Chris Paddack

Age: 24

Bats/Throws: R/R

6' 4" / 195

Birthdate: 1/8/1996 (24 y, 1 m, 15 d)
Drafted: 2015 June Amateur Draft - Round: 8, Pick: 11, Overall: 236, Team: Miami Marlins
Contract: 1 yr, $555K (2019)

Service Time: 1.000

Reported as the pre-2020 value.
1 year and 0 days days of service time.

Free Agent:

Becomes a free agent entering the 2025 season, after the conclusion of the 2024 season.

2025

Arb Eligible:

Projected to be arbitration eligible for the 2022 season.

2022

MiLB Options: 3

Reported as the pre-2020 season number of waiver options remaining.

Prospects Report

Team Rank: 4Overall Rank: 34Reported: 2019ETA: 2019

Fastball	Curveball	Changeup	Command	Future Value
60 / 60	45 / 50	60 / 70	50 / 60	55

RotoWire News: Paddack will not make another start this season, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports. He gave up one run on one hit and one walk while striking out nine Tuesday against the Brewers but did not factor in the decision. (9/17/2019)

2/20/2020	RG	The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 781 – Starting Pitchers Pt. 1 by Paul Sporer
2/13/2020	RG	2020 New Pitch Tracker by Jason Collette
2/4/2020	FG	Pitch Design: Straightening Out Chris Paddack's Curveball by Michael Augustine
1/23/2020	RG	Assessing My Big Differences with ADP, Pt. 2 by Paul Sporer
1/17/2020	RG	Mining the News (1/17/20) by Jeff Zimmerman

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Dashboard Customize

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	W	L	G	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2015	Marlins (R)	4	3	11	7	45.1	7.74	1.39	0.20	.273	71.1 %	52.4 %	2.3 %	2.18	2.40	2.53
2016	Padres (A)	0	0	3	3	14.0	14.79	1.93	0.00	.379	92.9 %	44.8 %	0.0 %	0.64	0.83	1.25
2016	Marlins (A)	2	0	6	6	28.1	15.25	0.64	0.64	.163	98.2 %	50.0 %	13.3 %	0.95	1.46	1.04
2018	Padres (A+)	4	1	10	10	52.1	14.27	0.69	0.52	.367	81.2 %	45.4 %	9.7 %	2.24	1.79	1.77
2018	Padres (AA)	3	2	7	7	37.2	8.84	0.96	0.24	.237	76.1 %	45.2 %	2.9 %	1.91	2.31	3.12
2019	Padres	9	7	26	26	140.2	9.79	1.98	1.47	.237	76.9 %	40.2 %	14.6 %	3.33	3.95	4.05	2.4
2020	THE BAT	11	9	29	29	166.0	9.30	1.95	1.29	.297	73.5 %			3.66	3.78
2020	ATC	11	9	30	30	168.0	9.76	2.10	1.33	.294	75.1 %			3.57	3.69
2020	Depth Charts	10	9	29	29	166.0	9.75	1.85	1.35	.301	74.3 %			3.67	3.75		3.5
2020	Steamer	11	9	29	29	166.0	9.66	1.60	1.34	.290	73.9 %	41.4 %		3.67	3.66	3.82	3.6
2020	ZiPS	10	9	28	28	159.0	9.85	2.09	1.36	.297	74.6 %			3.68	3.84		3.2
Total	- - -	9	7	26	26	140.2	9.79	1.98	1.47	.237	76.9 %	40.2 %	14.6 %	3.33	3.95	4.05	2.4

