Pitching

TJ Nichols

Tampa Bay Rays (AA)

Age: 24

Bats/Throws: R/R

6'5" / 189

DOB: 6/24/2002

(24 years, 2 months, 18 days)

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Preseason ProjectionsIn-Season ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring TrainingCollege

Season	Team	Level	Age	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2021	ARIZ	NCAA	19	6	3	0	17	9	60.1	9.85	4.62	0.75	.290	69.5%			4.77	4.58
2022	ARIZ	NCAA	20	6	4	0	16	16	88.1	8.56	3.87	0.71	.355	63.9%			5.50	4.84
2023	ARIZ	NCAA	21	3	5	1	17	8	57.2	8.12	4.53	1.87	.304	58.6%			8.27	7.40
2023	TBR	CPX	21	0	0	0	3	2	5.0	7.20	1.80	0.00	.154	100.0%	58.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.95	3.56
2024	TBR	A	22	4	6	0	18	14	71.1	8.33	2.78	0.38	.311	76.1%	49.5%	5.5%	2.90	3.24	3.39
2025	TBR	A+	23	10	3	0	19	18	96.2	11.08	1.96	1.86	.286	82.4%	41.9%	23.5%	3.63	4.52	2.78
2025	TBR	AA	23	4	0	0	6	6	37.0	9.00	2.19	0.24	.247	91.2%	39.5%	2.9%	0.97	2.27	2.93
2025	TBR	MiLB	23	14	3	0	25	24	133.2	10.50	2.02	1.41	.275	84.6%	41.3%	17.5%	2.90	3.90	2.82
2026	TBR	ST	24	0	2	0	3	1	3.2	9.82	7.36	2.45	.200	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%	2.45	8.29	7.80
2026	Steamer	PROJ	24	0	0	0	0	0	1.0	7.23	2.80	1.29	.295	71.0%	42.7%		4.43	4.45	4.37	0.0
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	24	6	9	0	22	20	106.3	7.28	2.54	1.35	.287	68.1%			4.66	4.49		1.1
2026	OOPSY	PROJ	24	0	0	0	1	1	5.0	7.16	2.95	1.14	.282	67.0%			4.26	4.31		0.1
2026	TBR	CPX	24	0	0	0	2	2	5.0	7.20	0.00	0.00	.375	83.3%	60.0%	0.0%	1.80	2.64	3.44
2026	TBR	AA	24	2	6	0	20	20	89.2	8.43	4.12	1.71	.309	66.8%	43.2%	21.5%	5.92	5.63	4.85
2026	TBR	MiLB	24	2	6	0	22	22	94.2	8.37	3.90	1.62	.313	67.7%	44.1%	20.7%	5.70	5.47	4.78
2026	Steamer	ROS	24	0	0	0	0	0	1.0	6.59	3.34	1.37	.288	71.1%			4.67	4.86		0.0
2026	OOPSY	ROS	24	0	0	0	1	1	4.6	6.37	3.36	1.31	.286	64.9%			4.94	4.87		0.0

