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Roto Riteup: May 25, 2013
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Audio: A Totally Professional Conversation with John Axford
Josh Hamilton Strikezone Constellation: The Prime Rib
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The Ten Lowest BABIPs Since 1945
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A Special Group of Young Talent
Are the Angels Actually Improved?
2013 Pre-Season Projections
Marcel
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B - 6th
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T - 7th
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MIN @ DET
16:05
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16:10
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19:15
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19:15
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22:10
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16:05
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16:10
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AL East
Yankees
29
18
----
Red Sox
29
20
1.0
Orioles
26
22
3.5
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24
23
5.0
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20
28
9.5
AL Central
Tigers
27
19
----
Indians
27
20
0.5
White Sox
22
24
5.0
Royals
21
24
5.5
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18
27
8.5
AL West
Rangers
31
17
----
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26
23
5.5
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21
27
10.0
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20
28
11.0
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14
34
17.0
NL East
Braves
28
18
----
Nationals
25
23
4.0
Phillies
23
25
6.0
Mets
17
27
10.0
Marlins
13
35
16.0
NL Central
Cardinals
31
16
----
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30
18
1.5
Pirates
29
19
2.5
Brewers
19
27
11.5
Cubs
18
29
13.0
NL West
D-backs
27
21
----
Rockies
27
21
----
Giants
26
22
1.0
Padres
21
26
5.5
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19
27
7.0
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Joe Kelly
Birthdate:
6/9/1988
Bats/Throws:
R/R
Height/Weight:
6-1/185
Position:
P
Contract:
Add New Contract
5/19/2013:
Kelly allowed three hits and two earned runs in the 10th inning and took the loss Saturday.
2/27/2013
-
Cardinals Rotation: Depth Chart Discussions
by
Chris Cwik (RotoGraphs)
11
2/6/2013
-
Who Steps In For St. Louis?
by
Michael Barr (RotoGraphs)
17
10/17/2012
-
Playoff Rookies in Review: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
4
6/14/2012
-
AL and NL SPs, OFs and RPs: Mining the Minors
by
Jason Catania (RotoGraphs)
13
3/5/2012
-
Top 15 Prospects: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Marc Hulet (FanGraphs)
42
Graphs
All Graphs
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PITCHf/x
Projections
Batting
Pitching
Standard
Advanced
Batted Ball
Win Probability
Pitch Type
Plate Discipline
Fielding
Value
Dashboard
Customize
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
SV
G
GS
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BABIP
LOB%
GB%
HR/FB
