Pablo López

Miami Marlins

Age: 23

Bats/Throws: L/R

6' 3" / 200

Birthdate: 3/7/1996 (23 y, 11 m, 16 d)
Contract: 1 yr, $555K (2019)

Service Time: 1.093

Reported as the pre-2020 value.
1 year and 93 days days of service time.

Free Agent:

Becomes a free agent entering the 2025 season, after the conclusion of the 2024 season.

2025

Arb Eligible:

Projected to be arbitration eligible for the 2022 season.

2022

MiLB Options: 2

Reported as the pre-2020 season number of waiver options remaining.

Prospects Report

Team Rank: 18Overall Rank: NAReported: 2018ETA: 2019

Fastball	Curveball	Changeup	Command	Future Value
55 / 55	50 / 50	50 / 55	50 / 55	40

RotoWire News: Lopez allowed four runs on eight hits with no walks and three strikeouts across 4.1 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday. (9/28/2019)

1/23/2020	RG	Assessing My Big Differences with ADP, Pt. 2 by Paul Sporer
1/14/2020	RG	Good Pitches from Bad Pitchers* Pt. 2 by Paul Sporer
1/8/2020	RG	Top 125 SP for 2020 by Paul Sporer
12/18/2019	RG	The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 761 – Pitcher Targets After Round 15 by Paul Sporer
9/10/2019	RG	Streaming Starters: September 11th, 2019 by Paul Sporer

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Dashboard Customize

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	W	L	G	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2013	Mariners (R)	7	1	12	12	66.2	5.13	1.49	0.27	.239	65.4 %	61.6 %	4.8 %	2.57	3.47	3.61
2015	Mariners (R)	2	1	12	3	37.1	6.27	1.45	0.24	.286	58.3 %	54.7 %	3.4 %	3.13	3.50	3.52
2016	Mariners (A)	7	1	17	13	84.1	5.98	0.96	0.43	.254	78.0 %	47.4 %	4.7 %	2.13	3.19	3.30
2017	Marlins (A+)	0	3	8	6	45.1	6.35	1.39	0.00	.307	75.9 %	58.5 %	0.0 %	2.18	2.69	3.28
2017	Mariners (A+)	5	8	19	18	100.0	8.01	1.17	0.54	.341	54.4 %	49.0 %	6.3 %	5.04	3.36	3.65
2018	Marlins (AA)	1	2	8	8	43.2	10.51	1.65	0.62	.246	94.8 %	41.7 %	8.1 %	0.62	2.54	2.60
2018	Marlins (AAA)	1	1	4	4	18.2	7.23	1.93	1.45	.236	74.5 %	43.6 %	17.6 %	3.38	5.35	4.45
2018	Marlins	2	4	10	10	58.2	7.06	2.76	1.23	.281	74.9 %	50.0 %	15.7 %	4.14	4.49	4.15	0.4
2019	Marlins (AA)	0	3	3	3	5.0	10.80	7.20	5.40	.526	43.5 %	50.0 %	30.0 %	21.60	11.70	5.88
2019	Marlins (AAA)	0	0	2	2	9.1	9.64	2.89	0.00	.385	76.9 %	60.0 %	0.0 %	1.93	2.62	3.29
2019	Marlins	5	8	21	21	111.1	7.68	2.18	1.21	.299	66.4 %	47.6 %	14.6 %	5.09	4.28	4.37	1.6
2020	THE BAT	8	11	28	28	158.0	7.15	2.55	1.19	.302	70.4 %			4.27	4.35
2020	ATC	7	10	27	27	146.0	7.71	2.40	1.20	.308	70.3 %			4.23	4.06
2020	Depth Charts	9	10	28	28	158.0	7.80	2.25	1.16	.308	71.6 %			4.04	4.11		2.5
2020	Steamer	9	10	28	28	157.0	7.76	1.95	1.19	.298	71.6 %	48.5 %		3.98	4.03	4.21	2.6
2020	ZiPS	8	8	26	26	127.3	7.85	2.54	1.13	.307	71.6 %			4.10	4.19		1.9
Total	- - -	7	12	31	31	170.0	7.46	2.38	1.22	.293	69.3 %	48.4 %	14.9 %	4.76	4.35	4.30	2.0

