Orioles » Win Probability » Thursday, August 6, 2026 | FanGraphs Baseball

Pitcher	Player	Outs	Base	Score	Inning - Bottom 9	LI	WE
S Natera	J Jackson	0	___	1-4	Jeremiah Jackson lines out to right fielder Josh Lowe.	0.88	1.7%
S Natera	C Franklin	1	___	1-4	Christian Franklin strikes out swinging.	0.48	0.4%
S Natera	C Mayo	2	___	1-4	Coby Mayo called out on strikes.	0.17	0.0%

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
R Johnson	4.2	3	1	1	5	1	1.13	.155
L Murphy	1.1	0	0	0	1	3	1.18	.087
M Farris	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	1.31	.069
S Natera	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	0.83	.060
T Saucedo	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	1.44	.028
Total	9.0	4	1	1	8	9	1.14	.399

Pitcher	IP	H	HR	ER	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
J Walker	1.2	1	0	0	1	1	0.88	.057
A Suarez	2.0	1	0	0	1	0	0.26	.022
Y Hiraldo	1.0	1	0	1	1	2	0.76	-.057
B Young	4.1	6	1	3	2	4	1.29	-.122
Total	9.0	9	1	4	5	7	0.94	-.101

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
W Meckler	5	2	2	0	0	0	0	0.82	.063
M Trout	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.75	-.050
N Schanuel	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.63	.009
Z Neto	5	1	2	1	3	0	1	0.83	.249
V Grissom	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	0.79	.079
D Guzman	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M Ballesteros	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.84	.059
J Siri	3	0	2	0	0	1	1	1.06	-.020
J Lowe	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	1.39	-.084
O Peraza	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1.56	-.203
Total	34	4	9	1	4	5	7	0.94	.101

Batter	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	pLI	WPA
D Beavers	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	0.91	-.021
P Alonso	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	0.69	-.010
G Henderson	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1.05	.077
C Encarnacion-Strand	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1.80	-.125
J Holliday	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.68	-.104
T O'Neill	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.72	.031
L Taveras	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.21	-.046
J Jackson	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	1.20	-.115
C Cowser	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1.32	-.101
C Franklin	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.48	-.012
Y Pozo	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	0.97	.032
C Mayo	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	-.004
Total	27	1	4	1	1	8	9	1.14	-.399

Stars of the Game Vote See Results
Select 3 Star Player Moises Ballesteros (C / LAA) Mitch Farris (P / LAA) Vaughn Grissom (3B / LAA) Denzer Guzman (3B / LAA) Ryan Johnson (P / LAA) Josh Lowe (RF / LAA) Wade Meckler (LF / LAA) Luke Murphy (P / LAA) Samuel Natera (P / LAA) Zach Neto (SS / LAA) Oswald Peraza (2B / LAA) Tayler Saucedo (P / LAA) Nolan Schanuel (1B / LAA) Jose Siri (CF / LAA) Mike Trout (DH / LAA) Pete Alonso (1B / BAL) Dylan Beavers (LF / BAL) Colton Cowser (CF / BAL) Christian Encarnacion-Strand (3B / BAL) Christian Franklin (PH / BAL) Gunnar Henderson (DH / BAL) Yaramil Hiraldo (P / BAL) Jackson Holliday (SS / BAL) Jeremiah Jackson (2B / BAL) Coby Mayo (PH / BAL) Tyler O'Neill (PH-RF / BAL) Yohel Pozo (C / BAL) Albert Suarez (P / BAL) Leody Taveras (RF / BAL) Josh Walker (P / BAL) Brandon Young (P / BAL)
Select 2 Star Player Moises Ballesteros (C / LAA) Mitch Farris (P / LAA) Vaughn Grissom (3B / LAA) Denzer Guzman (3B / LAA) Ryan Johnson (P / LAA) Josh Lowe (RF / LAA) Wade Meckler (LF / LAA) Luke Murphy (P / LAA) Samuel Natera (P / LAA) Zach Neto (SS / LAA) Oswald Peraza (2B / LAA) Tayler Saucedo (P / LAA) Nolan Schanuel (1B / LAA) Jose Siri (CF / LAA) Mike Trout (DH / LAA) Pete Alonso (1B / BAL) Dylan Beavers (LF / BAL) Colton Cowser (CF / BAL) Christian Encarnacion-Strand (3B / BAL) Christian Franklin (PH / BAL) Gunnar Henderson (DH / BAL) Yaramil Hiraldo (P / BAL) Jackson Holliday (SS / BAL) Jeremiah Jackson (2B / BAL) Coby Mayo (PH / BAL) Tyler O'Neill (PH-RF / BAL) Yohel Pozo (C / BAL) Albert Suarez (P / BAL) Leody Taveras (RF / BAL) Josh Walker (P / BAL) Brandon Young (P / BAL)
Select 1 Star Player Moises Ballesteros (C / LAA) Mitch Farris (P / LAA) Vaughn Grissom (3B / LAA) Denzer Guzman (3B / LAA) Ryan Johnson (P / LAA) Josh Lowe (RF / LAA) Wade Meckler (LF / LAA) Luke Murphy (P / LAA) Samuel Natera (P / LAA) Zach Neto (SS / LAA) Oswald Peraza (2B / LAA) Tayler Saucedo (P / LAA) Nolan Schanuel (1B / LAA) Jose Siri (CF / LAA) Mike Trout (DH / LAA) Pete Alonso (1B / BAL) Dylan Beavers (LF / BAL) Colton Cowser (CF / BAL) Christian Encarnacion-Strand (3B / BAL) Christian Franklin (PH / BAL) Gunnar Henderson (DH / BAL) Yaramil Hiraldo (P / BAL) Jackson Holliday (SS / BAL) Jeremiah Jackson (2B / BAL) Coby Mayo (PH / BAL) Tyler O'Neill (PH-RF / BAL) Yohel Pozo (C / BAL) Albert Suarez (P / BAL) Leody Taveras (RF / BAL) Josh Walker (P / BAL) Brandon Young (P / BAL)
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LAA (4)	100%
BAL (1)	0%
aLI: 1.04 \| aWE: .25

NYM (13)	100%
CLE (6)	0%
aLI: 0.73 \| aWE: .24

DET (4)	95%
SEA (0)	5%
aLI: 0.61 \| aWE: .15

TOR (2)	0%
CHC (3)	100%
aLI: 1.56 \| aWE: .39

ATH (5)	0%
CIN (6)	100%
aLI: 1.07 \| aWE: .69

PIT (2)	0%
MIL (5)	100%
aLI: 0.86 \| aWE: .73