ERA
FIP
xFIP
WAR
2009
Cardinals (A-)
2
3
1
16
2
30.1
8.90
3.26
0.00
.351
51.1 %
4.75
2.61
2010
Cardinals (A)
6
8
1
26
18
103.1
8.01
3.92
0.26
.333
58.7 %
4.62
3.31
2011
Cardinals (A+)
5
2
0
12
11
72.2
7.68
4.21
0.12
.275
74.5 %
2.60
3.41
2011
Cardinals (AA)
6
4
0
11
11
59.1
7.74
3.79
1.06
.358
66.5 %
5.01
4.53
2012
Cardinals (AAA)
2
5
0
12
12
72.1
5.60
2.61
0.25
.322
73.1 %
2.86
3.35
2012
Cardinals
5
7
0
24
16
107.0
6.31
3.03
0.84
.306
73.7 %
51.7 %
11.0 %
3.53
4.00
4.03
0.8
2012
Cardinals
0
0
0
7
0
7.2
5.87
4.70
0.00
.240
80.0 %
64.0 %
0.0 %
2.35
3.36
3.74
2013
Steamer
5
4
0
24
10
93.0
6.48
3.63
0.72
.306
68.7 %
4.28
4.05
0.3
2013
Bill James
4
4
0
61
0
67.0
6.45
3.09
0.67
.322
4.16
3.73
2013
Oliver
8
8
145.0
5.78
3.86
0.50
.313
70.4 %
4.11
3.91
2013
ZiPS
9
9
33
28
168.3
5.83
3.32
0.70
.308
71.0 %
4.12
4.03
1.4
2013
Cardinals
0
2
0
14
0
14.2
7.98
3.07
1.84
.429
69.8 %
51.9 %
21.4 %
7.36
5.16
3.88
-0.3
2013
ZiPS (R)
5
6
25
16
105.0
5.94
3.29
0.76
.312
69.8 %
4.27
4.06
0.4
2013
ZiPS (U)
5
8
39
16
120.0
6.19
3.26
0.89
.327
68.9 %
4.65
4.19
0.0
2013
Steamer (R)
4
3
0
23
9
66.0
6.57
3.62
0.71
.297
68.7 %
4.25
3.97
0.2
2013
Steamer (U)
4
5
0
37
9
81.0
6.82
3.52
0.92
.322
68.7 %
4.82
4.19
-0.1
Total
- - -
5
9
0
38
16
121.2
6.51
3.03
0.96
.322
73.1 %
51.7 %
12.4 %
3.99
4.14
4.02
0.5
Postseason
- - -
0
0
0
7
0
7.2
5.87
4.70
0.00
.240
80.0 %
64.0 %
0.0 %
2.35
3.36
3.74
News
3/20
-
Five questions: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Greg Simons
Standard
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
ShO
SV
HLD
BS
IP
TBF
H
R
ER
HR
BB
IBB
HBP
WP
BK
SO
2009
Cardinals (A-)
2
3
4.75
16
2
0
0
1
30.1
138
33
23
16
0
11
0
3
3
0
30
2010
Cardinals (A)
6
8
4.62
26
18
0
0
1
103.1
444
102
66
53
3
45
0
7
12
2
92
2011
Cardinals (A+)
5
2
2.60
12
11
0
0
0
72.2
305
56
26
21
1
34
0
8
4
0
62
2011
Cardinals (AA)
6
4
5.01
11
11
0
0
0
59.1
264
70
40
33
7
25
2
5
2
1
51
2012
Cardinals (AAA)
2
5
2.86
12
12
0
0
0
72.1
299
75
29
23
2
21
1
4
2
0
45
2012
Cardinals
5
7
3.53
24
16
0
0
0
0
0
107.0
457
112
50
42
10
36
2
3
4
0
75
2012
Cardinals
0
0
2.35
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7.2
34
6
2
2
0
4
0
0
0
0
5
2013
Steamer
5
4
4.28
24
10
0
93.0
407
94
48
44
7
37
5
67
2013
Bill James
4
4
4.16
61
0
0
67.0
72
5
23
3
48
2013
Oliver
8
8
4.11
9
145.0
628
151
71
66
8
62
2
8
93
2013
ZiPS
9
9
4.12
33
28
168.3
176
82
77
13
62
3
7
7
0
109
2013
Cardinals
0
2
7.36
14
0
0
0
0
2
1
14.2
71
24
12
12
3
5
1
1
0
0
13
2013
ZiPS (R)
5
6
4.27
25
16
105.0
112
54
50
9
38
5
69
2013
ZiPS (U)
5
8
4.65
39
16
120.0
136
67
62
12
43
6
82
2013
Steamer (R)
4
3
4.25
23
9
0
66.0
288
66
34
31
5
26
3
48
2013
Steamer (U)
4
5
4.82
37
9
0
81.0
359
90
46
43
8
31
4
61
Total
- - -
5
9
3.99
38
16
0
0
0
2
1
121.2
528
136
62
54
13
41
3
4
4
0
88
Postseason
- - -
0
0
2.35
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7.2
34
6
2
2
0
4
0
0
0
0
5
Advanced
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
K%
BB%
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA-
FIP-
FIP
2009
Cardinals (A-)
8.90
3.26
2.73
0.00
21.7 %
8.0 %
.266
1.45
.351
51.1 %
2.61
2010
Cardinals (A)
8.01
3.92
2.04
0.26
20.7 %
10.1 %
.260
1.42
.333
58.7 %
3.31
2011
Cardinals (A+)