Season	Team	Level	Age	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2021	ARIZ	NCAA	19	6	3	0	17	9	60.1	9.85	4.62	0.75	.290	69.5%			4.77	4.58
2022	ARIZ	NCAA	20	6	4	0	16	16	88.1	8.56	3.87	0.71	.355	63.9%			5.50	4.84
2023	ARIZ	NCAA	21	3	5	1	17	8	57.2	8.12	4.53	1.87	.304	58.6%			8.27	7.40
2023	TBR	CPX	21	0	0	0	3	2	5.0	7.20	1.80	0.00	.154	100.0%	58.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.95	3.56
2024	TBR	A	22	4	6	0	18	14	71.1	8.33	2.78	0.38	.311	76.1%	49.5%	5.5%	2.90	3.24	3.39
2025	TBR	A+	23	10	3	0	19	18	96.2	11.08	1.96	1.86	.286	82.4%	41.9%	23.5%	3.63	4.52	2.78
2025	TBR	AA	23	4	0	0	6	6	37.0	9.00	2.19	0.24	.247	91.2%	39.5%	2.9%	0.97	2.27	2.93
2025	TBR	MiLB	23	14	3	0	25	24	133.2	10.50	2.02	1.41	.275	84.6%	41.3%	17.5%	2.90	3.90	2.82
2026	TBR	ST	24	0	2	0	3	1	3.2	9.82	7.36	2.45	.200	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%	2.45	8.29	7.80
2026	Steamer	PROJ	24	0	0	0	0	0	1.0	7.23	2.80	1.29	.295	71.0%	42.7%		4.43	4.45	4.37	0.0
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	24	6	9	0	22	20	106.3	7.28	2.54	1.35	.287	68.1%			4.66	4.49		1.1
2026	OOPSY	PROJ	24	0	0	0	1	1	5.0	7.16	2.95	1.14	.282	67.0%			4.26	4.31		0.1
2026	TBR	CPX	24	0	0	0	2	2	5.0	7.20	0.00	0.00	.375	83.3%	60.0%	0.0%	1.80	2.64	3.44
2026	TBR	AA	24	2	6	0	20	20	89.2	8.43	4.12	1.71	.309	66.8%	43.2%	21.5%	5.92	5.63	4.85
2026	TBR	MiLB	24	2	6	0	22	22	94.2	8.37	3.90	1.62	.313	67.7%	44.1%	20.7%	5.70	5.47	4.78
2026	Steamer	ROS	24	0	0	0	0	0	1.0	6.59	3.34	1.37	.288	71.1%			4.67	4.86		0.0
2026	OOPSY	ROS	24	0	0	0	1	1	4.6	6.37	3.36	1.31	.286	64.9%			4.94	4.87		0.0

Preseason ProjectionsIn-Season ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring TrainingCollege

Season	Team	Level	W	L	ERA	G	GS	QS	CG	ShO	SV	HLD	BS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	BK	SO
2021	ARIZ	NCAA	6	3	4.77	17	9		0	0	0			60.1	265	50	32	32	5	31		8	3	0	66
2022	ARIZ	NCAA	6	4	5.50	16	16		0	0	0			88.1	398	98	60	54	7	38		13	13	0	84
2023	ARIZ	NCAA	3	5	8.27	17	8		0	0	1			57.2	278	63	55	53	12	29		17	6	0	52
2023	TBR	CPX	0	0	0.00	3	2		0	0	0	1	0	5.0	18	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
2024	TBR	A	4	6	2.90	18	14		0	0	0	0	0	71.1	288	64	24	23	3	22	0	1	7	0	66
2025	TBR	A+	10	3	3.63	19	18		0	0	0	0	0	96.2	392	84	43	39	20	21	0	8	6	0	119
2025	TBR	AA	4	0	0.97	6	6		0	0	0	0	0	37.0	132	22	4	4	1	9	0	0	1	0	37
2025	TBR	MiLB	14	3	2.90	25	24		0	0	0	0	0	133.2	524	106	47	43	21	30	0	8	7	0	156
2026	TBR	ST	0	2	2.45	3	1		0	0	0	1	0	3.2	19	3	7	1	1	3	0	1	0	0	4
2026	Steamer	PROJ	0	0	4.43	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			1
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	6	9	4.66	22	20				0	0		106.3	455	107	59	55	16	30	0	6	6	0	86
2026	OOPSY	PROJ	0	0	4.26	1	1	0			0	0		5.0	20	4	3	2	1	2	0	0			4
2026	TBR	CPX	0	0	1.80	2	2		0	0	0	0	0	5.0	20	6	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
2026	TBR	AA	2	6	5.92	20	20		1	0	0	0	0	89.2	388	92	61	59	17	41	0	3	2	0	84
2026	TBR	MiLB	2	6	5.70	22	22		1	0	0	0	0	94.2	408	98	62	60	17	41	0	3	2	0	88
2026	Steamer	ROS	0	0	4.67	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	4	1	1	1	0	0		0			1
2026	OOPSY	ROS	0	0	4.94	1	1	0			0	0		4.6	19	4	3	3	1	2	0	0			3

