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T - 9th
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Team Batting Stats
2013
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2012
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Team Pitching Stats
2013
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2012
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2011
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2010
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2009
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2007
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2006
...
AL East
Yankees
30
19
----
Red Sox
31
20
----
Orioles
27
23
3.5
Rays
25
24
5.0
Blue Jays
21
29
9.5
AL Central
Tigers
28
20
----
Indians
27
22
1.5
White Sox
24
24
4.0
Royals
21
26
6.5
Twins
19
28
8.5
AL West
Rangers
32
18
----
Athletics
28
23
4.5
Angels
23
27
9.0
Mariners
21
29
11.0
Astros
14
36
18.0
NL East
Braves
30
18
----
Nationals
26
24
5.0
Phillies
24
26
7.0
Mets
17
29
12.0
Marlins
13
37
18.0
NL Central
Cardinals
32
17
----
Reds
31
19
1.5
Pirates
31
19
1.5
Brewers
19
29
12.5
Cubs
19
30
13.0
NL West
D-backs
28
22
----
Giants
28
22
----
Rockies
27
23
1.0
Padres
22
27
5.5
Dodgers
20
28
7.0
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Jeremy Horst
Birthdate:
10/1/1985
Bats/Throws:
L/L
Height/Weight:
6-3/217
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/26/2013:
Horst recorded his second hold of the season Saturday with a scoreless two-thirds of an inning of work.
Graphs
All Graphs
Season Stats
Splits
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Compare
PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2007
Reds (R)
3
2
2
16
0
39.2
11.57
4.99
0.45
.348
77.5 %
3.18
3.02
2007
Reds (R)
0
0
0
1
0
2.0
18.00
9.00
0.00
.500
20.0 %
4.50
2.20
2008
Reds (A)
8
2
4
36
10
102.0
9.71
2.91
0.26
.272
75.6 %
2.38
2.48
2009
Reds (A+)
6
13
0
23
23
133.0
6.83
2.77
1.02
.300
75.8 %
3.25
4.28
2009
Reds (AA)
1
4
0
5
5
29.0
6.52
3.10
2.17
.329
71.0 %
6.21
5.92
2010
Desert Dogs (R)
0
0
0
1
0
1.0
0.00
0.00
0.00
.250
100.0 %
0.00
3.20
2010
Saguaros (R)
0
0
0
10
0
12.0
6.75
4.50
1.50
.265
86.4 %
3.75
5.87
2010
Reds (A+)
0
2
0
11
0
14.0
10.93
2.57
0.64
.381
68.0 %
4.50
2.77
2010
Reds (AA)
3
2
0
27
0
43.0
9.63
1.88
0.21
.291
72.8 %
2.09
1.99
2010
Reds (AAA)
1
0
0
6
2
14.1
7.53
3.14
0.00
.370
78.3 %
2.51
2.78
2011
Reds (AAA)
1
4
0
36
0
51.1
7.36
2.45
0.35
.260
72.0 %
2.81
3.01
2011
Reds
0
0
0
12
0
15.1
5.28
3.52
1.17
.308
84.9 %
38.9 %
9.1 %
2.93
4.72
4.83
0.0
2012
Phillies (AAA)
2
1
2
26
0
38.1
7.51
4.23
0.70
.339
88.4 %
2.11
4.11
2012
Phillies
2
0
0
32
0
31.1
11.49
4.02
0.29
.290
80.9 %
44.1 %
3.7 %
1.15
2.39
3.24
0.6
2013
Steamer
2
1
0
30
0
30.0
7.98
3.71
0.98
.299
74.4 %
3.79
4.08
0.0
2013
Bill James
2
3
0
47
0
48.0
8.06
3.94
0.75
.318
3.94
3.70
2013
Oliver
4
4
72.0
7.29
3.52
0.63
.297
73.0 %
3.65
3.62
2013
ZiPS
3
3
52
0
65.3
7.44
4.00
0.83
.323
71.1 %
4.41
4.11
0.0
2013