Standard

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	ShO	HLD	BS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	BK	SO
2013	Mariners (R)	7	1	2.57	12	12	0	0	0	0	66.2	261	51	25	19	2	11	1	5	5	1	38
2015	Mariners (R)	2	1	3.13	12	3	0	0	1	0	37.1	162	37	20	13	1	6	0	3	3	2	26
2016	Mariners (A)	7	1	2.13	17	13	0	0	0	0	84.1	324	68	22	20	4	9	0	3	3	1	56
2017	Marlins (A+)	0	3	2.18	8	6	0	0	0	0	45.1	181	42	13	11	0	7	0	5	3	0	32
2017	Mariners (A+)	5	8	5.04	19	18	0	0	0	0	100.0	424	113	63	56	6	13	0	2	7	3	89
2018	Marlins (AA)	1	2	0.62	8	8	0	0	0	0	43.2	173	30	6	3	3	8	0	1	3	0	51
2018	Marlins (AAA)	1	1	3.38	4	4	0	0	0	0	18.2	80	16	9	7	3	4	0	3	2	0	15
2018	Marlins	2	4	4.14	10	10	0	0	0	0	58.2	247	56	28	27	8	18	5	4	2	0	46
2019	Marlins (AA)	0	3	21.60	3	3	0	0	0	0	5.0	33	13	12	12	3	4	1	1	2	0	6
2019	Marlins (AAA)	0	0	1.93	2	2	0	0	0	0	9.1	39	10	3	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	10
2019	Marlins	5	8	5.09	21	21	0	0	0	0	111.1	469	111	64	63	15	27	3	11	6	2	95
2020	THE BAT	8	11	4.27	28	28					158.0	671	159	81	75	21	45	3	8			126
2020	ATC	7	10	4.23	27	27			0		146.0		148	75	69	20	39	1	1			125
2020	Depth Charts	9	10	4.04	28	28			0		158.0		158	77	71	20	40		11			137
2020	Steamer	9	10	3.98	28	28	0	0	0		157.0	661	158	76	70	21	34		9			136
2020	ZiPS	8	8	4.10	26	26					127.3		126	62	58	16	36	5	10	8	5	111
Total	- - -	7	12	4.76	31	31	0	0	0	0	170.0	716	167	92	90	23	45	8	15	8	2	141

Advanced

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	K-BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA-	FIP-	FIP
2013	Mariners (R)	5.13	1.49	3.45	0.27	14.6 %	4.2 %	10.4 %	.208	0.93	.239	65.4 %			3.47
2015	Mariners (R)	6.27	1.45	4.33	0.24	16.1 %	3.7 %	12.4 %	.242	1.15	.286	58.3 %			3.50
2016	Mariners (A)	5.98	0.96	6.22	0.43	17.3 %	2.8 %	14.5 %	.218	0.91	.254	78.0 %			3.19
2017	Marlins (A+)	6.35	1.39	4.57	0.00	17.7 %	3.9 %	13.8 %	.249	1.08	.307	75.9 %			2.69
2017	Mariners (A+)	8.01	1.17	6.85	0.54	21.0 %	3.1 %	17.9 %	.276	1.26	.341	54.4 %			3.36
2018	Marlins (AA)	10.51	1.65	6.38	0.62	29.5 %	4.6 %	24.9 %	.183	0.87	.246	94.8 %			2.54
2018	Marlins (AAA)	7.23	1.93	3.75	1.45	18.8 %	5.0 %	13.7 %	.219	1.07	.236	74.5 %			5.35
2018	Marlins	7.06	2.76	2.56	1.23	18.6 %	7.3 %	11.3 %	.249	1.26	.281	74.9 %	108	114	4.49
2018	Average	8.53	3.25	2.63	1.16	22.3 %	8.5 %	13.8 %	.245	1.30	.293	72.8 %			4.19
2019	Marlins (AA)	10.80	7.20	1.50	5.40	18.2 %	12.1 %	6.1 %	.464	3.40	.526	43.5 %			11.70
2019	Marlins (AAA)	9.64	2.89	3.33	0.00	25.6 %	7.7 %	17.9 %	.278	1.39	.385	76.9 %			2.62
2019	Marlins	7.68	2.18	3.52	1.21	20.3 %	5.8 %	14.5 %	.258	1.24	.299	66.4 %	122	99	4.28
2019	Average	8.88	3.29	2.69	1.40	23.0 %	8.5 %	14.4 %	.249	1.33	.296	72.3 %			4.49
2020	THE BAT	7.15	2.55	2.81	1.19				.264	1.29	.302	70.4 %			4.35
2020	ATC	7.71	2.40	3.21	1.20				.263	1.28	.308	70.3 %			4.06
2020	Depth Charts	7.80	2.25	3.47	1.16				.261	1.25	.308	71.6 %			4.11
2020	Steamer	7.76	1.95	3.98	1.19	20.5 %	5.2 %	15.4 %	.256	1.22	.298	71.6 %			4.03
2020	ZiPS	7.85	2.54	3.08	1.13				.260	1.27	.307	71.6 %			4.19
Total	- - -	7.46	2.38	3.13	1.22	19.7 %	6.3 %	13.4 %	.255	1.25	.293	69.3 %	117	104	4.35