7.68
4.21
1.82
0.12
20.3 %
11.2 %
.213
1.24
.275
74.5 %
3.41
2011
Cardinals (AA)
7.74
3.79
2.04
1.06
19.3 %
9.5 %
.299
1.60
.358
66.5 %
4.53
2012
Cardinals (AAA)
5.60
2.61
2.14
0.25
15.1 %
7.0 %
.274
1.33
.322
73.1 %
3.35
2012
Cardinals
6.31
3.03
2.08
0.84
16.4 %
7.9 %
.268
1.38
.306
73.7 %
92
105
4.00
2012
Cardinals
5.87
4.70
1.25
0.00
14.7 %
11.8 %
.200
1.30
.240
80.0 %
61
88
3.36
2012
Average
7.56
3.05
2.48
1.02
19.8 %
8.0 %
.250
1.31
.293
72.5 %
4.12
2013
Steamer
6.48
3.63
1.79
0.72
.263
1.41
.306
68.7 %
4.05
2013
Bill James
6.45
3.09
2.09
0.67
.276
1.42
.322
3.73
2013
Oliver
5.78
3.86
1.50
0.50
14.8 %
9.9 %
.271
1.47
.313
70.4 %
3.91
2013
ZiPS
5.83
3.32
1.76
0.70
.271
1.41
.308
71.0 %
4.03
2013
Cardinals
7.98
3.07
2.60
1.84
18.3 %
7.0 %
.369
1.98
.429
69.8 %
201
139
5.16
2013
Average
7.61
3.10
2.45
1.03
19.9 %
8.1 %
.249
1.30
.291
73.0 %
4.14
2013
ZiPS (R)
5.94
3.29
1.80
0.76
.274
1.43
.312
69.8 %
4.06
2013
ZiPS (U)
6.19
3.26
1.90
0.89
.287
1.50
.327
68.9 %
4.19
2013
Steamer (R)
6.57
3.62
1.82
0.71
.262
1.40
.297
68.7 %
3.97
2013
Steamer (U)
6.82
3.52
1.94
0.92
.284
1.51
.322
68.7 %
4.19
Total
- - -
6.51
3.03
2.15
0.96
16.7 %
7.8 %
.282
1.45
.322
73.1 %
105
109
4.14
Postseason
- - -
5.87
4.70
1.25
0.00
14.7 %
11.8 %
.200
1.30
.240
80.0 %
61
88
3.36
Batted Ball
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB/FB
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
HR/FB
IFH%
BUH%
tERA
SIERA
xFIP-
xFIP
2012
Cardinals
1.88
20.8 %
51.7 %
27.5 %
4.4 %
11.0 %
6.4 %
8.3 %
4.47
4.12
103
4.03
2012
Cardinals
8.00
28.0 %
64.0 %
8.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
12.5 %
0.0 %
4.86
3.63
96
3.74
2013
Cardinals
1.93
21.2 %
51.9 %
26.9 %
0.0 %
21.4 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
5.43
3.45
101
3.88
Total
- - -
1.89
20.9 %
51.7 %
27.4 %
3.8 %
12.4 %
5.6 %
8.3 %
4.59
4.03
103
4.02
Postseason
- - -
8.00
28.0 %
64.0 %
8.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
12.5 %
0.0 %
4.86
3.63
96
3.74
More Batted Ball
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
GB
FB
LD
IFFB
IFH
BU
BUH
RS
Balls
Strikes
Pitches
2012
Cardinals
171
91
69
4
11
12
1
56
623
1072
1695
2012
Cardinals
16
2
7
0
2
0
0
4
48
75
123
2013
Cardinals
27
14
11
0
0
0
0
7
99
159
258
Total
- - -
198
105
80
4
11
12
1
63
722
1231
1953
Postseason
- - -
16
2
7
0
2
0
0
4
48
75
123
Win Probability
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
WPA
-WPA
+WPA
RE24
REW
pLI
inLI
gmLI
exLI
Pulls
WPA/LI
Clutch
SD
MD
2012
Cardinals
0.43
-7.86
8.29
-0.19
-0.07
1.01
0.92
0.86
1.55
20
0.14
0.28
1
1
2012
Cardinals
0.04
-0.21
0.25
-0.18
-0.05
0.51
0.40
0.70
0.59
6
0.15
-0.07
0
1
2013
Cardinals
-0.81
-2.06
1.25
-2.12
-0.21
1.10
0.97
1.06
1.49
8
-0.24
-0.50
3
3
Total
- - -
-0.39
-9.93
9.54
-2.31
-0.28
1.02
0.93
0.93
1.53
28
-0.10
-0.28
4
4
Postseason
- - -
0.04
-0.21
0.25
-0.18
-0.05
0.51
0.40
0.70
0.59
6
0.15
-0.07
0
1
Pitch Type
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FB%
SL%
CT%
CB%
CH%
SF%
KN%
XX%
2012
Cardinals
69.3% (94.4)
14.2% (81.4)
3.8% (79.3)
12.7% (84.6)
0.3%
2013
Cardinals
65.4% (95.6)
14.6% (83.6)
5.9% (78.5)
14.2% (85.0)
1.6%
Total
- - -
68.8% (94.6)
14.2% (81.7)
4.1% (79.2)