Phillies
0
1
0
21
0
18.2
5.30
3.86
0.96
.317
70.9 %
34.9 %
6.1 %
4.82
4.71
5.86
-0.1
2013
ZiPS (R)
2
2
38
0
45.0
7.11
3.99
0.85
.327
69.4 %
4.62
4.18
0.0
2013
ZiPS (U)
2
3
59
0
64.0
6.58
3.95
0.89
.326
69.7 %
4.68
4.34
-0.1
2013
Steamer (R)
1
1
0
29
0
21.0
7.36
3.71
1.12
.284
74.0 %
4.08
4.38
-0.1
2013
Steamer (U)
1
2
0
50
0
40.0
6.39
3.78
1.04
.301
71.9 %
4.43
4.54
-0.1
Total
- - -
2
1
0
65
0
65.1
8.27
3.86
0.69
.304
78.6 %
39.5 %
6.1 %
2.62
3.60
4.36
0.4
News
9/3
-
Fantasy: The daily grind: 9-3
by
Brad Johnson
5/24
-
Reds' recent revisionist trade history
by
Reds Reporter
5/14
-
Explaining It: Phillies 6, Indians 2
by
The Good Phight
5/10
-
The Bottom of a Fifth - D-Backs 2, Phillies 1
by
The Good Phight
Standard
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2007
Reds (R)
3
2
3.18
16
0
0
0
2
39.2
168
34
15
14
2
22
0
1
3
2
51
2007
Reds (R)
0
0
4.50
1
0
0
0
0
2.0
12
3
4
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
4
2008
Reds (A)
8
2
2.38
36
10
0
0
4
102.0
410
74
30
27
3
33
1
3
2
1
110
2009
Reds (A+)
6
13
3.25
23
23
1
0
0
133.0
569
136
61
48
15
41
0
9
2
1
101
2009
Reds (AA)
1
4
6.21
5
5
0
0
0
29.0
123
35
20
20
7
10
0
0
2
0
21
2010
Desert Dogs (R)
0
0
0.00
1
0
0
0
0
1.0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2010
Saguaros (R)
0
0
3.75
10
0
0
0
0
12.0
53
11
5
5
2
6
0
2
0
0
9
2010
Reds (A+)
0
2
4.50
11
0
0
0
0
14.0
65
17
8
7
1
4
1
1
1
0
17
2010
Reds (AA)
3
2
2.09
27
0
0
0
0
43.0
173
35
13
10
1
9
2
0
2
0
46
2010
Reds (AAA)
1
0
2.51
6
2
0
0
0
14.1
64
17
5
4
0
5
0
1
0
0
12
2011
Reds (AAA)
1
4
2.81
36
0
0
0
0
51.1
210
41
18
16
2
14
0
2
1
0
42
2011
Reds
0
0
2.93
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
15.1
69
18
6
5
2
6
1
0
0
1
9
2012
Phillies (AAA)
2
1
2.11
26
0
0
0
2
38.1
173
43
11
9
3
18
1
2
0
0
32
2012
Phillies
2
0
1.15
32
0
0
0
0
6
0
31.1
125
21
8
4
1
14
1
1
1
0
40
2013
Steamer
2
1
3.79
30
0
0
30.0
130
28
14
13
3
12
1
27
2013
Bill James
2
3
3.94
47
0
0
48.0
47
4
21
1
43
2013
Oliver
4
4
3.65
27
72.0
306
68
31
29
5
28
2
3
58
2013
ZiPS
3
3
4.41
52
0
65.3
68
34
32
6
29
1
3
2
0
54
2013
Phillies
0
1
4.82
21
0
0
0
0
2
1
18.2
85
22
11
10
2
8
1
1
0
0
11
2013
ZiPS (R)
2
2
4.62
38
0
45.0
48
25
23
4
20
2
35
2013
ZiPS (U)
2
3
4.68
59
0
64.0
70
36
33
6
28
3
46
2013
Steamer (R)
1
1
4.08
29
0
0
21.0
92
20
10
9
3
9
1
17
2013
Steamer (U)
1
2
4.43
50
0
0
40.0
177
42
21
19
5
17
2
28
Total
- - -
2
1
2.62
65
0
0
0
0
8
1
65.1
279
61
25
19
5
28
3
2
1
1
60
Advanced
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2007
Reds (R)
11.57
4.99
2.32
0.45
30.4 %
13.1 %
.235
1.41
.348
77.5 %
3.02
2007
Reds (R)
18.00
9.00
2.00
0.00
33.3 %
16.7 %
.300
2.50
.500
20.0 %
2.20
2008
Reds (A)
9.71
2.91
3.33
0.26
26.8 %
8.1 %
.198
1.05
.272
75.6 %
2.48
2009
Reds (A+)
6.83
2.77
2.46
1.02
17.8 %
7.2 %
.262
1.33
.300
75.8 %
4.28
2009
Reds (AA)
6.52
3.10
2.10
2.17
17.1 %
8.1 %
.310
1.55
.329
71.0 %
5.92
2010
Desert Dogs (R)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.0 %
0.0 %