ZiPS 3 Year Projections

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Age	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2020	24	8	8	26	26	127.3	126	62	58	16	36	111	7.85	2.54	3.08	1.13	.260	1.27	.307	71.6 %	4.10	4.19	1.9
2021	25	8	7	26	26	130.0	125	62	58	16	35	114	7.89	2.42	3.26	1.11	.254	1.23	.301	71.2 %	4.02	4.10	2.0
2022	26	8	7	26	26	129.0	122	61	57	16	34	115	8.02	2.37	3.38	1.12	.251	1.21	.299	71.1 %	3.98	4.04	2.1

Batted Ball

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	GB/FB	LD%	GB%	FB%	IFFB%	HR/FB	IFH%	BUH%	Pull%	Cent%	Oppo%	Soft%	Med%	Hard%	SIERA	xFIP-	xFIP
2013	Mariners (R)	2.90	17.2 %	61.6 %	21.2 %	4.8 %	4.8 %			49.8 %	17.4 %	32.9 %						3.61
2015	Mariners (R)	2.21	20.5 %	54.7 %	24.8 %	31.0 %	3.4 %			45.2 %	27.0 %	27.8 %						3.52
2016	Mariners (A)	1.40	18.7 %	47.4 %	33.9 %	24.7 %	4.7 %			43.0 %	21.9 %	35.2 %						3.30
2017	Marlins (A+)	2.47	17.8 %	58.5 %	23.7 %	21.9 %	0.0 %			51.1 %	21.9 %	27.0 %						3.28
2017	Mariners (A+)	1.59	20.1 %	49.0 %	30.8 %	17.9 %	6.3 %			52.2 %	20.3 %	27.5 %						3.65
2018	Marlins (AA)	1.22	24.1 %	41.7 %	34.3 %	24.3 %	8.1 %			49.6 %	20.4 %	30.1 %						2.60
2018	Marlins (AAA)	1.41	25.5 %	43.6 %	30.9 %	23.5 %	17.6 %			43.9 %	35.1 %	21.1 %						4.45
2018	Marlins	1.75	21.3 %	50.0 %	28.7 %	13.7 %	15.7 %	5.6 %	0.0 %	50.8 %	30.2 %	19.0 %	19.6 %	48.0 %	32.4 %	4.29	102	4.15
2019	Marlins (AA)	1.10	4.5 %	50.0 %	45.5 %	0.0 %	30.0 %			40.9 %	36.4 %	22.7 %						5.88
2019	Marlins (AAA)	5.00	28.0 %	60.0 %	12.0 %	0.0 %	0.0 %			46.2 %	23.1 %	30.8 %						3.29
2019	Marlins	1.52	21.2 %	47.6 %	31.2 %	12.6 %	14.6 %	5.7 %	33.3 %	39.9 %	31.8 %	28.3 %	17.6 %	45.8 %	36.6 %	4.44	99	4.37
Total	- - -	1.60	21.3 %	48.4 %	30.3 %	13.0 %	14.9 %	5.7 %	28.6 %	43.7 %	31.3 %	25.0 %	18.3 %	46.6 %	35.1 %	4.39	100	4.30