Season	Team	Level	W	L	ERA	G	GS	QS	CG	ShO	SV	HLD	BS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	BK	SO
2021	ARIZ	NCAA	6	3	4.77	17	9		0	0	0			60.1	265	50	32	32	5	31		8	3	0	66
2022	ARIZ	NCAA	6	4	5.50	16	16		0	0	0			88.1	398	98	60	54	7	38		13	13	0	84
2023	ARIZ	NCAA	3	5	8.27	17	8		0	0	1			57.2	278	63	55	53	12	29		17	6	0	52
2023	TBR	CPX	0	0	0.00	3	2		0	0	0	1	0	5.0	18	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
2024	TBR	A	4	6	2.90	18	14		0	0	0	0	0	71.1	288	64	24	23	3	22	0	1	7	0	66
2025	TBR	A+	10	3	3.63	19	18		0	0	0	0	0	96.2	392	84	43	39	20	21	0	8	6	0	119
2025	TBR	AA	4	0	0.97	6	6		0	0	0	0	0	37.0	132	22	4	4	1	9	0	0	1	0	37
2025	TBR	MiLB	14	3	2.90	25	24		0	0	0	0	0	133.2	524	106	47	43	21	30	0	8	7	0	156
2026	TBR	ST	0	2	2.45	3	1		0	0	0	1	0	3.2	19	3	7	1	1	3	0	1	0	0	4
2026	Steamer	PROJ	0	0	4.43	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			1
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	6	9	4.66	22	20				0	0		106.3	455	107	59	55	16	30	0	6	6	0	86
2026	OOPSY	PROJ	0	0	4.26	1	1	0			0	0		5.0	20	4	3	2	1	2	0	0			4
2026	TBR	CPX	0	0	1.80	2	2		0	0	0	0	0	5.0	20	6	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
2026	TBR	AA	2	6	5.92	20	20		1	0	0	0	0	89.2	388	92	61	59	17	41	0	3	2	0	84
2026	TBR	MiLB	2	6	5.70	22	22		1	0	0	0	0	94.2	408	98	62	60	17	41	0	3	2	0	88
2026	Steamer	ROS	0	0	4.67	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	4	1	1	1	0	0		0			1
2026	OOPSY	ROS	0	0	4.94	1	1	0			0	0		4.6	19	4	3	3	1	2	0	0			3

Preseason ProjectionsIn-Season ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring TrainingAveragesCollege

Season	Team	Level	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	K-BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA-	FIP-	FIP
2021	ARIZ	NCAA	9.85	4.62	2.13	0.75	24.9%	11.7%	13.2%	.221	1.34	.290	69.5%			4.58
2022	ARIZ	NCAA	8.56	3.87	2.21	0.71	21.1%	9.5%	11.6%	.282	1.54	.355	63.9%			4.84
2023	ARIZ	NCAA	8.12	4.53	1.79	1.87	18.7%	10.4%	8.3%	.272	1.60	.304	58.6%			7.40
2023	TBR	CPX	7.20	1.80	4.00	0.00	22.2%	5.6%	16.7%	.118	0.60	.154	100.0%	0	57	2.95
2024	TBR	A	8.33	2.78	3.00	0.38	22.9%	7.6%	15.3%	.242	1.21	.311	76.1%	78	87	3.24
2025	TBR	A+	11.08	1.96	5.67	1.86	30.4%	5.4%	25.0%	.231	1.09	.286	82.4%	93	117	4.52
2025	TBR	AA	9.00	2.19	4.11	0.24	28.0%	6.8%	21.2%	.179	0.84	.247	91.2%	26	62	2.27
2025	TBR	MiLB	10.50	2.02	5.20	1.41	29.8%	5.7%	24.0%	.218	1.02	.275	84.6%	75	102	3.90
2026	TBR	ST	9.82	7.36	1.33	2.45	21.1%	15.8%	5.3%	.200	1.64	.200	0.0%	47	170	8.29
2026	Steamer	PROJ	7.23	2.80	2.58	1.29	18.7%	7.2%	11.4%	.260	1.34	.295	71.0%			4.45
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	7.28	2.54	2.87	1.35	18.9%	6.6%	12.3%	.255	1.29	.287	68.1%			4.49
2026	OOPSY	PROJ	7.16	2.95	2.43	1.14	20.1%	8.3%	11.8%	.245	1.21	.282	67.0%			4.31
2026	TBR	CPX	7.20	0.00	4.00	0.00	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	.300	1.20	.375	83.3%	31	45	2.64
2026	TBR	AA	8.43	4.12	2.05	1.71	21.6%	10.6%	11.1%	.267	1.48	.309	66.8%	122	118	5.63
2026	TBR	MiLB	8.37	3.90	2.15	1.62	21.6%	10.0%	11.5%	.269	1.47	.313	67.7%	117	114	5.47
2026	Steamer	ROS	6.59	3.34	1.97	1.37	16.8%	8.5%	8.3%	.262	1.41	.288	71.1%			4.86
2026	OOPSY	ROS	6.37	3.36	1.90	1.31	17.2%	9.1%	8.1%	.259	1.33	.286	64.9%			4.87