.250
1.00
.250
100.0 %
3.20
2010
Saguaros (R)
6.75
4.50
1.50
1.50
17.0 %
11.3 %
.244
1.42
.265
86.4 %
5.87
2010
Reds (A+)
10.93
2.57
4.25
0.64
26.2 %
6.2 %
.283
1.50
.381
68.0 %
2.77
2010
Reds (AA)
9.63
1.88
5.11
0.21
26.6 %
5.2 %
.213
1.02
.291
72.8 %
1.99
2010
Reds (AAA)
7.53
3.14
2.40
0.00
18.8 %
7.8 %
.293
1.53
.370
78.3 %
2.78
2011
Reds (AAA)
7.36
2.45
3.00
0.35
20.0 %
6.7 %
.211
1.07
.260
72.0 %
3.01
2011
Reds
5.28
3.52
1.50
1.17
13.0 %
8.7 %
.286
1.57
.308
84.9 %
75
120
4.72
2011
Average
7.13
3.11
2.30
0.94
18.6 %
8.1 %
.251
1.32
.291
72.5 %
4.12
2012
Phillies (AAA)
7.51
4.23
1.78
0.70
18.5 %
10.4 %
.281
1.59
.339
88.4 %
4.11
2012
Phillies
11.49
4.02
2.86
0.29
32.0 %
11.2 %
.191
1.12
.290
80.9 %
29
62
2.39
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
7.98
3.71
2.15
0.98
.249
1.35
.299
74.4 %
4.08
2013
Bill James
8.06
3.94
2.05
0.75
.258
1.42
.318
3.70
2013
Oliver
7.29
3.52
2.07
0.63
19.0 %
9.2 %
.247
1.34
.297
73.0 %
3.62
2013
ZiPS
7.44
4.00
1.86
0.83
.270
1.49
.323
71.1 %
4.11
2013
Phillies
5.30
3.86
1.38
0.96
12.9 %
9.4 %
.289
1.61
.317
70.9 %
128
122
4.71
2013
Average
7.61
3.09
2.46
1.03
19.9 %
8.1 %
.249
1.31
.292
73.1 %
4.13
2013
ZiPS (R)
7.11
3.99
1.78
0.85
.277
1.52
.327
69.4 %
4.18
2013
ZiPS (U)
6.58
3.95
1.66
0.89
.282
1.55
.326
69.7 %
4.34
2013
Steamer (R)
7.36
3.71
1.98
1.12
.257
1.39
.284
74.0 %
4.38
2013
Steamer (U)
6.39
3.78
1.69
1.04
.275
1.49
.301
71.9 %
4.54
Total
- - -
8.27
3.86
2.14
0.69
21.5 %
10.0 %
.245
1.36
.304
78.6 %
68
93
3.60
Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2011
Reds
0.95
20.4 %
38.9 %
40.7 %
18.2 %
9.1 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
5.00
4.52
126
4.83
2012
Phillies
1.11
16.2 %
44.1 %
39.7 %
14.8 %
3.7 %
3.3 %
0.0 %
2.25
2.77
83
3.24
2013
Phillies
0.67
12.7 %
34.9 %
52.4 %
9.1 %
6.1 %
13.6 %
0.0 %
4.00
5.03
153
5.86
Total
- - -
0.89
16.2 %
39.5 %
44.3 %
13.4 %
6.1 %
5.5 %
0.0 %
3.43
3.76
113
4.36
More Batted Ball
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2011
Reds
21
22
11
4
0
0
0
12
105
185
290
2012
Phillies
30
27
11
4
1
2
0
14
171
323
494
2013
Phillies
22
33
8
3
3
2
0
8
116
194
310
Total
- - -
73
82
30
11
4
4
0
34
392
702
1094
Win Probability
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2011
Reds
-0.09
-0.49
0.40
-0.66
-0.04
0.34
0.37
0.36
0.55
8
-0.15
-0.10
0
0
2012
Phillies
0.63
-0.94
1.57
6.27
0.67
0.63
0.66
0.88
1.41
23
0.56
0.44
7
3
2013
Phillies
-0.43
-1.21
0.79
-2.41
-0.27
0.68
0.62
1.03
0.89
14
0.05
-0.68
3
3
Total
- - -
0.12
-2.64
2.76
3.20
0.36
0.57
0.58
0.83
1.09
45
0.46
-0.25
10
6
Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2011
Reds
56.0% (88.7)
23.6% (81.4)
20.4% (81.2)
2.1%
2012
Phillies
58.0% (90.6)
24.7% (81.3)
17.3% (83.1)
0.8%
2013
Phillies
63.8% (88.8)
24.3% (80.8)
12.0% (81.5)
2.9%
Total
- - -
59.1% (89.6)
24.3% (81.2)
16.7% (82.1)
1.7%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2011
Reds
54.5 %
12.8 %
22.8 %
8.6 %
2012
Phillies
58.3 %
1.4 %