More Batted Ball

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	GB	FB	LD	IFFB	IFH	BU	BUH	RS	Balls	Strikes	Pitches
2013	Mariners (R)	122	42	34	2					56	329	385
2015	Mariners (R)	64	29	24	9					36	211	247
2016	Mariners (A)	119	85	47	21					329	742	1071
2017	Marlins (A+)	79	32	24	7					187	437	624
2017	Mariners (A+)	151	95	62	17					420	983	1403
2018	Marlins (AA)	45	37	26	9					227	484	711
2018	Marlins (AAA)	24	17	14	4					104	190	294
2018	Marlins	89	51	38	7	5	1	0	25	335	615	950
2019	Marlins (AA)	11	10	1	0					53	87	140
2019	Marlins (AAA)	15	3	7	0					44	91	135
2019	Marlins	157	103	70	13	9	6	2	58	641	1155	1796
Total	- - -	246	154	108	20	14	7	2	83	976	1770	2746

Win Probability

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	WPA	-WPA	+WPA	RE24	REW	pLI	inLI	gmLI	exLI	Pulls	WPA/LI	Clutch
2018	Marlins	0.08	-4.22	4.30	-1.29	-0.12	1.01	0.90	0.88	1.40	10	-0.33	0.41
2019	Marlins	-0.51	-8.45	7.93	-7.17	-0.74	0.96	0.92	0.88	1.07	21	-0.32	-0.22
Total	- - -	-0.43	-12.67	12.23	-8.46	-0.87	0.97	0.91	0.88	1.18	31	-0.65	0.21

Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FB%	CB%	CH%	XX%
2018	Marlins	60.5% (92.4)	20.3% (78.5)	19.2% (85.4)	2.0%
2019	Marlins	58.6% (93.6)	19.4% (79.9)	22.0% (85.8)	0.7%
Total	- - -	59.3% (93.2)	19.7% (79.4)	21.0% (85.6)	1.1%

PITCHf/x Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FA%	FT%	FC%	SL%	CU%	CH%
2018	Marlins	33.0 %	27.5 %			20.3 %	19.2 %
2019	Marlins	40.8 %	17.9 %	0.2 %	0.3 %	19.1 %	21.8 %
Total	- - -	38.1 %	21.2 %	0.1 %	0.2 %	19.6 %	20.9 %

PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	vFA	vFT	vFC	vSL	vCU	vCH
2018	Marlins	92.7	92.0			78.5	85.3
2019	Marlins	93.6	93.3	90.6	83.8	79.8	85.7
Total	- - -	93.3	92.7	90.6	83.8	79.3	85.6

Pitch Info Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FA%	SI%	CH%	CU%
2018	Marlins	34.3 %	26.1 %	19.3 %	20.3 %
2019	Marlins	40.9 %	17.6 %	22.1 %	19.4 %
Total	- - -	38.6 %	20.6 %	21.1 %	19.7 %

Pitch Info Pitch Velocity

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	vFA	vSI	vCH	vCU
2018	Marlins	93.2	92.6	85.9	79.0
2019	Marlins	94.0	93.7	86.2	80.2
Total	- - -	93.8	93.2	86.1	79.7

Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFB	wCB	wCH	wFB/C	wCB/C	wCH/C
2018	Marlins	-3.7	-0.4	4.0	-0.65	-0.22	2.19
2019	Marlins	3.8	-3.6	2.3	0.36	-1.04	0.57
Total	- - -	0.1	-4.1	6.2	0.00	-0.75	1.08

PITCHf/x Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA	wFT	wFC	wSL	wCU	wCH
2018	Marlins	-2.7	-1.3			-0.4	4.1
2019	Marlins	3.4	0.8	0.8	1.1	-4.3	1.9
Total	- - -	0.8	-0.5	0.8	1.1	-4.7	6.0

PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA/C	wFT/C	wFC/C	wSL/C	wCU/C	wCH/C
2018	Marlins	-0.85	-0.50			-0.22	2.26
2019	Marlins	0.47	0.26	28.06	22.92	-1.25	0.50
Total	- - -	0.07	-0.08	28.06	22.92	-0.88	1.06

Pitch Info Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA	wSI	wCH	wCU
2018	Marlins	-2.9	-1.7	4.1	-0.4
2019	Marlins	2.1	2.4	3.5	-3.3
Total	- - -	-0.8	0.7	7.6	-3.7