Standard

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	ShO	HLD	BS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	BK	SO
2015	Marlins (R)	4	3	2.18	11	7	0	0	0	1	45.1	180	37	14	11	1	7	0	1	3	0	39
2016	Padres (A)	0	0	0.64	3	3	0	0	0	0	14.0	55	11	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	23
2016	Marlins (A)	2	0	0.95	6	6	0	0	0	0	28.1	98	9	3	3	2	2	0	3	0	0	48
2018	Padres (A+)	4	1	2.24	10	10	0	0	0	0	52.1	203	43	13	13	3	4	0	4	0	1	83
2018	Padres (AA)	3	2	1.91	7	7	1	0	0	0	37.2	137	23	8	8	1	4	1	2	2	1	37
2019	Padres	9	7	3.33	26	26	0	0	0	0	140.2	568	107	58	52	23	31	1	6	1	1	153
2020	THE BAT	11	9	3.66	29	29					166.0	679	149	74	68	24	36	2	7			171
2020	ATC	11	9	3.57	30	30			0		168.0		147	73	67	25	39	1	1			182
2020	Depth Charts	10	9	3.67	29	29			0		166.0		149	73	68	25	34		8			180
2020	Steamer	11	9	3.67	29	29	0	0	0		166.0	681	152	73	68	25	30		7			179
2020	ZiPS	10	9	3.68	28	28					159.0		140	70	65	24	37	1	8	2	1	174
Total	- - -	9	7	3.33	26	26	0	0	0	0	140.2	568	107	58	52	23	31	1	6	1	1	153

Advanced

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	K-BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA-	FIP-	FIP
2015	Marlins (R)	7.74	1.39	5.57	0.20	21.7 %	3.9 %	17.8 %	.215	0.97	.273	71.1 %			2.40
2016	Padres (A)	14.79	1.93	7.67	0.00	41.8 %	5.5 %	36.4 %	.212	1.00	.379	92.9 %			0.83
2016	Marlins (A)	15.25	0.64	24.00	0.64	49.0 %	2.0 %	46.9 %	.097	0.39	.163	98.2 %			1.46
2018	Padres (A+)	14.27	0.69	20.75	0.52	40.9 %	2.0 %	38.9 %	.221	0.90	.367	81.2 %			1.79
2018	Padres (AA)	8.84	0.96	9.25	0.24	27.0 %	2.9 %	24.1 %	.176	0.72	.237	76.1 %			2.31
2019	Padres	9.79	1.98	4.94	1.47	26.9 %	5.5 %	21.5 %	.202	0.98	.237	76.9 %	78	90	3.95
2019	Average	8.88	3.29	2.69	1.40	23.0 %	8.5 %	14.4 %	.249	1.33	.296	72.3 %			4.49
2020	THE BAT	9.30	1.95	4.78	1.29				.242	1.11	.297	73.5 %			3.78
2020	ATC	9.76	2.10	4.66	1.33				.236	1.11	.294	75.1 %			3.69
2020	Depth Charts	9.75	1.85	5.28	1.35				.242	1.10	.301	74.3 %			3.75
2020	Steamer	9.66	1.60	6.04	1.34	26.2 %	4.3 %	21.9 %	.237	1.09	.290	73.9 %			3.66
2020	ZiPS	9.85	2.09	4.70	1.36				.238	1.11	.297	74.6 %			3.84
Total	- - -	9.79	1.98	4.94	1.47	26.9 %	5.5 %	21.5 %	.202	0.98	.237	76.9 %	78	90	3.95

ZiPS 3 Year Projections

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Age	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2020	24	10	9	28	28	159.0	140	70	65	24	37	174	9.85	2.09	4.70	1.36	.238	1.11	.297	74.6 %	3.68	3.84	3.2
2021	25	11	8	29	29	162.0	142	70	65	24	36	179	9.94	2.00	4.97	1.33	.237	1.10	.298	74.8 %	3.61	3.74	3.3
2022	26	10	8	28	28	157.3	137	67	63	23	35	175	10.01	2.00	5.00	1.32	.236	1.09	.298	75.1 %	3.60	3.71	3.3