Season	Team	Level	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	K-BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA-	FIP-	FIP
2021	ARIZ	NCAA	9.85	4.62	2.13	0.75	24.9%	11.7%	13.2%	.221	1.34	.290	69.5%			4.58
2022	ARIZ	NCAA	8.56	3.87	2.21	0.71	21.1%	9.5%	11.6%	.282	1.54	.355	63.9%			4.84
2023	ARIZ	NCAA	8.12	4.53	1.79	1.87	18.7%	10.4%	8.3%	.272	1.60	.304	58.6%			7.40
2023	TBR	CPX	7.20	1.80	4.00	0.00	22.2%	5.6%	16.7%	.118	0.60	.154	100.0%	0	57	2.95
2024	TBR	A	8.33	2.78	3.00	0.38	22.9%	7.6%	15.3%	.242	1.21	.311	76.1%	78	87	3.24
2025	TBR	A+	11.08	1.96	5.67	1.86	30.4%	5.4%	25.0%	.231	1.09	.286	82.4%	93	117	4.52
2025	TBR	AA	9.00	2.19	4.11	0.24	28.0%	6.8%	21.2%	.179	0.84	.247	91.2%	26	62	2.27
2025	TBR	MiLB	10.50	2.02	5.20	1.41	29.8%	5.7%	24.0%	.218	1.02	.275	84.6%	75	102	3.90
2026	TBR	ST	9.82	7.36	1.33	2.45	21.1%	15.8%	5.3%	.200	1.64	.200	0.0%	47	170	8.29
2026	Steamer	PROJ	7.23	2.80	2.58	1.29	18.7%	7.2%	11.4%	.260	1.34	.295	71.0%			4.45
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	7.28	2.54	2.87	1.35	18.9%	6.6%	12.3%	.255	1.29	.287	68.1%			4.49
2026	OOPSY	PROJ	7.16	2.95	2.43	1.14	20.1%	8.3%	11.8%	.245	1.21	.282	67.0%			4.31
2026	TBR	CPX	7.20	0.00	4.00	0.00	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	.300	1.20	.375	83.3%	31	45	2.64
2026	TBR	AA	8.43	4.12	2.05	1.71	21.6%	10.6%	11.1%	.267	1.48	.309	66.8%	122	118	5.63
2026	TBR	MiLB	8.37	3.90	2.15	1.62	21.6%	10.0%	11.5%	.269	1.47	.313	67.7%	117	114	5.47
2026	Steamer	ROS	6.59	3.34	1.97	1.37	16.8%	8.5%	8.3%	.262	1.41	.288	71.1%			4.86
2026	OOPSY	ROS	6.37	3.36	1.90	1.31	17.2%	9.1%	8.1%	.259	1.33	.286	64.9%			4.87

Preseason ProjectionsIn-Season ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring TrainingCollege

Season	Team	Level	Age	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	24	6	9	22	20	106.3	107	59	55	16	30	86	7.28	2.54	2.87	1.35	.255	1.29	.287	68.1%	4.66	4.49	1.1
2027	ZiPS	PROJ	25	7	7	22	20	106.7	103	56	52	14	29	86	7.25	2.45	2.97	1.18	.247	1.24	.281	67.6%	4.39	4.21	1.4
2028	ZiPS	PROJ	26	7	7	22	20	109.7	103	55	51	13	29	89	7.30	2.38	3.07	1.07	.243	1.20	.280	67.7%	4.18	4.01	1.7

Season	Team	Level	Age	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2026	ZiPS	PROJ	24	6	9	22	20	106.3	107	59	55	16	30	86	7.28	2.54	2.87	1.35	.255	1.29	.287	68.1%	4.66	4.49	1.1
2027	ZiPS	PROJ	25	7	7	22	20	106.7	103	56	52	14	29	86	7.25	2.45	2.97	1.18	.247	1.24	.281	67.6%	4.39	4.21	1.4
2028	ZiPS	PROJ	26	7	7	22	20	109.7	103	55	51	13	29	89	7.30	2.38	3.07	1.07	.243	1.20	.280	67.7%	4.18	4.01	1.7