24.5 %
15.0 %
2013
Phillies
51.3 %
11.8 %
24.2 %
11.4 %
Total
- - -
55.3 %
7.3 %
23.9 %
12.3 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2011
Reds
88.6
82.1
81.4
80.5
2012
Phillies
90.3
87.3
81.3
82.9
2013
Phillies
88.7
89.2
80.7
81.4
Total
- - -
89.4
85.7
81.1
82.1
Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2011
Reds
0.6
-0.8
-1.2
0.37
-1.22
-2.12
2012
Phillies
3.4
1.6
1.5
1.20
1.35
1.78
2013
Phillies
-1.7
0.2
-0.8
-0.87
0.22
-2.33
Total
- - -
2.3
1.0
-0.6
0.37
0.37
-0.31
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2011
Reds
0.8
-0.1
-0.9
-1.3
2012
Phillies
4.1
0.6
1.6
0.1
2013
Phillies
2.0
-3.1
0.3
-0.9
Total
- - -
6.9
-2.5
1.1
-2.0
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2011
Reds
0.51
-0.25
-1.33
-5.21
2012
Phillies
1.43
9.09
1.35
0.17
2013
Phillies
1.29
-8.51
0.40
-2.45
Total
- - -
1.15
-3.15
0.40
-1.52
Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2011
Reds
30.6 %
68.9 %
49.1 %
70.5 %
90.3 %
83.9 %
48.4 %
52.2 %
7.6 %
2011
Average
30.6 %
65.0 %
46.2 %
68.1 %
87.9 %
80.7 %
45.3 %
59.4 %
8.6 %
2012
Phillies
29.5 %
69.4 %
49.2 %
50.7 %
81.6 %
72.2 %
49.4 %
63.2 %
13.2 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Phillies
29.2 %
71.1 %
47.3 %
79.6 %
89.0 %
85.7 %
43.2 %
60.0 %
6.5 %
2013
Average
29.6 %
65.0 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.5 %
45.8 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
29.7 %
69.7 %
48.6 %
64.6 %
85.9 %
79.1 %
47.4 %
59.5 %
9.8 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2011
Reds
29.2 %
65.8 %
48.3 %
67.5 %
90.8 %
84.1 %
52.1 %
20.5
2011
Average
28.9 %
62.1 %
45.6 %
64.7 %
88.0 %
80.6 %
50.1 %
21.6
2012
Phillies
27.0 %
66.2 %
47.8 %
53.2 %
79.1 %
72.2 %
53.1 %
20.6
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Phillies
26.5 %
66.2 %
46.4 %
72.5 %
92.0 %
86.4 %
50.0 %
20.5
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.2 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.2 %
22.5
Total
- - -
27.4 %
66.1 %
47.5 %
62.7 %
85.7 %
79.3 %
52.0 %
20.5
Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2011
Reds
P
12
0
15.1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.000
2012
Phillies
P
32
0
31.1
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1.000
2013
Phillies
P
21
0
18.2
0
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
P
65
0
65.1
4
9
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
1
1.000
Advanced Fielding
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2011
Reds
P
15.1
0
0
0
0
2012
Phillies
P
31.1
1
-1
0
0
2013
Phillies
P
18.2
0
0
0
0
Total
- - -
P
65.1
1
-1
0
0
Value
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2011
Reds
0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
-0.5
0.0
($0.2)
2012
Phillies
0.8
0.0
0.1
0.1
5.9
0.6
$2.9
2013
Phillies
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-1.3
-0.1
($0.7)
Total
- - -
0.6
-0.2
0.3
0.2
4.1
0.4
$1.9
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