Batted Ball

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	GB/FB	LD%	GB%	FB%	IFFB%	HR/FB	IFH%	BUH%	Pull%	Cent%	Oppo%	Soft%	Med%	Hard%	SIERA	xFIP-	xFIP
2015	Marlins (R)	1.53	13.5 %	52.4 %	34.1 %	23.3 %	2.3 %			54.1 %	15.0 %	30.8 %						2.53
2016	Padres (A)	1.63	27.6 %	44.8 %	27.6 %	62.5 %	0.0 %			41.4 %	24.1 %	34.5 %						1.25
2016	Marlins (A)	1.47	15.9 %	50.0 %	34.1 %	40.0 %	13.3 %			26.7 %	26.7 %	46.7 %						1.04
2018	Padres (A+)	1.58	25.9 %	45.4 %	28.7 %	25.8 %	9.7 %			44.6 %	20.0 %	35.5 %						1.77
2018	Padres (AA)	1.24	18.3 %	45.2 %	36.6 %	35.3 %	2.9 %			37.6 %	21.5 %	40.9 %						3.12
2019	Padres	0.95	17.5 %	40.2 %	42.3 %	11.5 %	14.6 %	8.1 %	14.3 %	41.0 %	29.6 %	29.4 %	17.2 %	40.7 %	42.1 %	3.83	91	4.05
Total	- - -	0.95	17.5 %	40.2 %	42.3 %	11.5 %	14.6 %	8.1 %	14.3 %	41.0 %	29.6 %	29.4 %	17.2 %	40.7 %	42.1 %	3.83	91	4.05

More Batted Ball

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	GB	FB	LD	IFFB	IFH	BU	BUH	RS	Balls	Strikes	Pitches
2015	Marlins (R)	66	43	17	10					35	260	295
2016	Padres (A)	13	8	8	5					60	154	214
2016	Marlins (A)	22	15	7	6					113	264	377
2018	Padres (A+)	49	31	28	8					243	534	777
2018	Padres (AA)	42	34	17	12					163	375	538
2019	Padres	149	157	65	18	12	7	1	59	694	1586	2280
Total	- - -	149	157	65	18	12	7	1	59	694	1586	2280

Win Probability

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	WPA	-WPA	+WPA	RE24	REW	pLI	inLI	gmLI	exLI	Pulls	WPA/LI	Clutch	SD	MD
2019	Padres	1.24	-8.62	9.86	11.19	1.13	0.93	0.94	0.88	1.09	26	1.49	-0.15	0	0
Total	- - -	1.24	-8.62	9.86	11.19	1.13	0.93	0.94	0.88	1.09	26	1.49	-0.15	0	0

Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FB%	SL%	CT%	CB%	CH%	SF%	KN%	XX%
2019	Padres	61.1% (93.9)			10.4% (76.2)	28.5% (84.5)			0.2%
Total	- - -	61.1% (93.9)			10.4% (76.2)	28.5% (84.5)			0.2%

PITCHf/x Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FA%	FT%	FC%	FS%	FO%	SI%	SL%	CU%	KC%	EP%	CH%	SC%	KN%	UN%
2019	Padres	61.0 %							10.4 %			28.5 %
Total	- - -	61.0 %							10.4 %			28.5 %

PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	vFA	vFT	vFC	vFS	vFO	vSI	vSL	vCU	vKC	vEP	vCH	vSC	vKN
2019	Padres	93.9							76.1			84.5
Total	- - -	93.9							76.1			84.5

Pitch Info Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FA%	FC%	FS%	SI%	CH%	SL%	CU%	CS%	KN%	SB%	XX%
2019	Padres	61.0 %			0.0 %	28.5 %	0.0 %	10.5 %
Total	- - -	61.0 %			0.0 %	28.5 %	0.0 %	10.5 %

Pitch Info Pitch Velocity

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	vFA	vFC	vFS	vSI	vCH	vSL	vCU	vCS	vKN	vSB
2019	Padres	94.2			83.9	84.8	94.8	76.4
Total	- - -	94.2			83.9	84.8	94.8	76.4

Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFB	wSL	wCT	wCB	wCH	wSF	wKN	wFB/C	wSL/C	wCT/C	wCB/C	wCH/C	wSF/C	wKN/C
2019	Padres	13.7			-0.8	7.9			0.99			-0.33	1.22
Total	- - -	13.7			-0.8	7.9			0.99			-0.33	1.22