12.9% (84.7)
0.5%
PITCHf/x Pitch Type
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
FA%
FT%
FC%
FS%
FO%
SI%
SL%
CU%
KC%
EP%
CH%
SC%
KN%
UN%
2012
Cardinals
2.8 %
65.9 %
2.3 %
18.0 %
10.7 %
2013
Cardinals
67.1 %
20.2 %
11.2 %
Total
- - -
2.4 %
66.0 %
2.0 %
18.3 %
10.8 %
PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
vFA
vFT
vFC
vFS
vFO
vSI
vSL
vCU
vKC
vEP
vCH
vSC
vKN
2012
Cardinals
92.7
94.2
94.2
80.9
84.3
2013
Cardinals
95.2
82.1
84.6
Total
- - -
92.7
94.3
94.2
81.1
84.3
Pitch Values
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFB
wSL
wCT
wCB
wCH
wSF
wKN
wFB/C
wSL/C
wCT/C
wCB/C
wCH/C
wSF/C
wKN/C
2012
Cardinals
1.5
-1.3
-2.9
-0.6
0.13
-0.54
-4.41
-0.29
2013
Cardinals
-4.6
-0.1
-0.2
0.0
-2.76
-0.28
-1.12
-0.07
Total
- - -
-3.1
-1.4
-3.0
-0.6
-0.23
-0.50
-3.79
-0.26
PITCHf/x Pitch Values
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA
wFT
wFC
wFS
wFO
wSI
wSL
wCU
wKC
wEP
wCH
wSC
wKN
2012
Cardinals
0.1
3.7
-0.9
-4.3
-1.4
2013
Cardinals
-4.3
-0.3
-0.3
Total
- - -
0.1
-0.7
-0.9
-4.5
-1.7
PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
wFA/C
wFT/C
wFC/C
wFS/C
wFO/C
wSI/C
wSL/C
wCU/C
wKC/C
wEP/C
wCH/C
wSC/C
wKN/C
2012
Cardinals
0.21
0.33
-2.22
-1.40
-0.79
2013
Cardinals
-2.50
-0.51
-0.86
Total
- - -
0.21
-0.05
-2.22
-1.27
-0.80
Plate Discipline
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
2012
Cardinals
31.5 %
64.3 %
45.7 %
72.6 %
90.6 %
83.6 %
43.4 %
60.0 %
7.3 %
2012
Average
30.8 %
64.7 %
46.0 %
66.8 %
87.2 %
79.7 %
44.9 %
59.8 %
9.1 %
2013
Cardinals
34.2 %
72.5 %
49.0 %
67.9 %
87.3 %
79.0 %
38.7 %
59.2 %
9.3 %
2013
Average
29.7 %
65.0 %
45.8 %
66.2 %
86.6 %
79.4 %
45.8 %
60.1 %
9.2 %
Total
- - -
31.9 %
65.3 %
46.1 %
71.9 %
90.2 %
82.9 %
42.8 %
59.9 %
7.5 %
PITCHf/x Plate Discipline
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
|
Averages
Season
Team
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
O-Contact%
Z-Contact%
Contact%
Zone%
Pace
2012
Cardinals
29.7 %
61.6 %
45.3 %
68.6 %
91.4 %
83.8 %
49.0 %
22.1
2012
Average
29.3 %
62.2 %
45.6 %
63.6 %
87.3 %
79.6 %
49.5 %
22.1
2013
Cardinals
30.4 %
70.7 %
48.8 %
59.5 %
89.0 %
79.0 %
45.7 %
23.1
2013
Average
29.0 %
62.2 %
45.3 %
63.1 %
87.2 %
79.4 %
49.2 %
22.5
Total
- - -
29.8 %
62.7 %
45.8 %
67.3 %
91.0 %
83.1 %
48.6 %
22.2
Fielding
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
G
GS
Inn
PO
A
E
FE
TE
DP
DPS
DPT
DPF
Scp
SB
CS
PB
WP
FP
TZ
2012
Cardinals
P
24
16
107.0
11
19
2
0
2
2
3
0
0
8
.938
2013
Cardinals
P
14
0
14.2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1.000
Total
- - -
P
38
16
121.2
13
20
2
0
2
3
4
0
0
8
.943
Advanced Fielding
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
Pos
Inn
rSB
rGDP
rARM
rGFP
rPM
DRS
BIZ
Plays
RZR
OOZ
CPP
RPP
TZL
FSR
ARM
DPR
RngR
ErrR
UZR
UZR/150
2012
Cardinals
P
107.0
1
0
1
2
2013
Cardinals
P
14.2
0
0
-1
-1
Total
- - -
P
121.2
1
0
0
1
Value
Postseason
|
Projections
|
Minor Leagues
|
Regular Season
Season
Team
RA9-Wins
BIP-Wins
LOB-Wins
FDP-Wins
RAR
WAR
Dollars
Salary
2012
Cardinals
1.0
-0.3
0.6
0.3
7.4
0.8
$3.5
2013
Cardinals
-0.6
-0.6
0.3
-0.3
-2.6
-0.3
($1.4)
Total
- - -
0.4
-0.9
0.9
0.0
4.7
0.5
$2.0
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