Pitch Info Pitch Values / 100

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA/C	wSI/C	wCH/C	wCU/C
2018	Marlins	-0.89	-0.69	2.22	-0.22
2019	Marlins	0.29	0.76	0.88	-0.96
Total	- - -	-0.08	0.12	1.31	-0.69

Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	F-Strike%	SwStr%
2018	Marlins	34.7 %	66.0 %	48.1 %	67.2 %	85.5 %	77.9 %	42.7 %	62.8 %	10.4 %
2018	Average	30.9 %	67.3 %	46.6 %	62.8 %	85.5 %	76.9 %	43.0 %	60.6 %	10.7 %
2019	Marlins	31.5 %	69.4 %	48.3 %	66.5 %	85.7 %	78.7 %	44.2 %	55.7 %	10.2 %
2019	Average	31.6 %	68.5 %	47.0 %	62.7 %	84.9 %	76.2 %	41.8 %	60.9 %	11.1 %
Total	- - -	32.7 %	68.3 %	48.2 %	66.7 %	85.6 %	78.4 %	43.7 %	58.1 %	10.3 %

PITCHf/x Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	Pace
2018	Marlins	34.2 %	64.6 %	48.2 %	63.1 %	87.2 %	77.9 %	45.8 %	21.1
2018	Average	30.4 %	64.4 %	46.6 %	60.1 %	85.6 %	76.9 %	47.7 %	23.5
2019	Marlins	31.8 %	65.9 %	48.4 %	62.9 %	86.6 %	78.6 %	48.8 %	22.6
2019	Average	30.6 %	65.2 %	47.0 %	59.4 %	84.9 %	76.2 %	47.4 %	24.4
Total	- - -	32.7 %	65.4 %	48.3 %	63.0 %	86.8 %	78.4 %	47.8 %	22.1

Pitch Info Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	Pace
2018	Marlins	35.2 %	64.2 %	48.2 %	66.5 %	85.7 %	77.9 %	44.7 %	21.5
2019	Marlins	32.2 %	65.3 %	48.4 %	64.2 %	85.9 %	78.5 %	49.1 %	23.3
Total	- - -	33.3 %	65.0 %	48.3 %	65.1 %	85.8 %	78.3 %	47.5 %	22.7

Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	FE	TE	DP	DPS	DPT	DPF	SB	FP
2018	Marlins (AA)	P	8	8	43.2	3	6	1			0
2018	Marlins (AAA)	P	4	4	18.2	2	4	0			1
2018	Marlins	P	10	10	58.2	4	7	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	4	.917
2019	Marlins (AA)	P	3	3	5.0	1	1	0			0
2019	Marlins (AAA)	P	2	2	9.1	0	1	0			0
2019	Marlins	P	21	21	111.1	9	12	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1.000
Total	- - -	P	31	31	170.0	13	19	1	1	0	3	2	0	1	5	.970

Advanced Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	Inn	rSZ	rSB	DRS	FRM
2018	Marlins	P	58.2	0	0	0	0.1
2019	Marlins	P	111.1	-1	1	1	-0.4
Total	- - -	P	170.0	-1	1	1	-0.3

Inside Edge Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	Inn	Impossible (0%)	Remote (1-10%)	Unlikely (10-40%)	Even (40-60%)	Likely (60-90%)	Routine (90-100%)
2018	Marlins	P	58.2	0.0% (0)	0.0% (1)	0.0% (0)	100.0% (1)	0.0% (0)	100.0% (5)
2019	Marlins	P	111.1	0.0% (1)	0.0% (1)	0.0% (0)	100.0% (1)	100.0% (3)	100.0% (7)
Total	- - -	P	170.0	0.0% (1)	0.0% (2)	0.0% (0)	100.0% (2)	100.0% (3)	100.0% (12)

Value

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	RA9-WAR	BIP-Wins	LOB-Wins	FDP-Wins	RAR	WAR	Dollars
2018	Marlins	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.2	4.0	0.4	$3.2
2019	Marlins	0.7	-0.1	-0.7	-0.9	16.0	1.6	$12.6
Total	- - -	1.3	0.0	-0.6	-0.6	19.9	2.0	$15.8

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