PITCHf/x Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA	wFT	wFC	wFS	wFO	wSI	wSL	wCU	wKC	wEP	wCH	wSC	wKN
2019	Padres	13.7							-0.7			8.9
Total	- - -	13.7							-0.7			8.9

PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA/C	wFT/C	wFC/C	wFS/C	wFO/C	wSI/C	wSL/C	wCU/C	wKC/C	wEP/C	wCH/C	wSC/C	wKN/C
2019	Padres	0.98							-0.29			1.36
Total	- - -	0.98							-0.29			1.36

Pitch Info Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA	wFC	wFS	wSI	wCH	wSL	wCU	wCS	wKN	wSB
2019	Padres	13.5			0.0	8.8	0.0	-0.6
Total	- - -	13.5			0.0	8.8	0.0	-0.6

Pitch Info Pitch Values / 100

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA/C	wFC/C	wFS/C	wSI/C	wCH/C	wSL/C	wCU/C	wCS/C	wKN/C	wSB/C
2019	Padres	0.97			4.44	1.36	-3.74	-0.26
Total	- - -	0.97			4.44	1.36	-3.74	-0.26

Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	F-Strike%	SwStr%
2019	Padres	36.0 %	71.4 %	52.1 %	68.6 %	83.7 %	78.0 %	45.6 %	71.3 %	11.4 %
2019	Average	31.6 %	68.5 %	47.0 %	62.7 %	84.9 %	76.2 %	41.8 %	60.9 %	11.1 %
Total	- - -	36.0 %	71.4 %	52.1 %	68.6 %	83.7 %	78.0 %	45.6 %	71.3 %	11.4 %

PITCHf/x Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	Pace
2019	Padres	35.9 %	67.1 %	52.1 %	64.3 %	84.6 %	77.9 %	52.1 %	21.8
2019	Average	30.6 %	65.2 %	47.0 %	59.4 %	84.9 %	76.2 %	47.4 %	24.4
Total	- - -	35.9 %	67.1 %	52.1 %	64.3 %	84.6 %	77.9 %	52.1 %	21.8

Pitch Info Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	Pace
2019	Padres	36.0 %	66.6 %	52.1 %	64.5 %	84.4 %	77.9 %	52.6 %	22.5
Total	- - -	36.0 %	66.6 %	52.1 %	64.5 %	84.4 %	77.9 %	52.6 %	22.5

Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	FE	TE	DP	DPS	DPT	DPF	Scp	SB	CS	PB	WP	FP	TZ
2019	Padres	P	26	26	140.2	8	14	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		0				.917
Total	- - -	P	26	26	140.2	8	14	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		0				.917

Advanced Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	Inn	rSZ	rCERA	rSB	rGDP	rARM	rGFP	rPM	DRS	BIZ	Plays	RZR	OOZ	FSR	FRM	ARM	DPR	RngR	ErrR	UZR	UZR/150
2019	Padres	P	140.2	0		1			0	1	2						2.0
Total	- - -	P	140.2	0		1			0	1	2						2.0

Inside Edge Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	Inn	Impossible (0%)	Remote (1-10%)	Unlikely (10-40%)	Even (40-60%)	Likely (60-90%)	Routine (90-100%)
2019	Padres	P	140.2	0.0% (0)	0.0% (0)	0.0% (0)	0.0% (2)	100.0% (1)	94.1% (17)
Total	- - -	P	140.2	0.0% (0)	0.0% (0)	0.0% (0)	0.0% (2)	100.0% (1)	94.1% (17)

Value

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	RA9-WAR	BIP-Wins	LOB-Wins	FDP-Wins	RAR	WAR	Dollars	Salary
2019	Padres	3.1	1.8	-1.1	0.7	24.5	2.4	$19.5
Total	- - -	3.1	1.8	-1.1	0.7	24.5	2.4	$19.5

Drafts

2015 June Amateur Draft - Round: 8, Pick: 11, Overall: 236

Team: Miami Marlins
School: Cedar Park (TX) HS

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