Daily Fantasy Strategy – 7/14 – For Draftstreet

I’m not sure if there’s value in this, but I’m kicking the tires on making my Sunday Daily Fantasy spot a “week in review” kind of piece, touching on what some of the others looked at, in terms of research, throughout the week. Let’s try it for today and then get to the Daily Five.

Monday: Talley looks at using ROS ZIPS to find value. It’s a long but potentially valuable process.

Tuesday: Bryan ponders the value of a home run with guaranteed strikeouts versus guarantees of neither.

Wednesday: Colin focused on weather and brought something to our attention about Chase Field – that climate control can lower the game-time temperature by 20-degrees.

Thursday: Some jabroni took a look at Steve Staude’s K-predictor to illustrate what to look for when trying to pencil in strikeouts for your starter.

Friday: Talley comes through again, this time providing a list of the most homer-prone pitchers that meet a certain qualification.

Saturday: Colin filled in for me (thanks!), reminding daily players not to get excited by double-headers since they can actually be a pain and you only get points for one.

The Daily Five
Tony Cingrani – $14,384
It’s a bit of a price tag to pay, the sixth highest among starters for the day, but there are a lot of reasons to be high on Cingrani on Sunday. For one, he’s very good with a high-strikeout approach that helps rack up the points. Beyond that, the Braves whiff more than almost anybody, plus there’s a strong wind that should suppress homers in Atlanta (12MPH into third base). I’m willing to spend above average at the starter spot and skimp elsewhere today.

Taylor Jordan – $6,544
It’s not offend the cheapest pitcher on the board is recommended, but Jordan is in a good position to succeed on Sunday. Plus, grabbing him as SP2 allows you the financial flexibility to pay a high priced SP1 or bolster the line-up. Anyway, Jordan gets the Marlins who, despite giving it to Stephen Strasburg the other day, still rank last in the league in wOBA. To top it all off, there’s an 11MPH wind blowing in to home plate to help keep fly balls alive.

Travis Hafner – $6,218
Kyle Gibson is going to be good eventually, but that eventuality won’t be realized on Sunday. Not with the Yankees, Yankee Stadium, an outward blowing wind and the damage lefties can do at that park. Take your choice, really, but I’ve decided to slow Hafner in as my DH at a very tidy price tag.

Brandon Moss – $7,353
Unlike Jordan above, I’m not buying on Brandon Workman, at least not for today. His Triple-A numbers were a bit up and down and, while he has huge strikeout potential eventually, he comes up against an Oakland team with some lefties who can put a charge into a mistake. There will be a 13MPH wind blowing out to right at Oakland Coliseum, helping the hitters even more. I’m going to dial up Moss, a home run machine who has been hammering righties.

Gerardo Parra – $6,339
C’mon, Parra, send a message about the All Star Game. At this price, it won’t be hard for Parra to break even for you, and he draws Wily Peralta at Chase Field with 100-degree heat. The Brewers are also allowing 81% of base-stealers to do so successfully.

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